cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
explosive
- 21 Feb 2008 12:40
- 1194 of 21973
Not true, don't forget the futures markets where profit/loss is left rolling until the future closes, sure you have to cover your margins though..
BigTed
- 21 Feb 2008 12:43
- 1195 of 21973
It can all get very confusing, i know... i've just been down the shops to buy some long shorts...
explosive
- 21 Feb 2008 13:03
- 1196 of 21973
Still holding my short plays, considering another on the FTSE if I can get it on above 6000..
cynic
- 21 Feb 2008 13:04
- 1197 of 21973
FTSE will prob follow Dow, so that is where you need to watch, though FTSE is dominated by miners, oilies and financials
BigTed
- 21 Feb 2008 13:08
- 1198 of 21973
A long on the mining sector would have been a great move last month, TDW showing from 19500 and now currently 26250 points... wow!
halifax
- 21 Feb 2008 13:38
- 1199 of 21973
CNBC interviewed Boon Pickens a few moments ago he said he has shorted oil and gas and forecasts oil to fall b$15 per barrel in the second quarter although he anticipates price recovery in the second half of the year.
BigTed
- 21 Feb 2008 13:54
- 1200 of 21973
I guess he must be nuts too...! I only talked about it...!
halifax
- 21 Feb 2008 14:02
- 1201 of 21973
Apparently the US consumes 25% of global oil production but has only 5% of world population according to Boon Pickens. A slow down in the US economy will lead to a significant reduction in demand for oil.
moneyplus
- 21 Feb 2008 14:12
- 1202 of 21973
Thanks rf. The reason I'm looking at spreadbets is because I'm reluctant to get landed with too much Cgt.
cynic
- 21 Feb 2008 16:25
- 1203 of 21973
Dow failed both the 12500 and 12465 tests, so have shorted at 12421 ... stop pro tem at 15525 and limit 12275
talkinhg of shorts .... SOLA doing exactly what i hoped at last
explosive
- 21 Feb 2008 17:37
- 1204 of 21973
Halifax - Remember though OPEC have reduced supply before to keep prices high, they have also refused to increase supply to reduce the cost of oil... Sure a slowdown in the US economy will reduce demand there but this reduction in demand is easily taken up by other third world countries increasing demand. Look at China and Japan usage and growth...
required field
- 21 Feb 2008 17:39
- 1205 of 21973
With spreadbets moneyplus you must be really sure that the one you're picking is going to come right, too many times my choices have failed to live up to expectations...but with cfd's..you can hang on a little longer (no expiry date) and many a time they come right in the end !
cynic
- 21 Feb 2008 17:42
- 1206 of 21973
i wonder how much the price of oil is now as to say 12/18 months ago, in say SAR or AED .... bet that would throw it into true perspective as far as OPEC is concerned
Falcothou
- 21 Feb 2008 18:02
- 1207 of 21973
Crude has just dropped 3 dollars! Will gold follow suit ?
explosive
- 21 Feb 2008 18:23
- 1208 of 21973
gold:oil, 9:1 ratio remember.. Cynic thats a tough one comparing ZAR .etc to oil, you make. However a report very worth while reading.. 12300 support yet again tonight on the DOW, bet you had a field day on the FTSE ranges..
required field
- 21 Feb 2008 18:26
- 1209 of 21973
The higher crude goes the more the variations could intensify, just like a 1 stock !
Falcothou
- 21 Feb 2008 18:30
- 1210 of 21973
Sorry explosive., but what is a 9:1 ratio?
Falcothou
- 21 Feb 2008 18:32
- 1211 of 21973
Sorry explosive for some reason did not see your explanation, too much eye strain,must eat more carrots!
explosive
- 21 Feb 2008 18:36
- 1212 of 21973
Falcothou no worries, 9:1 ratio simply is put is a historic relationship between gold and oil prices say gold is 900USD the oil would be around 100USD or there about... Check it out for yourself, a handy ratio to know I find and I tend to trade both in the same direction....
BigTed
- 21 Feb 2008 18:42
- 1213 of 21973
John, congrats on your patience, looks like you are to be rewarded, below 12300 again...