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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

skinny - 07 Mar 2013 11:04 - 11217 of 21973

BofE faces knife-edge decision on bond buys

LONDON | Thu Mar 7, 2013 10:44am GMT

(Reuters) - The Bank of England will decide on Thursday whether to pump more money into the economy as the government stuck to its guns that it would not turn back on its deficit-cutting pledge.

Ahead of the 12 noon British Time announcement by the Bank, Prime Minister David Cameron said abandoning the austerity programme would be disastrous.

skinny - 07 Mar 2013 11:22 - 11218 of 21973

Treading water.

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=UK%3aUKX&uf=

skinny - 07 Mar 2013 12:00 - 11219 of 21973

GBP Asset Purchase Facility 375B consensus 375B previous 375B

GBP Official Bank Rate 0.50% consensus 0.50% previous 0.50%

Shortie - 07 Mar 2013 12:11 - 11220 of 21973

Yep no change from the BOE.

Shortie - 07 Mar 2013 12:47 - 11221 of 21973

RBC consumer outlook index declines to 47.1 in March from 49.5 in February --The vast majority of consumers expect gas prices to rise further --About two-thirds of consumers expect to get a tax refund, and 52% plan on spending some of that money By Kathleen Madigan Sentiment about the U.S. economy turned sharply lower as February turned into March, according to data released Thursday. High gasoline prices and fiscal problems are hurting confidence. The Royal Bank of Canada said its consumer outlook index fell to 47.1 in March from 49.5 in February, putting the index back to its lowest reading since December 2012. The RBC current conditions index fell more than four points to 37.1 from 41.4, while the expectations index declined to 54.8 from 58.0. "The improved economic outlook evident in the first two months of 2013 appears to have been wiped out by rising gas prices and the failure of the government to avoid sequestration," said the report. RBC said the surveys were conducted between Feb. 28 and March 3. Consumers still are worried about the labor markets. The RBC jobs index remained at 55.3, after it fell to that point in February from 56.4 in January. The inflation-expectation index jumped to 80.4 from 76.4. The March reading is the highest since RBC began surveying consumers about prices in December 2010. Higher gasoline prices are driving the inflation outlook. The report said 85% of consumers expect a major or minor increase in gas or fuel prices over the next year, a rise of nine percentage points saying that last month. "Public optimism about the direction of the country has declined significantly from last month," the report said. "Over two-thirds (68%) now think things are off on the wrong track, the lowest score in 15 months." In a series of special questions, RBC asked U.S. consumers about tax refunds. About two-thirds of consumers expect to get a refund, and 52% plan on spending some of that money, rather than saving all of it. In addition to buying basics like food, mortgage and home repairs, consumers plan on using the money for vacations, as a down payment for a big-ticket item or to buy gifts. "We may be seeing a modest pent-up demand scenario playing out," says Tom Porcelli, RBC's chief economist. "Ultimately, it will be interesting to see if those desires expressed in the [report] show up in actual spending. As we know, sometimes what the consumer says and does can be quite different." The RBC consumer outlook survey is conducted online via Ipsos' Public Affairs.

Shortie - 07 Mar 2013 12:47 - 11222 of 21973

Challenger: U.S. Job Cuts in February Up 37% From Previous Month

By Kristin Jones Layoffs planned by U.S.-based companies jumped 37% in February from the previous month, driven by job cuts in the financial sector, according to data from consulting firm Challenger Gray & Christmas Inc. But the cuts continued to be offset by more hiring. U.S.-based employers in February said they planned to cut 55,356 jobs, 7% more than the same period a year ago. The financial sector accounted for 21,724 of those planned job cuts. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) alone said it would reduce its headcount by 19,000 over the next two years as it trims its mortgage business in response to an improving housing market. "Ideally, you want an improving economy to lead to job creation, but it is not unusual to see employers make reductions in some areas while simultaneously adding in others as changing economic conditions require them to shuffle workforce priorities," said Challenger Chief Executive John A. Challenger. The firm also noted 3,000 job cuts planned by United Technologies Corp. (UTX), which may foreshadow further layoffs by aerospace and defense companies as wide government spending cuts--known as the sequester--take effect. "In addition to aerospace and defense, the sequester is likely to result in increased job cuts in the government, education and non-profit sectors, as well as private-sector industries that count the government among their biggest customers, such as technology, construction and transportation," said Mr. Challenger. Meanwhile, planned hiring announcements, which represent a fraction of the actual hiring activity in the economy, totaled 92,372 in February.

