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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

skinny - 14 Dec 2012 13:30 - 10206 of 21973

CAD Manufacturing Sales m/m -1.4% consensus 0.0% previous 0.4%

USD Core CPI m/m 0.1% consensus 0.2% previous 0.2%

USD CPI m/m -0.3% consensus -0.2% previous 0.1%

cynic - 14 Dec 2012 14:40 - 10207 of 21973

AAPL
heart in mouth, i topped up here at 509.25 .... so far so good

hilary - 14 Dec 2012 15:59 - 10208 of 21973

Cyners....

zerohedge @zerohedge

Apple release iPhone 5 in China in middle of December, blames weak launch on winter weather.
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Marc @EvoDriver_1

@zerohedge people at Foxconn have too good of benefits... Remooove the catch net!
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Lavern Cheas @LavernCheas6854

@zerohedge I can't believe this page is giving them away: http://tinyurls.us/46
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Honey Badger @jeff60150

@zerohedge just like a golfer blaming the wind for a bad shot. Apple...you so funny!
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Arno van Rooyen @Arno_van_Rooyen

@zerohedge well the launch in ZA was an absolute abortion. Mobile SP's ironing out kinks post launch date delaying stock delivery.

skinny - 14 Dec 2012 16:08 - 10210 of 21973

Interesting hils - its quite a way down.

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=AAPL&uf=0&ty

cynic - 14 Dec 2012 16:21 - 10211 of 21973

what a cheery little soul you are hils, but very many thanks all the same!
perhaps i'm too in love with AAPL, or perhaps buying at 509.25 will prove to be quite a smart move, though i shall be happy just to take a respectable profit - as and when, or even if and when

Toya - 14 Dec 2012 18:15 - 10212 of 21973

Cynic: 'Apple slid 4 percent to $508.75 after UBS cut its price target on the stock to $700 from $780.' - that's still high enough to give you plenty of profit, eventually.

hilary - 15 Dec 2012 09:58 - 10213 of 21973

Yen Short Position Largest Since July 2007!!!

Toya - 16 Dec 2012 09:47 - 10214 of 21973

Thanks for that info, Hilary

Thinking back to a recent post of yours: expect the US indices to follow the Yen down

hilary - 16 Dec 2012 13:02 - 10215 of 21973

No Toya, the opposite happens.

The cheap Japanese money is looking for a higher return. So, when risk is on as is the current case, it tends to go into equities and boosts equity indices. When risk is off, it tends to shift to perceived safe havens where fixed income returns are higher, such as Switzerland and New Zealand.

The problem comes when the world and his wife are all short and there's nobody left to enter the market and add to the short side. When that happens, the raft of short liquidations can be vicious and take the market by surprise. The fiscal cliff situation hasn't been enough to dent the JPY flows, but any bad news out of Europe over the next couple of weeks could result in the market turning sharply.

Toya - 16 Dec 2012 16:57 - 10216 of 21973

Got it - thanks Hilary!

Davai - 16 Dec 2012 21:03 - 10217 of 21973

Wow, that's some gap up on the Yen pairs!

Shortie - 17 Dec 2012 09:46 - 10218 of 21973

Careful with the Yen, I'm debating buying GBP/JPY

Shortie - 17 Dec 2012 09:46 - 10219 of 21973

Still short on FTSE, I'm now set to roll over daily.

Shortie - 17 Dec 2012 10:48 - 10220 of 21973

Yen in Focus as More QE Seen in Japan; European Stocks Drift

By Andrea Tryphonides The Japanese yen slumped against the dollar Monday after the Liberal Democratic Party won a landslide victory Sunday in Japan's general election, a win that could signal a period of easy monetary policy, while stocks were treading water as the U.S. budget saga continues. "The focus will be on Japan in the aftermath of the LDP's sweeping victory and ahead of a Bank of Japan meeting (Thursday), where a further boost to its quantitative easing program is expected," said Marc Oswald, strategist at Monument Securities, in a note to clients. "While on the other side of the Pacific the fiscal cliff negotiations will remain the key focal point, with some positional shifting from the Republicans offering some hope that negotiations will be less intransigent." The dollar rose to its strongest level against the yen since April 2011 early Monday, jumping as high as Y84.48 before easing back, and the euro rose above $1.3187 to its highest level since May 2. Over the last five weeks the dollar has advanced 5.1% against the yen and most investors expect the new government to hasten an aggressive easing of Japanese monetary policy. Meanwhile, Japan's Nikkei stock-market index ended at an eight-and-a-half month high following the sharp fall in the Japanese currency. In Europe, however, stocks were largely flat, with investors looking for direction in what will be the last full trading week of 2012. Many commentators believe the U.S. budget negotiations are key here. Republicans and Democrats are currently fighting it out in Washington on what should be done about automatic spending cuts and tax hikes that will come into force in January 2013 unless a compromise is reached. A fresh proposal from Republican House Speaker John Boehner to raise tax rates on millionaires is being seen as a possible breakthrough in the budget negotiations, although time is steadily running out for parties to come to an agreement.

