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Traders Thread Tuesday 29th June 2004 (CROC)     

Martini - 28 Jun 2004 21:27

Martini - 28 Jun 2004 21:27 - 2 of 29

Leading shares in the UK closed higher Monday after the early handover of power to the Iraqi interim government lent a bullish air to trading on Wall Street this afternoon, dealers said.

The FTSE 100 closed up 24.6 points at 4518.7, after rallying to a near two month high of 4,545.1 earlier in the session.

All the wider indices were higher, while volumes were light; just 2.38 bln shares changed hands by mid afternoon.

Equity markets were further buoyed by another fall in the price of crude oil, on news that Iraq production has increased and Norwegian oilfields returned to normal as the government intervened to end an eight-day strike.

However --- Why is there always a however when it comes to the Markets?

In the USA Stocks backed off their highs heading into Monday's late session following an initial push that was triggered by the earlier-than-expected handover of authority in Iraq.

A positive reading in U.S. consumer spending also helped the morning charge, but with under an hour to go before the onset of evening action, major market indexes reversed their course.

The Nasdaq Composite was down 5.65 points at 2,019.82 while the Dow Jones Industrial Average had slipped 14.75 points to 10,357.

Good hunting
Howevering of Oxon

daves dazzlers - 28 Jun 2004 21:42 - 3 of 29

lets hope tuesday is as good as monday. happy myself to opportunities taken lets see what tuesday brings , good luck.

Mega Bucks - 29 Jun 2004 05:42 - 4 of 29

morning campers,

zarif - 29 Jun 2004 06:40 - 5 of 29

morning all.

Big Al - 29 Jun 2004 07:25 - 6 of 29

Morning boys and girls!

jj50 - 29 Jun 2004 07:42 - 7 of 29

Morning ladies and gents!

Mega Bucks - 29 Jun 2004 08:09 - 8 of 29

long ARM 120

Fundamentalist - 29 Jun 2004 08:09 - 9 of 29

morning everybody

Douggie - 29 Jun 2004 09:19 - 10 of 29

mornin all

Big Al - 29 Jun 2004 09:31 - 11 of 29

Lobbed AMT +13 - not bad for 24 hours! ;-)

Went long FIB 124p

Big Al - 29 Jun 2004 10:39 - 12 of 29

Took the cash from JKX at 120p - and lots of it!!! ;-)))))

Big Al - 29 Jun 2004 11:09 - 13 of 29

Out of RDW +6.5

zarif - 29 Jun 2004 11:24 - 14 of 29

Tom Hougaards thoughts for todays market
rgds
zarif
Good morning,



I will readily admit that I was surprised in a major way by the weakness yesterday evening. I dont know what caused the market to reverse like it. It doesnt really matter. Maybe there is liquidation of a portfolio or maybe it is the rebalancing of the Russell 2000 index. One thing I know is that support is 1132 and this will have to hold otherwise I will lean back on the short side.



The Fed meeting is tomorrow evening and maybe the selling was related to this. Either way we should know today if there is any more selling coming because if it is liquidation the seller will have to get the selling done over the next 12 trading hours. The US futures dipped down to 1127 overnight so we could see more downside today. Usually someone knows something and they will sell ahead to hedge themselves or front run the market. A lot depends on how weak Europe will open up in 20 minutes time.



I am cautiously optimistic that we will see higher prices as long as we can hold this area around 1132. For today I do have a dip near the open and a turn later on today. I suspect volume will dry up going in the FOMC meeting tomorrow, but I also know for a fact that institutions will do anything to keep prices afloat ahead of the 30th June mark-to-market cut off date. As the funds have to be fully invested I will bet that they will hold the market higher. As I stated over the weekend the market favours dip buying this week.



The good news in my mind is that the quarter-end is nearly over and I suspect we will see a 2-3 week straight line move beginning in early July.



