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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

banjomick - 17 Aug 2006 00:32 - 1048 of 1497

I've just basically been catching up after being stuck in a field playing music for 10 days,hope it all wasn't too long winded and most importantly makes sense!
I've finished now.....well for tonight anyways :-)

Minder - 17 Aug 2006 08:12 - 1049 of 1497

ptholden,
I believe that the Company are unable to give us information at the moment, I can't see the Company holding the results back for PSA CE approval, so I believe the only reason can be that they are still trying to sign something with Medtronic.
When we receive the results and/or the details of any MDT deal, I am sure we will feel more than happy and understand why the Company has been so vague with projections, etc.
The Company has always gone in the right direction and has achieved the targets it has set out (albeit somewhat later than some expected), I have complete confidence they are still doing the same, without the need for constant confirmation or updates. The holdings of some of the Directors mean they too are hit by the falling SP and I don't go for the MBO theories one bit. I am sure that as soon as they are able, they will answer our questions and we will see the SP go much higher.

Minder - 17 Aug 2006 08:23 - 1050 of 1497

As for Treblewide,
I think you will find that the next time the SP rises, this will be a totally different Company and you concerns over small turnover, breakeven, number of unit sales will all be a thing of the past, but each to their own.

leedslad - 17 Aug 2006 09:09 - 1051 of 1497

Morning all I would not take any notice of results when published its next years and the years after that with the sales of the new products and new countries they are selling into plus the MDT manufacturing agreement that will count,
Dave
ps brave man trebble

ptholden - 17 Aug 2006 13:16 - 1052 of 1497

Following my rather 'arsey' email to MDW, I have received a reply today. The gist of which is as follows:

MDW share my frustration and disappointment that progress isn't reflected in the share price.

With regard to the Medtronic deal, they are unable to disclose information that is both SP and commercially sensitive. MDW also have to repsect the rights of Medtronic when considering disclosure of information.

They will release information through the appropriate channels at the right time

The difference in publishing results between this and last year are the ongoing discussions and negotiations relating to the Medtronic deal.

Finally:

"Once again, I apologise that you are so disappointed with so many issues relating to Mediwatch, I can only assure you that we are doing our utmost to progress matters in the most expeditious way - even if we are not telling the world about ityet!"

Draw your own conclusions.

pth



optomistic - 17 Aug 2006 13:33 - 1053 of 1497

Thanks pth, those "ongoing discussions and negotiations" certainly are ongoing!!

leedslad - 17 Aug 2006 15:00 - 1054 of 1497

yes thanks pth

banjomick - 17 Aug 2006 16:48 - 1055 of 1497

and another thanks from me

Minder - 17 Aug 2006 16:49 - 1056 of 1497

ptholden,
Thank you also,
What were your conclusions?

ptholden - 17 Aug 2006 17:09 - 1057 of 1497

I have to make it clear that I am very much a believer of MDW products and the long term success of the company. However, my problem with MDW is essentially news flow that will nudge the SP along. This facet of the company is clearly lacking. MDW argue that they are constrained by regulatory issues and the ongoing negotiations with Medtronic. I am not sure I believe this totally, but I do see their point of view. It was also pointed out to me that the Directors hold something like 25% of the company and are also somewhat disappointed at the SP performance. However, their view is probably significantly more long term than my own. This is probably their one and only investment and have little choice but to stick with it.

The reason for the delay in publishing the results was quite re-assuring and it would appear that we can expect some good news when they eventually make an appearance.

I did quite like the final paragraph. It might be construed that when the Medtronic negotiations are finally complete, the shackles can come off and we can see significant news flow. Not too sure about that though. These have got to be the longest negotiations in company history!

My final thought, and it is a slightly cynical one, is that MDW are not going to admit to any problems, whether it be financial, production related, approvals or negotiations with Medtronic. This could still be jam tomorrow.

