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PORTFOLIO 69 (69)     

Juzzle - 23 Jul 2017 10:51

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SPSY&Si

Share prices are all shown in pence. A website link for each company is given below. This is primarily a reference thread for myself. Discussion of an individual stock should ideally take place on its own existing discussion thread please, where its followers can readily find it.

The stocks displayed here are not recommendations - merely ones that I have chosen to run with. Most have already risen precariously, and some may collapse.

This is an aggressive portfolio being constructed between 10 July and 30 July 2017. On 10 July it comprised small stakes in four stocks I already owned (SOM,RST,TPF,ANII) representing in total 8.6%, and 91.4% cash. Stakes in those four were increased and a dozen other stocks bought. By 24 July, 65% stocks, 35% cash. Mostly held within a stockdealing ISA. The cash element is not earning interest; it will at times be used to temporarily boost stakes in one or other of the stocks or to buy another. I pay an ISA fee of £5 per quarter in total, and a brokerage fee of £9.90 per trade..

Initially I aim to run it for 5 months till 31 Dec 2017, by when I am hoping to be up 15%. This portfolio was funded by proceeds from the sale of a flat, the rent from which was generating 7%pa. The aim is to convincingly better that return. At 31 December I shall consider withdrawing a sum equivalent to what would have been 5 months rent, and to possibly do the same each six months thereafter (though I shall reassess that plan at Dec 31). Stocks that fail to maintain good performance will be reduced or ditched along the way (can't afford passengers) a few others might be bought. Fast ones that get too big might be topsliced to keep the portfolio in balance. I expect the initial setting up costs (brokerage fees on 16 stocks, and buy/sell price spreads of up to 4%) to be a drag on overall valuation in the opening weeks.



##################################################
PORTFOLIO 69 ENDS AT POST 191, DETAILING A GAIN OF 79.64% BETWEEN
JULY AND END-OF-2017. PART OF THE TOTAL HAS BEEN CASHED IN AND
WITHDRAWN. THE START OF PORTFOLIO 70, RUNNING 3 MONTHS FROM
START OF 2018, IS DETAILED IN POST 192
##################################################

cynic - 01 Nov 2017 11:37 - 107 of 222

IQE - i had a successful in/out o'night - not big but a nice little profit for all that - since which time sp has fallen back to ~146 .... fingers x'ed

Juzzle - 01 Nov 2017 18:20 - 108 of 222

Portfolio progress yesterday I thought was a bit peaky and might slip back. Instead it reached 15.1% by close today - which is my five month Dec 31st target two months early !!

Still possible it might slip back from there of course - any overstretched stock can implode.

Juzzle - 03 Nov 2017 19:17 - 109 of 222

....... END-OF-WEEK-UPDATE
....... Friday 3 November

....... Portfolio now up 20.17%


Versarien (VRS) was a significant contributor, and looks like continuing to be so. They launched a two-day fundraising at 5pm today, and it was fully subscribed in under one hour. I tried to get some at the offer price of 18p but wasn't quick enough!


I have gone back through the thread standardising the format of my weekly updates, so I can find them more easily. They are now displayed the same way as this one.

cynic - 04 Nov 2017 09:01 - 110 of 222

interesting about VRS ..... perhaps i need to pay some attention to it despite the spread :-)

Juzzle - 04 Nov 2017 11:44 - 111 of 222

cynic - VRS trading statement yesterday evening indicated we should expect a further update alongside the interim results on 29 November. That I guess might name one or both of the "two of the world's biggest consumer goods companies" who are expected to be agreeing a deal this month. Neither that/those nor the Israel Aerospace deal will actually contribute much to revenue anytime soon, so turnover stats are going to look low in relation to whatever ongoing rise in market capitalisation the rising share price creates. The share price is going to be reacting to the significance of the customer names and what it means for future prospects - and in pure financial terms is going to look unbalanced for now in the eyes of some analysts.

It does sound like the Israelis are keen to get beyond testing and into production as fast as they can, so I presume that the imminent scaling up of graphene output at Versarien will all go to them over the coming quarter, and the consumer goods companies, whoever they are, will be satisfied with test samples for most of next year. But that's purely my guess. I certainly expect enough newsflow over the coming 6 months to drive interest in the company among investors.

cynic - 07 Nov 2017 08:28 - 112 of 222

FEVR
bear bums bitten badly - hohoho!
fy trading forecast materially ahead of expectations

Juzzle - 07 Nov 2017 09:00 - 113 of 222

A lot of the VRS shares that got bought at the weekend at 18p will be in the hands of traders seeking to make a fast profit by selling at a higher price as soon as the opportunity arises. The shares that were issued don't become available for trading until Friday 10 November. Their intentions will presumably colour the behaviour of the share price this week.

Juzzle - 08 Nov 2017 09:00 - 114 of 222

Good half-year results from Sophos (SOPH) this morning. Some profit-takers might knock it back a little, but prospects look good. Though the price is maybe well up with latest expectations already. Market cap around 7x turnover.

cynic - 10 Nov 2017 09:19 - 115 of 222

hey MrJ, bet you're happy you hold IQE as well as VRS :-)

Juzzle - 10 Nov 2017 17:11 - 116 of 222

Sure am ;-)

Juzzle - 10 Nov 2017 17:12 - 117 of 222

....... END-OF-WEEK-UPDATE
....... Friday 10 November

....... Portfolio now up 27.76%
since July

cynic - 12 Nov 2017 10:50 - 118 of 222

.

cynic - 12 Nov 2017 10:50 - 119 of 222

i am surprised to see the sunday indices looking so relaxed
i wonder if that will the case in the morning
gold must surely look more and more enticing as the default defensive position in times of uncertainty

Stan - 12 Nov 2017 20:19 - 120 of 222

November a reasonable month for Gold generally as well, but who knows these days.

Juzzle - 13 Nov 2017 07:57 - 121 of 222

I don't invest in gold, nor any other commodities. Nor do I invest in exploration stocks for gold, minerals, oil/gas. Never have. They are areas I am happy to leave to those who know their way around them.

cynic - 13 Nov 2017 08:23 - 122 of 222

though you might not want venture into straight PPM's - there is an argument for holding at least a portion of real producers - you should perhaps consider holding some quality base metal miners

base metals, particularly copper, are key indicators of the strength of world economies and perhaps more importantly, are $-earners
for myself, i hold BLT and KAZ at a rather more risky level ..... AAL and ANTO might be others to consider

Juzzle - 13 Nov 2017 11:55 - 123 of 222

It's an argument I have considered at times. Just not my cup of tea though ;-)

cynic - 13 Nov 2017 15:36 - 124 of 222

.

cynic - 13 Nov 2017 15:36 - 125 of 222

not sufficiently minnow for you :-)

meanwhile, IQE continue to surge

FEVR very odd as another institutional bunch has just taken its holkding above 5%

cynic - 15 Nov 2017 10:32 - 126 of 222

DAX has collapsed in a very bloody heap and other markets are not doing much better
glad my trading exposure is (always) light
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