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The Traders Thread - Monday 7th January (TRAD)     

Greystone - 06 Jan 2008 12:22

Greystone - 06 Jan 2008 12:22 - 2 of 37

Greystone - 06 Jan 2008 12:23 - 3 of 37


Greystone - 06 Jan 2008 12:23 - 4 of 37

Greystone - 06 Jan 2008 12:24 - 5 of 37

A Brief Look At The Week Ahead
This week should see some sort of normality returning to the City with volumes back at better levels. The BoE Monetary Policy Committee meeting on Thursday may create some stir with a growing band of pundits coming out in favour of another rate cut, despite inflation worries. A major area of interest this week will be retailing with conflicting press takes on whether M&S will cheer or chill when it reveals its Christmas numbers. The chicken debate may rumple the supermarketeers this week, although numbers from Sainsbury are likely to be the driving force. Doubtless, Jamie Oliver will come up smiling, whatever happens..... Hope you all have a fun week! Greystone Thanks, as always to Supermum, Kyoto and Digger for their invaluable input to The Traders Thread. (Greystone is Alan English, City Editor at MoneyAM.)

Kyoto - 07 Jan 2008 06:26 - 6 of 37

Friday's market reports:

Telegraph
The Times
The Times (Need to know)
The Guardian
The Independent
This is Money

Saturday

Households and businesses face a "debt famine" this year, experts warned last night after the Bank of England reported a sharp drop in banks' willingness to lend cash. This will make it increasingly difficult to secure debt over the coming year, causing a rise in both personal and corporate insolvencies, the Bank said.
Economy at risk from 'debt famine'

The strongest evidence yet has emerged that the 12-year-long house price boom has ended, as figures showed mortgage lending at a three-year low, and a fall in house prices. The Bank of England said mortgage approvals - a clear indication of how many people can afford a new home - fell in November to the lowest for three years. Just 83,000 people were given a mortgage then, down from 89,000 in October, and the fifth month in a row they have fallen.
Figures signal end to house price boom

Energy costs are more worrying than the money market say manufacturers, who hope that 2007’s strong trading lasts.
Factories hope to avoid financial freeze

Britain could see an £18bn hole blown in its national income if oil prices remain around $100 a barrel for a sustained period, with the high price leading to soaring energy costs for private consumers, industry and public services.
The heavy price of $100 a barrel

Cuts could begin next week as key figures show businesses are preparing for tough times and mortgage approvals plunge. Interest rates may have to fall as low as 4.25pc as the economy slows - and the Bank of England may begin cutting them as soon as next week, economists have predicted.
Slowdown may see interest rate drop

The US economy added just 18,000 jobs in December, pushing the national unemployment rate kicked up to 5pc, its highest in more than two years. Economists said the figures - which came amid expectations for a 70,000 rise in jobs - were close to recessionary levels and made further cuts in US interest rates all but a certainty.
US job figures press Fed to cut rate

President Bush sought to boost confidence in the flagging US economy after a virtual stalling of the country's job-creation machine triggered fresh fears that the world's biggest economy is on course for recession in 2008.
White House dismisses fears of a US recession despite rising unemployment

Japan's main stock index has fallen to its lowest level in 17 months after the strong yen and record-high oil prices led investors to flee the market.
Japanese shares tumble to 17-month low

The Bank of England has been sidelined in a proposed shake-up of Britain's banking system that will hand greater powers to its regulatory partners, the Treasury and the Financial Services Authority.
Chancellor to limit BoE to advisory role

Britain's biggest fund managers are united in their gloom about the UK and American economies - but reckon that they can still make money for investors even if a recession is on the way.
The big guns adjust their sights

Sunday

MARKS & SPENCER will send a shiver down the high street this week when it unveils its worst Christmas trading for two years. Regarded as a high-street bellwether, it is expected to unveil a fall in like-for-like sales for the first time in nine quarters.
M&S reveals Christmas blues

Stuart Rose, the newly knighted Marks & Spencer chief executive, is this week expected to deliver some badly needed cheer to investors and the high street when he reveals that the group enjoyed a stronger Christmas than many of its rivals.
Marks & Spencer figures set to lighten the Christmas gloom

