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Chaco Resources : oil & gas in South America (CHP)     

Sharesure - 28 Mar 2006 14:12

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CHP&Si______Chart.aspx?Provider%3DIntra%26Code%3DCHP

UPDATED 22/1/07

Valuation of Chaco Resources : 'Rule of Thumb' based on 550m shares and using 10% DCF on oil at $60/barrel is 1p on the sp for every 1m barrels (CHP's share) that is proved. Until oil reserves are proven the 1p/1m barrels will be discounted by the market.

Chaco Resources now has three exploration blocks in Colombia and three areas in Paraguay. The next year should see a steady news flow as it establishes the companys transformation from being an exploration company only to also becoming a significant oil production company. Set out below are some of the milestones which should produce announcements and have a positive effect on the share price. All reserves are quoted in recoverable oil assets.



Alea, Colombia :

25% interest in a field currently assessed at holding 38.1m barrels of light sweet crude oil. Drilling of the field by the operating partner, Ecopetrol, was programmed for 2006 to provide early cash flow, but a shortage of drilling rigs, then the rainy season and increased environmental requirements have caused a re-think and it is now expected that this block will be drilled in first half 2007.The proposal to drill a step out well as part of that drilling programme will also provide the opportunity to establish if the estimate of recoverable oil should be increased. (Some estimates suggest the field contains as much as 70m barrels.)

RNS : Updated w/c 30/4//07. Drilling contract should be imminent but actual drilling unlikely to take place second half 2007.



Puerto Lopez, Colombia :

54% Interest in a field containing light sweet crude oil.On 3.10.06 CHP announced that the original TEA area had been extended by the ANH to include further territory which it is expected will greatly increase the potential to find and exploit a structure which may contain as much oil as there is believed to be in Primavera, where Hardman and Co estimate that there is a potential value of 120p per CHP share.

RNS :Updated 22/1/07. Further seismic now obtained and decision not to proceed made because closures too small to be economic and drilling funds earmarked for this project now being retained for use on a more prospective block yet to be announced



Primavera west, Colombia :

55% interest. Two shallow drills in April turned out to be dry. Areas adjacent to this block contain oil (Cana Limon, also in the Mirador basin, the largest oilfield so far, 1.8b barrels) Chaco believe that the area in their block contains the thicker end of a wedge shaped oil-bearing sandstone structure; the area to the east in the neighbouring block has been estimated as containing 400m barrels and the El Miedo oilfield, 8 kms.away has 325m barrels. ANH Contract signed w/c 8/5/06 (1 week sooner than forecast). GED are drilling their neighbouring block in February 2007; two of their targets may contain oil deriving from Chaco's area so some earlier cash flow may result.

RNS : The drilling programme has now been completed but the company has yet to say whether the block will be explored further or abandonned.

New block announced in April known as Tigra in the Magdelana Basin. CHP has a 48.75% interest. Believed to be very promising but company is doing 3-d seismic over the next 18 months with drilling projected in the following 16 months. (Timescales seem to be set to allow a lot of room for delays or speeding up if progress is easier than anticipated)



Curupayty Block, Paraguay :

1.39m hectares in north, close to Bolivia. Two wells previously drilled and both showed oil.

RNS : Expect partnership with larger producer.



San Pedro Block, Paraguay :

1m hectares in south-east. Previous drilling showed oil.

RNS : Expect partnership with larger producer.



Parana Basin, Paraguay :

Canindeyu block covering 1,789,000 hectares. Bordering Brazil. Oil field on Brazilian side already drilled. Chaco also expect to find oil and, at a deeper level, considerable quantities of gas. Chaco has obtained valuable historic seismic for re-evaluation.

RNS : Presidential Decree received 2/11/06.. Petrobras has announced its intention to increase substantially its effort to exploit Paraguay's hydrocarbons and has announced a farm-in on CDS's adjacent block. Possibility that they or another major will do likewise with CHP



Corporate Activity :

CHP obtained an independent evaluation of their exploration assets by Hardman and Co., during July 2006.This is updated monthly. As Chaco Resources line up their assets ready for production they may attract a bid. There are also other actions that the mgt. could take to increase the Chaco's asset share subject to negotiation since the position of the Colombian state oil company, Ecopetrol, is believed to be under review. Other actions could be taken which would have the attraction in bringing more resources to bear on a quicker timeframe plus help streamline the management of their assets. De-merging the Colombian and Paraguayan assets at an appropriate time might hold out some advantages to shareholders at some stage.
Last Placing announced at 15.1p per share on 18/5/06.
Chairman and FD bought shares 8/06 and the Chairman recently exercised his option on further shares which would suggest that he regards the share price to be going north from here on.
Updated 22/1/07.




