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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

Minder - 13 Jul 2006 22:07 - 1018 of 1497

No, just a shareholder. You obviously don't either, LOL.
I think we can see what they are establishing in revenue streams, Bard extension, Multiscan on show at worldwide trade fairs, Manufacturing and Supply Agreement agreed with Medtronic for Urodynamic equipment.
Sales last year were 1.7m with just 300 thousand in exports. Now I don't think these results will show much more, but with over 400 enquiries at Atlanta and the Bard extension, Multiscan obviously being heavily marketed and the very sizeable distribution in place for the Medtronic equipment, altogether with PSAwatch launch later this year will mean current turnover will be growing very nicely.

banjomick - 13 Jul 2006 23:14 - 1019 of 1497

I agree in part about MDW's news flow and how it often appears frustrating to shareholders.

MDW was and is a small company which had big ideas and goals from the start that are soon to be realised,imo.

When there has been news they have announced it but maybe not in the way shareholders wanting to see sudden rises would of liked.The lack of news at the moment must be down to MDT as they are the bigger player in all this and are obviously pulling all the strings as far as news flow is concerned.

The very fact that MDW have been in talks on various subjects with MDT over the last year or possibly much longer is a very positive sign and I would hope to get more information about this in the Final Results.

Then there is PSAwatch which is so close to being marketed and will be the jewel in the crown for all concerned.So much good news to come and with the way the markets are heading at the moment,a solid place to put your money.

All in my opinion of course.



Minder - 14 Jul 2006 10:02 - 1020 of 1497

I totally agree with all you have said there Banjo!
MDW has made tangible progress, but the really exciting things have just started. Multiscan is now being marketed by both the Company and Medtronic at recent trade fairs, it sounds as though it has many advantages over the competition and with the US market open to us for the first time, we should see a big jump in sales there. The Urodynamic equipment and PSAwatch are still to come, but these are only weeks/months away and the market has not woken up to this fact. I can understand long-term shareholders annoyance, they expected everything at least a year ago, maybe that is why giving out projections has only been detrimental and the Company has stopped doing it.
I am happy to add at these levels, mainly because when the News is finally released you won't be able to buy at these levels. This Company will transform itself over the medium term and that is what I am investing for, there may be opportunities to buy lower, but a few at a time will mean a fair average price over the period and in time the SP will be far higher.IMO.
Good Luck all.

banjomick - 24 Jul 2006 16:12 - 1021 of 1497

Mediwatch website updated:

PRODUCTS
Urodynamics
Mediwatch has begun manufacturing and started delivery of urodynamic equipment to Medtronic, as agreed in the Manufacturing and Supply Agreement announced 10th May 2006. The first order of 20 G3 units has been dispatched.

Multiscan
The new Multiscan is now being shipped to customers in the UK and abroad. A total of 24 have been sold so far since the end of March.

PSAwatch
UK Clinical trials on PSAwatch, our point-of-care PSA assay for whole blood (capillary and venous) or plasma have been completed. Approvals for CE & FDA are awaited



APPOINTMENTS
Jon Moore, VP of Operations
Jon Moore joined the Company on 1 June 2006 as VP of Operations. Jons appointment has been chosen to ensure a smooth transition of manufacturing of Medtronics urodynamic products to Mediwatch.

Paul Edwards PhD, Product Development Manager Biochemical Division
Dr Paul Edwards PhD, joined our Biochemical Division as Product Development Manager to help facilitate development of future products and coordinate manufacturing.

ptholden - 24 Jul 2006 16:20 - 1022 of 1497

Banjo

Do you have any idea what the net cost of each of these product?

Cheers

pth

banjomick - 24 Jul 2006 16:26 - 1023 of 1497

pth,
'Do you have any idea what the net cost of each of these product?'-nop,sorry.

But i'm sure someone could put a price on them.

One of the main updates on the website is the Medronic Urodynamic deal and MDW now delivering which opens up a vast market.

I've been out most of day so just catching up.

Minder - 24 Jul 2006 19:15 - 1024 of 1497

ptholden,
check out my post 1014 and cut and paste the links, especially this one,


http://grandex.ru/prices/firm65/


it is in Russian I believe, but scroll down and you will see the Duet Logic and Duet MultiP and the corresponding Euro prices, I have no idea how up to date the site is and /or whether that pricing is indicative of the rest of the world, but as you can see the list price is multiples of the present MDW scanners.
The other links are a few, of hundreds, referring to the Duet which is obviously sold worldwide by MDT.
As always DYOR.

banjomick - 25 Jul 2006 00:19 - 1025 of 1497

PRODUCTS
Urodynamics
Mediwatch has begun manufacturing and started delivery of urodynamic equipment to Medtronic, as agreed in the Manufacturing and Supply Agreement announced 10th May 2006. The first order of 20 G3 units has been dispatched.

