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yoomedia share for the future (YOO)     

mactavish - 10 Sep 2004 22:20

Company Profile

YooMedia plc is one of the fastest growing interactive entertainment companies in the UK.
Since 1997 we have been developing and launching leading B2C consumer brands in the gaming and community sectors. We also work in a B2B capacity with leading brand owners, agencies, content developers and broadcasters to design and develop their interactive content strategies.

Led by Executive Chairman Dr. Michael Sinclair and Group Managing Director Neil MacDonald, YooMedia has assembled a highly experienced management team that possesses a unique blend of skills and experience in the areas of Digital TV, Internet and mobile phone services and technology.

With main office locations in London, Exeter and Maidstone, YooMedia manages core assets including:

Over 30 office locations throughout the UK alone

State-of-the-art studio, production and post-production facilities at our Wapping location.

UK broadcast return path & bandwidth owner

Fully fledged UK Bookmaker License

Database with over 350K UK singles

SMS Engine access with international reach

Fully staffed 50 seat Customer Contact Centre in Maidstone, Kent

YooMedia Dating & Chat - Our dating subsidiary company manages the oldest and largest UK-owned dating brands including Dateline, Club Sirius and Avenues. YooMedia Dating has over 20 office locations throughout the UK and also manages YooChat, our world-leading interactive chat service found on UK digital cable on the Telewest platform (platform extensions planned for 2005).

YooMedia Gambling & Games - Combining the brands of Avago and Channel 425 (in partnership with William Hill) YooMedia is on the leading-edge of interactive fixed odds, casino and poker gambling services for digital TV, the web and 3G mobile phones. Our gaming business also manages YooPlay, the only interactive just for fun games channel found on all four Digital TV platforms in the United Kingdom.

YooMedia Enhanced Solutions (YES) - YES works with brand owners, agencies, content owners and broadcasters to clarify the options, define the strategies and deliver the interactive content that enhances consumer and audience experiences. YES customers include the BBC, Nestle, Celador, William Hill, Channel 4, ZipTV, The Cartoon Network and HR Owen.

iPublic - 10 Apr 2005 12:58 - 1030 of 3776

The channel could play a constant stream of adverts and trailers for Tesco. with limited other content. Tesco pay for this, so the content is Tesco's responsibilty.

At the top of the screen, viewers would be invited to press the red button, to enter the interactive, shopping and information portal.

Yoomedia receive a fixed fee, to maintain channel and portal.

Malkie, excellent points. The growth possibiltys in this one area, gives me a headache! Whether Tesco's ran the channel at a loss or profit, depends on the investment they are prepared to make in content. Yoomedia recieve a fixed fee, our costs + profit margin. Imagine 100 of such channels, portals!!!

2007 Solutions revenue, 45m! I won't annoy you by projecting EPS and SP. Lol!

If the capacity constraints are a problem, Yoomeda will make any the required investment. The EPS implications are obvious!

The question is not will it happen, but when? Viavision already manage, operate, 5 television channels and this appears to be the path, the Solutions division is taking. The only limit to future Solutions earnings is capacity.

Now do certain posters get it? Project the solutions business, two years into the future and the EPS explodes. Sky MUST give space on the EPG to anyone who wants it, with apparently a MASSIVE amount of spare capacity. How many investors, really understand this part of Yoomedia, bearing in mind Gross margin of 100%. Does the analyst unnderstand the potential? Has he thought about it? Do fund managers understand?

chad - 11 Apr 2005 09:57 - 1031 of 3776

iPubic, will the EVO note be posted on the Money AM newsboard?

iPublic - 11 Apr 2005 11:42 - 1032 of 3776

Chad

http://www.evbgresearch.com/

chad - 11 Apr 2005 11:48 - 1033 of 3776

Ta.

iPublic - 11 Apr 2005 12:03 - 1034 of 3776

From another BB. Full credit Nissi Beach

Nissi beach - 11 Apr'05 - 11:50 - 21 of 22

New thoughts

I have revised my spreadsheet with a lower figure for the gaming growth at around 100m from current march figure pa 78m (28% growth) v 35% for industry and margins are as EVO forecast