THE Bank of England this week faces one of its biggest dilemmas in more than 10 years of independence. It is under growing pressure to cut interest rates despite inflationary warning signals from rising energy prices and signs of higher pay settlements.
Bank urged to cut rate again

Banks are set to contact thousands of at-risk borrowers under plans to stave off fears of a huge rise in the number of home repossessions. The move, under the auspices of the British Bankers' Association, will see banks agreeing to contact borrowers over the coming months, before financial difficulties turn into a full-blown crisis.
Banks move to head off repossessions

A massive increase in gas and electricity bills for all of Britain's 24 million homes is to be announced by all the major energy companies in the next few weeks. The country's energy giants are preparing to increase fuel bills by 15 per cent. This follows the decision by Npower, the fourth largest supplier, to raise prices by as much as 27 per cent on certain tariffs last week.
Every UK home to face 15pc energy price rise

Flight to precious metal comes as mines yield less.
Flight to gold as investors lose faith in money

Oil hit $100 a barrel last week, but scandal and corruption still stalk the industry.
China could be winner in Alaska oil war

Officially 2008 is the Chinese year of the rat, but if its booming economy is to avoid being mired in a global downturn, the country will have to pull a different animal out of its hat.
China: Can the rabbit bound free of the forces of destruction?

The year has got off to a shaky start, so we went to a panel of City experts for their tips on how to beat the market.
25 ways to make a profit in 2008

Monday

One of the most powerful property investments groups in Europe, the German open-ended property funds, is preparing to re-enter the London commercial property market with annual spending estimated to be over £1bn.
German funds poised to buy City offices again

As we enter 2008, the countdown is well under way for August’s Olympic Games in China. Yet, months before the Olympic torch sparks into life in Beijing, China and its fellow Asian nations have already raced into a position of global leadership. This year, emerging-market nations, led by Asia, will overtake the rich countries of the developed world to become the most important collective engine for global growth.
Sting in the tail of roaring Asian dragons

J Sainsbury, Britain’s third-biggest supermarket chain, is understood to have missed internal sales and profit targets in the crucial run-up to Christmas.
Sainsbury’s misses targets in furious battle on high street

Advisers to Courts, the failed furniture retailer, have collected more than £35m in fees since the company collapsed into administration in November 2004 - sparking outrage among creditors and former staff.
Courts advisers net £35m in fees

Kyoto - 07 Jan 2008 06:27 - 7 of 37

NIKKEIAUSTRALIASHANGHAIHANG SENG
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Greystone - 07 Jan 2008 06:31 - 8 of 37

Good morning traders!

In Asia today, the Nikkei closed down 190.86 points at 14,500.55, while the Hang
Seng reached the midpoint 743.23 points lower at 26,776.46.

New York's main oil contract, light sweet crude for delivery in February, was 71
cents lower at $97.20 a barrel.

Happy trading!

G.

Kyoto - 07 Jan 2008 06:48 - 10 of 37

TFN UK calendar and forecasts for today

Kyoto - 07 Jan 2008 07:39 - 15 of 37

Thomson Financial UK at a glance share guide

Kyoto - 07 Jan 2008 07:45 - 17 of 37

Smith & Nephew (SN.) has been dragged into an SFO investigation The Times reports that WH Smiths (SMWH) is posted to request permission to buy back 15% of its shares.

Pearson (PSON) and ITV have been downgraded to underweight by Lehman Brothers.

Autonomy (AU.) have licensed their software to Adobe and Lloyds TSB. Global Radio have confirmed an approach to GCAP Media which was rejected (GCAP).

Amongst the small caps Solar Intergrated Technologies (SIT) has won four contracts but there are no financial details. PV Crystalox Solar (PVCS) say they are trading ahead of expectations.

FTSE is currently being called down 10 at 6,338 by CMC. Dow futures are currently being called up 55 at 12,853 after the 256 point fall on Friday.

Kyoto - 07 Jan 2008 07:54 - 18 of 37

The Monday Press Roundup

Greystone - 07 Jan 2008 12:29 - 36 of 37

Midday Market Roundup

Greystone - 07 Jan 2008 16:58 - 37 of 37

End-of-day Market Roundup
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