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Traders Thread - Wednesday 14th January (MKS)     

Crocodile - 13 Jan 2004 21:15

Premarket Futures FTSE -3 DAX -6 DOW +9 S&P +0.2 Nasdaq +3.5

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day - UK News

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FTSE 250

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FTSE Small Cap

draw?period=1D&class=class+com.deltastre

FTSE TechMark

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  Futures US news

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Nasdaq 100

[Chart]

S&P 500

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S&P Futures

DAX / CAC    Euro News

Nikkei +13   Hang Seng -52 Asia News

[Chart]

10 Year Bond

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London Traders Day 29th January -   Traders Room    Investors Room
News: Sorry Your browser is not java capable  

U.S. stocks fell back toward the close amid some jitters ahead of earnings. The Dow finished -58, S&P -6 and the Nasdaq -15

Marks and Spencer said its director of clothing is to quit after revealing a bigger than expected 3.3 percent fall in sales although profit margins had been protected and were on target. Non-food like-for-like sales including homewares and gifts fell 4.5 percent compared to analysts worst fears of a 2.5 percent drop. Food sales were up 0.7 percent on a like-for-like basis, not as strong as analysts had hoped given buoyant results elsewhere in the sector.

Dixons beat forecasts with Christmas sales data like-for-like sales rising five percent in the eight weeks to January 10. This included a four percent rise in the UK.on Wednesday as it tuned into strong demand for flat screen TVs and computers, and forecast "satisfactory" year results. The firm says it has no plans to close stores.

JJB Sports said it planned to return up to 40 million pounds in a tender offer as it reported a fall in turnover over the important Christmas trading period amid tough competition from discount retailer and supermarkets

Wolseley plumbing and heating equipment, said trading profit for the five months ended December 31 was up 26.5 percent in constant currency with "the UK and U.S. distribution businesses having performed strongly,

Mothercare said its sales rose 6.5 percent in the eight weeks to January 11, putting it on course to beat market profit forecasts for the year.

Lastminute.com said trading in its first quarter was strong. "Trading in the first quarter, the seasonally weakest quarter, was strong being ahead of expectations, especially in the area of flights

Matalan reported a five percent slump in Christmas sales and said stock sales had been disappointing and would lead to more clearance. Analysts had forecast a four to seven percent slump in like-for-like sales.

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT

DTZ Holdings (I), JD Sports (TS), London Scot Bank (F), Northgate (I),

Dixons H1 & Christmas Trading,  Marks & Spencer Trading Update

Matalan Trading StatementWolseley Trading Update, JJB Sports Trading Update Mothercare Trading Update. Punch Taverns (AGM),

09.30 Dec Unemployment 5k exp. 09.30 Nov Average Earnings 3m y/y 3.7% exp. 11.00 CBI Property Trend

US: Andersen Group (Q3), Apple Computer (Q1), Delta Airline (Q4), Yahoo (Q4)

13.30 Nov Trade Balance -$42.0bn exp. 13.30 Dec PPI m/m 0.2% exp. 19.00 Fed Beige Book

 

EADS (Conference) Finnair (Traffic)

07.00 Dec Final German CPI y/y

Ex Dividend: Abbey ( 0.1), Associated British Foods (9.85), Avon Rubber (4.5), Berkeley Group (5.8), Burtonwood Breweries (3.2), Dewhurst (2.92), Eldridge Pope (5.34), First Group (3.75), Northern Foods (3.3), Paragon Group (3.7), Robert Wiseman (2), ScS Upholstery (6), WAGN (4)

Croc@SnappyTrader.com  WWW.SnappyTrader.com

Bloomberg TV

Futures

Pivot Calc

HTML Editor

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Melnibone - 14 Jan 2004 09:50 - 10 of 19

draw?startDate=14%2F07%2F03&period=6M&ep

I see that the Head and Shoulders seems to be playing out on AZN.
Now down to 2527.

After identifying this on GSK, why on earth didn't I wait for
it to play out! Doh!

The more we learn, the cockier we get and think we can outsmart
the market. Still, shows we are still human I suppose.

