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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 16:47 - 10465 of 21973

Hils - but hopefully not in a straight line - even the Brownlee bothers need to take a breath at some point.

Off for a quick couple of these with my son-in-law.

link.jpg

hilary - 09 Jan 2013 16:53 - 10466 of 21973

I'm happy to take the other side of your short trade, Skinners. At least one of us will be right then. :)

Shortie - 09 Jan 2013 16:55 - 10467 of 21973

Skinny, Davai's recent chart - post 191. Thanks for this, nice to see he's also expecting a pullback although a thread I've never looked at before now. Another one I'll have to make some time to follow.

Davai - 09 Jan 2013 16:55 - 10468 of 21973

Cheers skinny... i don't want to try to cover all aspects to the last detail, or bring all the technical talk over to here, i don't trade index's and therefore haven't done enough homework on them to give too strong an opinion... )

Current move looks like a 4th, thus poss of higher later, but like i said.... enough!

Shortie - 09 Jan 2013 17:11 - 10469 of 21973

FX HORIZONS: Platinum-Coin Punditry Poses Threat to Dollar

By Michael J. Casey By now you have probably heard of the frenzied Twitter debate unleashed by the suggestion that the U.S. government deposit a freshly minted $1 trillion coin at the Federal Reserve as a ploy to sidestep its debt-ceiling standoff with Congress. Well, let me add one more voice to it: These arguments are bad for the dollar--but not for the reasons that concern many of the idea's critics. It isn't that President Barack Obama is likely to bring this bout of intellectual jousting into the realm of real policy. And even if he were, we need not indulge in gold bugs' fears that the magical creation of $1 trillion in extra coinage would immediately stoke inflation. Even if the government were to take advantage of the legal loophole that liberal pundits have gleefully uncovered, once it began drawing on the reserves it created at the Fed, the central bank would issue certificates to absorb excess currency and keep the money supply in check. This isn't a "monetize the debt" proposal that threatens hyperinflation. It's a political maneuver, nothing more. But that doesn't mean it isn't dangerous, or that it doesn't pose a threat to the dollar. The platinum-coin idea encapsulates all that is wrong with governance in the U.S. If America's politicians can't overcome the partisan gridlock that is stifling the budget process and making it impossible to deal with all the other critical issues facing the country and the planet, the bedrock of confidence that foreign investors maintain in this country--and in the dollar--will eventually dissipate. Gimmicks such as a $1 trillion coin aren't the solution. Investors must have their faith restored in a more-fundamental way. They have to believe that the overarching political system is capable of functioning, of achieving compromise in pursuit of a common interest. To be fair to the "#mintthecoin" crowd, whose Twitter hashtag's converts now include Princeton economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman, they recognize that theirs is an extreme solution. It wouldn't be necessary, they argue, if not for the even-more-crazy posture of the Republican Party. It is indeed crazy--especially when foreign creditors wonder whether the U.S. can be trusted to repay its colossal debts--for House Republicans to hold the government to ransom by denying it the power to raise money to cover spending that Congress has already approved. Yet this is what we face at the end of February, when the U.S. again reaches its debt ceiling, reviving the brutal "fiscal cliff" battle between Democrats and Republicans that ended only less than two weeks ago. It is time, say the coin-minting crowd, for Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner to invoke powers granted to him under an Act of Congress and order the minting of platinum coins with denominations up to "the Secretary's discretion." However, as more-sensible voices have emphasized, one crazy idea doesn't offset another crazy idea. If anything, it amplifies the craziness. The instant appearance of a $1 trillion platinum coin is hardly going to fill foreigners with confidence. Nonetheless, the debate--which began ahead of the previous debt-ceiling showdown in 2011 as more of an intellectual exercise than a concrete proposal--is instructive. It reminds us of what really does need to happen to protect America's good standing with its creditors, and the integrity of the dollar. A country's exchange rate can be thought of as the equivalent of a company's share price, a valuation of its future economic-growth potential. Just as any good equity investor will pay close attention to a chief executive's management capacity, as well as on how well the board of directors works with that CEO to facilitate growth and protect shareholder interests, currency investors are compelled to make assessments of how well America's "CEO" works with his "Board." Right now, that White House-Congress relationship is toxic. Yet the market is giving the U.S. the benefit of the doubt. As the world's reserve currency, the dollar has stored up much legitimacy, and this protects it from swift reversals in confidence. But this support is by no means guaranteed forever. If U.S. political leaders want creditors to keep buying the dollar, these absurd games of brinkmanship must end. (Michael Casey is managing editor for the Americas at DJ FX Trader, a foreign-exchange news service from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. His new book on the global financial system, "The Unfair Trade," was published in May.

