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Traders Thread Thursday 24th June 2004 (CROC)     

Martini - 23 Jun 2004 22:04

Fundamentalist - 24 Jun 2004 09:37 - 12 of 22

Thanks Mel

The charting bit isnt my strength as you know (though am learning). No you're right without knowing the stock I wouldnt, so it now becomes a case of finding an entry point. Will the support at 680 hold, if not theres not much to stop it down to 600p. Keep watching and stay patient time!!!

Melnibone - 24 Jun 2004 09:49 - 13 of 22

I'm still learning TA as well, Fundamentalist.
So don't place too much faith on what I say.
There's folks on these boards that have forgotten more about
TA then I've so far managed to learn.

I sometimes think the easiest way is to stick a ruler along
the price action and see which way it's pointing. :-)))

Melnibone.

Fundamentalist - 24 Jun 2004 10:57 - 14 of 22

Mel

Whay you do seems to work for you.

Topsliced SKP at 66.5p this am, will look to re-enter around 60p if poss. My take on AGM statement is we are not getting the pulmonary deal for a few months prob - would expect the price to retrace a little till then.

zarif - 24 Jun 2004 11:10 - 15 of 22

Tom hougards email analysis and thoughts for today.
rgds
zarif

Good morning,




What an amazing trading day. The market held the 1132 area and turned on a dime. The target of 1144 area was calculated using a very simple 1 to 1 wave advancement technique and it was hit spot on at 1145.25.



It is always difficult for me to write the analysis after a big rally on Wall Street. Few would like to buy it here as they feel they have missed the boat. Given the fact that we have hit a major target in the market we should be short against 1145. This is a strategy that you can employ but it is probably not very wise. I am fairly certain that the market will have a stab at the 1148 area and depending on momentum we could see higher prices going into month end and the Fed meeting in a couple of days. In other words I dont think the market will stop here. It seemed strong to me yesterday and there was a real concerted effort to mark up the names I mentioned yesterday. Ebay, IBM, GE and INTC were all trading higher on the day. These stocks are always worth watching for a bit of tape manipulation before the important quarter-end mark to market for institutions.



One counter argument that could be made is the spike I was talking about yesterday. Last night could have been it. I was looking for a spike into the major square out of the all time high in calendar days. This came in last night or early today. Momentum will be the key but a move below 1138 will send a cold shiver down the bulls spine and will most likely cause more selling. That would be a major disappointment to the bulls.



So to conclude: we hit a major target last night on the dot. When targets are met the market sometimes lingers around before turning, while at other times they turn promptly. In this case I will favour no turn at all. I think after basing for as long as we have the market could move higher over the coming day or two before turning. You may want to consider a few shorts with tight stops but I would not fight the tape if we are making new highs on the day after 19:00 UK time. I got a nice turn today around 18:00 UK time and I will in case we are moving higher consider a short day trade position around this time frame.



I shall however not be trading the market this morning. I am going to my first Wimbledon experience and luckily it is not raining today in London J

Tom

torquay - 24 Jun 2004 11:59 - 16 of 22

Hi all,Fundamentalist:HBOS I have for 30yrs played the Banks(more than any other sector)by dipping in on corrections.This has proved successful both in gains and reasonable divi's.This morning I have picked up both HBOS&BARC at their lows so far today.If they go down further shall keep picking up.I play the banks as its always only a matter of time before you gain a profit/divi well in excess of B/society returns.On another matter have you looked at LGEN/AL.both seem to be holding firm,LGEN especially to me looks interesting having bucked going back to 86/87p range.Half the battle is to have enough liquid funds to pick up more if the price falls further.

Velocity - 24 Jun 2004 12:17 - 17 of 22

Anyone think this looks promising if it gets through 4520 resistance?

graph.php?size=Medium&startDate=24%2F03%

optomistic - 24 Jun 2004 12:31 - 18 of 22

Melnibone
Looking at the MACD indicator for HBOS I note that a rise has mostly been pre-empted by the MACD crossing up through the EMA. This is just one indicator and it alone is probably not sufficient to make an investment decission but it is a useful indication as to when the direction is likely to change.
I feel sure that you will be aware of this but it may prove useful to some others.
opto

Golddog - 24 Jun 2004 16:07 - 19 of 22

very nice martini.

larger buy on oah it seems - long term investment.

Velocity - 24 Jun 2004 16:41 - 20 of 22

Does anyone know if you can get dax & cac40 index charts on am?

zarif - 24 Jun 2004 16:47 - 21 of 22

Velocity:
try this site aswell. its free and quite good no pop-ups etc. Does the indexes, oil, gold, forex etc

www.livecharts.co.uk



rgds
zarif

Velocity - 24 Jun 2004 16:49 - 22 of 22

Thanks zarif
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