hawick
- 12 Mar 2004 15:13
Invest? If not.........What are your reasons? Lack of liquidity? Fear of a 'different' marketplace? Perhaps you feel wary as you feel you don't yet understand how it works, or your broker is either negative, or doesn't trade Ofex shares.
(Don't worry, most people have never heard of Ofex - perhaps that in itself is a reason!).
Are you then a 'lurker' who'd like to give it a go but aren't sure?
What is it that would convince you to finally give it a go, to buy your first ever ofex share? Or would you never do it?
Do tell! And do ask any questions you have. They don't bite!
bosley
- 15 Mar 2004 13:59
- 11 of 69
wonderful, so how do you buy the damn shares?????
hawick
- 16 Mar 2004 23:46
- 12 of 69
Just like any other share as long as you find a broker (several mentioned above) who will deal.
ThirdEye
- 25 Mar 2004 20:49
- 13 of 69
Britannia Finance easily the best buy on Ofex.
Interims up 229%
Don't take profits up front like their peers...it's keep the tax charge down.
Tipped by Michael Walters & UK-Unquoted Analyst.
Plus fixed costs mean profits will fall to the bottom line when their loan book reaches 12m......& it's now 13m.
Furthermore profits are virtually in the bag for the next 3 years as that is the average time a loan is lent.
Profit Record to date:
2000 67,000
2001 107,000
2002 179,000
2003 308,000
2004 700,000 Estimate by M Walters........Results announced in about 15 weeks.
goldfinger
- 25 Mar 2004 22:59
- 14 of 69
And the boss as just sold 700,000 quids worth of shares.
gf.
Jumpin
- 25 Mar 2004 23:15
- 15 of 69
No, I can think of easier ways of losing money
ThirdEye
- 25 Mar 2004 23:30
- 16 of 69
Up 300% from float & the boss refused a bid at 24p, as he knows there is growth to come.
Paid off his mortgage, as he only takes a small salary...who can blame him.
+ the sales have now finished.
A task.....
Find me better compound growth....85% at the moment & it's due to get better :-)
goldfinger
- 26 Mar 2004 01:36
- 17 of 69
And the boss as just sold 700,000 quids worth of shares, plus his wife has been dipping in aswell. Sorry but smaller companies like this market cap circa 9 million are greatly exposed when we have the geopolitical events going off at the moment plus theres the much talked about consumer bubble burst about to happen any day now, and interest rates on the rise.(interest rate rises affect all financial firms adversley ive worked in the Banking Industry, dont let anyone tell you any different).
No there not for me, no liquidity, hardly budge. Go for days and weeks on end without moving. Sorry doesnt interest me I prefer a little more excitement.
And of course you will have heard of the problems that have hit ofex over the last few weeks, losing out on the regional exchanges, Luke Johnsone leaving after only a few weeks with Ofex, the new MMS put back at least 2 months, share price of ofex stock fallen.
Good luck to holders though, you must be very very patient people indeed, you certainly have my respect for this aspect.
cheers GF.
ThirdEye
- 26 Mar 2004 07:02
- 18 of 69
Find me better compound growth....85% at the moment & it's due to get better :-)
No answer then?
goldfinger you got involved in Telecom Plus & Sportingbet after they left Ofex, wow could have bought Telecom plus for 30p on Ofex.....maybe you will buy Britannia over 1 when it's on AIM.
38
- 26 Mar 2004 11:16
- 19 of 69
GF raises some good points. Offex and Aim are traditionally treated as high risk because of the liquidity issues and the lacket of analyst coverage.
I think, though, that brokers treat them as higher risk because they are riskier for the broker. They call for good fundamental research and a lot of brokers don't want to commit the time or energy and would rather follow the latest research note from DKW or whoever. They get a bit of cover from that if it goes pear shaped.
If you look at the way the market has moved over the last few weeks aim companies have, as G.F. says, hardly budged and they are for the patient. But then isn't there some maxim about not looking at equity investment for less than a 5 year term ? I know that most people here are frequent traders but there is a distinction between investing and trading.
Not that I advocating puting the crown jewels into 2 offex companies, but a good spread along with other holdings can't hurt.
Punting on a large cap is essentially betting against 300 analysts who are frankly better trained and have more time than me. They live there lives for their sectors. Okay, markets aren't efficient, and nor am I, but I think that there are better opportunities to identify value in the small caps.
Hey ho. Off the soap box now.
38
- 26 Mar 2004 11:22
- 20 of 69
And for those having a very slow day:
Professional investment may be likened to those newspaper competitions in which the competitors have to pick out the six prettiest faces from a hundred photographs, the prize being awarded to the competitor whose choice most nearly corresponds to the average preferences of the competitors as a whole; so that each competitor has to pick, not those faces which he himself finds prettiest, but those which he thinks likeliest to catch the fancy of the other competitors, all of whom are looking at the problem from the same point of view. It is not a case of choosing those which, to the best of ones judgement, are really the prettiest, nor even those which average opinion genuinely thinks the prettiest. We have reached the third degree where we devote our intelligences to anticipating what average opinion expects the average opinion to be. And there are some, I believe, who practise the fourth, fifth and higher degrees
It is the long term investor, he who most promotes the public interest, who will in practice come in for most criticism, wherever investment funds are managed by committees or boards or banks. For it is in the essence of his behaviour that he should be eccentric, unconventional and rash in the eyes of average opinion. If he is successful, that will only confirm the general belief in his rashness; and if in the short run he is unsuccessful, which
is very likely, he will not receive much mercy. Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally.
