cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 12 Feb 2008 18:07
- 1044 of 21973
nimbleness and some luck required ..... don't really agree with your analysis, though think FTSE top is no higher than 6230 and bottom 5690
explosive
- 12 Feb 2008 19:37
- 1045 of 21973
Just closed -190 points, that clears out 3/4 of last weeks profit made..... CAUTION springs to mind, Buffett get a hair cut... Very unpridictible times, was sure of a fall with General Motors results, oh well another day..
cynic
- 12 Feb 2008 19:57
- 1046 of 21973
interesting you should do that though do not know the level ..... am currently contemplating shorting around 12430, not that i think there will be ahuge sell-off, but just that there may be a turn .... shall be happy if Dow finishes at say 12350 - i.e. well above the fairly critical 12300 mark
now short 12441 .... we shall see
explosive
- 12 Feb 2008 19:58
- 1047 of 21973
Its been a day of looking at the charts thinking more about where to limit losses and if fallbacks are due at what prices.... Definatly more pot luck than anything at the moment.... Gonna play safe and wait for signs of topping out before shorting again, maybe concenrate on the FTSE and let Watt St steady into a trend more.... Good advice if I manage to follow it, I know what I'm like, if I think I've spotted a days or weeks trend....!!
explosive
- 12 Feb 2008 20:12
- 1048 of 21973
Cynic I'd add another 100 pts to your 12350 as this push has got the market interested... Wouldn't be surprised if tomorrows news features Warren again, only 1 decine so far 2 still to go... Very funny today. The Buffett article I don't view positivley at all, if anything it highlights possibilities of losses, in other sectors of the American markets.
The chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway Inc told CNBC television that he had extended the offer to MBIA Inc, Ambac Financial Group Inc and FGIC Corp.
Buffett said he would charge premiums of 50 percent above what the bond insurers are receiving from issuers on the policies, which many analysts saw as a high price. There is a good chance that none of the bond insurers that received the offer will accept it, portfolio managers said.
From The Guardian.....
Doesn't make sense, Market rally on hot air offer, topped with the worst news ever from General Motors.... However its Warren Buffett and stupid he's not..
cynic
- 12 Feb 2008 20:15
- 1049 of 21973
am out of that short again with nice little profit that will more than pay for Thursday dinner!
market really is very lively!
BigTed
- 12 Feb 2008 21:10
- 1050 of 21973
Just driven back from Torquay and the market had droppd 130 odd points in my absence! by the time i come to my senses its moved up 60 and not so appealing for a long, sheeesh, be nimble he says, more like lightening with the way this thing moves...!
explosive
- 12 Feb 2008 21:20
- 1051 of 21973
Falls away quickly then regains letting you know the downside....
maddoctor
- 12 Feb 2008 22:21
- 1052 of 21973
buffet trying to cherry pick the best bits , as you would expect from him - total hot air
stroreysj
- 13 Feb 2008 02:37
- 1053 of 21973
playing hang seng at the moment and far from an easy long. Have buys and sells set at the extremes and reversing back into rallys. Not paying alot as in a 50 point range with a 30 point spread but its still early.
cynic
- 13 Feb 2008 07:19
- 1054 of 21973
totally off subject, but does anyone undersatnd why the Republic nominee only needs to secure 1191 delegates whereas the Democrat needs 2025 (A(nyone) B(ut) C(linton)!?
i assumed all states carried the same number of delegates for each party, rather as we have a fixed number of MPs
bhunt1910
- 13 Feb 2008 07:21
- 1055 of 21973
With HS up and Nikkei up - I would not have expected wall st to have dropped by so much.
Boy have I got a lot to learn
cynic
- 13 Feb 2008 07:29
- 1056 of 21973
your hours sound back to front ....... anyway, Wall Street per se did not drop .... it closed well above the important 12300 level, albeit off its peak ..... if you are looking at indicator on IG or similar, that is often rather quirky with little reflection of reality at this time of the morning
spitfire43
- 13 Feb 2008 08:01
- 1057 of 21973
interesting to see where ftse opens, I feel it has risen 100 points too far, so looking for a short opportunity down to 5800.
Falcothou
- 13 Feb 2008 08:18
- 1058 of 21973
Looks like the rich twins Buffett and Gates have been wheeled in to stave off recession now that the Fed has run out of ideas. With this being a bear market market I guess this rally will reach a lower high than the last 12780 and again present a good shorting opportunity but then again it is dangerous to assume anything!
spitfire43
- 13 Feb 2008 08:56
- 1059 of 21973
ftse is down to 5814 already, I would not be comfortable going short or long from here, all I can hope for is a pull back to 5850 or 5860 before I can get a short away. The DAX seems to have now decided to follow ftse down, so may have missed the boat for my pull back. You never know though in these markets, anything could happen.
Falcothou
- 13 Feb 2008 09:18
- 1060 of 21973
Yeasterday's rise was perhaps a result of a bit of hope re. monoline and a lot of traders leaping on the break-out after a period of consolidation and then taking profits.
cynic
- 13 Feb 2008 16:53
- 1061 of 21973
two things to note today ....
FTSE
tried and failed to break through 5900.
if Wall Street manages to finish strong again tonight, then expect that barrier to fall tomorrow.
DOW
good strong start, but has so far baulked at the psychological 12500 level.
for the nimble, good money quite possibly to be made by trading in either direction tonight.
the key will be where the index closes ..... too far too fast? .... possibly, but if there is upward momentum behind the trading, then it is not inconceivable that 12500 will indeed be breached
bhunt1910
- 13 Feb 2008 17:51
- 1062 of 21973
Had my first serious day at traing the indexes today.
Made money on the trades - had some good runs - but also a couple of stupid bets which cost me money. By the time I had taken account of the cost of each trade - I ended up slightly down.
I also felt that I over traded - felt almost compelled to trade at times and ended up chasing the index as well.
Traded both FTSE and Wall st - which seemd ok
Also found that once I had placed a bet - I was glued to every movement of the index - quite nackering.
Hey Ho
cynic
- 13 Feb 2008 18:04
- 1063 of 21973
when the indices are volatile, which is the perfect time for making (or losing) money, you are quite right that you need to stay glued and focussed
this afternoon, Dow is very boring after its initial burst for glory