My stop remains in place and it won't be moved. I rather hope that the Results are out soon. Incidentally, I did ask when, but the question was not answered.

pth

Minder - 17 Aug 2006 18:00 - 1058 of 1497

ptholden,
Thank you for your thoughts.
This bit tickled me -
"These have got to be the longest negotiations in company history!"
Maybe that is because this is a subtantial, Company changing deal? Who knows?

Perhaps I should be more cynical, but if there were problems then I doubt we would be able to strike a deal with Medtronic, which the Company obviously think they can, hence the wait.

Fred1new - 17 Aug 2006 18:39 - 1059 of 1497

Sounds to me like the beginning of a management buy out.

chocolat - 17 Aug 2006 20:15 - 1060 of 1497

Sorry to be lazy, but I'm wielding a paintbrush - what was the date of last year's results?

Think they might have answered your question in the email pth :)

banjomick - 17 Aug 2006 21:09 - 1061 of 1497

Dodging the flying paint.....Choc,the FR over the last few years have differed in date.

Fred,An MBO doubt it very much.

ptholden - 17 Aug 2006 22:02 - 1062 of 1497

Had another look at my email response:

"With regard to the results for the year end April, you are absolutely correct in stating that they appear to be late - related to last year they are some 6 weeks later than the comparative date on which we announced the results for 2004 - 05."

Does this mean that the Results will be out in the next week? Or does it mean that they are six weeks later, thus far?

(Last year, released 30 June 05)

pth

chocolat - 17 Aug 2006 22:20 - 1063 of 1497

Guess it's wait 'n see then innit ;)

banjomick - 17 Aug 2006 23:44 - 1064 of 1497

RNS Number:2056J
30 August 2001
Consolidated Financial Results to 30 April 2001

RNS Number:1967D
31 October 2002
Mediwatch Plc

RNS Number:1528R
Mediwatch PLC
22 October 2003
Preliminary Statement


RNS Number:5220A
Mediwatch PLC
06 July 2004 Preliminary Results for the year ended 30 April 2004 and a proposed fundraising

RNS Number:2256O
Mediwatch PLC
30 June 2005
Mediwatch plc
Preliminary Statement
Year ended 30 April 2005



banjomick - 17 Aug 2006 23:54 - 1065 of 1497

For what it's worth,my advice is:

That new investors have two choices,

1.Wait until the Final Results are out and then decide,if they contain updates and explanations of a positive nature then you will miss a probable quick rise to at least 12-15p but with the advantage of a steady upward direction afterwards.

2.Buy now and be prepared for a drop short term if positive news is not within the Finals or gain a quick profit with 1. to look forward to.

Simple really,it must be for a banja player :-)

banjomick - 18 Aug 2006 00:46 - 1066 of 1497

Fred and all,
While i'm in MDW mode,not sure if your MBO comment was a flippant one but I have pondered on the possibility over the last few months my self.
I know websites are a nothing but why update it as they have done over the last few months in a positive fashion where the SP might rise and so dampen any MBO.Surely if they had left it as it was the SP would be much lower and therefore make a MBO much cheaper?
A take over at 50 to a 100p next year would be much more beneficial to all concerned-imo.

I do not regard the Final Results as being late by the way although i would have prefered them beginning of July with the addition of further news to come shortly type of thing.Saying that if the news that i want to hear all comes at once,say end of September,then i don't give a jot.

"My own personal opinion is that PSAwatch/Bioscan are all tied up in the delay(if there is one) along with Medtronic and their Urodynamic section that MDW are already supplying equipment to!

There is something going on regarding Medtronic (MDT) and Mediwatch (MDW) which will change the the SP of MDW in a massive way......Obviously i can't say which way :-)

I may be wrong but i think we are just waiting for a known date for PSAwatch approval before the news and results are out"

banjomick - 18 Aug 2006 00:54 - 1067 of 1497

Ohhhh and an extra bit,just to avoid confusion.The Final Results as FR go will probably show only a minor increase in sales due to their timing.Updates and positive statements within are the key,especially short term!
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