Scripophilist
- 27 Oct 2004 23:40

How would you like to trade a market where you get large regular price swings every 10 minutes in the afternoon, seven days a week. A
market where all prices are set purely by supply and demand, few transaction costs, no middle men and you only pay commission if you win? Where you can freely act as a market maker and where you have direct market access and where you can create a spread for others to take?
Betfair has revolutionised the betting market and created an open platform for exchanging risk on sports events. This market is now viewed much more like a traditional financial risk market than an old fashioned betting market. Smart users have realised that there are huge opportunities on Betfair because they can buy and sell risk in much the same way they would in a normal financial market but without the burden of cost or the restricted access that is usually associated with traditional financial markets.
Click here to learn more
Iankn73
- 13 Mar 2007 22:39
- 10223 of 10502
Hi ptholden,
I have considered attending Scrip's course unfortunatley most courses are ran South of the Border and I'm North. If there are any plans in the future for Central Scotland I would definately consider attending. Have you tried Chartist2004 system as there seems to be some foundation there?
Thanks again,
Ian
B-P
- 13 Mar 2007 23:09
- 10224 of 10502
............
B-P
- 14 Mar 2007 09:12
- 10225 of 10502
Harlosh /Chartist
You both seem to have cracked the trading direction -- so congratulations
I for one have never managed to get crack this.
Chartist you state that it works for me 95% of the time. (your wheelbarrow wheel must be under some strain when you take it to the bank with all that cash (lol).
(1) Are you only watching the fav odds for direction .
(2) Do you use the pro angel -------- or will basic do the same job ???
(3) Would you like to explain further what your looking for with the wom indicator
Harlosh you state -- don't be too hasty. Wait for the right moment.
would you like also to explain further.
Looking forward to your replys,
Thanks BP
Harlosh
- 14 Mar 2007 10:21
- 10226 of 10502
BP,
Hope I didn't make it sound easy cos it ain't. It's a case of waiting for the weight of money on one side to force the odds in or out on the other side. It takes a great deal of concentration - too much for me to do on a daily basis these days. But it isn't simply a case of backing the favourite and hoping the odds come in cos of course, favourites go out of favour too and so are good lays when the weight of money shifts from them onto another horse which then suddenly becomes favourite.
Look for drifters as well as steamers, always scanning for where the money is. Then practice, practice, practice :-)
compoundup
- 14 Mar 2007 13:22
- 10227 of 10502
Horses not being my bag so far as trading is concerned - being a confirmed tennis and footy trader- I have been trying my arm at Cheltenham yesterday with some modest success. The sheer volume has the effect of slowing down the moves so it is hardly typical of what you would see on a normal days horse racing. However I reckon I could see Peter at work waiting until the favourite was backed down to within a 4 figure sum of the tickover and then whacking it across! maybe?
I try not to study the form (Steve) - always gets me into trouble. How many picked Sublimity yesterday? I got caught out last night on the tennis at Indian Wells when Sharapova was a set and 5-3 up, needing only to serve out for the match. Didn't seem to be any point in laying the top seed at 1.03. The rest is history... Made a measly 100 on that match when it could have been a grand for the risk of giving back 30. And I'll do it again no doubt :-)
Edward
Fundamentalist
- 14 Mar 2007 16:25
- 10228 of 10502
Sublimity cost me a tidy win Edward - on all known form it was over 2 stone out of the weights :-(
jbarlowffc
- 14 Mar 2007 16:31
- 10229 of 10502
compoundup, whenever ive looked at footy trading , i encounter the same problem you mention with cheltenham..e.g the volume has meant little movement at the times ive looked. I realise the prices do move, certainly seen them drop nearer kickoff . the horse trading the fluctuations i see can be in persiods of 30 seconds or so. Is footy trading done over much longer periods?
compoundup
- 14 Mar 2007 19:24
- 10230 of 10502
jb - to get a grip of football trading you need to fully understand the time-decay. If you have done Scrip's course you will have the tools. If not, it's worth doing the course. It's a valuable investment.
There are times when you can sit relatively safely on the lay side knowing that the decay is minimal and you can stop-out cheaply. At other times you can trade down the decay curve, scalping to avoid risk.
