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IS PARTY GAMING A GOOD BET (PRTY)     

moneyplus - 27 Jun 2005 18:57

This one hit the markets running today. Despite negative publicity it was well supported so I jumped in for a small holding--anyone else joining in?? I am hoping for a good run up before the shorters get going.

syd443s - 29 Jun 2005 09:54 - 10 of 346

It seems bizarre but one of the biggest companies on the European side of the Atlantic is banned from operating on the American side.

Partygaming, the internet poker company that floated on the London Stock Exchange this week, is believed to have a worth greater than many blue chip companies - but US law-makers are adamant that it breaks the law.

Online gambling is banned in America, so Partygaming which was set up by an American is based in Gibraltar with no assets in the US.

Its prospectus concedes: "In many countries, including the United States, the group's activities are considered to be illegal by the relevant authorities."

But, it adds the crucial clause: "Partygaming and its directors rely on the apparent unwillingness or inability of regulators generally to bring actions against businesses with no physical presence in the country concerned".

In other words, even if Partygaming were illegal, what could the authorities do?

Compulsive pleasure

Not that Americans are exactly shunning the website.

It's estimated that nine out of every 10 of its dollars last year came from the US.

At $600m those revenues are hefty and generated a profit of $350m in 2004.

When the dotcom bubble burst five years ago, not everything was destroyed - online gambling quietly thrived.

And then noisily thrived.

Partygaming was founded by Californian lawyer Ruth Parasol, who is now based in Gibraltar.

She teamed up with an Indian software engineer who designed a programme that would allow thousands of people anywhere in the world to simultaneously take part in internet poker games.

Their timing was impeccable.

Partypoker exploded as a game in 2002, driven partly by television coverage of big money contests with cameras under a glass table so viewers could see the players' cards.

It was a compulsive, vicarious pleasure that hooked multitudes of prospective customers.

Organised crime

Every estimate now predicts that growth will be phenomenal, perhaps from an annual billion dollars spent globally today to 10 times that amount in five years.


American poker players go online regardless of US law

Much will turn on the law in its biggest market, the United States.

The Interstate Wireline Act was passed nearly 50 years ago in an effort to stop organised crime rigging gambling.

Under it, "wire communication" of bets was outlawed on "sporting events or contests".

Legal disagreement

But poker clearly isn't a "sporting event" so is it a "contest" as defined by the law?

American lawyers are divided.

In 2001, a judge in Louisiana ruled that the act "does not prohibit internet gambling on a game of chance", a ruling that was sustained by a higher court.

Other states take a different view.

The Attorney General of New York, Eliot Spitzer, pursued finance houses that allowed their services be used to pay for online gambling - so firms based in New York have now blocked the use of their credit cards for online gambling.

Laughing all the way to the bank

So state law varies while the Justice Department maintains that federal law is unambiguously opposed to on-line gambling.

On top of that, the World Trade Organisation may have something to say about it.

In the past it has ruled that American attempts to criminalise some companies offering online gambling from the Caribbean broke rules of fair trade.

And some American companies based in Las Vegas may now be worried that they cannot get involved in what is a very lucrative expansion of their business from real casinos to virtual ones.

They have assets in the US which the authorities could come after if they break American law, so they are tied to real bricks-and-mortar casinos on terra firma rather than imaginary ones in cyberspace.

Which leaves the owners of Partygaming laughing all the way to the bank - whatever American legislators might think.

moneyplus - 29 Jun 2005 15:26 - 11 of 346

also party has a 53% share of the market-mainly American customers--it's rivals have a share no bigger than 6% each. I'm happy to sit and wait with my small holding as I expect their first set of results to sparkle.

ateeq180 - 29 Jun 2005 15:42 - 12 of 346

ON THE OTHER BOARD,THATS III SOME ONE SAYS THE ACTUAL BUSINESS STARTS TOMORROW.

ateeq180 - 30 Jun 2005 15:12 - 13 of 346

NO ONE SEEMS TO DISCUSS ABOUT THIS SHARE,IS IT BECAUSE NO ONE IS TRADING THIS OR WATCHING FROM THE SIDE LINES.

