markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
berlingo
- 10 May 2005 00:16
- 1192 of 6492
Cheers Eddie
Good to have you back
Regards
Berlingo
markymar
- 10 May 2005 09:24
- 1193 of 6492
Having trouble putting the oil sector up so will try direct link and hope it works.It works for me but i will have the cookie on my computer so let me know.
Did you have good weather Eddie?
http://www.digitallook.com/cgi-bin/digital/security.cgi?csi=50064&action=performance&username=1033187&ac=
lynnzal
- 10 May 2005 10:28
- 1194 of 6492
Welcome back Eddie, thanks for the update.
lynnzal
- 10 May 2005 15:58
- 1195 of 6492
I've been sitting here going over my DES charts and have to confess that lack of upside progress is concerning/frustrating me. As this market is currently lacking press releases, we are more under the influence of technical (chart) issues. So I feel that I should re-iterate my posting from 28 Apr (#1147).
"If this market does continue to drift lower, I see longer-term downside risk to 30.5p (fibonacci retracement) and then I have a projected target at 26.5p."
The latter is an elliott wave projection and also ties in with the 'head & shoulders' objective 28p on closing basis and 26p on daily range basis. (Note my original posting had the reversal objective incorrectly stated at 20.5p).
Technically, I don't see DES getting anywhere below 26p and will be looking to add to my holding if we break below 30p. If this scenario plays true, then 26p should be the termination of a 'killer' C wave (elliott) and would then provide the base for a wave three rally. Note wave three rallies tend to be the biggest in any impulsive move. Above 48p confirms the corrective phase is over.
I hope this doesn't cast too much of a cloud, but I felt I should share my current thoughts....
Lynnzal
Oily Jim
- 10 May 2005 16:29
- 1196 of 6492
It is DESpressing and very unDESIREable but investors must remember that whatever the current share price oil does not disappear overnight and this share will go massive if the first wells hit the black stuff.
berlingo
- 10 May 2005 19:38
- 1197 of 6492
Hi guys. Its a waiting game from here on.Let the MM`s play their tricks.Signs of stop losses being triggered.Wait for a massive buy to trigger uptrend!
Kind regards
Berlingo
ps Eddie , look what happens when you come back,DES drops??? What you got to say for yourself? Actually nice to have you back !
eddieshare
- 10 May 2005 19:52
- 1198 of 6492
Hi all
Hi markymar the weather was good just a few short showers.
Oily don't get depressed, most stocks are having corrections.
Lynnzal I'm not familiar with the elliott killer C wave, could we have some more on this please ?
Todays trading was pretty dismal for DES, but the same support & resistances apply. The rising window that took DES to its most recent highs started at 0.2800p date 08/11/04. The bottom of a rising window is said to be the most significant for support. Lets hope this is the case. We also have the recent hammer & fibonacci suggesting support at about 0.3000p. The open 0.3600p, high 0.3600p, low 0.3275p, close 0.3225p, combined volume 631.0 K.
Indices are all down, DES could be in for a rough ride tomorrow.
Good Luck All
Eddie
lynnzal
- 11 May 2005 10:38
- 1200 of 6492
Hi Eddie, with regard to the 'killer' C wave...
Basically I am talking about an Elliott Wave, C wave correction (the killer bit is a phrase I picked up somewhere - I don't think it's a phrase I coined myself).
Anyway, very basically RN Elliott considered that markets moved impulsively in 5 waves and correctively in 3 waves. They are labelled 1,2,3,4,5 and a,b,c. C wave corrections are 'often' the most destructive (hence 'killer') because they tend to force out most participants due to the severity of the correction.
I started looking closely at DES back in February and had counted 5 waves up from the May 2004 'orthodox' low (6.5p). I had hoped that this Jan's top at 69.75p was not the termination and that we were going to see an extended 5th wave higher. But it doesn't seem to have worked out like that. I have labelled the 'a' wave termination at the 47.75p low (10 Feb), 'b'wave recovery top at 62p (14 Feb) - although the orthodox top for 'b' may actually be at 58.5p (9 Mar). Projecting wave 'c' gave 40p as equality, (ie. wave a = wave c in terms of size). As this level was breached we now must assume that wave c will extend 1.618 times that of 'a' to give an objective at 26.5p. That level also ties in with the head and shoulders target.
Note - if measured from orthodox 'b' at 58.5p, then 'c' could terminate at 23p.
If you or anyone wants any further clarification, then I will gladly accommodate.
Lastly, let me point out that this is currently a 'CORRECTIVE' phase and once it has all played out, we can sit back and enjoy all that comes from the next impulsive move. In terms of strength, it will be 'at least' as large in magnitude as the rally to 69.75p!
Regards
Lynnzal
Marrow
- 11 May 2005 13:01
- 1202 of 6492
lynnzal
this all sounds fantastic, however, my heads now hurting.
lets hope the rally to 69p and above is not to far away.
kind regards
marrow
aur
- 11 May 2005 19:52
- 1203 of 6492
http://www.elliottwave.com/education/welcome/5.htm
eddieshare
- 11 May 2005 21:43
- 1205 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks lynnzal for your explanation on the elliott wave.