Shortie - 17 Dec 2012 12:16 - 10221 of 21973

U.S. stock market futures were hugging the flat line on Monday, ahead of a gauge of manufacturing for the New York region on a light data day, and as investors eyed potential progress over U.S. debt negotiations. Meanwhile, shares of Apple Inc. (AAPL) were coming under pressure after a Citigroup downgrade. Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 5 points to 13,082, while those for the Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 0.3 point to 1,409.50. Futures for the Nasdaq 100 index fell 8.5 points to 2,614.75. Pressure on the Nasdaq came as shares of technology heavyweight Apple fell in Frankfurt trading, last down 1.5%, and were over 1% lower in thin, premarket U.S. trading. Questioning the strength of the iPhone 5, Citigroup analysts cut their rating to neutral and price target to $575 from $675.

Shortie - 17 Dec 2012 12:17 - 10222 of 21973

Short position opened on the DOW also.

skinny - 17 Dec 2012 13:30 - 10223 of 21973

USD Empire State Manufacturing Index -8.1 consensus -0.7 previous -5.2

gibby - 17 Dec 2012 15:19 - 10224 of 21973

U.K. banks that don't ring-fence could be broken up........
With U.K. lawmakers seeking ways to apply more pressure, Britain's banks now face the possibility of being broken up if they don't comply with ring-fencing. The Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards is set to release a paper Friday that some say is "more Volcker than Vickers".

lol

Shortie - 17 Dec 2012 15:34 - 10225 of 21973

Wall Street Pares View on Apple

By Alexandra Scaggs Apple Inc. (AAPL) is losing its status as the apple of Wall Street's eye. From the close of trading Friday through the stock market's open Monday, three Wall Street research firms adjusted their views on the tech giant, and the changes weren't for the good. Citigroup cut its rating on the stock to "neutral" from "buy," along with its estimates for earnings-per-share and revenue. Pacific Crest Securities and Canaccord Genuity cut their earnings-per-share estimates, revenue estimates and price targets for the iPhone maker. That advice came after UBS on Friday cut its price target and estimates for the company. Analysts have been steadily paring their outlooks on the stock. The average price target has declined to $749.41, a 5.4% drop from its peak of $792.40 in September, according to FactSet. It was in September that Apple shares hit their all-time closing high of $702.10. Monday morning trading, shares were 1.4% lower at $502.63. Generally, analysts have been very bullish on Apple over the past two years. At any given time over that span, an average 92% of analysts have recommended investors buy the stock, FactSet data show. But as of Monday, 87% of analysts had a "buy" rating on the stock. The group is focusing on a couple of key concerns: a projected slowdown in iPhone 5 shipments and sales of the new iPad mini potentially chipping into those of the original, larger iPad. Citigroup cut its price target on the stock by 15% late Sunday, and trimmed its earnings-per-share estimates for the company's 2013 fiscal year, which starts this quarter, by 15%, to $41.75 from $49.21. On average, analysts expect Apple to earn $49.04 a share for fiscal year 2013, according to Thomson Reuters data. Citi's team covering Apple--which brings together three analysts from separate technology coverage areas--said it had just returned from visits to the company's hardware suppliers in Asia, where "evidence of Apple order cuts...had emerged." The firm said the cuts "bring into question the strength of [the] iPhone 5 and refocus investors onto risks." Canaccord made smaller share-price revisions, reducing its price target by 6.2%, to $750 from $800. Canaccord analyst T. Michael Walkley cut his earnings estimates for the fiscal year by 5.5% on expectations of slower international sales but thinks the slowdown will be "primarily in Europe." He voiced concern that the iPad Mini was "cannibalizing" demand from the more-expensive iPad. But he expects Apple to recover and is still recommending clients buy shares. Pacific Crest analyst Andy Hargreaves isn't as sanguine. He moved his price target 12% lower, to $565 from $645. "We believe weak global economic conditions and saturation at the high end of the smartphone market are reducing Apple's ability to add new iPhone users," he wrote in a note to clients Monday. Mr. Hargreaves cut his earnings-per-share estimate for fiscal year 2013 by 12%, to $45.13 from $51.49. UBS analyst Steven Milunovich was on the leading edge of the current cuts with his note Friday, and he also cited a production slowdown. He cut his price target by 10% to $700 and earnings-per-share estimate by 8.7% to $47. "The stock has been a tug of war between low valuation and peaking growth and margins," he wrote in a note to clients Friday.
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