Crocodile
- 21 Apr 2004 21:48
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US stock markets closed higher after a
shaky start higher following some upbeat earnings results.
Allied Domecq posted a six percent rise in
half-year profits at 266 million and added it was on track to deliver annual
earnings growth in line with market expectations.
Abbey National said that the profit outlook
at its retail banking business was moderately weaker than expected as Q1 profit
at 216.5 million missed forecasts.
McCarthy & Stone retirement home builder
posted an 11-percent rise 44.1 million pounds half-year profit at the top end of
expectations, and said economic conditions remained good for business.
George Wimpey said trading in the U.S. and
UK remained encouraging during the last few weeks, with the market in the United
States remaining particularly strong. They have seen no signs of the market
slowing down so far.
BAA to invest over 8 bln in London airports
WH Smith made an 84 million pound loss
against a 27 million pound gain a year earlier. It said it would allow Permira
to look at its books before deciding whether to go ahead with a 940 million
pounds bid but there was no certainty that a firm offer would follow.
Marconi Corp posted fourth-quarter sales at
378 million pounds towards the bottom end of forecasts but reiterated that
market conditions were stabilising.
Persimmon now the largest biggest
housebuilder said that demand for homes across all ranges had been encouraging
since the start of the year. Current revenues are up more than 35 percent from a
year fuelled by good demand & higher prices.
Brown & Jackson sales rose 2% in
Q1following an excellent performance at its refurbished Instore stores and said
said it was cautiously optimistic of the year ahead . The owner of the
Poundstretcher chain posted an operating loss of 0.4 million pounds for the year
in line with market expectations. It also announced a rights issue to raise
around 25.4 million pounds for the accelerated conversion of its Poundstretcher
stores and a new distribution centre.
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Calendar:
United Kingdom |
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United States
(GMT) |
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Europe & World (GMT) |
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Brown & Jackson (F), Hitachi Capital (F), Allied
Domecq PLC (I),
McCarthy & Stone (I), Smith WH (I),
Corus (AGM), George Wimpey (AGM),
Abbey National
(Trading),
Schroeders (AGM), Reuters (AGM)08:30 March prov M4/M4 lending
08:30 March capital issuance
08:30 BBA March net sterling lending
08:30 CML March mortgage lending
08:30 March PSNCR
08:30 BSA March mortgage lending
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American Express, AT&T, Caterpillar, Amgen,
BellSouth,Edison,
Freddie Mac, Kellogg, Kimberly-Clark, MBNA,
Merck , Microsoft,
Office Depot,
Reebok International Limited, Sara Lee, Viacom
13:30 Initial Claims 04/17 - 335K |
SAP AG, Comdirect Bank AG
Lafarge SA, Sanofi-Synthelabo |
Crocodile
- 21 Apr 2004 22:49
- 2 of 24
Crocodile
- 22 Apr 2004 06:55
- 3 of 24
Morning all, If you read the thread please say hello :-)
David.
ThePlayboy
- 22 Apr 2004 07:01
- 4 of 24
hello
ThePlayboy
- 22 Apr 2004 07:01
- 5 of 24
Updated 4/21 for Thursday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 4/22
UP Above 10,340
DN Below 10,285
Consolidating
Dow hugs flat line, forms clear consolidation at lows.
From prior commentary, "...The Daily Chart shows that the Dow has formed a lower high beneath 10,500, which implies a likely continuation in the medium term...However, we could see a continuation pattern form at the lows before such a move is seen..."
The Dow sold off early in the session, but immediately traded higher off the highs, forming the framework for a clear consolidation at the lows, seen in the 15 and 60 Minute Charts.
Currently, the consolidation has formed in the sharp of an ascending triangle consolidation, which is typically a bearish pattern. Given that the consolidation has formed at the lows, we are likely to see a big downside break tomorrow. Watch 10,285 down tomorrow, as a break here could unleash an even greater decline in the medium term.
The Dow is still vulnerable to sideways movement, however. We could see the index push sideways within the consolidation boundaries before a true break occurs. Also, an upside break through the top of the range could change the Dow's momentum. Watch 10,340, as an upside break here could spark a sharp recovery tomorrow.
Short Term Dow
Short term, the Dow held beneath a clear short term resistance level throughout the session at 10,340, seen in the 5 Minute Chart. Watch this level closely tomorrow morning, as the Dow will likely use it as a fulcrum for direction.
