cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 04 Apr 2013 15:50
- 11778 of 21973
followed the discipline - banked a very juice profit on ftse, in part because i'll be travelling tomorrow
halifax
- 04 Apr 2013 16:16
- 11779 of 21973
cynic oil price falling warm weather coming!
cynic
- 04 Apr 2013 16:18
- 11780 of 21973
AFR fall too big for that annual anomaly, but assuredly some big profits been made over the last 12 months
skinny
- 04 Apr 2013 16:35
- 11781 of 21973
There must be a N Korean element in the markets to a certain degree, I'd have thought.
halifax
- 04 Apr 2013 16:41
- 11782 of 21973
skin don't worry the"fat boy" will back down, otherwise he is in for a spanking!
ahoj
- 04 Apr 2013 17:00
- 11783 of 21973
He and his beautiful wife were riding in amusement park in N Korea earlier this year.
Shortie
- 05 Apr 2013 09:34
- 11785 of 21973
The 14 day RSI is also showing bearish divergence implying that the move to the upside is losing momentum. I'm waiting for todays employment numbers which if they follow the ADP numbers will be lower than expected and should cause an end of week breakout and a sell signal.
Shortie
- 05 Apr 2013 09:49
- 11786 of 21973
skinny
- 05 Apr 2013 10:11
- 11787 of 21973
Ditto Shortie - I can't see any endearing points in the chart atm.
1:30pm
CAD Employment Change consensus 6.8K previous 50.7K
CAD Trade Balance consensus 0.2B previous -0.2B
CAD Unemployment Rate consensus 7.1% previous 7.0%
USD Non-Farm Employment Change consensus 198K previous 236K
USD Trade Balance consensus -44.8B previous -44.4B
USD Unemployment Rate consensus 7.7% previous 7.7%
USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m consensus 0.2% previous 0.2%
3:00pm
CAD Ivey PMI consensus 52.4 previous 51.1
Shortie
- 05 Apr 2013 10:20
- 11788 of 21973
I would normally have applied a FTSE short but you never know with the markets at the moment. Am short Wall St and EUR/GBP at the moment and have 3 futures long on Fortune Oil, so not much in by spreadbetting portfolio at the moment. Also watching Heritage and Tullow following yesterdays court ruling.. Rangold also worth a look at the moment..
skinny
- 05 Apr 2013 11:00
- 11789 of 21973
German Factory Orders m/m 2.3% 1.2% -2.5%
Shortie
- 05 Apr 2013 13:17
- 11790 of 21973
--Gold did well out of the crisis years --Why isn't it still doing so? --Well, it turns out not to stand up well to nuclear threats By David Cottle Gold had a great crisis. Indeed, for a moment there in 2011, as it soared towards $2000 an ounce, you could hardly open your inbox without reading the gloating screeds of a million vindicated gold bugs. And why wouldn't they crow? As once-impeccable old nation states threw financial probity and triple-A credit ratings to the wind, gold was lifted by a perfect storm of vast debts and debauched currencies. So why isn't it having a great year in 2013? Alright, so there's a little more optimism about, but the debts are very largely still there and the debauchery goes on. Prime culprit Japan has just doubled down on the process. New central bank governor Haruhiko Kuroda has put his shirt on vast and aggressive asset purchases as a way of finally ending the country's two-decades-long wallow in the mire of deflation. Quantitative easing remains on the table in Washington and London, where in any case interest rates are stuck at record lows, as they are in Frankfurt. The Twilight of the Triple-As endures too. The U.K. had its stripes ripped off at last, by Moody's, in February. The other two major agencies are likely to come for theirs before long. And yet look at gold. Starting the year around $1675, it has just racked up a new 2013 low of $1540. This does look a little odd given all of the above. Surely the environment ought to be a little more conducive to our gold-bug friends than this? Simon Derrick, strategist at Bank of New York Mellon, has come up with an intriguing reason for gold's lack of poise. He thinks it might be because of North Korea's nuclear threats. Looking back in time, he finds that gold's allure often fades once investors start worrying about the bomb. From the buildup to the Yom Kippur war in 1973, when relations between the U.S. and the Soviet Union soured, through to the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980/81, which saw increased military spending and awful brinkmanship over nuclear weapons in Europe, gold has tended to fall. Sure enough, the current bout of weakness kicked off on February 11, when Pyongyang vowed more missile tests. Further falls came on the 19th and 20th, when South Korea was threatened with "final destruction" during the United Nations Conference on Disarmament. Tuesday's news that North Korea was reactivating a nuclear facility which could allow it to enrich uranium to weapons grade saw gold slip again. "Although it might initially appear counter-intuitive that investors should shun gold during times of geopolitical crisis, it does make sense," Mr. Derrick wrote. "As we have noted before, the only reason to hold gold is if there is a broad fear of currency debasement. In contrast, geopolitical tensions provide the rather more profound threat of the destruction of life and property." It seems to take a threat of nuclear magnitude to remind investors that even gold's haven status is, ultimately, merely a consensual hallucination. Happy Friday. This is an opinion column by David Cottle.
