driver
- 30 Mar 2006 17:03
potatohead
- 08 Sep 2006 11:34
- 116 of 1180
Hoodless Brennan plc, Registered No. 2693942, 40 Marsh Wall, Docklands, London E14 9TP
AUTHORISED AND REGULATED BY THE FINANCIAL SERVICES AUTHORITY LTD (REGISTER NO 155104) MEMBERS OF THE LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE
AND OFEX
Hoodless Brennan plc
40 MARSH WALL DOCKLANDS LONDON E14 9TP
Telephone: +44(0) 20 7538 1166 Fax: +44(0) 20 7538 1280
hb@hoodlessbrennan.com
www.hoodlessbrennan.com
Eirx Therapeutics 0.26p Highly Speculative Buy
Broker: HP-Corporate Listing: London Aim
Sector: Pharmaceuticals Market Cap: 7.4m
Reuters: ERX Year High/Low: 0.3p/0.19p
Website: www.eirx.com Next Results: Finals Dec 06
The full value of IP in this sector is ultimately only crystallized on when a drug has been approved (there are
milestone payments on the way). Eirx owns some leading science that is focused on cancer therapies and a number
of commercialisation opportunities are moving towards delivery. Currently M&A opportunities are being explored
while Eirx would also make an attractive target .Recently 1.2m was raised for working capital.
To June k 2004 2005
Turnover 87.6 69.1
R&D -441 -907
Admin Costs -294 -598
GW Impairment 0 1,500
Op. Loss -647.3 -2937.0
Net Interest 2.6 4.5
PBT -644.7 -2932.5
Tax 0 0
EPS -0.52 -2.02
Strengths
Strong news flow as three or four compounds move
along the drug discovery cycle.
Large Pharma competition pushing licensing
activity to earlier stages of development
Focus on cancer is lucrative in terms of both
licensing deals and M&A activity.
Also big Pharma can look to acquire cancer
companies for access to product pipeline
Weaknesses
Drug discovery companies may need to burn cash
for some time before reaching break-even
Winning contracts from pharma companies can have a
long lead- time. This may require further funding to
support working capital if licensing income is delayed.
This could be dilutive to the share price.
History
Eirx is a researchdriven healthcare company
developing new targeted therapies focused on the
treatment of cancer, They have two patented molecular
platforms which are powerful tools for target
discovery which would include inflammation diseases
such as Cystic Fibrosis, Chronic Obstructive
Pulmonary Disease, Rheumatoid Arthritis as well as
Cancers such as Small Cell Lung, Colorectal, Breast
and Prostrate. There is clearly substantial commercial
potential for treatments for these diseases.
Current Trading
The recent interims showed turnover of 69,497 and
an operating loss of 883,233 which includes the
Auvation acquisition for the first time. These figures
represents a period of change as the new management
team from Auvation have taken the responsibility for
combined group operations. Auvation was a 2.7m
acquisition based in Aberdeen, which was completed
in August 05 for share consideration priced at 0.6p.
The new business strategy has moved the combined
group on from basic biological research and the
provision of contracted services to concentrate on the
development of its own range of anti-cancer drug
candidates.
Intellectual Property
In August 05 Eirx filed their first patents covering
distinct chemical components that may be useful in the
treatment of cancer. These drug candidates were
discovered using the companies EnPADTM screening
technology. These patent applications describe series of
novel compounds that selectively kill colorectal and
breast cancer cells invitro.Building the intellectual
portfolio is a fundamental element of the groups
strategy. They are expanding the portfolio by
strengthening their claims on existing filings and adding
new ones as gene targets are validated.
There could be strong product development and
commercialisation newsflow. There is significant
upside from out-licensing compounds to big pharma
and the milestone and royalty payments as a
compound develops over the years to becoming a
therapeutic drug is potentially in the $100m. Eg.
Serono SA license from Rigel Pharma Inc paid a
$160m package (upfront & milestones + royalty for a
preclinical caner inhibitor.
Eirx have a stated M&A strategy and the industrial
synergy between a science and chemical company
are strong. As chemical companies tend to have more
stable cashflows but less upside potential while
science and chemical processes combine to formulate
drugs. It is likely that the other party will be the
acquirer as Eirx would make a temping target as it has
a valuable IP estate.
Activities Market Financials
Developing small Molecule targeted therapie
for colorectal cancer based on a unique
technology platform
Market Makers: 5 NMS:100k
Screen Size: 500k Bid/Offer:
0.25-0.27p (7.4 %)
Net Cash Est 0.9
Net Current Assets- 0.6m
No shares: 2,459.2m
Product Development
The new directors Prof. Michael Fowler and Dr Colin
Telfer have set about redefining the combined groups
operational strategy. In four main areas;
1) the combined group is focused on the discovery
and development of small molecule drugs against
colorectal cancer, in which they have a strong
competitive edge. Although a large therapeutic area,
which provides much needed focus after the previous
management lost their way it remains a target for the
management to widen its activates through strategic
Merger & Acquisition (M&A)
2) The post Auvation acquisition strategy is being
implemented although there is no current plan to
merge the Irish and Scottish operations.
