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Pump & Dump Alert (PUMP)     

Gausie - 22 Jan 2006 09:47

o How Pump & Dump Works o What to do if you think you may be a victim o Current Pump & Dump Suspects [DMR] o Previous Pump & Dump Suspects o Links to key posts in this thread o External Links

This thread is work in progress, is reserved for a discussion of the Pump & Dump process, and to flag up UK stocks that people feel may be currently subject to that process. The intention is to keep the 'meat' of the content in the header, which will be frequently and regularly updated from any posts made to the thread. I'll also use the main thread as a change control to record and audit updates to the header.

If you have been the victim or perpetrator of a pump & dump, I would welcome your comments and stories (anonymously if preferred) as posts to the main thread. I will include extracts from them, and links to them in this header. If you prefer, you can click on my username and email me your stories through the MoneyAM internal mail system

How Pump & Dump Works

Pump and Dump schemes are a technique used by devious and immoral traders on thinly traded stocks to con unwitting and unsophisticated traders out of their savings and to make huge profits for themselves.

Candidate stocks are typically low liquidity penny shares with a history of low volume that suddenly hit the limelight when one or more energetic, enthusiastic and ebbulient posters 'discover' them and claim them as hidden gems. The usual scenario is that despite no change in the rate or quality of newsflow there is a rapid rise in volume, a disproportionate rise in price signifying accumulation and pump with little or no selling, an exhaustion peak and then a rapid return to previous levels or thereabouts, with our ebbulient posters moving on to pastures new. Price and volume usually then return to normality.

A pump and dump scheme usually has the perpetrator buying at low levels for some weeks prior to the pump stage, after which they promote the share, typically via BBs and/or mailing lists. They may buy a few during the pump and make sure everyone knows that they're buying, but they'll also sell a few more to take profits. It's the victims of the scheme who buy the shares the fraudster is selling.

When the fraudster thinks that she's unable to inflate the price any further, or has reached her profit targets, she'll start selling a lot harder. This is the 'Dump' stage of a pump and dump. She'll claim on the BBs that holders should 'keep the faith', she'll blame the shorters, she'll try to encourage people to top up and she'll promise lashings and lashings of jam tomorrow. She may buy a few and publicise the buys just to cover her tracks. But on the whole, she'll be selling.

At this point, the price may yoyo a little but the fraudster's selling is putting an overall downward pressure on the share price.

At some stage soon we get a 'race to the exit'. Some of the mugs who have been suckered in, start to realise what's happened and they too sell. The fraudster sees the sells, realises the game is up and dumps all of her remaining holdings.

The price drops, often by as much as 75% in a matter of days or hours. Those who are lucky enough to get out do so. The first ones to get out see a small profit or a small loss. Those who aren't so lucky typically leave the share certificate in a bottom drawer somewhere, determined to wait until they can get their money back before selling. Usually they never do. Some will wait forever, and have effectively lost their whole investment, others may sell a year or two later, perhaps at 1% of their purchase price.

What to do if you think you may be a victim

If you're reading this then you've already got over the first hurdle - denial. Most traders suckered into these schemes refuse to recognise that they're being conned despite warning signs that are so obvious in retrospect. A significant number remain in denial for many years after the price has collapsed and never get around to selling - a phenomenom psychiatrists call 'cognitive dissonance'.

If you've bought into a pump and dump and have recognised it for what it is, you're probably wondering what to do. Chances are, you're thinking "I can't sell yet cos its not quite covered my buy price .... just a few more fractions of a penny and I'm out".

So What do you do?

Firstly - you need to ensure that the money you have invested into the share is within your comfort zone. Ask yourself "Will I mind if I lose it all?" If the answer is "no, I'm happy to lose the lot", then play this however you see fit. Maybe you'll make some money, maybe you'll lose your entire investment.

If it's "I daren't lose it all, I wont be able to face my bank manager /partner /kids /parents /landlord/ gasman" (delete as appropriate) then you need to take a long hard look at the way you trade, and you *must* reduce the size of your holding to the level where you don't mind losing all of what's left - even if you have to take a small loss on the tranche that you sell. Bad tasting medicine, I know, but infinitely preferable to the alternative. Get yourself onto a risk management course. I would expect www.glomtc.com to run courses along these lines.

Although pump and dump schemes are illegal worldwide, succesful prosecutions are rare and almost non-existant in the UK. The highest publicity case in the USA related to a 14 year old boy who was eventually fined more than $250,000 having made much more than this through using internet BBs and spam mail to promote and then dump his penny stocks.

The highest profile UK case was probably the Daily Mirror City Slickers scandal that eventually came to court in November 2005. The court heard that Piers morgan bought 66,000 worth of Viglen shares the day before the Mirror tipped them. James Hipwell also bought 36,500 worth which he sold at 9.00am the next day for a profit of almost 20,000. Also tried was a BB Poster whose real name is Terry Shepherd - he was accused of forming part of the conspiracy.