Here are some dates for your diary courtesy of KJKelly, who posts on ADVFN

1. Curupayty - complete reprocessing of seismic by end July 06
2. Curupayty - complete interpretation of seismic by end August 06
3. Curupayty - decide whether to proceed to drilling or proceed with a farmout campaign - end September 06
4. Platanillo - commence re-entry of Alea 1 early in 1st quarter 2007
5. Primavera - two structural targets will be selected from 10 potential targets for drilling commencing Feb. 2007.
6.Hardman updates should now happen monthly.



bodeng - 03 Apr 2006 08:26 - 105 of 3674

Sharesure
With the end of the tax year approaching I hope we may see a steady rise
during this week. Thanks for your update above.

M_P_H - 03 Apr 2006 12:15 - 106 of 3674

Good to see a sound supply of buyers seeing value at 15p today.

M_P_H - 03 Apr 2006 12:18 - 107 of 3674

bodeng, also corporation tax financial year ended on friday. Institutions re-shuffling their affairs probably didn't help the price.

hlyeo98 - 03 Apr 2006 12:35 - 108 of 3674

Well we are at the end of the financial year finally...yippee

2517GEORGE - 04 Apr 2006 10:37 - 109 of 3674

Slowly but surely.
2517

vistauk - 04 Apr 2006 10:52 - 110 of 3674

2517... 3% a day for the next five days, with a good two way trade, although those investors waiting to get in at sub 12, 13, and 14, might have missed the boat.

Sharesure - 04 Apr 2006 10:54 - 111 of 3674

I have edited the header to this thread with some later news - under the corporate activity section at the end of the content. This activity is likely to give significant impetus to the sp over the next few weeks in my view.

vistauk - 04 Apr 2006 10:58 - 112 of 3674

Sharesure.. this is the one they are expecting within two weeks... ? looks like investors will pile back in

Sharesure - 04 Apr 2006 11:03 - 113 of 3674

vistauk, yes, although the 2 weeks commenced at the beginning of last wek so assuming no delays it should be available quite quickly. CHP plan to put it on the website although there is usually a timelag before that happens. Also CHP has re-instated their sp quote in the FT as of last Saturday.

TheMaster - 04 Apr 2006 12:55 - 114 of 3674

SP rising this week cos the news due soon:

'The Contract will be finally negotiated and executed
with the Colombian Hydrocarbons Agency in the next few weeks.'

hlyeo98 - 04 Apr 2006 13:04 - 115 of 3674

Do you think CHP will reach 25p?

silvermede - 04 Apr 2006 13:08 - 116 of 3674

hlyeo98,

Higher - it just depends how long you hold. The question for all speculators/investors is when to sell. One way is to sell half your holdings when the SP has doubled, thus recouping your initial outlay to invest elsewhere, and then let the remaining half run as long as the prospects look good. But WDIK! :-)

Sharesure - 04 Apr 2006 13:42 - 117 of 3674

hlyeo98, The involvement of more institutions in seeing just what exploration assets CHP now has may well provoke more buying from that quarter. Given that CHP has some confirmed oil reserves in Alea (and possibly more to come), My view is that the current sp has little in the sp, if anything, for the potential of all of its other assets. Although it can be virtually certain that the drilling of Primavera will take centre stage very quickly, the decision on award of the third oil/gas block in Paraguay (which might become the biggest asset they have) is expected to come through at any time; a progress report or decision is a possibility in the next week or so.

dibbles - 04 Apr 2006 13:54 - 118 of 3674

I've done my bit for the day, persuaded a good friend of the merits of the good ship CHACO and he's bought an initial 100k this morning......

Anyone got any idea how many barrels a day will come out of Alea once drilled?

hlyeo98 - 04 Apr 2006 15:08 - 119 of 3674

Thank you...silvermede & Sharesure for your advice...I have bought some today on your advice...good luck

Sharesure - 04 Apr 2006 19:21 - 120 of 3674

hlyeo98, I am sure I speak for silvermede too when I say that in making the decision to buy any stock the choice has to be yours; obviously in making any decision you might follow the track record of other posters but in my experience you must always DYOR. Good luck with your purchase of Chaco shares; you have joined a growing number of us existing shareholders who believe this stock will continue to perform.

silvermede - 05 Apr 2006 09:15 - 121 of 3674

Sharesure, comcur 100% with your post 120. Thanks for making that clear.

bodeng - 05 Apr 2006 09:38 - 122 of 3674

Sharesure
Thanks for the update-looking forward to the next days and weeks!

hlyeo98 - 05 Apr 2006 16:48 - 123 of 3674

Just my luck but I think I will hold it for the long term

shankly6784 - 05 Apr 2006 17:53 - 124 of 3674

"Also CHP has re-instated their sp quote in the FT as of last Saturday."- Sharesure

Sorry, What does this mean?
An ignorant Red fan.

P.s. I have been in since 5p days and have not sold a single share, in fact I have topped up a couple of times since.
I am very optimistic about the mid to long term future of this share.

Can I take this opportunity to thank two people.Firstly Alfred who gave me the initial heads up on this share and Sharesure for his invaluable contributions.Not to mention plenty others who contribute greatly... MPH, KJ and Ormo to name a few.

Up The REDMEN!!
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