On the gaming there should be potential for upside on the 5.5% (i.e if 6% extra EBITA of 0.5m

The area that seems very strange is EVO deprecation of 2.5m. According to the balance sheet they only have 3m of fixed assets. Usual policies of 2-3 years write down would give a MAX charge of 1.5m adding 1m to EBITA

So even though I have slashed the forecast 20% I can still get an EPS HIGHER than EVOS at 0.9p

To make the growth required on gaming equal an EPS of 0.8p it only needs 91m of revenue or 7.5m pm

Trigger just for YOO if the 120m on gaming comes in EPS could be 1.2p



Comments on risk factors


1) Sky threat

Yes sky are upgrading their product but I dont see them as a big threat

a) There main focus is on getting more 30pm subscribers before the switch off and see freeview as major threat so focus not as high on gaming
b) If they succeed with a) they are just increasing the market potential for both Yoomedia and sky Vegas
c) Again if they are a success with Sky Vegas other operators (ITV/cable/Freeview) will want to exploit the revenue. Who can help them with text option and return path its YOO. Even if SKY stop all growth from gaming (unlikely since market is growing 40%+ one 1m contract for business services makes up for 20m shortfall
d) Sky make up only 50% of current market and we do have games on cable

2) Dating area

There is already a lot of competition. Dating direct already has 1m members some paying 4pm so if friends reunited start they would suffer more

3) People move away from iTV portal

YOO has a multiple platform portfolio, which is capable of reducing this risk

These factors have no doubt come from YOO management so they must be quite happy they are covered to allow them to be pubic ally displayed and it makes sense now the rapid are diversified growth they have done over the last 2 years to reduce the risk factors very substantiality.

We have deals with mobile phone operators
3 are increasing the 3G market ready for us to exploit (imagine gambling on the mobile phone.

The management have shown over the last 2 years they have the ability to deliver on forecasts because

1) They have grow the company from nothing
2) They have integrated buys (Whoosh paid higher bonuses recently)
3) Now EBITA +ve has promised in merger docs
4) Deliver above forecast savings


Conclusion

I am very confident (for an accountant) the management have positioned us in the right sectors at the right time and they have the rights skills to make us richer

iPublic - 11 Apr 2005 13:13 - 1035 of 3776

Nissi Beach, a long term Shareholder and qualified account, has prepared a spreadsheet on YOO, which will be updated when appropriate. Nissi is pleased to provide the spreadsheet to all exisitng and potential investors.

nissi_beach@hotmail.com

chad - 11 Apr 2005 14:40 - 1036 of 3776

Nice: 1 buy 1million 1 buy 988,000.

iPublic - 11 Apr 2005 16:01 - 1037 of 3776

From another BB. Full credit to PaulSmith

psmith64 - 11 Apr'05 - 14:17 - 35 of 36

Ian West - I think you would have to be a brave person to put a value on Yoomedia in five years time - this is going to be a business that will grow quickly as DTV becomes the norm, not just here in the UK, but Worldwide.

To put guesswork into context in a fast growth area - who could have guessed the growth of eBay over a five year period - based on that - if Yoomedia could hit the same rate of growth, in a business that I believe has the chance to grow at the same pace as eBay - we could easily see a massive rise over a five year period.

There are a lot of similarities between the both business models:-

Ebay - started in its home country, the USA, but quickly spread across the world on the back of the growth of the internet

Yoomedia - started in its home country, the UK, and will have the ability to take advantage of the worldwide growth of DTV and iTV services, already, we are moving into Europe, the USA in my opinion, will not be far away.

