EWRobson
- 09 Sep 2004 19:13
Header updated on 24th April 2008
Market has been looking for an announcement re a licensing deal for Cetilistat, the obesity drug; instead it has been hit with the withdrawal of Renzapride, colonitis drug, following an unauspicious performance at Phase III. Folloiwng has been edited to reflect the situation
Alizyme is a speciality biopharmaceutical company that has been developing product categories for inflammatory gastrointestinal disorders, obesity and supportive cancer care . It is currently trading at a five year low of around 27p with a market cap. of around 60m. Prudential owned a near 20% stake (reduced in sale today?) There was good institutional taku-up of a placing in March rasing 10m at 50p; no wonder there has been "angry" selling. The directors hold 3.34million shares or about 1.7% of the equity (of which Tim McCarthy, CEO has 1.1million); thus, after some 10 years of development effort, they must be comletely focused on the success of the company and multiplying the value of their holdings (but with real doubts about their marketing competence). Alizyme had previously raised capital sums in the past three years at around 70p and 100p so it was somewhat surprising to see the share fall through its 70p support level. Clearly one reason is the current disaffection with the biopharm. market. Another has to be disappointment for the failure of the CEO, Tim McCarthy, to deliver on his expectation that 2007 would be a transformative year. The key question is whether 2008 will be that year and when is it likely to happen? The following points are relevant:
1. Alizyme did sign one deal in late-2007: with Prometheus Labs (U.S.) for the Colal-Pred, at a potential market of $250m, the smallest potential of their four products. Prometheus pay $2.5m up-front with a total of $15m payable upon future development milestones. They are responsible for all US development costs and will pay Alizyme undisclosed royalty rates which will increase with net sales. The deal was followed by a Japanese licensing agreement (which also gave Alizymen access to additional potential drug candidates).
2. This perhaps sets a precedent for subsequent deals for their other products. Cetistat (obesity) has an estimated potential of $1 billion p.a. sales and ATL-104 (mucositis) has a potential of $500m sales. The U.S. FDA has encouraged AZM to also launch a Phase III exercise for Cetistat for all diabetes sufferer because of positive II results for diabetes sufferers who also suffer from obesity.
3. Whilst the development programmes for the other drugs are on-going and appear to be satisfactorily funded from present resources, this is not the case for Cetilistat. The "Product and Company Update statement" (7th Jan 2008) says that 'the Phase III development programme is now ready to commence following the conclusion of a commercial deal'. So, perhaps for the first time, the development programme would be delayed if there was not a funding deal in either the U.S. or Europe. The reason for the sp shooting to nearly 200p in 2004 was the signing of a deal with Takada of Japan for some $50M development funding.
In response to a question at the Conference to report the Renzapride fiasco, McCarthy seemed pleased that there were six potential bidders for Cetilistat; however, that implies any announcement is some time away. When it comes, however, taking a line from the Takada and Prometheus deals it would seem likely that there would be of the order of $100m funding to support development. Of course, the major cash flow will be from licensing of actual sales. The analysts do their own discounted cash flow exercises; those seen tend to dwarf current valuations of the company.
There is not a strong argument for jumping in unless and until the sp establishes a baseline. Given the peaks in the sp, the time will probably come when there will be a very significant jump. An alternative scenario, is that management continue to rpove their level of incompetence and a buy-our results. Clearly the strength of the company is in their biochemists.
Eric

Master RSI
- 14 Nov 2005 15:00
- 104 of 718
Yes the BREAKOUT is on now, though there is not much interes yet.
Once it breaks the previous high from a double bottom is considered a Breakout
Petty powerful on the way UP
Fred1new
- 14 Nov 2005 15:21
- 105 of 718
This is the information helping the sp.
"Alizyme PLC
14 November 2005
SCHEDULE 10
NOTIFICATION OF MAJOR INTERESTS IN SHARES
1. Name of company
Alizyme plc
2. Name of shareholder having a major interest
(i) Fidelity International Limited (FIL)
P.O. Box HM 670
Hamilton HMCX, Bermuda
Parent holding company for various direct and indirect subsidiaries, including
Fidelity Investment Services Ltd. (FISL), Fidelity Gestion (FIGEST), Fidelity
Investments Advisory (Korea) Limited (FIA(K)L), Fidelity Investments Management
(Hong Kong) Limited (FIMHK), Fidelity Pension Management (FPM), Fidelity
Investments Japan (FIJ) and Fidelity Investments International (FII), investment
managers for various non-US investment companies and institutional clients.
(ii) The notifiable interests also comprise the notifiable interest of:
Mr Edward C. Johnson 3d
82 Devonshire Street
Boston, MA 02109
A principal shareholder of FMR Corp. and Fidelity International Limited.
