cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
Shortie
- 18 Jan 2013 10:41
- 10547 of 21973
I'm debating a further short. May wait till Monday though..
Shortie
- 18 Jan 2013 10:46
- 10548 of 21973
6171.8 is the highest point recorded so far, new top since 2009.
cynic
- 18 Jan 2013 10:49
- 10549 of 21973
6073 then becomes the support
skinny
- 18 Jan 2013 10:50
- 10550 of 21973
I have the IG high @6172.8 and actual @6164.67?
On edit :- and surely that's a new high since 2008?
ahoj
- 18 Jan 2013 10:52
- 10551 of 21973
I always said- Governments are in trouble, but companies are cashing in. Money printed goes to the hand of the companies.
Shortie
- 18 Jan 2013 11:24
- 10552 of 21973
6135 and 6053 are still the key levels I believe....
Waekness in Sterling I think has more to do with it than companies cashing in...
bhunt1910
- 18 Jan 2013 11:43
- 10553 of 21973
Well I was obviously premature in closing my FTSE long at 6040 - should have stayed the course - but I chickened out. hey ho.
Have stayed out since - but considering a short term short now we at these heady heights. Good luck all
jkd
- 18 Jan 2013 13:42
- 10554 of 21973
according to my charts we have an intraday gap on the dow today at 13597sh
yet to be filled.
we also have a gap still intact from yesterday down at 13537
current price as i write 13606sh
not sure if this may help anyone. it is an observation only so please dyor
regards to all
jkd
Shortie
- 18 Jan 2013 13:54
- 10555 of 21973
An hour to go before I battle the snow to get home....
cynic
- 18 Jan 2013 14:04
- 10556 of 21973
eat your heart out - i walk!
KidA
- 18 Jan 2013 14:13
- 10557 of 21973
Traffic on the stairs seems to be flowing, fingers crossed.
Shortie
- 18 Jan 2013 14:13
- 10558 of 21973
Not often we get snow on the South Coast, if I get stuck then I'll be walking..
KidA
- 18 Jan 2013 14:19
- 10559 of 21973
Good luck.
skinny
- 18 Jan 2013 14:55
- 10560 of 21973
USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 71.3 consensus 75.1 previous 72.9
jkd
- 18 Jan 2013 15:02
- 10561 of 21973
todays dow gap at 13597 has now been filled by low circa 13590
current price as i write circa 13610
regards and good luck
jkd
edit i notice new page please be sure to read prior page. ta
regards
jkd
Toya
- 18 Jan 2013 18:44
- 10562 of 21973
I really can't resist a FTSE short at this level - just filled at 6168.
Shortie
- 21 Jan 2013 10:24
- 10563 of 21973
As a small reminder, we are now just one month away from potential tumult in the US. The $200bn “Extraordinary Measures” fund is due to run out around 15th Feb (not the end of Feb). The US will not default as tax revenue more than covers cash requirements but it is the point at which the US government would have to start shutting down non-vital services. This is what outgoing Treasury Secretary Mr Tim Geithner describes as “the catastrophic outcome.” Essentially technical default. As like as not the debt ceiling will be raised again, maybe after a couple of days of technical default (a historic event). According to the Bipartisan Research Center, the ceiling will have to rise by $1.1tr to end-2013 and by an additional $2.3tr to end-2014. i.e. by 1st Jan 2015 the US will have racked up six consecutive years of $1tr deficits. The Fed may have the financial markets’ back but the significance of this event should not be overlooked.
Investors should note that US short interest has plunged to early 2012 lows...and why not! The Fed has investors’ backs after all. A massive $220bn primary bank deposit injection, the routine crushing of volatility using futures, ongoing and aggressive QE etc. Quite hard to see how stocks can ever fall in such an environment although it’s equally worth pondering where equities might be were it not for gigantic central bank largess.
Shortie
- 21 Jan 2013 10:29
- 10564 of 21973
ECB: Number of Euro-zone Financial Institutions Down in 2012
FRANKFURT--The number of commercial banks, credit unions and other monetary financial institutions in the euro zone continued to decline in 2012, the European Central Bank said Monday. The descent marks the continuation of a long term trend in the monetary union, which has struggled in recent years to overcome a sovereign debt crisis and banking crisis. As of Jan. 1, 2013, the number of monetary financial institutions resident in the euro area was down 6% to 7,059 from 7,533 this time last year, the ECB said in a press release. Euro-zone financial institutions are down 28% since Jan. 1, 1999, the ECB said, despite the accession of Greece, Slovenia, Cyprus and other countries into the monetary union. The declines occurred across the whole of the euro area, but were particularly pronounced in Slovakia, where the number of institutions declined by 30%, and Luxembourg, where they declined 22%. France, Spain and Finland also suffered large falls, the ECB said. Germany and France accounted for 42% of all euro area institutions, approximately the same share as recorded this time last year, the ECB said. The number of monetary financial institutions also slipped in the European Union in 2012, down 55 to 9,076, versus the prior year.
HARRYCAT
- 21 Jan 2013 10:35
- 10565 of 21973
I believe A. Merkel's future hangs in the balance today when lower Saxony go to the polls? Also quite alot of stuff happening this week on the macro front, so hopefully see the markets rise, though seems that the UK is closed for business due to a little snow!
Shortie
- 21 Jan 2013 13:03
- 10566 of 21973
Reality Bites at Long Last for Sterling
--Sterling got many passes as the euro zone struggled --It's losing them at last --Which could well be just what the U.K. needs By David Cottle Sterling has had the benefit of innumerable doubts. Ever since the financial crisis started driving wedges into the cracks between euro-zone member states, the U.K. has looked like a relatively calm alternative destination for investment; its decision to stay out of the euro wise. With a currency of its own, a central bank prepared to print lots more money and a new government elected in 2010 on a mandate of public-sector restraint, it was pretty good by comparison. How they must have wished they had the same hand in Athens, or Madrid, on occasion these past four years. The U.K. even held on to its triple-A credit rating when France and even the U.S. were losing theirs. Buoyed up by the pass given to them by the bond markets, which quickly rethought their earlier contention that gilts were 'sitting on a bed of nitroglycerine,' various Westminster politicians would at times lecture their euro-zone counterparts on how best to proceed. Oh how they must have loved that in Brussels. However, the shine has come off, and the lectures have stopped. Public-sector restraint was easy to trumpet but much harder to deliver. Even the government admits that eliminating the structural budget deficit will now take years longer than initially thought. An unbiased observer might conclude that it'll take decades longer, if it's even possible. Growth is also scant. We'll get the first look at the U.K.'s fourth-quarter performance on Friday, and anything better than a sullen 'flat' will be quite a result. That triple-A rating now looks doomed. Indeed, as seems usual in these post-crisis days, the rating agencies themselves will probably be the last to recognize it. And sterling is duly falling. Haven no more. But that is probably no bad thing. In truth, the markets had always overdone the U.K.'s attributes, wilfully deluding themselves in the process. Being in better shape than the euro zone was never an objective good thing. Even while the bond buyers were piling in, the U.K. remained just about the most indebted nation on earth. The scene just never looked right. And now, in the face of another worldwide round of competitive devaluations, a weaker pound one way or the other is going to be exactly what the U.K.'s exporters need. It might also help balance the books with the euro zone. The U.K's perennial trade gap with the bloc is one of the euro-skeptics' main reasons for wanting out. In the end, the markets were too willing to overlook the U.K.' shortcomings and believe a new government could deliver. They ended up mispricing the pound, and, although adjustment will be painful, sterling's level will be closer to harsh U.K. reality once it's over. And a dose of that is good for politicians.