Ebays growth

Year 2000 - Turnover $ 431 million - Profit $ 48 million

Year 2005 - Turnover $ 3271 million - Profit $ 778 million

A turnover growth of 759% , but a profit growth of 1620%

I believe we could see the same type of growth with Yoomedia

Incidentally - I have been a registered seller on eBay for six and a half years, was one of the first in the UK to use it, was used by them in early magazine features - as it gave me the ability then to leave full time employment just over 6 years ago - I started doing two days a week eBay, and three days a week consultancy work, in time, my eBay has dropped off a little, as my consultancy business grew very quickly - the moral of that story - is to sometimes put your money where your mouth is when you have a gut feeling about something - well, I missed the boat by not investing in eBay directly when I knew it was a good thing, the very business which gave me a little more freedom, - but failed to invest in it - well, I have the same feeling about Yoomedia, only this time, I have invested, and am prepared to sit tight for 5 years minimum.

Regards

Paul

iPublic - 11 Apr 2005 16:02 - 1038 of 3776

Paul

I'm not going to speculate on EPS beyond 2006, but I can agree with your sentiment regarding Ebay. Paul is not making up story's, the key reason why Ebay was able to produce twice as much profit than revenue growth, was due to the very high Gross margin of the business, once a certain critical mass was achieved, all revenue is profit.

Yoomedia's Solutions division enjoys a 100% Gross Margin. The implications are once the Fixed costs, Central Costs, Depreciation are covered, ALL revenue from new business, dives straight to the bottom line Pre Tax Profit. In March, our Solutions division, exceeded this required critial mass. So broadly speaking, assuming the majority of the March revenue is repeated over the next 9 months, every single 1 of revenue earned is 100% pure profit gold!

Yes, capacity can stall revenue growth, but only in the short term. In addition, certain revenues may not repeat the next month, but people understand the general principle now?

The 100% Gross margins from Solutions, also reduces the risk of other divisions not performing.

"Ian West - I think you would have to be a brave person to put a value on Yoomedia in five years time - this is going to be a business that will grow quickly as DTV becomes the norm, not just here in the UK, but Worldwide."

This really is the whole point. Yoomedia can now provide a complete or partial solution to anyone who requires any type of digital presence on television. The amount of business available globally is sufficient to be shared by several major players, including YOO and still provide massive growth for the SP over 5 years. So you see, PaulSmith is not ramping or acting in an irresponsible maner, he really has sat down and thought about it.

jimwren - 11 Apr 2005 19:17 - 1039 of 3776

just before close another buy - 2 million !

iPublic - 12 Apr 2005 10:10 - 1040 of 3776

Will be interesting if any large trades are sneaked through today.

Tesco have broken through the 2b profit mark. Tesco TV might cost a paltry 5m. YOO make say 250k profit a year and then sign 50 contracts with other large corporations who can afford it.

12.5m profit a year, just on this small part of the business. Market cap 500m. Such a chain of events is possible over a couple of years.

On a digital television forum I post on, the experts say it's a reasonable idea and is very likely to happen in a limited way, only the very large, profitable brand names. YOO only need it in a limited way, for shareholders to run off with the profits.

iPublic - 12 Apr 2005 15:35 - 1041 of 3776

From Paul Smith on another BB. Thanks Paul.

We have spoken a lot about competition over the the past few days - this will be healthy, and it will happen, but Tesco, did not get where they were today without Asda, Safeway ( now Morrison ), Sainsbury, Co Op etc - and all are still around to share what is a massive market.

Don't underestimate what a massive market Yoomedia have ahead of them, especially do not lose sight of the fact that Yoomedia have patented technology, that will lead to third party licenses in time.

Just one thing from the recent results and EVO research note sticks in my mind:-

2 million revenue from approx 20 primetime broadcast hours just relating to Celador's " Who Wants To Be A Millionaire " Walkaway gamne - 60% gross margin as quoted in the recent Timesonline article, split three ways between ITV, Celador and Yoomeida - the exact split is unknown as this is covered by a confidentially clause.

And all that for a paltry 1000 prize !!!!!!!!!!!!!!, what will happen to those revenues when the 7,000,000 viewers are evenutually presented with a 5,000, maybe 10,000 or one day maybe a 1,000,000 prize - we know that Yoomedia have a capacity to deal with 1,800,000 SMS messages per hour = 800,000 left even after giving away a 1,000,000 prize - I am sure this is where this is heading, but not just in the UK - in over 100 countries worldwide.