3. Please state whether notification indicates that it is in respect of holding
of the shareholder named in 2 above or in respect of a non-beneficial interest
or in the case of an individual holder if it is a holding of that person's
spouse or children under the age of 18
Shareholders named in 2 above
4. Name of the registered holder(s) and, if more than one holder, the number of
shares held by each of them
Shares Held Management Company Nominee/Registered Name
877,800 FPM JP Morgan, Bournemouth
133,900 FPM Citibank London
41,100 FPM Bank of New York Brussels
33,800 FPM Northern Trust London
677,489 FISL JP Morgan, Bournemouth
10,659,100 FIL Brown Brothers Harriman Ltd Lux
152,272 FIL Morgan Stanley, London
66,500 FIL State Street Bank &
Trust Co London
7,300 FIL Northern Trust London
87,500 FIJ Brown Brothers Harriman and Co
5. Number of shares / amount of stock acquired
1,575,020 ordinary shares
6. Percentage of issued class
0.89%
7. Number of shares / amount of stock disposed
Not applicable
8. Percentage of issued class
Not applicable
9. Class of security
Ordinary shares of 2p each
10. Date of transaction
Not disclosed
11. Date company informed
11 November 2005
12. Total holding following this notification
12,736,761
13. Total percentage holding of issued class following this notification
7.16%
14. Any additional information
These notifications of disclosable interests constitute separate notifications of interest in the shares and are
combined solely for the purposes of clarity and efficiency. Nothing herein should be taken to indicate that FMR Corp.
and its direct and indirect subsidiaries, Fidelity International Limited and its direct and indirect subsidiaries or Mr
Edward C. Johnson 3d act as a group or in concert in respect of the disclosed interests, or that they are required to
submit these notifications on a joint basis.
15. Name of contact and telephone number for queries
David Campbell
Tel. No. +44 (0)1223 896000
16. Name and signature of authorised company official responsible for making
this notification
David Campbell, Company Secretary
Date of notification
14 November 2005
""""
Fred1new
- 17 Nov 2005 14:06
- 106 of 718
This is really flying. Not certain why.
ianwas
- 06 Dec 2005 08:56
- 107 of 718
News from 9 th nov providing the impetus for this good chart uptrend which will be def confirmed above approx 135p....
ianwas
- 08 Dec 2005 09:55
- 109 of 718
FRED1NEW
Lots of information there but I usually just rely on upward patterns,long term charts for perspective and ceiling indications and always like good news behind the move.
Could you enlighten me as to what these charts tell us!!!
Kivver
- 08 Dec 2005 10:25
- 110 of 718
Im with you Ian, the chart is going up, what more do you need to know! Bought right at the bottom too, come on azm.
Fred1new
- 08 Dec 2005 12:16
- 111 of 718
Ian and Kivver, I sorry I don't think I could enlighten either of you.
Kivver
- 08 Dec 2005 15:14
- 112 of 718
oh you could fred, our friend, can you please tell us when the line is definately going to go down. cheers.
Fred1new
- 08 Dec 2005 16:13
- 113 of 718
Unfortunately only where the price was, and the direction of the past trend.
which do give a clue to the future sometimes.
A bit like you getting into your car in the morning and hoping it will start.
Sometimes you are right and sometimes you will be wrong.
Some cars you will bet on and some you wont.
At the moment I am betting on AZMs trend will continue upwards for a period, as is suggested by the indicators and support lines. Unfortunately, the volumes at present are small.
I tell you more a couple of days after I sell.
Kivver
- 08 Dec 2005 16:19
- 114 of 718
lol, is that how to treat a fellow Brummy. ps had my ford focus 3 years and has never failed me, touch wood, what a car. azm is a ford focus the bets are on!
Kivver
- 12 Dec 2005 08:38
- 115 of 718
off to a flyer following tests. http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=1091816
Also a web cast today at 10am. This has got to be worth a look for the long term.
ianwas
- 12 Dec 2005 15:16
- 116 of 718
Excellent start to the day, but somewhat dissapointing later on. Don't know what the news was worth but I expect that there is resistance at 140 and people are just happy to get there money back from several months ago. Lets see if the coming days and weeks move the price to levels above 140 and a clear run to .....????
ianwas
- 13 Dec 2005 08:36
- 117 of 718
Someone playing games out there! For the betting men amongst you what are the odds of in the first 30 trades in 7 mins of opening that there will be 12 sells of exactly 3750 shares each (at 1.35 = 5k)??? Someone trying to knock the price or unload more than nms in bundles, which is meant to be illegal as "it distorts the market" Hmmm.......
Fred1new
- 13 Dec 2005 08:50
- 118 of 718
I have just been sent the following:-
"That Alizyme shares edged just 4p higher to 140p on the promising data its fat-busting drug reflected disappointment that there was no news of a licensing deal with a bigger partner.
