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Griffin Mining ; ready for production (GFM)     

Sharesure - 04 May 2005 17:10

Griffin Mining

GFM is now within 10 days of commencing production and as it has stock piled zinc ore during the mine construction period the company should be in a position to forecast with confidence that it will comfortably beat not only the brokers current forecast but also the later extrapolated projections prepared by me to reflect the prevailing higher zinc price. Those projections were for earnings of 3.33p this year and 12.1p for 2006.
The income will also facilitate a more extensive drilling and exploration programme, not just for more zinc, but also gold so there is scope for a steady and positive news flow after the 15 May production start date and the publication of their results around that time.
The shares have been overlooked by the market as the current price does not reflect the transition from pure exploration company to production/income producing status.

Andy - 03 Jun 2005 16:31 - 103 of 144

Sharesure,

IC printed a correction last week.

Sharesure - 03 Jun 2005 18:06 - 104 of 144

Oh, missed that. It must have been tucked away? Anyway, let's hope next week GFM is abit more inspiring.

Andy - 03 Jun 2005 20:02 - 105 of 144

sharesure,

It was near the back of the IC, on a right hand page, in a crimson/red coloured column on the extreme right hand side of teh page, with a list of the weeks events, and it was below this list.

Edit.

Page 59, column 3, 3/4 of the way down the page, last week's issue.

Sharesure - 06 Jun 2005 08:48 - 106 of 144

Andy, Thanks. Looks like GFM is headed for a better week, all buys so far, and as far as I know that isn't because of weekend press comment.

stockbunny - 06 Jun 2005 11:16 - 107 of 144

Well just 'cross' everything chaps and chappesses!
x:>)-X: (crossed bunny ears and legs!)

Sharesure - 07 Jun 2005 13:45 - 108 of 144

Crawling back up, but the low volume is a real surprise. When is the market going to catch on that this is a company that will have a PE of under 5 inside 12 months, with afully funded drilling programme over the remainder of this year thrown in for nothing. I recognise that the good gets pulled down by the bad when sentiment is against the specific sector, but this is rediculous.
Hope Friday's AGM results in a higher profile.

tipton11 - 07 Jun 2005 18:39 - 109 of 144

its cash earnings that count in these markets which are full of blue sky propositions.

Sharesure - 07 Jun 2005 19:37 - 110 of 144

But this isn't blue sky. Its earning profits from its mine now.

brianboru - 07 Jun 2005 22:41 - 111 of 144

I think I got barred for a few days for saying that all Financial Journalists were as honest as the day is long earlier in the thread - I suspect some control freak thought I was being ironic and stopped my log ins for seven days!

Sharesure - 07 Jun 2005 22:51 - 112 of 144

brianboru : Sensitive lot! Now you are back have you any views on GFM's lack of appeal? It's crawling back up oh so slowly , having skidded down all too quickly the other week. There are plenty of crap exploration stocks around which won't ever make a profit, and will more than likely go bust after a few cash calls; this one looks to be one of a very small number that should succeed in style. Or have I missed something?

dibbles - 07 Jun 2005 23:52 - 113 of 144

I remember being in JKX some time ago watching the sp bounce around 40p.
They came out with good results and dropped to 36p & I started to wonder if
the market knew something I didn't.
Eventually I moved on and for no particular reason they flew.
I don't know when these will fly but this time I'll still be here when they do
as I'm sure they will sooner or later.

dibbles - 08 Jun 2005 00:05 - 114 of 144

Sharesure

As you kindly offered to take any questions to the agm I'd be interested to
know with regards to the co.s recent comments on being on the lookout for other
opportunities/aquisitions are they:-
1. Only talking about China..

2. Looking for further exploration licences or actual working mines.TIA.

aldwickk - 08 Jun 2005 07:05 - 115 of 144

RPT 1,231 Low risk = 100 Very high = 700
BFC 594
PET 584 Reuters risk grades,
SEO 378
CDN 358
CEY 236
GFM 202
JKX 159

Sharesure - 08 Jun 2005 07:58 - 116 of 144

dibbles, will ask your questions. They were meant to have a deal going with the Indian state owned exploration business when there were plans to privatise it about 18 months ago. The gov. shelved it, but I'll find out if that is now not ever going to happen.
I have had stocks that the moment you turn your back on them, they fly. It's perverse! I just keep wondering if I have missed something on my research of GFM since I haven't uncovered anything that would suggest they will do anything other than produce profits from now on. I accept that there are always the political risks, ( I reckon reduced due to China being in the WTO and also hosting the Olympics, so wanting to show everyone that they know how to be part of the international community) and mining risks generally, but this mine is not that deep or in an unstable geological area.

aldwikk, where did your risk scale come from and was ZOX on it as they are in zinc production so would provide a benchmark?

aldwickk - 08 Jun 2005 10:58 - 117 of 144

ZOX 182 Risk grade. http://investing.reuters.co.uk/stocks/quote.aspx?symbol=zox

Sharesure - 08 Jun 2005 11:21 - 118 of 144

That's interesting that ZOX is regarded as slightly less risky. I thought they had still to build their smelting plant (raising further funds to do that?) cf GFM who haved achieved that and are now producing. I guess it is time to wait for events to unfold at their own pace, but unless there is some factor out there which I have missed in my research GFM still looks to be the better bet both in terms of timing and level of certainty.

Sharesure - 08 Jun 2005 11:47 - 119 of 144

Not one 'buy' today. Does anyone know if this stock is being bashed somewhere?

sidtrix - 08 Jun 2005 11:55 - 120 of 144

SEY risk- 164 ... @ only 16p!!!

Sharesure - 08 Jun 2005 15:05 - 121 of 144

Tempted to say so what, this thread is about GFM! Mining/exploration stocks generally seem to be no ones' favourite at the moment, but that just gives buying opportunities; in the end profits will drive the price up to the more appropriate level for those stocks that are worth investing in. there is a silver lining to the recent shake-out; alot of rival projects requiring funding will not proceed, driving up base metal prices for those able to meet the demand.

stockbunny - 08 Jun 2005 15:34 - 122 of 144

It's still one of mine although I wish it would get some real
publicity somewhere on it's prospects alone. No sign of Brian...???
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