zarif
- 09 Sep 2003 06:09
how do you see the dow index going today
Dow Jones and S&P commentary:
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zarif
- 08 Jan 2004 16:14
- 1099 of 2279
Managed a short on dow b 4 and am long now and watching the action.
Fx: eur/usd long was a happy event today.
Jobless increased by 14000
rgds
zarif
snoball
- 08 Jan 2004 16:46
- 1100 of 2279
I'm chancing a long as well, zarif.
Glad to hear you're doing ok on the currencies.
zarif
- 08 Jan 2004 17:06
- 1101 of 2279
Copied from the Tb: Tom Hougard (city index chap) Interesting reading:---
Tom H was on Bloomberg at 10.30... Potted Summary...
Target for Mon/Tue next week Dow 10800 Nas 2120 FTSE 4660
Catalyst.. US Jobs report tomorrow /Favourable int decision today.
Then Target for end Feb Dow 10100ish Nas 1540 FTSE between 4136/4330
Key for pullback to stay within Long term uptrend.
Target for June July Dow 11700-800 taking out all time highs possibly.
Catalyst... Presidential Cycle, thinks Bush is going to throw as much liquidity at markets to keep feel good factor for elections...
Now heres the sting....
December Dow below 10000!!!!!!
Expects bearish Autumn affter Pres Cycle effects out of the way.
THIS ASSUMES UPTREND NOT BROKEN INTO JUNE JULY TIME PERIOD.
snoball
- 08 Jan 2004 20:22
- 1102 of 2279
Interesting prediction, zarif.
I can't wait to see how right it is.
Bit boring today. My long is barely breaking even, although I missed a chance earlier when I was out.
snoball
- 08 Jan 2004 20:55
- 1104 of 2279
Yep, little woman, i'm hanging in there!
snoball
- 08 Jan 2004 20:58
- 1105 of 2279
I think i'll leave this on overnight. It broke above the two day ma of the highs.( a signal of sorts in my book).
zarif
- 09 Jan 2004 13:13
- 1106 of 2279
KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:
8:30 AM ET. December Non-Farm Payrolls (seen +150K; last +57K)
8:30 AM ET. December Unemployment Rate (seen 5.9%; last 5.9%)
9:40 AM ET. December ECRI Inflation Gauge (last 115.7)
zarif
- 09 Jan 2004 13:51
- 1107 of 2279
figures not so good -gad finger on the buzzer and managed a short giving 50pts.Not bad for b 4 open today!!!!!
Qusetion is "are we going DOWN today"?? Has the bubble finally got pricked?
rgds
zarif
snoball
- 09 Jan 2004 14:11
- 1108 of 2279
zarif, it certainly seems harder to make longs pay off. I closed out my overnight at b/e. Nice work on the short.
Watch it bounce at the open - maybe.
Does anyone know what those figures mean? What's the significance of non farm payrolls? Unemployment I understand. ECRI Inflation guage?
snoball
- 09 Jan 2004 14:45
- 1109 of 2279
Watch the Trin.
snoball
- 09 Jan 2004 14:56
- 1110 of 2279
Daft as it may seem - Long at 10525 - Jan fut.
snoball
- 09 Jan 2004 15:05
- 1111 of 2279
Closed for 13 points.
snoball
- 09 Jan 2004 15:47
- 1112 of 2279
oops! Nodded off there. Time for a walk on the beach.
snoball
- 09 Jan 2004 18:02
- 1113 of 2279
If you look at this
Dow chart it looks like a top may be in.
Doesn't it?
The PPO (price percentage oscillator) seems to have lost momentum.
The ADX looks to be changing direction.
Any thoughts anyone?
zarif
- 09 Jan 2004 20:47
- 1114 of 2279
Brilliant fall and got the short 115 pts gain on this one.
rgds
zarif
snoball
- 09 Jan 2004 20:51
- 1115 of 2279
Nice one zarif. You must have been short all day.
I tried a long at 10500 - and you know what heppened there.
Reversed it and managed to get enough to come out up 2 points on the day.
My system is now short but I don't want to leave a short on over the weekend.
I don't know when the Fed will decide to take a hand.
So now I am flat till Monday.
snoball
- 09 Jan 2004 20:55
- 1116 of 2279
I bet they take it back to 10500 before the close.
Maybe not.
snoball
- 09 Jan 2004 20:57
- 1117 of 2279
Nite y'all.
zarif
- 09 Jan 2004 21:05
- 1118 of 2279
Snoball - I managed 3 shorts today - 2 medium ones and the last was the nutctracker - i think the Ym have been exposed pretty badly -imagine 1000 jobs only to add and in nov figures were 14000 error.
You are right best not to open today
have a good w/end.
rgds
zarif