J.M. Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, 1936.
ThirdEye
- 26 Mar 2004 11:22
- 21 of 69
But Ofex is about to become like AIM, 4 market makers by 2004 end......many commentators are catching on.
It's only for those who like high risk/high rewards, those who like safety, yield and a steady 20% pa gain on average, should stick with the blue chips!
goldfinger
- 26 Mar 2004 13:14
- 22 of 69
Not sorry not for me. Not regulated enough too much of this kind of thing happens which as just hapened in last few days...............
Over on Ofex, currency exchange group 4Less placed 2.8 million shares at 60p and that managing director Charles McLeod had dumped 450,000 shares at the same price ahead of a move to AIM. Since the mid-price ahead of the news was 87.5p the placing seems at a low level but the company - in a rare moment of corporate honesty - told free to use website Unquoted-Analyst.com that its shares were simply overvalued at 87.5p. They were 5p less overvalued by the close." Just think from 87.5p to 55p, - scandal.
If this happened on aim or main market there would be a shareholder rebellion, I feel sorry for those investors who have lost so much on this company.
cheers Gf.
hawick
- 26 Mar 2004 13:44
- 23 of 69
Afraid it does suggest that there is little interest here. I said there were bargains there on ofex, but i certainly do not think Britannia is one of them.
All these director sales tell a story, that company will be hurt by rising interest rates and the claimed conservative accounting - all that means is that the problems will take longer to show through and the inexperienced might well be left holding the baby, when the problems become all too apparent. And given that even several FTSE 100 financial stocks trade on single figure p/es difficult to imagine Britannia meriting a comparable rating, let alone its current premium - on a more competitive market. The 'growth' is from a chronically low base and hollow claims like 'it's going to get better' or 'more to come' do not help intelligent or mature investment decisions.
And if you watch commercial tv for more than 20 minutes you are almost guaranteed to see adverts offering better rates (Britannia verge on the shark imho, over 30%) from more established companies - cut throat competition that will eventually tell on such a small concern.
And goldfinger makes a very valuable point: ofex companies like 4less and Britannia likely to suffer from competitive mms as so many share sales and Gerald Ratner style comments about overvaluation (though fair play for honesty I guess!) would lead to markdowns. managements in many ofex companies have much to learn about the real commercial world!
If you are looking for a good ofex share, Oakdene expects to make 3 million+ on a p/e of under 4.
vasey
- 26 Mar 2004 13:51
- 24 of 69
Just found this thread and like hawick, I have a small stake in MIB (Millbrook Scientific Instruments) which I have held for almost 3 years under the EIS government scheme. It is currently sheltering some CGT.
I've met the management many times, spoken to the boss (Peter Stefanini)regularly and attending the AGMs. Good company and still happy to hold.
Recommend anyone who is interested to visit ofex.com and read through MIB's news section. They are selling machines at good profit margins and the financials are pretty good.
princess
- 26 Mar 2004 14:25
- 25 of 69
GF How do you rate OFX as a company at the moment? I've got a few shares tucked away, but getting fed up watching them drop. I didn't realise that L Johnson had left, or that the addition of more MMs had been delayed.
Are they still a good mid/long term hold?
Thanks
Princess
ajren
- 26 Mar 2004 15:02
- 26 of 69
Interesting sites for basic information :-
www.ofex.com
www.halifax.co.uk/home/index.shtml.Click sharedealing.Click jargonbuster and
enter ofex.
rgds aj
ThirdEye
- 26 Mar 2004 15:58
- 27 of 69
Other than mining stocks, Britannia probably has more interested investors than any other stock on OFex, those who say it's illiquid should check the graphs on www.ofex.com & then check highly illiquid GSC property with about 2 trades per month, which is mentioned in a positive light in this thread....proof in the pudding.
hawick
- 26 Mar 2004 16:11
- 28 of 69
GSC is far better value (35% below nav) precisely because it's less well known at this stage.
That's the beauty of the real undiscovered shares such as Millbrook, Oakdene and GSC.
Britannia looks exposed now and certainly overvalued, as competition fears and interest rates bite deeper and deeper.
ThirdEye
- 26 Mar 2004 16:17
- 29 of 69
GSC has 35m borrowings & a market cap of what 5m?
Oh dear if property sentinment changes very very risky.
As for Britannia next three years profits virtually locked in.
85% compound growth, and that's due to improve as they have fixed costs, anything over 12m loan books falls straight to the bottom line.
No dependency on the property market, which some commentators say is due for a correction.
RoyMarklove
- 26 Mar 2004 16:18
- 30 of 69
Ofex I think is OK if you have a small amount of cash you do not mind tying up for some time. It is not a get rich quick market because a lot of the companies are start up companies. Not a market to risk a lot of money in. I think qonnectis is one to watch, certainly not a market to invest in if you are not prepared to wait, or even lose your investment.On the other hand there are excellent gains to be made if you can pick the right stock