Good luck today



Tom

Velocity - 29 Jun 2004 12:31 - 15 of 29

25 is long term support - this looks like a nice low risk higher low to me...

graph.php?size=Medium&startDate=23%2F06%

seawallwalker - 29 Jun 2004 12:54 - 16 of 29

Big Al.

Thanks for your thoughts on what you are trading.

Took up JKX in time to make a few quid, so I owe your a drink :)

Big Al - 29 Jun 2004 13:13 - 17 of 29

sw - I've never refused one yet!! ;-))

Must admit my RR. and AQP long looking a bit sad, so it's not all good news. And I lobbed AMT far too early this morning. Muppet!

daves dazzlers - 29 Jun 2004 13:25 - 18 of 29

is this where the amateur trade in the investors room. as i have never bought/sold, shares in the same day,same month yes.
as this side,,investors get`s 10% of the hits compared to traders.

daves dazzlers - 29 Jun 2004 13:27 - 19 of 29

any recent buyers of eidos/itv ,,or just me .

Big Al - 29 Jun 2004 13:28 - 20 of 29

Traders just talk more crap, dave!

;-))

daves dazzlers - 29 Jun 2004 13:30 - 21 of 29

???

seawallwalker - 29 Jun 2004 13:31 - 22 of 29

Dave, keep and eye on wlw, it looks like it is begining to drift after all that effort!!

Cheers Big Al.

seawallwalker - 29 Jun 2004 13:34 - 23 of 29

sof could make a jump tomorrow. Always underplayed and undervalued, if they have made any advances in sorting the Kwiksave portion, then they may just head back to 170p.

In at 146p

daves dazzlers - 29 Jun 2004 14:10 - 24 of 29

cheers seawall, i`ve noticed it drifting around the 45/46 seems like the winds droped. still under valued by miles i dont no , and the best 6 months to come.

daves dazzlers - 29 Jun 2004 14:19 - 25 of 29

talking of sof,,i was in a kwik save store this morning {denbigh},god it was dead.1 on the till ,7 in line waiting. this store was the in a large unit ,with about 7 other small outlets. offee/pet shop/hairdressers/cafe/bread shop/green grocer/card store/fancy goods.are all these other format stores,anything to do with sof,,rent wise.it was very dated .

Velocity - 29 Jun 2004 14:39 - 26 of 29

long ukx just under 4500

seawallwalker - 29 Jun 2004 15:48 - 27 of 29

Dave. Do you spend all day doing market research for your shares or just shopping?

LOL

I expect them to jump tomorrow, could be wrong, but it is only for an overnight trade anyway. If it fails, I will wait for the divi and then get out when I show a profit from then either the day before or as soon as, after.

Kwiksave has been a thorn in Somerfields side since they bought the chain. The City want them to finally get some results from the restructuring. If they have, it will show in the results and there may be a sellers premiuim more or less immediately.

Same gamble for me as Woolworths, they either get it right and I win or the mark time. In this case if the share price heads towards 1.20p again, then they are vulnerable for a takeover. They had an offer last year for that which they quite rightly turned down. This company is worth far more than that!

daves dazzlers - 29 Jun 2004 16:40 - 28 of 29

both,,,no i went to see a mate who own`s an antique shop in denbigh.kwik saves around the corner.i remember the days when these where near 5.00,the old head office of kwik save,is only about 1 mile from where i live.now an insurance phone farm i belive{axa}.good luck i think you will be allright,do you remember the old rummor big food /kwik save,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,never came off,still i done well.dave

Big Al - 29 Jun 2004 16:50 - 29 of 29

Bit of a mixed bag day today with some good ones and some annoying little ones. Overall, probably slightly minus when I tot up the commission, so no big deal.

Still long AQP (hmm), FIB (OK), MRS (well up despite pullback), ROK (Another hmm), and still short RR. (wee hmm) and WHT (well in).

A couple of cockups, namely lobbing AMT at the first shake, although it closed where I dumped them and pondering FWY long for too long before the RNS.

Have a good evening all.

Al
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