There are loads of strategies involving set plays, etc. It's almost always tradeable but my one caveat is not to get into placing bets too early. Try and get a feel for the match first.
jbarlowffc
- 15 Mar 2007 08:53
- 10231 of 10502
Thanks! I don't understand the time-decay. So course would seem a good option. All booked up at that moment.As a part-timer was bit reluctant to shell out the dosh. but i lost far more than the course price on my first attempted trade. made that up with some mug punting (it pays "sometimes") and matching bookies generous cheltenham signup offers this week. Been making 6-10 on the trading since the first botched attempt. Books on order.. whilst I understand there's nothing like hands-on training.. i'm hoping the book does have all this stuff in there too.
compoundup
- 15 Mar 2007 22:25
- 10232 of 10502
Unusual but welcome event on a darts league match this evening. Some clown risking over 200,000 to buy cash at 1000:1
In these circumstances, however unlikely the outcome, it's worth giving back some profit to buy a cheap chance at the trade of the year.
Scripophilist
- 15 Mar 2007 22:46
- 10233 of 10502
Excellent trade! No matter how you achieve it, to spot the opportunity and execute against it deserves reward. Well done!
bakko
- 15 Mar 2007 22:51
- 10234 of 10502
Edward, Nice looking book.
Saw the match earlier. There was 1 leg where it was beyond comical! Both had several chances to win it on double 1 LOL
ptholden
- 15 Mar 2007 23:26
- 10235 of 10502
Can't quite believe what happened on the cricket tonight and the quite frankly appalling manner in which I traded the match.
1. At some point during the Zimbabwe Innings I'm all green, 120 in the bank.
2. Zim start losing wickets following a bright start and when 5 down I back Ireland to win increasing my potential winnings on Ireland to 600, but a loss if Zim win.
3. Unfortunately Zim get their act together and reduce the required rate to 2.5 runs per over. Lay Zim at 1.03, now 1650 if Ireland win, -130 if Zim win.
4. Remarkably, Zim lose a wicket, I green up again at 1.20 'guaranteeing' 120, back to where I was. Zim lose another wicket and then another. I am now kicking myself rather severley, 9 required off the last over, the odds on Zim have drifted out to 3.0, why oh why didn't I wait?
5. As it turned out the bloody match was drawn and I ended up winning absolutely nothing. Must be a few lessons in there somewhere.
pth
BTW. Well done Edward :)
Fundamentalist
- 15 Mar 2007 23:28
- 10236 of 10502
Nice book edward (i assume the 1000 was before DP got to 7 legs or there was no way it could get lower)
been a much better day here, wins at Cheltenham (thank you Drever), the cricket and the darts :-)
was some huge panic in the ireland v zimbabwe cricket game, 700k matched at between 1.01 and 1.05 on zim, they found themselves 9 down needing 9 off the last over. 8 off 5 then a wicket last ball led to a ghastly tie and no doubt forum meltdown
Fundamentalist
- 15 Mar 2007 23:29
- 10237 of 10502
PTH
the final result will have got a lot of people out of jail and robbed a lot of decent wins, for me the tie being a separate market is farcical cos theres never enough liquidity to hedge
ptholden
- 15 Mar 2007 23:33
- 10238 of 10502
Fundy, to be honest I was quite happy with the draw, purely because I greened up the second time far too early, I was so annoyed with myself. I agree the draw should not be a separate market, particularly as this has happened to me twice now :(
pth
compoundup
- 16 Mar 2007 08:59
- 10239 of 10502
Steve - re the darts, the daftest part of it was that Barneveld won the next leg after the big lay bet was placed and it still wasn't pulled or reduced. From memory it was 7-2 and it went to 7-3, (when it was first to 8 legs to win, for those who weren't watching).
On the BetAngel web site, Peter is suggesting it may be appropriate to run an advanced seminar. I'm still having difficulty making money on the horses and have registered for another session with Peter. If anyone else thinks they could benefit from this, how about helping make it happen?
crockham
- 16 Mar 2007 09:14
- 10240 of 10502
Compoundup
I am also struggling with the horses even with Betangel pro.
I sometimes think Peter has made his system too efficient - for himself.
I would certainly welcome the opportunity of further assistance.
Footy is not too bad - aside the occasional lack of discipline.
compoundup
- 16 Mar 2007 09:31
- 10241 of 10502
Don't knock BetAngel Pro. It is the business. Certainly it has more functionality than I use. I wouldn't trade without it and often choose not to trade just because it tells me the latency is abnormal.
I think I know what the answer is to my difficulty with the horses and it lies between greed, trade size and expectancy. If I could just get that balance right...
crockham
- 16 Mar 2007 10:29
- 10242 of 10502
I didn`t mean it to sound as though I was knocking it, far from it. I couldn`t trade without it.
I want to know how to use more of the functiions it has available.