Fundamentalist - 30 Jun 2005 15:23 - 14 of 346

ateeq

im watching from the sidelines.

In an earlier post i posted my reasons why in the long term i saw it as too high risk and probably a good short but could see it rising in the short term - happy to sit on the sidelines and let the price settle down before getting involved

ateeq180 - 30 Jun 2005 15:30 - 15 of 346

How does some one know where the price will settle ,and the amount of interest shown so far in terms of volume dont you think this might turn out to be another google,not in a big way but couple of years time.

Fundamentalist - 30 Jun 2005 15:36 - 16 of 346

Ateeq

the few others i have spoken to on the traders room board agree with me that they think that it is fundamentally a short but then they like me have thought that at several prices along GOOGs upward rise, hence none of us have entered the market. I think there is every chance that the market could chase this up over the coming months, though long term I still believe the US govt effect will have the largest bearing on the long term share price.

In comparison to GOOG i think the two big differences are the possible illegality in the US and the lower barriers of entry to potential competitors

ateeq180 - 30 Jun 2005 15:41 - 17 of 346

Thanks for the info,its appreciated.The reason i was asking these questions were after reading what others have said on other boards,at the end of the day we make our own decisions,and should accept the decisions we make, good or bad.I am in this but for the short term,lets hope it stays that way,but i am sure profit takers must be lining up at some stage.

ateeq180 - 30 Jun 2005 15:41 - 18 of 346

Thanks for the info,its appreciated.The reason i was asking these questions were after reading what others have said on other boards,at the end of the day we make our own decisions,and should accept the decisions we make, good or bad.I am in this but for the short term,lets hope it stays that way,but i am sure profit takers must be lining up at some stage.

moneyplus - 30 Jun 2005 16:47 - 19 of 346

The funds don't like the risks that come with this share but if it does go into the footsie 100 the trackers are forced to buy-so it may not be wise to short it yet a while.

neil26792 - 01 Jul 2005 20:11 - 20 of 346

as a new investor i was to say the least a little alarmed to see the rapid drop of party gaining thi afternoon. has anyone got any ideas why this should happen?

thanks

neil26792 - 01 Jul 2005 20:12 - 21 of 346

sorry,i was so alarmed i forgot how to spell

moneyplus - 03 Jul 2005 18:08 - 22 of 346

Friday close--short term profit taking. I expect a steady rise next week towards footsie 100 status. IMO

tilvis - 04 Jul 2005 15:53 - 23 of 346

thanks for the reply, i hope you are right

moneyplus - 05 Jul 2005 11:49 - 24 of 346

sliding back down the greasy pole I'm afraid but I intend to hold for the results in September.

snakey - 05 Jul 2005 22:57 - 25 of 346

my personal opinion is that it will fall flat on it`s arse in 14-18 months time. wouldn`t touch it with your money Neil, let alone mine !!

snakey - 05 Jul 2005 22:57 - 26 of 346

my personal opinion is that it will fall flat on it`s arse in 14-18 months time. wouldn`t touch it with your money Neil, let alone mine !!

ateeq180 - 12 Jul 2005 16:47 - 27 of 346

SOME THING IS DEFINATELY BREWING HERE,AS THERE HAS BEEN A TRADE OF 13 MILLION AS A BUY AT 16.40,ALSO UP 5P FOR THE DAY,AND ABOUT 90 MILLION SHARES CHANGED HANDS,ANY ONE WITH A SHORT TERM VIEW.THANKS.

ateeq180 - 12 Jul 2005 16:50 - 28 of 346

MY APOLOGIES JUST CHECKED AND ITS CHANGED TO A SELL,STRANGE AS I SAW THAT AS A BUY FIRST AND AFTER TYPING THE MESSAGE IT HAS CHANGED TO A SELL,PLEASE ACCEPT MY APOLOGIES,BUT SOME COMMENTS ABOUT TODAYS TRADES WOULD BE NICE.

stockbunny - 06 Sep 2005 13:14 - 29 of 346

Big plunge today, big risk going in but it's a poker playing company
so I've decided to take a 'bet' on partygaming on the back of the 1/3
share price drop.

Anyone else decided to give it a go?
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