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Traders Thread Monday 26th July 2004 (CROC)     

Martini - 25 Jul 2004 14:01

Big Al - 26 Jul 2004 12:00 - 103 of 158

Blair bowling? ;-))))

chocolat - 26 Jul 2004 12:00 - 104 of 158

Morning all (just). Spacie will be pleased to know that I fully utilised the Concorde method for this morning's FX foray. Wicked!
:)

Big Al - 26 Jul 2004 12:02 - 105 of 158

Short PLM

Big Al - 26 Jul 2004 12:04 - 106 of 158

FTC might actually go this time. Bloody hope so coz I'm very, very, very short and bored waiting.

Kyoto - 26 Jul 2004 12:11 - 107 of 158

fulhamken - as per the ANL counter-bid, got to weigh up what evidence we have. The UK banks want to go down the domestic merger route because of substantial cost savings and we know they've been lobbying the government about this. Citigroup made an informal approach to Abbey a couple of months ago and I think we know what LLOY and RBS publicly stated positions are on this. There are lots of other 'ifs' and 'buts', but on the balance of probabilities I remain long.

edit: and somewhere lost in this, I believe ANL's results this morning came in above expectations...

another edit: but I'd have been happier if I could have bought it lower :-) Well, will look at buying more below 540 if we get there and if I'm around. Then it turns from a punt into a more serious position! Still, it would help if the Spanish Stock Exchange would resume trading in BSCH. What kind of market are they running over there?

more edit: ...and long again at 540. Now it gets interesting.

Maggot - 26 Jul 2004 12:54 - 108 of 158

Interesting that a spike of 15 up and straight down again just appeared on cmc's /$ forex chart but it never registered on IG's price! I know that their various prices reflect the betting on their site alone, but it's a wee bit suspicious - it would have shaken out some shorters with tight stops. Luckily I had not got a position.

BrianTrayda - 26 Jul 2004 12:54 - 109 of 158

Anybody calculated the ANL points impact on the FTSE? Just wondered where it would be with a flat ANL....

Kyoto - 26 Jul 2004 13:08 - 110 of 158

Santander BSCH is back on and trading at 7.73/74 - a drop from 8 on Friday. Now the arbitrage game begins.

sandeepbharadwaj - 26 Jul 2004 13:10 - 111 of 158

anl perky again, counterbid?

Treblewide - 26 Jul 2004 13:15 - 112 of 158

afternoon folks...just back from Barca.....top weekend however went to cafe Bagdad which is a rather dodgy club. Tried to humiliate the stag by getting him up on stage but guess who had swapped seats with him and was dragged up on stage by a close relative of Nadia from Big Brother...i feel used :-)

ThePlayboy - 26 Jul 2004 13:17 - 113 of 158

LOL dragged up by RAMBOY whatever next treble!

Kyoto - 26 Jul 2004 13:21 - 114 of 158

Rough ANL arbitrage as I'm busy but... 603-31 special dividend gives 572/800 pre-close = 603 bid therefore shareprice element is at .715 - BSCH 774 gives: (BSCH*0.715)+31=584.41

fulhamken - 26 Jul 2004 13:29 - 115 of 158

tkx kyoto

Treblewide - 26 Jul 2004 13:31 - 116 of 158

TP....i was man handled...not a pleasant experience however the rest of the boys seemed to think it was hiliarious!

Kyoto - 26 Jul 2004 13:33 - 117 of 158

Fulhamken - doesn't take into account exchange rates, possible dodgy sums on my part, not reading the bid document properly for longer than 1 minute, possibility that some regulator somewhere will block or due diligence will turn up something.

ThePlayboy - 26 Jul 2004 13:34 - 118 of 158

at least your maintaining a life outside trading treb, beats posting on the lonely hearts thread at midnight, heres one for all you truckers out there:)

fulhamken - 26 Jul 2004 13:51 - 119 of 158

closed short anl - 1
closed long anl + 10.5
closed long anl + 12.0

currently long anl 561

Boyse - 26 Jul 2004 13:58 - 120 of 158

26p bounce from Low all over the show

Spaceman - 26 Jul 2004 14:07 - 121 of 158

ruth, you have hotmail.

sandeepbharadwaj - 26 Jul 2004 14:10 - 122 of 158

anl +12. takeover price works at 5.45
present price of santa ia 7.80 at .66 exchange rate it values anl at 5.14
+ 31p div = 5.45
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