Melnibone.

little woman - 14 Jan 2004 10:00 - 11 of 19

Morning all,

I'm not trading today - got in rather late this morning (0330), and have lots to sort out for this eve. meeting and I'm really shattered!

Crocodile - 14 Jan 2004 10:28 - 12 of 19

14/01 10:01 ANALYST RATINGS CHANGES AS OF 1000 GMT

BROKER & NEW RATING (FROM) TARGET (PREVIOUS)
COMPANY
=========================================================
Citigroup Smith Barney:
Adecco Hold (Buy)
Telenor NOK48 (NOK34)
=========================================================
CSFB:
Logitech Outperform CHF70
Novartis Buy (Neutral) CHF65 (CHF56)
Altana Underperform (Neutral)
Croda Outperform (Neutral)
British Vita Outperform (Neutral)
Clariant Outperform (Neutral)
Lonza Underperform (Neutral) CHF64
Yule Catto Underperform (Neutral)
=========================================================
Goldman Sachs:
Tandberg In-Line (Outperform)

=========================================================
JP Morgan:
SAP Underweight (Neutral)
=========================================================
Landesbank Rheinland-Pfalz:
Degussa Marketperform (Underperform)
=========================================================
Lehman Bros:
Alliance & Leic Underweight (Equalweight) 840P (913P)
Societe Generale Overweight (Equalweight) EUR82 (EUR67)
Credit Suisse Underweight (Equalweight) CHF43
ABN Amro Equalweight (Overweight)
Monte dei Paschi Overweight (Equalweight) EUR2.9(EUR2.1)
Altana EUR49 (EUR56)
Merck KGaA EUR33 (EUR29)
=========================================================
Morgan Stanley:
Autoliv Equalweight (Overweight)
HVB Group Equalweight
=========================================================
Numis:
Matalan Sell 130P (140P)
Mothercare 350P (400P)
=========================================================
UBS:
Norske Skog Buy (Neutral) NOK155 (NOK130)
Autonomy Neutral (Buy) 305P (290P)
Surfcontrol Neutral (Buy) 700P (950P)
Suess Microtec Neutral (Buy)
UPM Kymmene EUR17.5 (EUR18.5)
Stora Enso EUR12.5 (EUR13)
M-real EUR7.2 (EUR7.5)
Julius Baer CHF460 (CHF420)
RAS EUR15 (EUR13.5)
=========================================================

Melnibone - 14 Jan 2004 10:50 - 13 of 19

chart.asp?symb=UK%3Ashel&compidx=aaaaa%

Not sure if this will work, trying the 'Insert Image Link' again.

If it comes out ok, it will show how over sold SHEL is.

Before anyone accuses me of ramping, as seems to be happening
to other posters, you can't ramp a big blue chip.
Unless you are a broker, of course. ;-)

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 14 Jan 2004 10:52 - 14 of 19

http://chart.bigcharts.com/bc3/intchart/frames/chart.asp?symb=UK%3Ashel&compidx=aaaaa%

That didn't work, let's try again with the insert website link.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 14 Jan 2004 10:58 - 15 of 19

That didn't work either. I give up.

What I was looking at was:

1) Chart at bottom of trading range.
2) Fast stochastic at the bottom at Zero.
3) Williams%r at the bottom at - 100
4) RSI barely above 20.

Bring up the indicators on your own chart site to check out
what I'm saying.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 14 Jan 2004 11:04 - 16 of 19

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/intchart/frames/frames.asp?symb=&time=&freq=

One last try at an insert link. I know this works because other
folk do it. It's me that's doing something wrong.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 14 Jan 2004 11:06 - 17 of 19

Eureka! Success at last.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 14 Jan 2004 11:10 - 18 of 19

Always do what you're comfortable with Testex.

Other peoples views are just that, views, nothing more, nothing less.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 14 Jan 2004 18:54 - 19 of 19

draw?movingAverageString=%2C60%2C200&mod

Although today finished up, it was in fact a down day.

Look at the bars and you will see that we made a lower high and a lower
low.
3 of the last 4 bars have now been down days. What I'm looking for
now is a day with a higher low and a higher high. If I get it and
the situation 'smells' right, then I will consider an index long.

Depends how messy things get and what sentiment feels like.

Melnibone.
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