3) Delivery on product development and
commercialisation strategy. The joint venture using
the Biofocus cell library and the Sareum structure
based design skills has accelerated the development
of lead compounds which are going through efficacy
evaluation and should lead to an increase in the IP
estates value. Three active programmes are
underway in developing drugs that trigger tumour cell
death by activating apoptosis. Two of these
collaborations with OSI and Sareum are in assay
development and screening stages, which are
expected to achieve milestones by the 2nd Qtr 06.
The third programme involves anti-cancer kinase
inhibitors using the companies recently developed
EnPad TM platform and out-licensing negotiations
are ongoing with major pharma companies for
screening drug candidates. Finally commercialisation
is far advanced with P450 tumour targeting platform
and a cancer vaccine based on the IP licensed from
Auvation is scheduled to enter Phase 2 trials in 2006.
Discussion with major pharmas can be convoluted
and a number of such discussions to secure outlicensing
agreements are on going.
4) M&A opportunities are seen as the best way of
building an integrated pharma company and the board
are actively exploring a number of opportunities.
Financials
Since the year-end the company received the
repayment of a 0.28m loan from 52% shareholder
Eirx Pharma and 0.32m was owed by the vendors of
Auvation. A grant for Euro 0.2m has also been
received which combined with the recently raised
1.1m is expected to be sufficient cash for the next
12mothns.
RECOMMENDATION
Eirx lost its way after the float and it could be all too
easy to blame the previous operations management.
The problems were compounded by changes in the
dynamics of the drug industry where it become
increasingly hard to commercialise science platforms
as the industry wanted drug compounds. The strong
research base and pipeline of potential drug targets
should bare commercial fruit before the financial
year-end, which would ease further funding
requirement.
RATING Highly Speculative Buy
Analyst: Jon Levinson 3rd April 2006
Last Recommended March 05 Speculative Buy/
*MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS INCLUDE (%)
Eirx Pharma 51.2
Zyzygyu 8.5
Merk Kgaa 4.9
University of Aberdeen 4.7
Melvib 3.5
*Prefunding
FINANCIAL CALENDAR
Year End June
Interims May
Finals Dec
KEY RECENT EVENTS INCLUDE
1999
March 04
Oct 04
Aug 05
Dec 05
March 06
Fund Raising 3m
Raised 1m @0.5p listed on AIm
Euro 0.7m grant
Acquired Auvation for 2.6m @0.6p
1into 10 share split
Raised 1.207m at 0.2p
MANAGEMENT INCLUDES
John Pool Chairman
Dr Colin Telfer CEO
Prof. Thomas Cotter Executive Director
Nicholas Strong FD
Prof Michael Fowler Executive Director
Hoodless Brennan plc, Registered No. 2693942, 40 Marsh Wall, Docklands, London E14 9TP
AUTHORISED AND REGULATED BY THE FINANCIAL SERVICES AUTHORITY LTD (REGISTER NO 155104) MEMBERS OF THE LONDON STOCK
EXCHANGE AND OFEX
Key to Material Interests
Below are five standard disclosures of Material Interests. Of these five disclosures, the following numbers are relevant in this case:
Eirx Therapeutics Relevant disclosures: 2,3,4, 5
1. The analyst has a personal holding of the securities issued by the company, or of derivatives related to such securities.
2. Hoodless Brennan plc or an affiliate owns more than 5% of the issued capital of the company.
3. Hoodless Brennan plc or an affiliate is party to an agreement with the company relating to the provision of corporate broking services, or
has been party to such an agreement within the last 12 months. Our corporate broking agreements include a provision that we will prepare
and publish research at such times as we consider appropriate.
4. Hoodless Brennan plc or an affiliate has been a lead manager or co-lead manager of a publicly disclosed offer of securities for the company
within the last 12 months.
5. Hoodless Brennan plc is a market maker or liquidity provider in the securities issued by the company.
DISCLOSURES:
ANALYST RATINGS: The definitions of our analyst ratings can be viewed on our website in the section entitled research & prices under
Analyst Ratings. See www.hoodlessbrennan.com or alternatively, click here to access.
CONFLICTS MANAGEMENT POLICY: Details of this policy can be viewed on our website in the section entitled research & prices
under Conflicts Policy. See www.hoodlessbrennan.com or alternatively, click here to access.
QUARTERLY STATEMENT OF RESEARCH RECOMMENDATIONS: Our quarterly statement of research recommendations can be
viewed on our website in the section entitled research & prices. See www.hoodlessbrennan.com or alternatively, click here to access.