Investors are becoming impatient about the lack of any update. They were expecting some sort of alliance to be agreed this year. In the meantime, Alizyme will present results on another drug for mucositis that could put downward pressure on the shares. Avoid for now says the Times.
Fred1new
- 13 Dec 2005 10:27
- 119 of 718
Kivver, Just to keep you happy. Copy of note to My BB questioning whether to sell. (He sent me previous info)
Composed about 30mins ago.
AZM Selling volume is small dealing Vol 800K + b-s 1-3 Average Vol 1.5 million.
I dont know. Sensible stop loss at 128.5 p if you are in profit.
I reduced hold at 134 and 127p some time ago and re-bought some
It is a bumpy run.
Current Brokers View as a buy.
Alizyme reports positive data trial of obesity drug cetilistat
LONDON (AFX) - Alizyme PLC's promising obesity drug cetilistat was found statistically to lead to weight loss among participants of a phase IIb trial.
The results mean the company can now prepare for final tests of the product.
The trial also found a statistically significant reduction in a molecule that indicates propensity to diabetes, HbA1c, in those taking cetilistat.
The study compared patients given cetilistat, a placebo or Xenical, GlaxoSmithKline PLC and Roche AG's marketed weight ...
Monday, 12/12/05, 07:46
Opinion
TA short term is miserable, long term looks good But they move the spread and Market size about.
Funny old market
Making a little against it is worrying.
ianwas
- 13 Dec 2005 10:41
- 120 of 718
STILL MAINTAIN IT IS A BEAR RAID ON BACK OF TODAYS NEWS JUST LOOK AT TRADES!!! Similar amounts,AT trades,often in clumps of same or familiar amounts in the same minute????
Fred1new
- 24 Jan 2006 13:25
- 121 of 718
Nice to see an Institution buying.
"Alizyme PLC
24 January 2006
SCHEDULE 10
NOTIFICATION OF MAJOR INTERESTS IN SHARES
1. Name of listed company
Alizyme plc
2. Name of shareholder with a major interest
Prudential plc and certain of its subsidiary companies
3. Please state whether notification indicates that it is regarding the holding
of the shareholder named in 2 above; in respect of a non-beneficial interest; or
in the case of an individual holder if it is a holding of that person's spouse
or children under the age of 18
Shareholders named in 2 above
4. Name of the registered holder(s) and, if more than one holder, the number of
shares held by each of them
Registered Holder Holding %
BANK OF NEW YORK (NOMS) LTD/636922 152,612 0.09
NORTRUST NOMINEE LTD A/C MHF01 26,031 0.01
NORTRUST NOMINEE LTD A/C MKK01 11,802,621 6.60
NORTRUST NOMS LTD A/C MEB01 2,986,237 1.67
NORTRUST NOMS LTD A/C MEL01 176,515 0.10
PRUCLT HSBC GIS NOM (UK) PAC AC 2,555,036 1.43
PRUCLT HSBC GIS NOM (UK) PPL AC 2,201,848 1.23
Total Notifiable Interest 19,900,900 11.13
5. Number of shares / amount of stock acquired
1,371,173 ordinary shares
6. Percentage of issued class
0.77%
7. Number of shares / amount of stock disposed
Not applicable
8. Percentage of issued class
Not applicable
9. Class of security
Ordinary shares of 2p each
10. Date of transaction
Not disclosed
11. Date listed company informed
23 January 2006
12. Total holding following this notification
19,900,900
13. Total percentage holding of issued class following this notification
11.13%
14. Any additional information
Not applicable
15. Name of contact and telephone number for queries
David Campbell
Tel. No. +44 (0)1223 896000
16. Name and signature of duly authorised officer of the listed company
responsible for making this notification
David Campbell, Company Secretary
Date of notification
24 January 2006
The FSA does not give any express or implied warranty as to the accuracy of this
document or material and does not accept any liability for error or omission.
The FSA is not liable for any damages (including, without limitation, damages
for loss of business or loss of profits) arising in contract, tort or otherwise
from the use of or inability to use this document, or any material contained in
it, or from any action or decision taken as a result of using this document or
any such material.
"
Would expect a slight rise in SP.
Fred1new
- 02 Feb 2006 12:27
- 122 of 718
More Institutional Buying
Home Log Out Upgrade Our Services My Account Contact Help
Stockwatch Level 2 Portfolio Charts Shares Magazine Research Quote Indices Market Scan Company Zone Traders' Room
NewsWatch Trades Terminal Alerts Stock Screener Heatmaps News Mobile Futures Forward Diary Investors' Room
Credit Cards Banking Directory Savings Personal Finance Insurance Loans Book Shop Mortgages Forex Games Room
Alizyme PLC
02 February 2006
SCHEDULE 10
NOTIFICATION OF MAJOR INTERESTS IN SHARES
1. Name of listed company
Alizyme plc
2. Name of shareholder with a major interest
(A) FMR Corp
82 Devonshire Street
Boston, MA 02109
Parent holding company of Fidelity Management & Research Company (FMRCO), investment manager for US mutual funds, and
Fidelity Management Trust Company (FMTC), a US state chartered bank which acts as a trustee or investment manager of
various pension and trust accounts.
