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JUST CAR CLINICS, An Undervalued Company Ready For Take Off. (JCR)     

goldfinger - 26 Feb 2003 00:23

This company is certainly catching the eye of Analysts and Tipsters. I have kindly borrowed this summing up of the company from an online associate and agree with his findings. This really is an undervalued company.

Car Clinic (JCR traded on AIM) – Market Cap 1.32million

Business

Company owns 12 accident centres. Was formerly a division of the Dixon Motor Group.

Opportunity

Profit of circa 700,000 at interim stage – Is a growing business, so every confidence that this performance will be matched in second half, generating 1.4million in cash profits for the group. As others have pointed out this would essentially put company on PE of 1.

Company does have debts, which will require servicing. Currently 2.25million, though repayment has been more than fairly structured and allows significant amounts of cash to be retained by JCR. I assume these monies will be used for bolt on acquisitions and possibly early repayment of debt.

From my various conversations with an existing large shareholder, and to a certain extent recent statements from the company, the debt will be repaid at the rate of 400k per annum. From my calculations, and conversations with various sources, net profits this year should be more than 600,000. Compare this to the measly 1.32million market cap. As I indicated above, this is ludicrously cheap. ( NB This figure takes into account costs of acquisition, associated legal fees, initial banking fees and initial repayments. Remember, the repayments begin in earnest, next year.)

Going forward however, annual profits of more than 1.4million can be expected from the group. I expect the company to beat this comfortably next year and to continue growing at pace. So in effect, I believe Just Care Clinic can deliver annual net profits of more than 1million – Remember this is net profit. (i.e. after repayment of debt)

Directors Buying

And why shouldn’t they? They obviously see the great potential here. The Finance Director, Chris Elton was formerly FD at Dixon Motors, but moved over to take part in the action.

The future

I expect the company will be more focussed on bringing in further contracts with insurance companies. When Just Car Clinic was part of the Dixon Motor Group, whilst profitability was obviously important, as the business wasn’t a core component of the larger group bringing in new contracts was likely seen as a problem rather than a chance to deliver greater profits. I suspect the management team, motivated by significant shareholdings, will be keen to bring in as much ‘big’ insurance business as they can. I expect the company to make an announcement to this regard within the next few months or so. This is based on nothing other than gut, experience and feedback from various sources involved in the industry.

Take a closer Look

Equitygrowth.net wrote a brief piece on JCR in its 7th February newsletter. Shares Magazine has also provided positive coverage of late. I do agree that the figures do appear too good to be true, that is why I encourage investors to do their own research. This stock is undervalued – FACT. I am confident these shares will do well in the coming weeks as more investors recognise the potential, whilst going forward this is excellent material in my opinion. This isn’t hype, this is all fact which can be confirmed with just a little time and effort. Shares are currently 10.5p offered. I cannot emphasise enough - JCR is one to have a look at.

Please DYOR.




ThirdEye - 16 Mar 2004 18:34 - 103 of 245

With the heavy borrowings & breaches with the bank, these are a strong sell in my opinion, their debt repayment schedule has been seriously put back.

Guess some will think they are cheap, who don't check balance sheets & debt, I suggest you take a good look.

Scottie - 16 Mar 2004 19:31 - 104 of 245

It does make you wonder, what is the point in checking the company balance sheet if you are thinking about buying a share?

ThirdEye - 16 Mar 2004 20:32 - 105 of 245

Check the borrowings Scottie.....they would have told you that JCR is 'walking on a tightrope' as far as debt & repayments are concerned....it's so heavily geared.....I warned many times that this share lets say was being looked at through rose tinted specs with it's p/e of 1 ....see goldfinger/Oliverleftwingtit/Slaters post above.....if it's cheap, there is often a reason why.

Scottie - 16 Mar 2004 20:39 - 106 of 245

Any reply to that gf?

Bones - 16 Mar 2004 21:03 - 107 of 245

Third Eye - yes, you have been sceptical on the basis of published debt. However, it is the unpublished stuff that is the problem today. As investors in SUF also found out, if the accounts themselves are in fact baloney, then all you can do is pray.

Fortunately, I made my profits last September and sold on the results which contained cautious comment. Looks like I escaped!