RISK WARNING NOTICE:
All investments are speculative and prices may change quickly and go down as well as up. Past performance will not necessarily be repeated and
is no guarantee of future success. There is an extra risk of losing money when shares are bought in some smaller companies including penny
shares. There can be a big difference between the buying price and the selling price of these shares and if they have to be sold immediately, you
may get back much less than you paid for them or in some circumstances, it may be difficult to sell at any price. It may also be difficult for you
to obtain reliable information about the value of this investment or the extent of the risks to which it is exposed. Where a company has chosen to
borrow money (gearing) as part of its business strategy its share price may become more volatile and subject to sudden and large falls. This
investment may not be suitable for all investors, and clients should carefully consider their own personal financial circumstances before dealing
in the stock market, particularly those on fixed incomes or approaching retirement age. If you have any doubts you should seek advice from your
investment adviser or your broker at this firm.
AIM: The Alternative Investment Market (AIM) is market designed primarily for emerging or smaller companies. The rules of this market
are less demanding than those of the official List of the London Stock Exchange and therefore companies quoted on AIM carry a greater risk
than a company with a full listing.
MATERIAL INTEREST: We endeavour at all times to ensure that our research is clear, fair and not misleading, however, we do not hold
our research out as being impartial and it should not be viewed as wholly objective since Hoodless Brennan plc (including its parent company
and its subsidiaries, their directors, officers or employees) may have or previously held a material interest in the company which is the main
subject matter of the research note, or any other company mentioned, and may be providing or have provided within the previous 12 months
significant advice or investment services in relation to any company or a related company referred to in this document, or any other associated
document. This document has been prepared and issued by Hoodless Brennan plc on the basis of publicly available information, internally
developed data and other sources believed to be reliable. Whilst all reasonable care is taken to ensure that the facts stated are accurate and the
opinions given are fair and reasonable, neither Hoodless Brennan plc nor any director, officer or employee shall in any way be responsible for
its contents. This document is intended to provide clients with information and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell
securities.
StarFrog
- 08 Sep 2006 12:59
- 117 of 1180
PH - You really should read your own posts before sticking them here, or have you now gone short?
From the above:
RATING Highly Speculative Buy
Analyst: Jon Levinson 3rd April 2006
Last Recommended March 05 Speculative Buy
I interpret that as a cautionary note from Hoodless Brennan. Their recommendation has changed fron Speculative to Highly Speculative.
seawallwalker
- 13 Sep 2006 23:55
- 120 of 1180
Good luck.
You may need it.
smiler o
- 14 Sep 2006 20:50
- 121 of 1180
Discovery on Target 2006
..................................................................................................................................
Dr. Finbarr Murphy, Managing Director, EiRx Therapeutics Ltd. is attending Discovery on Target 2006 in Boston from October 23-26, 2006 at the World Trade Center, Boston, MA, USA.
Dr. Murphy will take part in the Roundtable Buzz Session on Wednesday 25th and will also speak on "siRNA and the Problem of Getting What You Want" on Thursday 26th @ 11.35am.
For further information on this event please click here
http://www.eirx.com/eirx%5Fpages/
smiler o
- 18 Sep 2006 09:32
- 125 of 1180
Driver
17.95 % might make some money out of this yet !
smiler o
- 18 Sep 2006 14:01
- 127 of 1180
Driver
Got 200000 at .23
smiler o
- 18 Sep 2006 14:37
- 128 of 1180
Driver
Some big buys today share wise ?? is there some news in the pipe line you think !
smiler o
- 18 Sep 2006 17:07
- 131 of 1180
driver
typical i am back at work tomorrow and will not get in till 2000 hrs, something is bound to happen !!
driver
- 19 Sep 2006 07:45
- 132 of 1180
Hold on to your hats
EIRX THERAPEUTICS PLC
('EiRx' or 'the Company')
A 50% reduction in breast tumour volume size seen with Eirx lead molecule in
animal studies
'A reduction in tumour volume of 50% is seen by the National Cancer Institute in
America, and other leading authorities as being highly significant' said
Professor Tom Cotter, founder and CSO of EiRx. 'We are now in active
discussions with a developmental company to further develop this molecule and to
prepare it for a future phase 1 clinical trial.
Commenting on the results, Dr. Finbarr Murphy, Managing Director of operating
subsidiary EiRx Therapeutics Ltd, said: 'The efficacy and selectivity of the
molecule is very encouraging, and supports our approach of targeted apoptosis
therapy in the treatment of cancer to limit toxicity and side effects associated
with standard chemotherapy.
http://moneyam.uk-wire.com/cgi-bin/articles/200609190700171175J.html
plm2349
- 19 Sep 2006 12:57
- 135 of 1180
hello driver