Thanks aur for the link.
Marrow hope your head gets better.
berlingo you'll just have to put up with me. Joke.... squelch button is handy.
Markymar yes it is a buy signal, but as with all signals you need confirmation on the next days trading. Look at the intraday charts to see which direction DES is heading before making a decision. If you see a gap up this would be good, but you must make sure DES continues in the up direction during the day.
Having read about the elliott wave, it looks like lynnzal is suggesting the next move will take DES to about 1.11p. Could you confirm this please lynnzal ? If so it would also be confirmed by fibonacci retracement at about 1.07p. The open 0.3325p, high 0.3550p, low 0.3325p, close 0.3475p, combined volume 1.118m. Des was the highest mover in the oil & gas sector by % move on the day. The oil & gas sector was down today, so it looks like DES was in favor. Most UK indices were down also.
Good Luck all
Eddie
eddieshare
- 12 May 2005 07:32
- 1206 of 6492
Hi all
Looking good ! First buy at 07:26 (25000) !
Desire Petroleum PLC
12 May 2005
Desire Petroleum plc
('Desire Petroleum')
3D Seismic Data Update
As previously announced, Desire Petroleum, has identified seven drilling
locations on Tranches C and D , in the North Falkland Basin. At four of these
locations, dual targets have been identified, resulting in eleven prospects in
total. These prospects have a potential of over two billion barrels of
recoverable oil.
Further recent interpretation of the 3D seismic data has yielded a further five
prospects. Three of these can be tested at the drilling locations already
identified. In addition, numerous less well defined leads have been identified
which will require further work before they can be moved to prospect status.
Dr Ian Duncan, Desire CEO, commented 'The more we work on the 3D seismic data,
the more prospectivity we see in this basin. The identification of these five
new prospects means that in the planned three well drilling campaign, all of the
wells will have dual objectives.'
Enquiries:
Dr. Ian Duncan, CEO, Desire Petroleum plc: 01684 568 993
Richard Redmayne, Seymour Pierce Limited: 020 7107 8000
Ewan Leggat
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
Good Luck All
Eddie
luckyswimmer
- 12 May 2005 09:36
- 1208 of 6492
Thank you Eddie for the good news, so it's confirmed that we are looking at 6 prospects with the three drill campaign which improves the odds of at least one successful prospect to over 90% if the probability in general of a successful drill is at the 1 in 3 level. That now suggests that we are only left with a political risk (Argentina can agree on little with it's neighbours other than that FIs shouldn't be part of the EU) and an environmental risk (so much oil is found that a spill occurs - Peak seem to be very professionaL so should minimise this risk). That's enough of looking at the downside now what's the upside - the market works out that 2billion barrels of prospects may be discovered in Q1 2006 in which case the share price has just 6 months left to get to a more realistic figure of hmm 2billion * 0.3 * 0.85* 0.2*$50, oops my calculator needs a bigger display. An excellent start to the morning. Blue sky it is then m.
fatoldgit
- 12 May 2005 17:57
- 1209 of 6492
Golly jeepers, I think I am going to become a regular reader and poster on this board.
Previously used to use iii under another name, but there is a guy on there called KO 3pm who is driving me mental.........he spouts the biggest load of old crap ever and is nasty with it.
Hope you all don't mind a new boy.
By the way, I'm fat ,quite old and my wife calls me a git.
markymar
- 12 May 2005 20:18
- 1211 of 6492
http://www.sartma.com/artd_1626_05_2005_1.html
Falklands : Desire 3D Seismic Identifies More Prospects
Submitted by Falkland Islands News Network (Juanita Brock) 12.05.2005 (Current Article)
Even though seven drilling locations have been identified by Desires 3D Seismic in Tranches C and D in the North Falkland Basin, still more areas of interest have been identified as the data from the seismic is worked and re-worked.
DESIRE 3D SEISMIC IDENTIFIES MORE PROSPECTS
By J. Brock (FINN)
Even though seven drilling locations have been identified by Desires 3D Seismic in Tranches C and D in the North Falkland Basin, still more areas of interest have been identified as the data from the seismic is worked and re-worked. Now, a further five prospects have been identified in the same Tranches. According to Dr. Ian Duncan, Desires CEO, three prospects can be tested at drilling locations already identified. However, there are numerous less well defined leads, which will need further work have been identified.
All three of the wells planned will now have dual objectives, he continued.
No doubt people who have invested in this stock will be pleased indeed, as it has increased in value since the dark days of 1999, when many of the original exploring companies pulled out and the price per barrel hovered around $10.00. Hang on to that stock is the best advice. It will go higher when and I stress when hydrocarbons have been generated during exploratory drilling. This is still a very high-risk venture and we wont know whats beneath the source rock until we hit something.