Toya - 09 Jan 2013 17:15 - 10470 of 21973

Interesting article Shortie - thanks

skinny - 10 Jan 2013 06:13 - 10471 of 21973

Timing eh!

China's surprisingly strong trade data fans optimism

China has reported better-than-expected trade data, adding to optimism that growth in the world's second-largest economy may be rebounding.

Exports, a key driver of expansion, rose 14.1% in December from a year earlier. Most analysts had forecast a figure closer to 4%.

Imports also rose, climbing 6% and indicating stronger domestic demand.

Inflation: Changes to the calculation of RPI expected


Changes to the measurement of inflation are set to be announced on Thursday, potentially cutting the income of many private sector pensioners.

The Office for National Statistics has been consulting since October on three possible changes to the way the retail prices index (RPI) is calculated.

Any of the changes would ensure that RPI rose more slowly in the future.

That would also restrain the future income of people holding index-linked bonds and savings certificates.

"The RPI change could be very significant," warned Joanne Livingstone of actuaries Punter Southall.

skinny - 10 Jan 2013 07:18 - 10472 of 21973

Off it's earlier peak @23,447.89

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=HK%3aHSI&uf=

Toya - 10 Jan 2013 07:31 - 10473 of 21973

US fear index plummets to a 5½-year low - Vix shows investors turning more positive on stocks. - Another indication that markets are set to continue their climb!

I think I need a re-think... More coffee needed, it's still dark out there!

Davai - 10 Jan 2013 07:33 - 10474 of 21973

Now that is a beautiful chart. I have a Chinese trader friend and spoke with him a couple of weeks ago. He showed me a chart of the Chinese stock market, which had clearly just started a 5w advance, (i think near the top of wave 1 at the time or around where the HSI was back in July eg), buying Chinese company shares would probably be the best way to go as it would smooth out the pullbacks, (buy on dips), but i couldn't find the same chart with my provider. That said, the above looks ripe for a pullback or consolidation (poss couple months as a complex wave 4) before higher again...

Toya - 10 Jan 2013 07:35 - 10475 of 21973

It's good to have your technical view on this Davai :)

cynic - 10 Jan 2013 08:41 - 10476 of 21973

personally i wouldn't touch chinese shares with a bargepole, but yes, and as i have said on a good number of occasions (and ridden the derision), world economies are picking up ...... iron ore prices are now at a 15 month high ......

and from today's FT Briefing

China trade rebound hints at strong growth
Chinese exports and imports rebounded strongly in December, pointing to solid economic growth both in China and abroad.
Exports rose 14.1 per cent from a year earlier, the fastest in seven months and well above November’s 2.9 per cent pace. Imports increased 6 per cent in December from a year earlier after flatlining in November. Both outstripped most forecasts.

Davai - 10 Jan 2013 08:49 - 10477 of 21973

This would be Chinese co's listed on the China SE as opposed to listed here or across the pond...

skinny - 10 Jan 2013 08:50 - 10478 of 21973

Its tough at the top!

Rolls-Royce car sales edge up to new record

_65196484_rollsroyceghost.jpg

Rolls-Royce Motor Cars, which is owned by BMW, has reported record car sales for the third year in a row.

