Nitefly
- 15 Sep 2003 10:55
Why are we again at 10.5p bid?
It doesn't add up...
Good Results + Strong buying pre results + Christmas online buying soon = Price drop
Then again some companies that have debt for equity hanging in the balance, poor results and bankruptcy around the corner and they go up!
Why sell now at a loss?
Wont that be a kick in the teeth when we see 13.5p 14p again!
Best of luck all.
Tokyo
- 30 Apr 2004 08:46
- 1125 of 2406
Douggie - my thoughts exactly
Fundamentalist
- 30 Apr 2004 08:57
- 1126 of 2406
Morning all,
Nice positive statement, backed up by 2 new contracts and a very bullish broker note. Yet still we appear to be the mm's favourite plaything at the moment.
As a long term holder I am very happy with the news and this will be reflected in the price sooner or later - in the short term the mms will play their games. Hopefully the AGM will be very positive and give us a lift later in the day.
javidshaik
- 30 Apr 2004 10:43
- 1127 of 2406
Morning all.
Having read this mornings statement and seen the slight upward movement in the graph above the last resistance, I decided to top up again. I now have a sizeable holding (not as much as yours Fundamentalist but sizeable for me) and will look to hold at least half through to 28-30p resistance and then re-evaluate situation. As we seem to get massive sells with every penny or two increase, this may take a a little longer but the company is definitly good for filling our pockets with a lot of money in the near future I think.
From around August 2001 up till today you will see a head and shoulders formed. Its not the cleanest head and shoulders but none the less it is there. This is usually a good sign for an good upward trend but if you are day trading penny profits then you will not gain anything. If you are looking more longer term (certainly longer than 28-30p) then you should hopefully see a nice bullish run but with continuos pullbacks for profit taking.
Anyway, best wishes to all on this informative board. I am not here often but always read the history.
Javid
Tokyo
- 30 Apr 2004 14:18
- 1128 of 2406
so many sells and now a drop, anyone know what happened at the AGM?
Wasn't expecting this, thought it was going the other way
Fundamentalist
- 30 Apr 2004 14:53
- 1129 of 2406
This posted on a rival BB courtesy of Amrcou who has been to the AGM:
OK all,
Just returned from the AGM.
Very interesting and reassuring and was followed by a presentation similar to what they give on their road shows.
Loads of questions answered but I need to get back to work.
However and so as not to keep you in suspense:-
1. The average US $ rate in 2003 was 1.65 ie its now worse but more than compensated by a stronger Australian $.
2.Customer confidentiality precludes them from RNS's.
3There is at least one Institution ( to which I was provided the name) who has been buying recently.
4.They are conscious of the share volatility and are "working with their Advisors on stabilising the share".
Loads of other interesting comments and replies to questions.
Tokyo
- 30 Apr 2004 16:37
- 1130 of 2406
Fantastic news + AGM = drop in price, this stock just continues to confuse me, hopefully the above points from the AGM will have an effect on the stock next week and for the weeks to come. The Institution will have to be named if they are buying large chucks, and the one we all have wished for better P.R. to stablise the share price.
Douggie
- 30 Apr 2004 17:24
- 1131 of 2406
?????????????? ther's nowt like good news for driving the share price down??????????????
:o(((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((
zscrooge
- 01 May 2004 21:03
- 1132 of 2406
More stuff courtesy rival boards re the AGM
There were questions asked about the long term incentive plan (LTIP), in her reply Jane Tozer mentioned that the bonuses were capped and that they were less dilutive to shareholders than option schemes.
CC expected growth from the fuel card business for a number of years. This was very re-assuring as this division is and is likely to remain the main profit maker for the next few years.
No pension liabilities as the pension schemes are money purchase, so the company will not need to make adjustments for the pension accounting standard.
Continued focus on cutting costs. I forgot to ask which areas were being looked at.
APACS revenue expected to be around 1.4m this year and the contract is likely to continue into 2005. I was concerned that there might be significant closure costs, when this business does reach its end date but was re-assured that there would be actually be some savings.
I was puzzled by the resolution to grant the company the authority to buy back shares, when they had the same authority in 2003 and didn't use it when the share price was much lower. The answer to this was that it had been discussed but there were other uses for the money at the time. In hindsight to me it looks like a lost opportunity but never mind. Unless there is a collapse in the stock market, I see little chance of the company buying back shares this year.
No plans for a dividend in the immediate future.
EPS this year will be held back by a rising tax charge, this is why Daniel Stewart are only estimating earnings of 1.4p despite higher profits. The company were able to make use of losses last year to reduce tax payable but would have to revert to a more normal tax rate this year. Richard Amos though did say that one of his jobs was to look at better utilising existing losses. I would like to think that the company is playing down expectations, so that they can beat their forecast and would hope for some increase in EPS but will have to wait till the interims to find out.
During the presentation there was a slide about attempted fraud, in which cards were held by people who shared the same address and people having the same telephone number but living at a different address etc. This illustrated the benefits of pooling knowledge of fraud attempts, so that a rejection at company A, could also help prevent a fraud at company B. It also underlined the importance of building up a critical mass of customers ('footprint'), to offer an improved level of service, which is exactly what RTD have done. I think in future this will serve as a barrier to entry of competitors.