Shortie - 07 Mar 2013 12:48 - 11223 of 21973

ECB Leaves Refi Rate Unchanged At 0.75%

Shortie - 07 Mar 2013 12:49 - 11224 of 21973

LONDON--The Bank of England joined a number of other leading central banks in leaving its monetary policy unchanged Thursday, but its inaction masks a lively debate among policy makers over whether new tools are needed to rekindle growth in the U.K.'s stalled economy. But while the BOE mulls new ways of reviving the flat-lining economy, U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron Thursday made it clear that his government will stick to its painful austerity drive and wider economic plan, despite calls for a change of course from within his coalition government and the ranks of his own party. The BOE said in a statement its Monetary Policy Committee voted to leave the central bank's benchmark interest rate at 0.5% and the size of its bond-buying stimulus program at 375 billion pounds ($563.1 billion). The central banks of Australia, Canada and Brazil earlier this week left their key policy rates unchanged, while the European Central bank is expected to follow suit when the monthly meeting of its governing council concludes later Thursday. As is usual when it leaves policy unchanged, the MPC didn't release a statement explaining its decision. Sterling rose immediately following publication of the BOE's decision at 1200 GMT, touching a high of $1.5070. U.K. government bonds fell after the announcement, as some market participants were disappointed by the BOE's decision to not extend the asset purchase program. The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond rose 0.03 percentage points to 1.99%. This month's decision marks four years since the benchmark interest rate in the U.K. was cut to 0.5%, a record low in the central bank's 319-year history. There have been few instances outside of wartime in the last 100 years when rates have been kept low for so long, underscoring the economy's parlous state. The U.K. eked out economic growth of just 0.2% in 2012 and is tipped to expand only 1% this year, according to a range of independent forecasts compiled by the treasury. Many economists believe further bond-buying is imminent, even though annual inflation, measured at 2.7% in January, is tipped to rise further above the BOE's target this year. This view was reinforced when minutes of February's policy meeting revealed Governor Mervyn King and markets chief Paul Fisher joined longtime stimulus advocate David Miles in voting for more bond-buying. They were defeated by the remaining six officials on the nine-man panel. "A combination of mixed economic data and the MPC's recent tilt in a more dovish direction, is likely to have made this decision a close call. With only a modest pick-up in growth expected, the possibility of further QE will remain a live issue," said Stephen Gifford, director of economics at the Confederation of British Industry. The monetary policy debate in the U.K. has deepened in 2013 as officials cast around for new ways to boost growth. Mark Carney, the Bank of Canada chief who succeeds Mr. King as BOE governor in July, has signaled he is willing to consider introducing a range of innovations in U.K. monetary policy when he takes office, including Federal Reserve-style guidance on the path of interest rates to encourage spending and investment. Officials have already introduced a program called the Funding-for-Lending Scheme, or FLS, to encourage banks to lend more to households and businesses, although its success has been mixed so far. Rate-setters have also floated the idea of charging banks to park their cash at the central bank in a bid to goad lenders to dish out more loans, and discussed other radical measures. Analysts are now weighing the chances that fresh stimulus comes in a new form. "The growing openness of the committee to new ideas suggests that the MPC is unlikely to remain a "one-club golfer'," said Martin Beck, U.K. economist at Capital Economics. There is also renewed debate within Britain's coalition government about possible changes to its central economic policy--cutting the U.K.'s huge budget deficit. In a long academic article for the New Statesman magazine published Wednesday, the U.K.'s business secretary publicly questioned whether the government should borrow more to fund capital spending, a strategy that flies in the face of Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne's austerity drive. Vince Cable, a member of the Liberal Democrats, the smaller of the two coalition parties, said the key question facing the government was whether it should borrow at current, very low interest rates to raise money to build schools, road and rail projects and housing. Although such a strategy might help revive growth in the economy, nobody knows how financial markets would react, he said. Mr. Osborne is facing growing calls ahead of his budget statement on March 20 to do more to boost growth in the moribund British economy after the country was stripped of its prized top-notch credit rating by Moody's Investors Service in February. Some senior Conservative cabinet ministers are becoming increasingly outspoken in declaring that their departments should be spared from the government's next round of spending cuts, fueling debate among commentators that some may be positioning themselves for a future leadership bid. But in a speech, which comes less than two weeks before Mr. Osborne delivers his annual budget statement on the coalition's tax and spending plans, Mr. Cameron said there are signs the government's economic strategy is bearing fruit. The budget deficit has shrunk, interest rates are at historic lows, private sector jobs are being created and exports to fast-growing economies like Brazil, India, China and Russia have increased, he said. "Of course, these signs of progress are just the beginning of a long hard road to a better Britain," the prime minister said. "But the very moment when we're just getting some signs that we can turn our economy round and make our country a success is the very moment to hold firm to the path we have set."

