markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
eddieshare
- 11 May 2005 21:43
- 1205 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks lynnzal for your explanation on the elliott wave.
Thanks aur for the link.
Marrow hope your head gets better.
berlingo you'll just have to put up with me. Joke.... squelch button is handy.
Markymar yes it is a buy signal, but as with all signals you need confirmation on the next days trading. Look at the intraday charts to see which direction DES is heading before making a decision. If you see a gap up this would be good, but you must make sure DES continues in the up direction during the day.
Having read about the elliott wave, it looks like lynnzal is suggesting the next move will take DES to about 1.11p. Could you confirm this please lynnzal ? If so it would also be confirmed by fibonacci retracement at about 1.07p. The open 0.3325p, high 0.3550p, low 0.3325p, close 0.3475p, combined volume 1.118m. Des was the highest mover in the oil & gas sector by % move on the day. The oil & gas sector was down today, so it looks like DES was in favor. Most UK indices were down also.
Good Luck all
Eddie
eddieshare
- 12 May 2005 07:32
- 1206 of 6492
Hi all
Looking good ! First buy at 07:26 (25000) !
Desire Petroleum PLC
12 May 2005
Desire Petroleum plc
('Desire Petroleum')
3D Seismic Data Update
As previously announced, Desire Petroleum, has identified seven drilling
locations on Tranches C and D , in the North Falkland Basin. At four of these
locations, dual targets have been identified, resulting in eleven prospects in
total. These prospects have a potential of over two billion barrels of
recoverable oil.
Further recent interpretation of the 3D seismic data has yielded a further five
prospects. Three of these can be tested at the drilling locations already
identified. In addition, numerous less well defined leads have been identified
which will require further work before they can be moved to prospect status.
Dr Ian Duncan, Desire CEO, commented 'The more we work on the 3D seismic data,
the more prospectivity we see in this basin. The identification of these five
new prospects means that in the planned three well drilling campaign, all of the
wells will have dual objectives.'
Enquiries:
Dr. Ian Duncan, CEO, Desire Petroleum plc: 01684 568 993
Richard Redmayne, Seymour Pierce Limited: 020 7107 8000
Ewan Leggat
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
Good Luck All
Eddie
luckyswimmer
- 12 May 2005 09:36
- 1208 of 6492
Thank you Eddie for the good news, so it's confirmed that we are looking at 6 prospects with the three drill campaign which improves the odds of at least one successful prospect to over 90% if the probability in general of a successful drill is at the 1 in 3 level. That now suggests that we are only left with a political risk (Argentina can agree on little with it's neighbours other than that FIs shouldn't be part of the EU) and an environmental risk (so much oil is found that a spill occurs - Peak seem to be very professionaL so should minimise this risk). That's enough of looking at the downside now what's the upside - the market works out that 2billion barrels of prospects may be discovered in Q1 2006 in which case the share price has just 6 months left to get to a more realistic figure of hmm 2billion * 0.3 * 0.85* 0.2*$50, oops my calculator needs a bigger display. An excellent start to the morning. Blue sky it is then m.
fatoldgit
- 12 May 2005 17:57
- 1209 of 6492
Golly jeepers, I think I am going to become a regular reader and poster on this board.
Previously used to use iii under another name, but there is a guy on there called KO 3pm who is driving me mental.........he spouts the biggest load of old crap ever and is nasty with it.
Hope you all don't mind a new boy.
By the way, I'm fat ,quite old and my wife calls me a git.
markymar
- 12 May 2005 20:18
- 1211 of 6492
http://www.sartma.com/artd_1626_05_2005_1.html
Falklands : Desire 3D Seismic Identifies More Prospects
Submitted by Falkland Islands News Network (Juanita Brock) 12.05.2005 (Current Article)
Even though seven drilling locations have been identified by Desires 3D Seismic in Tranches C and D in the North Falkland Basin, still more areas of interest have been identified as the data from the seismic is worked and re-worked.
DESIRE 3D SEISMIC IDENTIFIES MORE PROSPECTS
By J. Brock (FINN)
Even though seven drilling locations have been identified by Desires 3D Seismic in Tranches C and D in the North Falkland Basin, still more areas of interest have been identified as the data from the seismic is worked and re-worked. Now, a further five prospects have been identified in the same Tranches. According to Dr. Ian Duncan, Desires CEO, three prospects can be tested at drilling locations already identified. However, there are numerous less well defined leads, which will need further work have been identified.