(B) Fidelity International Limited (FIL)
P.O. Box HM 670
Hamilton HMCX, Bermuda
Parent holding company for various direct and indirect subsidiaries, including Fidelity Investment Services Ltd. (FISL)
and Fidelity Pension Management (FPM), investment managers for various non-US investment companies and institutional
clients.
(C) The notifiable interests also comprise the notifiable interest of:
Mr Edward C. Johnson 3d
82 Devonshire Street
Boston, MA 02109
A principal shareholder of FMR Corp. and Fidelity International Limited.
3. Please state whether notification indicates that it is regarding the holding
of the shareholder named in 2 above; in respect of a non-beneficial interest; or
in the case of an individual holder if it is a holding of that person's spouse
or children under the age of 18
Shareholders named in 2 above
4. Name of the registered holder(s) and, if more than one holder, the number of
shares held by each of them
Shares Held Management Company Nominee/Registered Name
1,320,400 FPM JP Morgan, Bournemouth
227,200 FPM Northern Trust London
145,700 FPM Citibank London
91,600 FPM Bank of New York
Brussels
59,400 FPM Mellon Bank
31,900 FPM State Street Bank &
Trust Co London
23,200 FPM Bankers Trust London
8,200 FPM Midland Securities Services
900 FPM Clydesdale Bank PLC
600 FMTC Brown Brothers Harriman and Co
500 FMTC JP Morgan Chase Bank
400 FMTC State Street Bank & Trust Co
200 FMRCO State Street Bank & Trust Co
472,210 FISL JP Morgan, Bournemouth
15,161,807 FIL Brown Brothers Harriman Ltd Lux
152,272 FIL Morgan Stanley, London
73,300 FIL State Street Bank & Trust Co
London
17,500 FIL Northern Trust London
10,800 FIL JP Morgan, Bournemouth
6,900 FIL Bank of New York Brussels
900 FIL National ASTL Bank Melbourne
101,220 FIJ Brown Brothers Harriman and Co
5. Number of shares / amount of stock acquired
1,821,114 ordinary shares
6. Percentage of issued class
1.02%
7. Number of shares / amount of stock disposed
Not applicable
8. Percentage of issued class
Not applicable
9. Class of security
Ordinary shares of 2p each
10. Date of transaction
Not disclosed
11. Date listed company informed
2 February 2006
12. Total holding following this notification
17,907,109
13. Total percentage holding of issued class following this notification
10.02%
14. Any additional information
These notifications of disclosable interests constitute separate notifications of interest in the shares and are
combined solely for the purposes of clarity and efficiency. Nothing herein should be taken to indicate that FMR Corp.
and its direct and indirect subsidiaries, Fidelity International Limited and its direct and indirect subsidiaries or Mr
Edward C. Johnson 3d act as a group or in concert in respect of the disclosed interests, or that they are required to
submit these notifications on a joint basis.
15. Name of contact and telephone number for queries
David Campbell
Tel. No. +44 (0)1223 896000
16. Name and signature of duly authorised officer of the listed company
responsible for making this notification
David Campbell, Company Secretary
Date of notification
2 February 2006
The FSA does not give any express or implied warranty as to the accuracy of this
document or material and does not accept any liability for error or omission.
The FSA is not liable for any damages (including, without limitation, damages
for loss of business or loss of profits) arising in contract, tort or otherwise
from the use of or inability to use this document, or any material contained in
it, or from any action or decision taken as a result of using this document or
any such material.
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
| Register | Our Services | About MoneyAM | Terms and Conditions | Privacy Policy | Investment Warning | Content Standards | Corporate Solutions | Advertise With Us |
2005 MoneyAM
EWRobson
- 02 Feb 2006 16:00
- 123 of 718
Positive quote in Shares today, as follows:
"Anti-obesity drug developer Alizyme's shares did not ignite the market in 2005, finishing a net 26% down after dropping over 50% at one stage. However, the technical view shows that the bull trendline started in late 2002 largely held-up and subsequently the shorter bear trendline has given way. The RSI study is once more on positive ground, though Fibonacci resistance at 145p must give potential to see recovery toward the 2004 high at 222p."
I buy this argument and have re-opened a position in the share, some what belatedly but couldn't do so earlier for a lack of funds. Will try to add comments this evening why its worth buying in with a test of the previous high as an initial target.
Eric