That is just one example, with a very high probability of happening, within the next 2 years of what is achievable for one part of Yoomedia's business, with one client.

Now take that situation to a programme such as " Coronation Street " , 14,000,000 regular viewers ( 95% of who have access to a mobile phone ) - broadcast 5 times per week - coming up to break time - viewers are presented with 4 what will happen to " Mike Baldwin after the break " senarios " or "Who will be the first character back on screen after the break ", that type of thing - the prize - say 10,000 we get 1,000,000 viewers responding.

The above I know is an assumption, but with ITV facing its toughest time to raise revenues due to the fact that advertising revenues now have to be shared with over 400 other independent UK broadcasters - this will be a way forward to increase revenues, and I am sure we will see this type of thing happening for certain - the technology is there, the viewers are there with their mobiles.

Anthing else that brings revenue into Yoomedia outside of it's solutions business, will be a bonus, but I would not be surprised to see Yoomedia sell out its gambling side in the future maybe to William Hill, when the time is right.

I see Yoomedia solutions as the part of the business that will be the most profitable, and with the patented technologies, the one that will benefit most from worldwide opportunity from the growth of DTV - as always, I recommend keeping an eye on www.dtg.org.uk for the worldwide picture on DTV.

I have had a further read of the EVO research note, and think they have been very conservative in there projections, although this does not help the price for now, it will when they have to re-rate it in the not too distant future, better that way than to be over optimistic for now.

I think we now have to wait for any new newsflow that comes out from Yoomedia regarding contracts, and trading updates along the way backing up the information from within the recent results before we see any real rise in the SP, just look at it as an extended period to buy in at good value IMHO, DYOR as always.

I know there are people on this board holding a paper loss, me included, but the reassurance from the last results give me the confidence to hold, and still add at these low prices to help the average down.

Regards

Paul

iPublic - 12 Apr 2005 17:03 - 1042 of 3776

How many of you are aware, the present run of Millionaire programs, which started in the autumn, was only scheduled to last 12 weeks?

However, Celador were so thrilled with the impact the 'Walkaway' game had on viewing figures, the show was given a vastly extended run and is of course, still broadcast on Saturday evenings. Infact, it may only stop, when Mr Tarrant needs an extended break.

Yes, this is true.

I have a Stakeholder, which I've decided to transfer into my online SIPP. Trouble is, it will take several weeks to go through. If YOO are still below 20p by then, I will invest the entire proceeds 14576 in Yoomedia shares. I expect this will develop into a 60000 lump sum, within three years.

http://www.sippdeal.co.uk/

chad - 12 Apr 2005 17:12 - 1043 of 3776

I'd just like to say thanks iPublic for all the work you put into this thread. I, and Im sure everyone else, really appreciate it and Im sure its all going to pay off one of these days for you and everyone else.

Cheers, Chad.

proptrade - 13 Apr 2005 12:34 - 1044 of 3776

hear hear. cheers iPublic.

brain2brain - 14 Apr 2005 08:51 - 1045 of 3776

I can't believe this. Does anyone have any idea why the big drop?

B2B

mcgrath1958 - 14 Apr 2005 08:54 - 1046 of 3776

gavdfc - 14 Apr 2005 08:54 - 1047 of 3776

B2B,

I think Shares mag have this down as a sell in this mornings issue so may be the reason for the drop. Not read the actual article so dont know exactly what it said though.

Gav

canary9 - 14 Apr 2005 08:55 - 1048 of 3776

Tip update today in Shares Mag. today suggesting sell.

mcgrath1958 - 14 Apr 2005 08:55 - 1049 of 3776

B2B

Shares magazine have these down as a SELL today saying they are losing to much money! iS VERY ANNOYING AFTER ALL THE buying hYPE THEY GAVE US!
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