All three of the wells planned will now have dual objectives, he continued.
No doubt people who have invested in this stock will be pleased indeed, as it has increased in value since the dark days of 1999, when many of the original exploring companies pulled out and the price per barrel hovered around $10.00. Hang on to that stock is the best advice. It will go higher when and I stress when hydrocarbons have been generated during exploratory drilling. This is still a very high-risk venture and we wont know whats beneath the source rock until we hit something.
fatoldgit
- 12 May 2005 20:20
- 1212 of 6492
Thanks for the welcome Marky.......I won't tell him, he's busy being rude to Ruddyy at the moment.
eddieshare
- 12 May 2005 21:10
- 1214 of 6492
Hi all
Welcom fatoldgit.
Thanks markymar.
I'm supprised looking at the buys vs sells on moneyam DES didn't end higher, there were a few late trades that may not have registered. Any way DES is up. The candle although opened hi closed low giving a bearish look. But the fact the candle didn't close below yesterdays close or even into yesterdays candle, takes some of the bearishness away. We will have to look at tomorrows trading to see which way the market intends to go. The oil & gas sector was down, which didn't help. DES was 7th out of the 11 climbers, so still in favour. DES is still at 2nd place in the oil & gas sector for % rise over the past 250 trading days. The open 0.3650p, high 0.3650p, low 0.3525p, close 0.3525p, combined volume 951.0 K.
I think the 3D survey news is just great !
Good Luck All
Eddie
markymar
- 13 May 2005 07:45
- 1215 of 6492
http://ogj.pennnet.com/articles/article_display.cfm?Section=ONART&C=TOPST&ARTICLE_ID=227586&p=9
Desire Petroleum identifies offshore Falklands targets
Desire Petroleum, a UK company, has identified seven drilling locations on Tranches C and D in the North Falkland basin, offshore South America. At four of these locations, the company has identified dual targets resulting in 11 total prospects. Desire estimates that the prospects have a potential of over 2 Bbbl of recoverable oil.
Further recent interpretation of the 3D seismic data has yielded a further five prospects, Desire reports. Three of them the operator can test at the drilling locations already identified. In addition, it has identified numerous less-defined leads that will require further work before they can be moved to prospect status, the company says.
"The more we work on the 3D seismic data, the more prospectivity we see in this basin," says Ian Duncan, Desire CEO. "The identification of these five new prospects means that in the planned three-well drilling campaign, all of the wells will have dual objectives."
Desire was established in 1996 to participate in the first round of licensing offshore the Falkland Islands. The Falkland Islands lie 300 mi east of the South American mainland. Desire holds a 100% interest in 3,650 sq km (equivalent to 13.5 UK North Sea blocks) in the North Falkland basin. These interests are in Tranches C, D, I, and L. Desire also holds a 12.5% interest in Tranche F, operated by Talisman Energy. Six wells were drilled in this basin in 1998. Five wells recorded oil or oil and gas shows. According to Desire, these wells established the presence of one of the richest source rocks in the world. The British Geological Survey estimates that over 60 Bbbl of oil may have been generated and expelled from this source rock.
markymar
- 13 May 2005 07:55
- 1216 of 6492
http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=22486
Desire Petroleum Identifies More Targets in North Falkland B
Desire Petroleum Thursday, May 12, 2005
Desire Petroleum has identified seven drilling locations on Tranches C and D, in the North Falkland Basin. At four of these locations, dual targets have been identified, resulting in eleven prospects in total. These prospects have a potential of over two billion barrels of recoverable oil.
Further recent interpretation of the 3D seismic data has yielded a further five prospects. Three of these can be tested at the drilling locations already identified. In addition, numerous less well defined leads have been identified which will require further work before they can be moved to prospect status.
Dr. Ian Duncan, Desire CEO, commented "The more we work on the 3D seismic data, the more prospectivity we see in this basin. The identification of these five new prospects means that in the planned three well drilling campaign, all of the wells will have dual objectives."
brad pitt lookalike
- 13 May 2005 08:14
- 1217 of 6492
It's true -Jennifer lookalike and I are through.
