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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

Shortie - 08 Jan 2013 10:28 - 10444 of 21973

Euro-zone jobless rate highest since records began, no surprise really...

The Greek newspaper Kathimerini has reported that, over 2012, the total amount of Greek non-performing loans exploded higher, rising some 50% from December 2011 levels at 16% to 24% in December 2012. Kathimerini is quick to point out that, in total these non-performing loans add up to €55bn. This means that the sum of non-performing loans already exceeds the total funds now set aside to recapitalise the local credit system at €50bn. In turn this means not only that every single euro of the €50bn hypothecated to the Greek banking sector is accounted for by the gaping hole created by bad loans, but that Greece is already €5bn short!

The problem is no longer of sovereign debt anymore but what seams to be overlooked is the fact the countrys financial system is insolvent. If banks are unable to make money lending to an insolvent population then wheres the financing for any recovery going to come from. Does this situation just apply to Greece? I think not.....

ahoj - 08 Jan 2013 11:40 - 10445 of 21973

They will sell some of the assets and feed into the country to cope with those problems.
Don't worry so much.

Shortie - 08 Jan 2013 12:08 - 10446 of 21973

Oh yeah course they will Ahoj, like they got plenty of assets to sell that buyers are lining up for...!

skinny - 08 Jan 2013 12:57 - 10447 of 21973

6091? has been the ceiling since Feb 2011.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=UKX&Si

Toya - 08 Jan 2013 15:14 - 10448 of 21973

Looks like a pretty convincing, current ceiling!

4th Quarter Earnings reports kick off in the US today.
“With what we believe will be a so-so earnings season immediately ahead and the debt ceiling debate looming next month, we now see the stock market running into occasional pullbacks or periods of consolidation during the next six to eight weeks,” noted Fred Dickson, chief investment strategist at Davidson Cos.

Also in the US today:
National Federation of Independent Business said its small-business-optimism index for December edged higher, but it was still the second-worst reading since March 2010.

Toya - 09 Jan 2013 07:54 - 10449 of 21973

Alcoa’s shares climbed after hours after it said it swung to a fourth-quarter profit and expects global aluminum demand to grow 7% in 2013, compared with 6% in 2012.

“Alcoa’s results are generally considered a bellwether for the global economy, and the fact that the aluminium giant forecasts higher demand in 2013 appeased investors,” said Stan Shamu at IG Markets.

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 09:41 - 10450 of 21973

GBP Trade Balance -9.2B consensus -9.1B previous -9.5B

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 11:01 - 10451 of 21973

German Industrial Production m/m 0.2% consensus 1.1% previous -2.6%

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 14:29 - 10452 of 21973

FTSE dithering at 2 year highs - waiting for the US of A to open I guess.

Shortie - 09 Jan 2013 15:22 - 10453 of 21973

6106.8 opened another FTSE short position, this takes me to 4 open positions.

ahoj - 09 Jan 2013 15:25 - 10454 of 21973

Shortie, confidence is being built. Be careful!

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 15:28 - 10455 of 21973

Shortie - I entered @6,109.

I also got filled at 6092 after hours Friday and closed that @6,072.

I've been taking some money off the table today - so its bound to carry on up - you have been warned! :-)

Toya - 09 Jan 2013 15:43 - 10456 of 21973

Looks like BHunt would have been fine to keep his Long FTSE running even longer!

I've just come across this from Reuters:
Short-sellers circle US stocks as confidence wavers

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 15:45 - 10457 of 21973

Toya - its that 'psychological' time again - damned if you do, damned if you don't.

FTSE at its highest since Feb 2011..

Opinions?

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=UKX&Si

Shortie - 09 Jan 2013 16:06 - 10458 of 21973

Thanks for the warning Skinny, not often I'll go against the trend either but I'm confident the current rally in this economic climate won't last long. I've kicked myself too many times for not shorting the FTSE when its gone above 6000 and am not about to make the same mistake again. I remain +200% of margin funded and am comfortable with the risk this carries, maybe I'll end up losing my Apple short profit made last year, a risk I'm willing to accept...



Shortie - 09 Jan 2013 16:11 - 10459 of 21973



Note bollinger on the monthly chart above, top of the range and it hasn't pushed up, why, well I believe that there isn't the momentum to do so, trading has been too light.... We'll see, might go another 100 pts up to 6200 bhunts target price or might fall away as I suspect.

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 16:15 - 10460 of 21973

My short FTSE is a hedge against some good gains over the past few months AND the fact that I think 6,100 is a step too far atm.

The irony (for me) is that I've closed a few of those equities today and yesterday.

One of my bigger holdings (TSCO) report tomorrow, I've close an MRW short today and opened a SBRY long (just in profit).

So strategy clear as mud!

Toya - 09 Jan 2013 16:34 - 10461 of 21973

I just feel we've gone too far too fast - which is not always a bad thing... But for the markets, I do feel it can't go on at this pace. I still expect a pullback and then another rally up and away later in the year.

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 16:36 - 10462 of 21973

To bolster our 'feel good' factor, have a look at Davai's recent chart - post 191.

Shortie - 09 Jan 2013 16:43 - 10463 of 21973

I'm clearly in the hedge boat also Skinny, over the past year plus my stocks have done very nicely so my short adds a hedge element to increased risks of a Sterling sell off. My FTSE short strategy is to build a position using small stakes, so the risk is weighted as the FTSE climbs. Of course there is a point where I'll be forced out the market and one could always argue what happens to those that try and catch a falling knife.

I hold a heavy long position in FTO which is plus 30% up currently.
ISA Equity Stocks Held all in profit;
Beazley 58.1%
Drax 31.4%
Inchcape 14%
Legal & General 164.7%
Segro 5.75% 20/06/2035 (Bond) 53.8% bought at 67.62 yielding 8.5%

I have other equities but the above are my main exposure along with the banking sector RBS, LLOY, HSBA & BNC held in smaller stakes.
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