Verified by Visa had signed up very few retailers. Carl thought this was because retailers were aiming at one click purchasing and VBV requires customers to enter further details.
The company provided the proxy votes for the proposed resolutions. All motions had 20m or 7% of the total No of shares in favour. This proves to me that most shares are held by private shareholders, who I think in the most part don't bother
to vote.
I came away thinking that as small shares go, this was a safe hold with a low risk of unexpected surprises:-
Impressive cash generation
Market leading fuel card business in oz, expected to grow
CNP growing quickly and also in a good position according to the financial insight article quoted in the Daniel Stewart note
Good forward visibility of revenues because of the transaction based business model
Potential to make earnings enhancing acquisitions with the accumulating cash
And elsewhere
UK's Retail Decisions encouraged by Q1 trade
LONDON, April 30 (Reuters) - Britain's Retail Decisions Plc (LSE: RTD.L - news) expects to meet full-year market forecasts after an encouraging start to the year, the credit-card fraud-prevention firm said on Friday.
"Trading in the first quarter has been encouraging across each of our geographies, and fully consistent with achieving the full-year external consensus profit expectations," Chairman Nigel Whittaker will tell shareholders at the company's annual general meeting later today.
Analysts expect a pre-tax profit of 6.0 million pounds ($10.6 million) for the 2004 calendar year, according to Reuters Research.
Trading in the first three months was boosted by the renewal of a fraud-prevention contract with a major U.S. telecoms company and a new contract to process payment transactions for a leading Internet travel agency, Whittaker said.
The shares were trading at 20-1/4 pence at 0913 GMT, flat from Wednesday close and valuing the firm at 59 million pounds.
Last month, Retail Decisions said the increase in Internet shoppers was lifting demand for its card-not-present anti-fraud system. It posted a pre-tax profit of 2.9 million pounds for 2003, up from a 9.4 million pounds loss the previous year.
Tokyo
- 04 May 2004 10:04
- 1133 of 2406
what the hell is happening, what happened to RTD stabilizing this stock price?
apple
- 04 May 2004 11:27
- 1134 of 2406
Tokyo
What is happening is a buying opportunity in a profitable company.
apple
- 04 May 2004 11:55
- 1135 of 2406
Hope this will encourage them further
---------------------------------------------
Retail Decisions PLC
04 May 2004
Notification of Directors' interest
Following the passing of all resolutions at the AGM held on April 30th 2004 to
approve the Retail Decisions PLC Long Term Incentive Plan ('LTIP'), the
Non-Executive Directors of the Board approved the following awards to Directors
under the Plan:
Employee Face value of the award No. of shares
subject to LTIP
Carl Clump, Chief Executive 165,000 award 814,814
Richard Amos, Finance Director 97,500 award 481,481
Full details of the plan are included in the Circular to Shareholders dated 19th
March 2004. The date of grant of the awards is April 30th 2004 and the closing
price of the Company's ordinary shares prior to the date of grant was 20.25
pence.
Douggie
- 04 May 2004 13:47
- 1136 of 2406
I do wish they'd stop posting 'GOOD NEWS' it's proving very expensive!!! ;-((((
Tokyo
- 04 May 2004 14:19
- 1137 of 2406
apple & All RTD Holders - I can see it's a great buying oppotunity, but I already hold enough in this stock, the drop in the past couple of trading days has lost me over 3,000 pounds. The company is performing well, the figures posted for expected profit, very conservative, which would all bring about an expected share price target of 31 pence. looks like I shall be holding these until after September, just disheartens me to keep seeing this stock being played with and drops that just don't make sense.
The one thing I shall nt be doing is selling out now for a loss, as I believe the fundamentals are still very strong with this company, although the ups and downs of this company's stock price is just not for the faint hearted.
Good luck to all holders
Douggie
- 05 May 2004 14:47
- 1138 of 2406
;~{..
FerdFord
- 06 May 2004 09:57
- 1139 of 2406
In my opinion the message from the AGM was "steady as she goes". A lot of small investors like Tokyo had bought on the hope of some "unexpected" good news but although the news was good, it was not any better than expected. Even RTDs tame brokers could not find anything to cause them to raise their price target.
As a result of this, the price has dropped as some of these hopeful investors bail out. Exactly the same thing happened when the results were released. The price rose on hope to a level that proved unsustainable.
washlander
- 06 May 2004 13:18
- 1140 of 2406
I agree with FerdFord. A nice steady rise. Look at last year. There was the same concerns raised then as raised today. However from last March to now it has been great. I do not think we can expect such an increase this year.
Douggie
- 07 May 2004 16:13
- 1141 of 2406
..... ;o{{
Tokyo
- 08 May 2004 10:23
- 1142 of 2406
Will be keeping my eye on this one, but seems as if all the excitment has gone for now(didn't even get the regular blue friday), don't think we shall be seeing 25 pence (my target price)until September time (next set of results.) Will be holding until then, there is no way I'm selling out at a loss, when all that is needed with this share is time.
dandu71
- 09 May 2004 10:09
- 1143 of 2406
Quite a strong presence of chip and pin adverts on the radio just recently, wonder if this could help RTD develop new business??
Douggie
- 10 May 2004 09:16
- 1144 of 2406
I got that horible sinking feeling again :~{{...
it does look like that forcast 25p/30p not going to happen long time yet, anyone able to tell me this wrong?