Bones

ThirdEye - 16 Mar 2004 21:08 - 108 of 245

Well done Bones

But I made the point, you can't slip up with such debt, there is no cushion for comfort, if the balance sheet wasn't so ropey, the company would have been able to take it in it's stride.

goldfinger - 16 Mar 2004 21:23 - 109 of 245

Nice try thirdeye, but unless you have a crystal ball and can predict the future , especially the future of a CORRUPT ACCOUNTANT I suggest you stick to upsetting posters on whatever site you go on other than here. Lets face it you have just been barred from posting on UQ.com after the management found you to be say less holy than holy and then lets not forget Ians warning only a few weeks back, on your last life I see...............


IanT(MoneyAM) - 02 Feb'04 - 09:10 - 107 of 110


Thirdeye,

With regard to your posting, as you have have been warned previously - please only 'attack' companies and not individuals. Please treat this as a final warning.

Regards

Ian ENDS.

Perhaphs if you put a little more effort into posting on Money Am and not just spoiling tactics people would take far more notice of you and your comments.

There are of course always two sides of a coin to a debate like this but thirdeye does himself no justice by failing to neglect that this was the work of one fraudster, and yes one fraudsster who should have been found out, but in real life its not that easy as any financial Director will advise you.

Seems a shame that every post thirdeye puts on this board is a negative one and is aimed at my person as a grudge attack. This is not Advfn and this sort of thing is best kept away from here. Its horses for courses thirdeye as Bullshare as said before. If you want a slanging match I will be quite happy to see you on advfn, otherwise why try and stir up trouble here as you have done not just on advfn but two other sites.

cheers GF.

ps, posters please try and keep this kind of thing away from money am. This is an excelent site and we surely dont want it going down hill. Yes nothing wrong with free speech , but then always keep in mind the posters true motifs.




ThirdEye - 16 Mar 2004 21:30 - 110 of 245

Well I taken note of that Goldfinger, but I want to talk about JCR, you seem to want to divert attention.


I repeat high gearing upto 2008, gives no cushion for any hiccups, that was my foresight.....had they had sensible gearing, this affair wouldn't matter so much, but now there is a chance they could go bust.

Guitarist - 16 Mar 2004 21:34 - 111 of 245

Good call ThirdEye. It was your confirmation of the debt position that kept me out of this one. Phew!

Cheers.

ThirdEye - 16 Mar 2004 21:34 - 112 of 245

Btw isn't your debt misleading ( you claim to be an accountant in your profile)in your opening post goldfinger?

ThirdEye - 16 Mar 2004 21:34 - 113 of 245

Thanks Guitarist

I see my negative posts have been of use.

hawick - 17 Mar 2004 10:18 - 114 of 245

A measured reaction is required here. Third Eye's rather frantic reaction looks overly panicky to me.
Here are my thoughts:

This clearly was a pre-JCR/Bikenet problem.

However it IS disappointing, and there can be no denial of that, and it was not picked up during the changeover - someone should be answerable for that. The banks have clearly recognised that it is not the current management's fault, hence the seemingly amicable rearrangement of borrowings. That is comforting.

As i have always said one of the big strengths is the cashflow and that is why today's fall, while in part I accept, justified, is overdone and i reckon for the time being fair value is closer to 20p (market cap under 3 million - we must not forget at some stage when repayments are complete the company will have assets of 10 million or so), though sentiment quite naturally sees that it has plunged further short term.

And yes, as i have always said, if any company I hold has a 'major change' of circumstances - and they do not come much more major than this - I am always prepared to act and I have unwound part of my position today (despite all the rubbish talked about liquidity there were no problems, even on a bad day, unlike i have experienced on ofex for example at times). The rest is staying firmly put though.

However if the numbers as i fully expect have no other nasties, the investigation appears to be complete, the events are now historic (in the past) - crucial - and current trading, says the company, is fine, i anticipate after that I will buy back some of what I sold after results, but i want to be fully reassured first. I can see no reason why anything more should be uncovered, this has been properly and very fully investigated now and it is clear today's statement attempts to get all the sh*t out in a "oner" - probably the best way to handle things. Actually guitarist looks like Third Eye's post has cost you, up 40% from yesterday's low, hardly a dead cat! i first bought this at 9.75p.

Importantly, the company says it expects no 'material' other problems to be found, (if there was anything likely to be very minimal - zero and i mean ZERO, chance of this business failing) so although as with any loss it didn't show real performance, this impacted only 3 centres of 12 (now 14) further minimizing its real impact. Strong cashflow has clearly impressed the banks too. Remember the REAL value is somewhat hidden too here - ironically! When repayments are complete, they will have a nav of 10 million (current market cap 3 million). That is why long termers will be happy to ride this out and reap the rewards. Shown itself to be a tough little business nugget the way it has been able to take this on chin and come back fighting already.