Mmmmm make of this whatever you want, best explaination I've seen so far though.
Shortie
- 05 Apr 2013 13:31
- 11791 of 21973
A year after the European Central Bank twice flooded the banking system with easy money, lending continues to decline as banks approach the halfway mark in repaying the cheap loans. Next week, nine banks will repay just over 4 billion euros ($5.3 billion) in loans during the first round of three-year financing in late 2011, ECB data showed Friday. Eleven banks will repay just under EUR4 billion of the second borrowing spree in early 2012. Total repayment is just over EUR1 billion more than was repaid this week. The ECB issued the two so-called LTROs at an unprecedented long maturity to allow commercial institutions to help with a looming period of heavy bond redemptions. Though banks were able to get through the redemptions, lending to the private sector has remained weak as firms and households in some cases remain unwilling to take on new debt amid the weak economic environment. ECB data released last week showed lending to the private sector in February fell 0.9% in annual terms, matching January's drop. Given that banks had at first used around half of the funds to refinance other ECB loans, the net addition of liquidity into the financial system was only around EUR500 billion. With next week's repayment, banks will have now repaid EUR253 billion from the two operations, just over half of the created net liquidity.
skinny
- 05 Apr 2013 13:31
- 11792 of 21973
CAD Employment Change -54.5 K 6.8K 50.7K
CAD Trade Balance -1.0B 0.2B -0.2B
CAD Unemployment Rate 7.2% 7.1% 7.0%
USD Non-Farm Employment Change 88K 198K 236K
USD Trade Balance -43.0B -44.8B -44.4B
USD Unemployment Rate 7.6% 7.7% 7.7%
USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.0% 0.2% 0.2%
Shortie
- 05 Apr 2013 13:41
- 11793 of 21973
Wall street shorts closed, very nice profit taken..
skinny
- 05 Apr 2013 13:42
- 11794 of 21973
Well done Shortie - managed 45 off of the FTSE - too much dithering earlier.
Shortie
- 05 Apr 2013 13:43
- 11795 of 21973
1hr Chart, oversold indicator, will short again after bounceback
Shortie
- 05 Apr 2013 13:53
- 11796 of 21973
Over 200 pips on Wall St I made, wasn't prepared to lose it.. I'll have ichy fingers now waiting for higher ground to short off...
Daily FTSE - Breakout lower looking imminent.
Shortie
- 05 Apr 2013 13:54
- 11797 of 21973
Stocks extend losses on jobs data --DJIA down 150; was down 80 points before --S&P sheds 18 By Tomi Kilgore and Alexandra Scaggs NEW YORK--Stock futures extended losses steeply after the Labor Department reported jobs growth that came in well below expectations. About 60 minutes ahead of the open, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures shed 150 points, or 1%, to 14381. Before the report, blue-chip futures had declined around 80 points. Standard & Poor's 500-stock index futures gave up 18 points, or 1.2%, to 1536 and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 35 points, or 1.3%, to 2750. Changes in stock futures don't always accurately predict stock moves after the opening bell. The U.S. Labor Department's closely watched jobs report widely missed expectations for March, as payrolls increased 88,000 on expectations of 200,000. The latest data are another blow to stocks, which had fallen this week on other economic data that came in below expectations. The S&P 500 index has declined 0.6% so far this week, as of Thursday's close, and the 10-year Treasury note's yield has fallen to fresh 2013 lows. Earlier this week, data on private-sector payroll growth, the Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing and nonmanufacturing purchasing managers indexes and weekly jobless claims all missed expectations.