Scripophilist
- 27 Oct 2004 23:40

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compoundup
- 14 Mar 2007 19:24
- 10230 of 10502
jb - to get a grip of football trading you need to fully understand the time-decay. If you have done Scrip's course you will have the tools. If not, it's worth doing the course. It's a valuable investment.
There are times when you can sit relatively safely on the lay side knowing that the decay is minimal and you can stop-out cheaply. At other times you can trade down the decay curve, scalping to avoid risk.
There are loads of strategies involving set plays, etc. It's almost always tradeable but my one caveat is not to get into placing bets too early. Try and get a feel for the match first.
jbarlowffc
- 15 Mar 2007 08:53
- 10231 of 10502
Thanks! I don't understand the time-decay. So course would seem a good option. All booked up at that moment.As a part-timer was bit reluctant to shell out the dosh. but i lost far more than the course price on my first attempted trade. made that up with some mug punting (it pays "sometimes") and matching bookies generous cheltenham signup offers this week. Been making 6-10 on the trading since the first botched attempt. Books on order.. whilst I understand there's nothing like hands-on training.. i'm hoping the book does have all this stuff in there too.
compoundup
- 15 Mar 2007 22:25
- 10232 of 10502
Unusual but welcome event on a darts league match this evening. Some clown risking over 200,000 to buy cash at 1000:1
In these circumstances, however unlikely the outcome, it's worth giving back some profit to buy a cheap chance at the trade of the year.
Scripophilist
- 15 Mar 2007 22:46
- 10233 of 10502
Excellent trade! No matter how you achieve it, to spot the opportunity and execute against it deserves reward. Well done!
bakko
- 15 Mar 2007 22:51
- 10234 of 10502
Edward, Nice looking book.
Saw the match earlier. There was 1 leg where it was beyond comical! Both had several chances to win it on double 1 LOL
ptholden
- 15 Mar 2007 23:26
- 10235 of 10502
Can't quite believe what happened on the cricket tonight and the quite frankly appalling manner in which I traded the match.
1. At some point during the Zimbabwe Innings I'm all green, 120 in the bank.
2. Zim start losing wickets following a bright start and when 5 down I back Ireland to win increasing my potential winnings on Ireland to 600, but a loss if Zim win.
3. Unfortunately Zim get their act together and reduce the required rate to 2.5 runs per over. Lay Zim at 1.03, now 1650 if Ireland win, -130 if Zim win.
4. Remarkably, Zim lose a wicket, I green up again at 1.20 'guaranteeing' 120, back to where I was. Zim lose another wicket and then another. I am now kicking myself rather severley, 9 required off the last over, the odds on Zim have drifted out to 3.0, why oh why didn't I wait?
5. As it turned out the bloody match was drawn and I ended up winning absolutely nothing. Must be a few lessons in there somewhere.
pth
BTW. Well done Edward :)
Fundamentalist
- 15 Mar 2007 23:28
- 10236 of 10502
Nice book edward (i assume the 1000 was before DP got to 7 legs or there was no way it could get lower)
been a much better day here, wins at Cheltenham (thank you Drever), the cricket and the darts :-)
was some huge panic in the ireland v zimbabwe cricket game, 700k matched at between 1.01 and 1.05 on zim, they found themselves 9 down needing 9 off the last over. 8 off 5 then a wicket last ball led to a ghastly tie and no doubt forum meltdown
Fundamentalist
- 15 Mar 2007 23:29
- 10237 of 10502
PTH
the final result will have got a lot of people out of jail and robbed a lot of decent wins, for me the tie being a separate market is farcical cos theres never enough liquidity to hedge
ptholden
- 15 Mar 2007 23:33
- 10238 of 10502
Fundy, to be honest I was quite happy with the draw, purely because I greened up the second time far too early, I was so annoyed with myself. I agree the draw should not be a separate market, particularly as this has happened to me twice now :(
pth
compoundup
- 16 Mar 2007 08:59
- 10239 of 10502
Steve - re the darts, the daftest part of it was that Barneveld won the next leg after the big lay bet was placed and it still wasn't pulled or reduced. From memory it was 7-2 and it went to 7-3, (when it was first to 8 legs to win, for those who weren't watching).
On the BetAngel web site, Peter is suggesting it may be appropriate to run an advanced seminar. I'm still having difficulty making money on the horses and have registered for another session with Peter. If anyone else thinks they could benefit from this, how about helping make it happen?
crockham
- 16 Mar 2007 09:14
- 10240 of 10502
Compoundup
I am also struggling with the horses even with Betangel pro.
I sometimes think Peter has made his system too efficient - for himself.
I would certainly welcome the opportunity of further assistance.
Footy is not too bad - aside the occasional lack of discipline.
compoundup
- 16 Mar 2007 09:31
- 10241 of 10502
Don't knock BetAngel Pro. It is the business. Certainly it has more functionality than I use. I wouldn't trade without it and often choose not to trade just because it tells me the latency is abnormal.
I think I know what the answer is to my difficulty with the horses and it lies between greed, trade size and expectancy. If I could just get that balance right...
crockham
- 16 Mar 2007 10:29
- 10242 of 10502
I didn`t mean it to sound as though I was knocking it, far from it. I couldn`t trade without it.
I want to know how to use more of the functiions it has available.
Fundamentalist
- 16 Mar 2007 10:46
- 10243 of 10502
Edward
one slight flaw in your plan when backing at 7-2 or 7-3, barney couldnt win at this point cos it although it first to 8 to win, they play a max of 14 legs so his best result was then 7-7. you were backing an impossible result so were giving a free 25 to someone
compoundup
- 16 Mar 2007 14:02
- 10244 of 10502
Thanks Steve,
Another too-good-to-be-true situation after all
EVOLUTION
- 16 Mar 2007 17:25
- 10245 of 10502
how much is the course, and are they always in london or do they come to different parts of the country, eg Birmingham? if not are there any plans to do so?
Fundamentalist
- 16 Mar 2007 17:47
- 10246 of 10502
Edward
they usually are ;-)
Evo
http://www.betangel.com/products/courses/index.htm
everything you need to know on this link, and not all courses are in london
DocProc
- 16 Mar 2007 19:03
- 10247 of 10502
Evolution
There are some interesting Bet Angel Free Training Videos
HERE
jbarlowffc
- 19 Mar 2007 23:33
- 10248 of 10502
Went for the trial version today. looks great, but alas slightly down on the horses.
had some in-play fun on the spursvchelsea game(match odds). had that "magical" moment of a healthy green figure on all 3 outcomes. felt awfully like gambling though. I like the fact that that when you get your prices matched, the betfair balance is not tied up for the duration of the match. presume thats a betfair feature as opposed to betangel. waiting for the next available Scrips course now.
used to do "arbs" on sports, between spreadbetting, but the opportunities mostly dried up ..
I take it , going on the age of this thread.. that this isnt a fad. and as theres always gonna be gamblers, theres always going to be opportunities to make some cash.
chartist2004
- 22 Mar 2007 00:04
- 10249 of 10502
jbarlowffc :- 'gamblers'? we are 'odd's traders'!
Had a 95% loss rate on monday, naggs/soccer, thought my 'luck' was about to end, (black monday)!