Medium Term Dow
In the medium term, we entered the Dow Short at 10,262, but stopped out with a 20 point loss. No other trades were triggered and we are now out of the market. We will watch 10,285 down, and 10,340 up tomorrow; using 20 point stops.
NASDAQ & S&P
The NASDAQ and S&P each reversed off the session lows today, forming a tightly-wound, ascending ranges. Look for a slow uptrend to resume tomorrow, unless the range is broken to the downside. *
Summary
The Dow traded sideways within a tight range throughout the day today, forming a clear, upward-sloping consolidation. Look for continued consolidation development until one of the boundaries is solidly crossed. A break either way should provide a good movement
ThePlayboy
- 22 Apr 2004 07:01
- 6 of 24
thu ftse pp
r2 4587
r1 4564
pp 4545
s1 4521
s2 4504
Ftse closed below s1 on wed and lost 1pt in the auction! Uptrend consolidation off the low bullish, clear brk above res at 4550 tom for potential upside if the dow can close above 10320 tonight imho!
Druid2
- 22 Apr 2004 07:50
- 7 of 24
Hello and thanks to Croc and TP for your inputs here.
zarif
- 22 Apr 2004 07:57
- 8 of 24
morning to all.
dull grey and rainy in ellesmereport
rgds
zarif
jimleaper
- 22 Apr 2004 08:01
- 9 of 24
Hello, Fine & Bright & Sunny in the East Mids Thanks
Fundamentalist
- 22 Apr 2004 08:59
- 11 of 24
mornin all,
grey and drizzly in manchester, tx as ever for the thread croc
Melnibone
- 22 Apr 2004 09:24
- 12 of 24
Morning all,
Still sticking with my Monday view that we're near the highs
and looking to short pops rather than buy dips on the Indices.
If I get caught in a rapid move I would rather be short than long.
Will still scalp long any Blue Chips that get hammered down, but
only on a swift in and out basis for small profits.
I don't want any LTBH/Swing holdings at these levels.
Melnibone.
jj50
- 22 Apr 2004 09:34
- 13 of 24
Morning all,
Sunny here in Edinburgh but better viewed from inside as cold and windy as usual. Read the thread every day - thank you croc.
Madison
- 22 Apr 2004 10:15
- 14 of 24
Hi, Warm sun and beautiful blue sky in Cornwall. Hope my screen turns that colour!
Read this interesting thread most days to see what I can learn. Thanks to all the regular contributors. I keep meaning to study Mel's noughts and crosses game, but never seem to get round to it :)
Madison
fbrj
- 22 Apr 2004 10:24
- 15 of 24
I'm fairly new to MoneyAm site. This thread is usually one of the first I look at. Thanks for your efforts - much appreciated!
Melnibone
- 22 Apr 2004 10:27
- 16 of 24
http://www.marcrivalland.com/point.asp
Try this for a little light reading, Madison. :-)
Melnibone.
Madison
- 22 Apr 2004 13:00
- 18 of 24
Thanks Melnibone.
Madison
Changer
- 22 Apr 2004 13:06
- 19 of 24
hello
zarif
- 22 Apr 2004 15:10
- 21 of 24
lw hello to you as havenot spoken with u for a while i hope trading is good.Dow is ranging atm and until it makes its mind either way best to watch.
Cable gave a good short last two days and got out of it today.
Changer -happy for u to join crocs lair and our looney bin!!!I am sure u will find everone here helpful.
Remember: ADVICE IS LIKE CASTOR OIL -VERY EASY TO GIVE BUT VERY HARD TO TAKE!!!!.
RGDS
ZARIF
Melnibone
- 22 Apr 2004 15:50
- 22 of 24
FTSE has now nearly closed the gap down from Tuesday's close.
Bears will have taken their windfall profits.
Trapped Bulls will breathe a sigh of relief.
Where we go now depends on whether the Dow can break 10340
and the S@P 1128. IMHO.
Melnibone.
zarif
- 22 Apr 2004 17:16
- 24 of 24
LW:
Well done and am sure u shall learn a lot from croc. I myself am going to get some time allocated and book on crocs course. Everyone that i have met who have been on the course do swear by it and recommend it.
rgds
zarif