However i would be surprised in this instance if more bargain hunters do not materialise before results and the chances are they will have made the right move. I am impressed by management's swift and full reaction to investigate.

My final comment is that it is disappointing of course, and the sort of thing that no amount of bulletin board discussion can reasonably foresee, otherwise every business in the world would suffer the same sort of speculation.

A

Legins - 17 Mar 2004 10:55 - 115 of 245

hawick, thankfully I had sold @ 28p as I felt at the time because of a previous weak trading statement there wouldn't be much upside if any at all untill just prior to next results and AFD was more tempting. Agree with your comments though and have it on my watch list as on next accounts the share price should begin to recover.

jfletendre - 17 Mar 2004 11:31 - 116 of 245

On the plus side for JCR, having read all the posts on other B&Bs including an excert from today's FT today, which finishes with

"But bold investors can occasionally make a killing on occasions like this. As a division of Dixons Motors, the company had turnover of 22m in 2002. The directors say the company was profitable in the first two months of the current year. But the market value at yesterday's close, was only 2m"

plus today's bounce, for now, I'm holding.

It would be great too to refrain from personal attacks and vendettas Third Eye -it appears to me that you only appear when you gleefully have ammunition to fire at GF - not interested in that - in fact, it's as a direct result of his input that I've made some pretty healthy profits - and it's not as if ANYONE (unless you had a crystal ball?) could predict a crooked accountant tarnishing the prospects of JCR...

Legins - 17 Mar 2004 12:00 - 117 of 245

Just goes to show how many crooked and cowboy accountants there are! Glad to see JCR have kicked them into touch and show this won't be tolerated! Personally I think the accountants should pay JCR compensation (Do they hold professional liability insurance?) in damages.

goldfinger - 17 Mar 2004 12:52 - 118 of 245

Well theres certainly a bounce back on. Now up 28%.

cheers GF.

ps, thanks jfletendre, for your insight on the poster Thirdeye, Im glad you can see through his motivations, and yes it is personal and shouldnt be conducted on this board. This site is above those kind of gutter practices.

ThirdEye - 25 Mar 2004 20:39 - 119 of 245

JCR seem to have had their spike now, lets sum up:


Reducing margins....fact.
Very High gearing.....fact
Interest rate trend upwards....fact
Went to bank & borrowed on false figures....fact
Just had a mild winter.....fact.
Exceptional costs very likely.

goldfinger - 26 Mar 2004 00:38 - 120 of 245

Lifted from another board..........



egoi - 25 Mar'04 - 19:18 - 50 of 60


No worries. FT says BUY, ARM newsletter says BUY, two new Year tipsheets also said BUY.

So, Outsider/thirdeye whistles in the wind. I think he is confusing this one with Britannia which, i agree, is every day more and more a sell. He has no evidence of forthcoming bad news,(or he would state it), has almost certainly not talked to management since the disclosure (or ever) and I would not be surprised if he or his pal are shorting JCR, hence the bulls**t. Otherwise, I don't understand his miserable, jealous campaign (over a year now) against a company in which he has never owned a share - and a company that has time and again proved him badly wrong, yet he persists.
I am told he has been banned from UQ for vacuous sniping and given a final warning on an ADVFN competitor. And so sadly this weak character spends time talking virtually to himself on a site with hardly any members. Would you trust someone like that...............



ThirdEye - 26 Mar 2004 07:19 - 121 of 245

Forget the personal attack above the issue is JCR:

shareholders should check:

Reducing margins....fact.
Very High gearing.....fact
Interest rate trend upwards....fact
Went to bank & borrowed on false figures....fact
Just had a mild winter.....fact.
Exceptional costs very likely.
Directors bought options at 1p.....fact
Will the debt be resheduled to longer than 2008....possibly.

all on UK-Wire RNS or MoneyAM.

IanT(MoneyAM) - 26 Mar 2004 07:25 - 122 of 245

Gentlemen,

Can we please keep away from discussing the merrits of other posters - albeit in this instance duplicated from a third party - on this board.

Please can we stick to discussion on the company be it either negative or positive.

Ian
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