Trade suspect shares if you must - but keep your wits about you.

Current Pump & Dump Suspects Dimension Resources - DMR
Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=DMR&SiEPIC: DMRName:Dimension ResourcesCategory: Illiquid Penny ShareNMS: 3000Current Phase: PUMPAccumulation Started: Around July 2005Pump Started: Late October 2005Dump Started: Awaiting Data
Previous Pump & Dump Suspects
CFS2004.jpgEPIC: CFPName:City Financial associatesCategory: Illiquid Penny ShareNMS: TinyAccumulation Started: est Jan 2004Pump Started: 31/03/2004Dump Started: 28/04/2004Maximum Loss To Victims: 81%
Links to posts within this thread Posts 2,3 and 4 on page 1 of this thread are typical indicators of the pump stage of a pump and dump scam. The scammer cross-posts buy recommendations for their stock on multiple threads, and points to their previous pump and dump scams as successes. Naturally, they only mention the low (where they bought) and the high (where they exited). The victims bought at those highs and will probably never see those prices again. Those victims have been well and truly conned out of their money, and many will never realise how and why they were deceived. External Links SEC Article Wikipedia 14 year old fraudster Investopedia link

axdpc - 26 Jan 2006 14:31 - 113 of 262

Not sure about blocking people. There are too much gaggings in this world.
As long as there is no compulsion/abuse/threats/..., I am happy to hear new and different opinions. But would like more "search lights", educations and alerts.

deadfred - 26 Jan 2006 14:49 - 114 of 262

id tokens (they are hardware that has to be fixed to your computer)are the way forward

might cost a cpl of quid but they can be blocked instantly if missused

just an id

bullshare ive sent u an email

Haystack - 26 Jan 2006 15:08 - 115 of 262

ramu
There is nothing unique attached to a logged-on user to ban then with. Most broadband users these days have details that are dynamically allocated by their ISP. Dialup users are a bigger problem as you can get a pay as you go dialup account as a minute's notice and supply a false address. Try www.Virgin.net for instance. That is just one of hundreds. You could just keep applying to Virgin for ever for instance. They cannot tell if you are the same person.

One solution is topay to post. If you subscribe to a paid for BB such as the Traders one here then the account is paid for by a credit card. Paid for BBs are generally better behaved (generally).

Bullshare - 26 Jan 2006 15:21 - 116 of 262

deadfred. replied.

Bullshare - 26 Jan 2006 15:22 - 117 of 262

Ramu; Don't worry we have looked at it. In fact we have a delay on Dil; he is still in the 1970's , but don't tell him!

Haystack - 26 Jan 2006 15:28 - 118 of 262

When planes land at Cardiff (bi-planes) they tell the passenger "please set your sundial back two hundred years".

Fred1new - 26 Jan 2006 16:33 - 119 of 262

Just see how stupid the foreigners are!!!!

Dil - 26 Jan 2006 18:42 - 120 of 262

lol

kevrussell - 26 Jan 2006 18:44 - 121 of 262

evenin ramper

Dil - 26 Jan 2006 18:52 - 122 of 262

evening Mike , staying long or banned by midnight ?

blinger - 26 Jan 2006 19:05 - 123 of 262

When `planes land in London, the first thing English passengers need is an interpreter- into English.

Gausie - 26 Jan 2006 20:41 - 124 of 262

Those who've posted candidate shares - I'll review them and update the header over the weekend.

G

SueHelen - 26 Jan 2006 20:45 - 125 of 262

Ain't got nowt better to do then gausie at the weekend.....seems the most logical thing to do...enjoy as always.

SueHelen - 26 Jan 2006 20:48 - 126 of 262

Hey gausie....u worked it out yet as to all the different aliases Dildo uses.....or are u still wearing those rose tinted spectacles and just keeping your fantasy alive with me.

blinger - 26 Jan 2006 20:57 - 127 of 262

SH it got SEO bang to rights though, clever shorter this girl, follow her long tips- short- and you could be a winner.

explosive - 26 Jan 2006 21:00 - 128 of 262

Bling - Baaaaagggghhhh Baaaaaggggghhhhh, follow like a sheep, never!!

Gausie - 26 Jan 2006 21:08 - 129 of 262

SH - I've known Dil through the boards for probably 10 years now - and I'll say this of him: although he may not have a clue when it comes to international rugby, he can spot a pump and dump merchant at 10,000 paces.

Didn't take him long to finger you.

(Dil: I'll set 'em up .....)

SueHelen - 26 Jan 2006 21:10 - 130 of 262

This thread is a waste of time.....load of coadswallop if u ask me.

SueHelen - 26 Jan 2006 21:10 - 131 of 262

Gausie has really started some aggro on MoneyAm..all the threads are a washout these days.....

Gausie - 26 Jan 2006 21:11 - 132 of 262

seeya.
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