cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
Shortie
- 22 Mar 2013 15:10
- 11542 of 21973
FTSE 100 15min, why do I get the feeling this is gonna fall...!
skinny
- 22 Mar 2013 15:11
- 11543 of 21973
Shortie, did you see the link in post 11540?
Shortie
- 22 Mar 2013 15:14
- 11544 of 21973
Just seen it, thanks Skinny...
cynic
- 22 Mar 2013 15:16
- 11545 of 21973
you may be right, but meanwhile, having closed my dow short this morning, i am now long with an acceptable profit - which i may well bank later
==============
which i have at 14506.9 :-))
cynic
- 23 Mar 2013 08:20
- 11546 of 21973
cyprus looks to be staggering towards a solution and i note that cash down finished at 14540 after hours ...... assuming cyprus not dumped by monday morning, there will almost certainly be a knee-jerk surge, but imo, that could/should be the time to short
Shortie
- 24 Mar 2013 22:39
- 11547 of 21973
German Finance Min: Cyprus Bailout Numbers Haven't Changed, If Anything Worse
BRUSSELS--German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said Sunday the crisis in Cyprus has, "if anything," grown worse over the last week and said Cypriot authorities must now face up to the sitatuion. "The numbers haven't changed, if anything they have gotten worse," Mr. Schaeuble said in brief remarks on his way into a meeting of finance ministers here. "We are ready for a solution." "I hope that we come to a result today but the precondition is that Cyprus sees the situation realistically," he said. Asked what he expected from the meeting, he said "what we agreed last week." -Write to Gabriele Steinhauser and Tom Fairless at Gabriele.steinhauser@wsj.com and Tom.Fairless@wsj.com (END) Dow Jones Newswires March 24, 2013 14:11 ET (18:11 GMT)
Shortie
- 24 Mar 2013 22:41
- 11548 of 21973
MARKET SNAPSHOT: Cyprus Bailout Failure Would Shake Stocks
By Carla Mozee, MarketWatch WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Negotiations for a financial rescue of Cyprus extended into late Sunday, leaving investors uncertain as to whether the small island-nation would agree to a bailout of its banking system that averts further turmoil in global markets. Monday is the deadline for Cyprus to reach a deal on how it will raise 5.8 billion euros ($7.5 billion) so that it can receive a EUR10 billion rescue package from international creditors. The Cyprus economy could collapse without an agreement. The European Central Bank said it would cut off emergency liquidity for Cyprus's banks unless the country reaches an agreement to shore up its troubled financial sector. Follow streaming coverage of the Cyprus banking crisis. The country took some steps in the right direction as the weekend began, passing legislation to impose capital controls and set up a "solidarity fund" to help raise the money. New reports suggest Cyprus was considering a 25% tax on savings accounts over 100,000 euros. Failure to reach a deal for a bailout would mean that U.S. stocks "will open down pretty big on Monday," said John Canally, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, who expects an agreement. "If we don't get a deal done there, it does reintroduce some risk," that could lift gold prices and the dollar, pull Treasury yields lower, and result in "anything associated with risk being sold off." The latest flare-up in the long-running European debt crisis comes as U.S. stocks reach record or near-record levels and as a number of analysts have raised their targets for the S&P 500 index (SPX) for the year. Gains in stocks have been supported by improving economic data and liquidity supplied by the Federal Reserve's monetary stimulus measures. Quincy Krosby, market strategist with Prudential Financial, said she'll be monitoring credit-default swaps in Europe as well as yields on Spanish, Portuguese, Greek and Italian debt ahead of Monday's deadline. "If Europe is worried, the cost of credit-default swaps will rise, you'll see sovereign yields rise," and widening in the 10-year swap spread, "a picture of counterparty risk," she said. "All of those will manifest before the [U.S.] markets open." The euro (EURUSD) on Friday rose as high as $1.3009 against the U.S. dollar, with investors appearing to anticipate a deal for Cyprus. Yet if that sentiment reverses, it would trigger "a savage, negative reaction" for the euro, said Richard Franulovich, chief currency strategist at Westpac Institutional Bank. A decline to the $1.27 to $1.28 level is possible and "it'll keep dribbling lower and lower." The major concern for many investors is that if Cyprus's banks become insolvent and can't get help from the ECB, that could result in a run on the banks by depositors and possibly force Cyprus to exit the shared European currency. A subsequent drop in spending by consumers and businesses in Europe -- at a time of already dismal growth expectations -- and slower hiring could spill over to other