This is the product data sheet from MDT relating to the G3(takes a while to load)

http://www.medcompare.com/productliterature/G3_Brochure_highres.pdf

banjomick - 25 Jul 2006 01:42 - 1026 of 1497

Medtronic G|3 offers a
sensible wireless option
The Medtronic G|3 builds
on the proven, superior
performance of Medtronic
urodynamic hardware by
offering a wireless slate option
for remote monitoring plus,
the new Sensic Navigation
Software that greatly simplifies
urodynamics. It makes
complete sense in todays
clinical settings that are
busier than ever.

ptholden - 15 Aug 2006 18:06 - 1027 of 1497

Emailed MDW CEO today.
Bemoaning the lack of information flow. The SP will continue to sink unless they release some sort of information, any information. Like the Results, which appear to be at least a month overdue. If they fall any further, I'm out and if they rise I'm out. My money has been tied up for far too long on what is beginning to appear a vehicle for the Directors to earn a salary with nil regard for shareholder value :-(

pth

banjomick - 15 Aug 2006 18:46 - 1028 of 1497

Evening pth,
I think the Final Results will be announced no later than end of September but could be anytime before that.They might be tied in with MDT's webcast on the 24th of this month,who knows!

Although frustrating at times i have no real problem with MDW's newsflow to investors and what news that has been announced,over the last 10 months or so,has been very positive.Obviously not positive enough for bringing in the hordes of investors though,well not yet anyway.................

Just my thoughts.

ptholden - 15 Aug 2006 19:13 - 1029 of 1497

Mick, you have the patience of a saint!! I'm afraid beyond a certain point I do not, nor does it appear do other PIs who have been slowly drip feeding sells into the market over a period of months since the last SP rise.

I am sure that MDW will eventually grow and prosper, but at this rate I will be even older than I am to witness the event. Quite frankly there is little point in hanging onto an investment which only moves downwards when the money can be put to work elsewhere. Even if it moves up, it will be sooooo slow, there are a million and one opportunities elsewhere!

pth

banjomick - 15 Aug 2006 20:34 - 1030 of 1497

pth,
Yes,agree totally that i could have put me money to better use but I have always thought that PSAwatch would be a big SP mover and now along with the Medtronic Urodynamics deal (when MDT announce it) the SP should really move.
Lots of good news to come,over the next few months,so quite happy to hold and if it does go all pear shaped then I've only got meself to blame :-)

Fred1new - 15 Aug 2006 20:53 - 1031 of 1497

One of the problems is that good ideas sometimes take a long time to come to fruition. They often taste good but often the gardener has died of starvation in the meanwhile.
I hold MDW, and think that it is doing the right things, but as my demise is coming closer, I am trying to cease buying companies which don't have a profit and preferably a dividend. Both of the latter should be increasing year by year.

banjomick - 15 Aug 2006 21:39 - 1032 of 1497

Evening Fred,
Well,we should hear by the end of September whether we have chosen the right path down the garden into the rose garden or the compost heap :-)

Minder - 16 Aug 2006 18:49 - 1033 of 1497

ptholden,
As the flatline has broken, I assume from your statement last night you are out. That is a shame, keep a close eye on this, because I feel your comments were a little misguided, when you say this will move up soooo slowly.

ptholden - 16 Aug 2006 19:39 - 1034 of 1497

Minder

No, I am still in (and have been for a long time). But the current SP is quite close to my stop, so I am expecting the worst. Please, don't get the wrong idea of my opinion as to MDW products. I still believe that the company will eventually be successfull in terms of revenue generation. My problem is with the company failure to support the SP to any degree. It is all very well for people to say that MDW cannot give revenue projections, but other companies do the same all the time. The deal with Medtronic cannot have been signed on wing and a prayer. MDW must have some idea of their expectations so that they can tailor their production lines accordingly. Without any degree of expectation from MDW it is impossible to value the company and a realistic SP. Hence my statement that if I am not stopped out, I will sell and invest in a company where I have some idea of what is going on.

Good luck to other holders

pth

Treblewide - 16 Aug 2006 20:50 - 1035 of 1497

you folks aint gonna like this but I am looking to short this on any bounce up......if they show no move to break even in next set of results the market is going to hammer them and i am betting they will not be anywhere near break even, i used to hold loads of them but they seem to be struggling to actually sell their product and with the greatest respect in the world that is all the market cares about...more jam tomorrow aint gonna cut it this time I am afraid....

i know i will get the usual terrible shorter chat and trying to deramp but i think there is a dnager a lot of people on here have fallen in love with this share

ptholden - 16 Aug 2006 20:58 - 1036 of 1497

trebs

I think it is safe to say I haven't fallen in love wiv this share, I hate the fookin company with a passion. However, I wouldn't short it at these levels maybe at 13-14p perhaps. Good luck if you do, contrarian views makes a market.

pth

banjomick - 16 Aug 2006 21:09 - 1037 of 1497

yes,each to there own.Good luck Treble and nice of you to share your action plan :-)
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