skinny - 07 Mar 2013 13:31 - 11225 of 21973

USD Trade Balance -44.4B consensus -42.8B previous -38.5B

USD Unemployment Claims 340K consensus 354K previous 344K

USD Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q -1.9% consensus -1.6% previous -2.0%

USD Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q 4.6% consensus 4.4% previous 4.5%

CAD Building Permits m/m 1.7% consensus 5.4% previous -11.2%

CAD Trade Balance -0.2B consensus -0.6B previous -0.9B

cynic - 07 Mar 2013 16:19 - 11226 of 21973

dow target is 14545 ...... i think it was back in october/november when that number was first mooted, and though it has inevitably been a pretty bumpy ride since then, that target now looks readily achievable

if that should happen some time in say april, then it signals strongly the customary "sell in may and go away"

skinny - 08 Mar 2013 08:15 - 11227 of 21973

CHF CPI m/m 0.3% consensus -0.3% previous -0.3%

skinny - 08 Mar 2013 09:31 - 11228 of 21973

GBP Consumer Inflation Expectations 3.6% previous 3.5%

Shortie - 08 Mar 2013 09:40 - 11229 of 21973

UK Jan Construction Output -6.3%MM, -7.9%YY

skinny - 08 Mar 2013 11:00 - 11230 of 21973

German Industrial Production m/m 0.0% consensus 0.6% previous 0.3%

skinny - 08 Mar 2013 13:17 - 11231 of 21973

CAD Housing Starts 181K consensus 173K previous 159K

cynic - 08 Mar 2013 13:31 - 11232 of 21973

wake up!!
what's the jobless report like .... clearly not too shabby by reaction on cash dow

skinny - 08 Mar 2013 13:33 - 11233 of 21973

CAD Employment Change 50.7K consensus 7.8K previous -21.9K

CAD Unemployment Rate 7.0% consensus 7.1% previous 7.0%

CAD Labor Productivity q/q 0.1% consensus -0.1% previous -0.5%

USD Non-Farm Employment Change 2360K consensus 162K previous 157K

USD Unemployment Rate 7.7% consensus 7.9% previous 7.9%

USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.2% consensus 0.2% previous 0.2%

Shortie - 08 Mar 2013 13:36 - 11234 of 21973

WASHINGTON--U.S. job growth jumped ahead in February, a sign of a steadily improving labor market and stronger economic gains. Employers added 236,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said Friday. The unemployment rate, obtained by a separate survey of U.S. households, fell two-tenths of a percentage point to 7.7%, the lowest level since the end of 2008. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires had forecast that nonfarm payrolls would rise by 160,000 and the unemployment rate would fall to 7.8% February's numbers point to an upturn for the labor market. For all of last year, the economy added an average of about 183,000 jobs a month. Over the past four months, that pace has picked up a little to an average of 205,000 a month. That's helped bring down the unemployment rate, though about 12 million Americans who wanted a job couldn't find one last month. The latest snapshot of the labor market comes against a backdrop of an improving housing market, big gains for the stock market, rising consumer confidence and other signs of momentum for the economy. Still, higher payroll taxes and government cutbacks have weighed on growth. That has led many economists to expect only moderate gains this year. Forecasting firm Macroeconomic Advisers, for example, predicted the economy will expand only 2.1% this year--little changed from the 2.2% rate in 2012. And the unemployment rate is expected to remain well above the 6.5% threshold the Federal Reserve is targeting before allowing interest rates to rise. The Fed's policy-making committee is determined "to keep monetary policy highly accommodative until well into the recovery," Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen said earlier this week. The Fed's next policy meeting is March 19-20. Friday's report showed that private companies added 246,000 jobs during February, accounting for all of the month's gains. Employment increased in professional and business services such as accounting, construction, health care and retail. Manufacturers added 14,000 jobs. Governments, meanwhile, shed 10,000 positions. The federal workforce was unchanged but state and local governments made big cuts, particularly to education. Despite government cutbacks, TD Securities said the "encouraging tone of the data seen during the past few weeks" shows "that the U.S. recovery is successfully navigating against the headwinds from fiscal austerity." Average earnings rose by 4 cents to $23.82 an hour, while the average workweek inched ahead by 0.1 hour to 34.5 hours. A broader measure of unemployment--which includes job seekers as well as those stuck in part-time jobs--fell to 14.3% in February from 14.4% the prior month. The Labor Department's employment report can be accessed at: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.toc.htm

skinny - 08 Mar 2013 13:38 - 11235 of 21973

Any chance of one of your charts Shortie?

Shortie - 08 Mar 2013 13:43 - 11236 of 21973

what would you like? FTSE or DOW
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