economies worldwide, "and that's where you get your contagion effect," Canally said. "We're a week into this and we haven't seen that yet, but that would be your worst-case scenario...that your average person in Spain and Italy and Portugal are worried about their bank deposits," he said. As long as the market believes that the Cyprus problem is "not terminal, then the market can continue in [it's] trajectory," said Krosby. Investors will watch for any remarks about Cyprus and the European debt crisis by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke when he speaks on a panel at the London School of Economics on Monday. Also Monday, William Dudley, president of the New York Federal Reserve and a voting member of the Fed's interest-rate-setting committee, will speak in New York. The trading week will be shortened by the Good Friday holiday. U.S. equities rose on Friday, reflecting optimism about the Cyprus situation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (TICKER:DJIA) jumped 91 points to 14,512.03, bouncing back from its biggest drop in nearly a month. Sentiment on Friday was also helped by better-than-expected results from Nike Inc. (NKE) and Micron Technology Inc. (MU) as the new earnings season approaches. The lineup of quarterly results due next week is light, though BlackBerry (RIMM), will release fourth-quarter results on Thursday. The S&P 500 index (SPX) and the Nasdaq Composite (RIXF) each gained 0.7%, and Friday's advances helped all the benchmark indexes narrow their losses for the week as Wall Street prepares to wrap up the first quarter. "The market has become almost immune -- whether it's Washington, D.C. or the E.U. -- to these deadlines," said Krosby. "We've been conditioned to believe that in the 13th hour, either the issue is pushed to the next day or to the next week....and the market moves on," she said. "So I don't think things will change with Cyprus, at least next week." Krosby said she'll also watch the performance in the futures market of shares in U.S. banks that are perceived to have a significant presence overseas. If the picture doesn't look good for Cyprus, expect to see a climb in Wall Street's so-called fear gauge, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), she said. "But the real question becomes for American traders and investors is if Europe's not worried about it, why should we be worried about it?" Subscribe to WSJ: http://online.wsj.com?mod=djnwires (END) Dow Jones Newswires March 24, 2013 16:06 ET (20:06 GMT)
skinny
- 25 Mar 2013 06:43
- 11549 of 21973
Cyprus bailout: Deal reached in Eurogroup talks
Eurozone finance ministers have agreed a deal on a 10bn-euro bailout for Cyprus to prevent its banking system collapsing and keep the country in the eurozone.
Laiki (Popular) Bank - the country's second-biggest - will be wound down and holders of deposits of more than 100,000 euros will face big losses.
However, all deposits under 100,000 euros will be "fully guaranteed".
The European Central Bank had set a deadline of Monday for a deal.
hilary
- 25 Mar 2013 07:47
- 11550 of 21973
"Non-performing loans and uninsured deposits will be placed in a bad bank, which will be liquidated over time. This should raise 4.2 billion euros."
Why is there a funny smell of rocking horse poo????
hilary
- 25 Mar 2013 07:52
- 11551 of 21973
And if they expect banks to stop trousering the QE and start lending again, they've got to stop coming up with
stupid gobbledegook like this.
skinny
- 25 Mar 2013 09:31
- 11552 of 21973
GBP BBA Mortgage Approvals 30.5K consensus 33.6K previous 32.3K
Shortie
- 25 Mar 2013 09:59
- 11553 of 21973
Fully agree Hilary, British banks for the past few years have told their not lending enough to then be told that they must lend sensibly and shore up their balance sheets.
This is what happens when politicans are allowed to medal in concerns which they are neither qualified in or have an understanding over. The FPC is nothing more than a gross waste of taxpayer money to place a government spin on the banks and combat government criticisms from the BofE.
skinny
- 25 Mar 2013 10:30
- 11554 of 21973
Just short @6,448.
Shortie
- 25 Mar 2013 11:14
- 11555 of 21973
I'm short Dax and Dow, FTSE I'm not liking at the moment for a short, technicals not looking so good..
skinny
- 25 Mar 2013 11:16
- 11556 of 21973
Yes, its in an up trend on the 5 minute, now just above resistance.
cynic
- 25 Mar 2013 11:55
- 11557 of 21973
i am considering very carefully exactly when rather than if to short dow and/or s+p and/or ftse
skinny
- 25 Mar 2013 12:42
- 11558 of 21973
cynic
- 25 Mar 2013 12:56
- 11559 of 21973
i felt i had rather missed the boat to short ftse even though it may (eventually) fall 300 pts from here, so shorted dow instead (avr 14564)
Shortie
- 25 Mar 2013 13:29
- 11560 of 21973
DAX closed for a nice profit!
skinny
- 25 Mar 2013 13:32
- 11561 of 21973
I'm also out for +20.