Sales edged up from 3,538 cars in 2011 to 3,575 in 2012. But the 1% growth was much lower than the 31% and 150% growth rates seen in the last two years.

cynic - 10 Jan 2013 08:53 - 10479 of 21973

and THAT model is an absolute monstrosity ..... give me the Bentley GT Supersport every time

Toya - 10 Jan 2013 08:55 - 10480 of 21973

Quite agree with you Cynic :) - and thought of you as I read the Chinese data, because you have indeed been telling us so for a while now

Toya - 10 Jan 2013 09:04 - 10481 of 21973

There are some analysts who reckon the Chinese momentum will struggle to keep up this pace in 2013:

Chinese exports soar

skinny - 10 Jan 2013 12:00 - 10482 of 21973

GBP Asset Purchase Facility 375B consensus 375B previous 375B

GBP Official Bank Rate 0.05% consensus 0.50% previous 0.50%

Shortie - 10 Jan 2013 12:15 - 10483 of 21973

BOE Stays On Hold As Growth Worries Linger

By Jason Douglas LONDON--The Bank of England left its monetary levers untouched on Thursday as concerns about persistently high inflation trump signs of a renewed economic downturn. The U.K.'s central bank said its Monetary Policy Committee left the BOE's benchmark interest rate at 0.5% and the limit for its bond-buying stimulus program at 375 billion pounds ($600.8 billion pounds) following its two-day policy meeting. As is usual when policy is left unchanged, the BOE didn't publish a statement explaining its decision. Sterling and U.K. government bonds were broadly unmoved. Minutes of the meeting will be published Jan. 23. The MPC enters 2013 facing a similar mix of stubbornly high inflation and weak growth that dogged its decisions during 2012. Business surveys and economic data published in recent weeks suggest the U.K. economy contracted in the final three months of 2012 and will probably struggle to grow in the first few months of this year, raising the specter of three recessions in relatively quick succession. A recession is typically defined in the U.K. as two consecutive quarters of shrinking gross domestic product, and the nation has experienced two such periods since 2008. Consumer confidence declined in December, the European Commission said Tuesday, while a quarterly survey of finance chiefs at U.K. firms published Monday by business services firm Deloitte LLP found executives plan to keep hoarding cash this year, stymieing hopes for an investment-led recovery. Recent trade data showed Britain's economy is still suffering from the effects of the downturn in the neighboring euro zone, while at home demand is being hurt by a continuing budget squeeze by Prime Minister David Cameron's governing coalition. Economists on average expect the U.K. economy to have shrunk 0.1% in 2012 and estimate it will grow 1.1% in 2013, according to a range of independent economic forecasts compiled by the U.K. treasury. The first official estimate of 2012 gross domestic product is scheduled to be released Jan. 25. BOE officials expect the annual rate of inflation to stay above their 2% target for the rest of the year, which may limit their appetite to shore up growth by printing more money to buy bonds, a policy known as quantitative easing, or QE. Economists are divided on whether more QE will be forthcoming, and some officials appear to be unsure it is as effective a stimulus tool as it once was. "Even if the committee pauses for the next couple of months, we still think that more QE is likely before long. If we are right in expecting the economic stagnation to persist throughout this year, and tensions in the euro zone to re-emerge before long, then growth concerns are once again likely to trump near-term inflation worries," said Vicky Redwood, chief U.K. economist at Capital Economics, a consultancy. The BOE is hoping a joint program with the treasury to boost bank lending will help drive a recovery. The Funding for Lending Scheme, or FLS, aims to clear a logjam in lending that policy makers worry is holding back spending and investment. Officials on the BOE's Financial Policy Committee, which oversees the financial system, are also trying to free up more resources to fund new credit by relaxing some bank rules and urging lenders to sort out bad loans. A quarterly survey of lenders published by the BOE this month suggested these efforts may be bearing fruit. Banks said they plan to significantly increase the amount of loans available to would-be borrowers this quarter, the survey found. Analysts are increasingly focused on what changes incoming BOE Governor Mark Carney will bring to the conduct of British central bank policy when he joins from the Bank of Canada in July, replacing Mervyn King. A recent speech demonstrated Mr. Carney's interest in methods of stimulus as-yet untried in the U.K., such as providing guidance on the likely path of interest rates, a strategy adopted by the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve aimed at encouraging greater spending. "With the risks to the economic outlook still firmly weighted to the downside, the use of further unconventional monetary policy tools is possible," said Melanie Bowler, an economist at Moody's Analytics.

skinny - 10 Jan 2013 16:45 - 10484 of 21973

Can someone give me the FTSE intra day high please - I seem to have lost my feed.
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