goldfinger
- 03 Jul 2007 10:06
- 1179 of 3050
Cynic, Money Week is a well respected weekly rag aswell.
Personaly I tend to overlook and be ignorant of the macro issues these days and just concentrate on the micro side.
goldfinger
- 03 Jul 2007 10:15
- 1180 of 3050
From Winnie over at SC.....
Not only were the fundamentals in no way good enough to justify the sp but today's statement looks like (albeitr a very small) profits warning. But when you are on a loony tune rating you discount only good news. There is no room for error. SOLA has just admitted it is not perfect. Anyone who buys this one is - IMHO - insane.
Tom Winnifrith
kitosdad
- 03 Jul 2007 11:27
- 1181 of 3050
Yet buyers still outnumber sellers 3:1.
moneyplus
- 03 Jul 2007 12:31
- 1182 of 3050
I think it was a typical market over reaction! the sp is bouncing back because when you study the rns we can expect better margins on the larger wafers and the tolling increase is also good news as the buyer supplies their own polysilicon with sola charging a fee to produce the wafers--all extra on the bottom line. I've no spare to add to my holding but I would if I could!!
Greyhound
- 03 Jul 2007 15:56
- 1183 of 3050
Just closed my last tranche here. Rocky times ahead (at least for the summer months)?
ptholden
- 03 Jul 2007 16:45
- 1184 of 3050
I crunched all the SOLA capacity, production, turnover, profitability, EPS etc etc some time ago and on fundamentals I do disagree with GF's stance. If they can maintain production and capacity expansion in line with their own expectations, you can form an argument to say that the SP is not too toppy.
However, what is clear from the last two statements is that they are not meeting the planned quarterly production figures. Q1 was affected by the Chinese New Year (which must have come as a great surprise) and electrical power cuts and the last quarter by conversion of furnaces. No great loss in output but it does instill a sense of unease. Shall watch with interest during the next week or so.
pth
Greyhound
- 03 Jul 2007 16:55
- 1185 of 3050
Sound comments pth. Having made a lot here and then switched a lot of my profits into PVCS, just not sure if Sola may suffer in the summer doldrums before getting some direction, be it whichever way.
kitosdad
- 03 Jul 2007 17:31
- 1186 of 3050
Just get a look at those late buys though. Bounce back in the morning is on the cards.
Dil
- 03 Jul 2007 19:48
- 1187 of 3050
gf re Cat losing a fortune in dot com boom / bust .... in comparison to what he made I think you'll find he came out just a tinsy winsy bit ahead , maybe slightly more ... you ask him.
Dil
- 03 Jul 2007 20:11
- 1188 of 3050
And as for Evil .... hasn't he been shorting Regus all the way up from 10p , another great call NOT !
kitosdad
- 03 Jul 2007 20:35
- 1189 of 3050
Which briefly means; whenever you find yourself in a hole, stop digging.!!!!
cynic
- 03 Jul 2007 21:16
- 1190 of 3050
market does not like diasppointing figures and can be pretty brutal in its reaction .... my own bet is that sp will crumble further
goldfinger
- 03 Jul 2007 23:52
- 1191 of 3050
Looks like a lot of PIs got the jitters with this one after todays trading statement which was a profit warning.
goldfinger
- 04 Jul 2007 00:11
- 1192 of 3050
Just had a look at the end of day trades.
looks to me like we have a big seller out there. No RNS notification yet.
Could be back tomorrow......
and the day after.
kitosdad
- 04 Jul 2007 07:35
- 1193 of 3050
BUT, it won't be you.!!!!!!
cynic
- 04 Jul 2007 07:37
- 1194 of 3050
but it could well be me!
chart below is pretty self-explanatory ...... 25+50 dma shown
cynic
- 04 Jul 2007 08:10
- 1195 of 3050
money joins mouth at 530!
ptholden
- 04 Jul 2007 08:31
- 1196 of 3050
Cynic
Just a note of caution, haven't looked at a detailed chart, but it's quite clear that the uptrend from Apr is still in place, personally I would wait for that to be breached prior to opening a short. Probably around the 515 area, may 'cost' you some profit, but may also save you some money. Just a thought.
cynic
- 04 Jul 2007 08:35
- 1197 of 3050
thanks for your concern PT, but have already taken the plunge but shall certainly be monitoring that 560 level which looks to be a reasonable resistance/support ...... your charts and your understanding of them is much better than my paltry attempts, but i figured that the breach of 25 dma and 560 was not insignificant .... if 50 dma is breached, then seemingly no support until 480 ..... thereafter, it's anyone's game
Greyhound
- 04 Jul 2007 08:52
- 1198 of 3050
cynic, on my Bloomberg charts yesterday I had the 50dma at 527.5. Today it's showing 526.96p, so it's right there and 200dma 428.08.