Marrow
- 13 May 2005 08:37
- 1218 of 6492
Guys
Historically des moves forward over 3 days on good news. If rig announcement is made at current levels I see 35p + 30% day 1, 30% day 2, 15% day 3, 1 week later settling back to 60p. IMO this will climb to 100p at time of drilling with big up and down daily swings the closer to results we get.
How do you fellas see things panning out?
Hopefully we are nearly there, keep the faith.
marrow
lynnzal
- 13 May 2005 08:57
- 1220 of 6492
Hi Eddie & all, welcome Fatoldgit,
sorry for the delay in getting back to you with the price projections. They are calculated as follows...
6.5p - 69.75p (wave 1) = 63.25p
projected from the current corrective (wave 2) low at 31.5p gives a 'minimum' target at 94.75p. As wave 3's are never the shortest, it is reasonable to suggest that it will extend beyond the minimum objective to the next likely level at 134.0p, calculated thus -
63.25p x 1.618 = 102.34p
102.34p + 31.5p = 134p (rounded up).
Were still not out of the dark yet however and current consolidation over 31.5p warns of near-term extension of the corrective decline from 69.75p. Obviously the general state of the equity markets isn't helping us here. A break above the 40.5p/41.0p resistance area would do a lot to improve the picture.
Lynnzal
fatoldgit
- 13 May 2005 09:20
- 1221 of 6492
Thankyou, lynnzal and eddie, its good to have two technicians on the board,
can't say I understand charts all that much but it helps to have them explained a bit and let's hope they work.
My background is City of London but on the bond side mainly, although I have been interested in equities for many years. Certainly hope I can help with finance questions like recent rights issue stuff.
Marrow, my own view is that we are very near bottom. We will have a mini spike when the rig is announced but we still have to wait for the turn of the year before drilling starts.
Personally, forecasting prices is a bit of a mugs game and I for one didn't think we would get this low. However, when the drilling time is announced I feel sure that we will be at least double this price and probably higher.
It's at that time that the press will come into play and when Joe Public reads about the billions of barrels in the NFB, you can bet your bottom dollar that there will be a scramble for shares.
Along with many others, I plan to sell a few about then but the majority will be held because I am very optimistic about striking oil.
I am very interested about Rockhopper because we don't know too much about them. It's my belief that there is some corporate body who wishes to remain anonymous behind them. Markymar did some research and found coincidental addresses with a large Canadian oil company. Although this doesn't prove anything, I can't help thinking about smoke and fire relationships.
One last factor, the oil price.
I know we read a lot of bullish stuff on these boards but it seems to me that production is near full capacity and demand still growing strongly. I only got A level Economics but I can work out where the price is likely to go and this must help Desire.
Marrow
- 13 May 2005 09:28
- 1222 of 6492
Marky,
My forecast was based on news released to date. However like you I feel there's more to come (partners/rockhopper/takeover).
Lynnzal,
I will settle for your estimate every day of the week however based on current market sentiment i'm not convinced. The sale of First Calgary will no doubt go against us and I still feel the market has not forgiven us from before. This time round I think we will need to prove our resources before we get our just desserts.
However you look at des, the only way is up
Game on
Marrow
lynnzal
- 13 May 2005 11:23
- 1223 of 6492
Just for clarity...and for those that have missed my previous posts. I seen near-term risk down with a target at 26p (if we lose support around 30.5/31.5p). After that I see resumption of the underlying bull-trend to the targets outlined (94.75p then 134p). Note that they are longer-term projections and would likely have a rig announcement and drilling announcement provide the catalyst for gains.
Lynnzal
eddieshare
- 13 May 2005 16:47
- 1224 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks for your input everone !
Looks like weve had a small drop in todays price. The charts are new & the candles are red for down, green for up. We now have the open, high, low, volume & change on the charts. We have a tweezers bottom (the two candles that look the same on the bottom) on this chart, which indicates the bottom of a down trend. Todays candle is a spinning top which means there is indecision in the market. The charts are much easyier to read. Most UK idices were down, the US look like they might finnish up, this may give us a good start for Monday.
US indices finnished down..
Good Luck All
Eddie