cashcaptain
- 09 May 2007 13:23
ANYONE KNOW WHY THE ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND IS SHOWING A SHARE PRICE AROUND THE 6.59 MARK WHEN IT WAS 18.00 OR SO THE OTHER WEEK OR AM I GOING STRANGE?????????????
EWRobson
- 23 Apr 2008 22:00
- 128 of 676
Annie I don't think it makes much difference as the price is adjusted automatically to take account of the new shares. A little better to sell the nil paid as there are no dealing costs (agree Halifax's comment re selling part and using the cash to take up the rest). Its hard to call where the price will head, perhaps a bit further down. I am down about 10% and holding to see where the dust settles. Two or three years down the line they will probably be double where they are now! They will start moving when we can see the end of the tunnel - but it may be a rocky ride before then.
Eric
maggiebt4
- 23 Apr 2008 22:46
- 129 of 676
Hope this isn't a silly question but what are nil paid rights, please?
annie38
- 23 Apr 2008 22:54
- 130 of 676
Halifax & Eric: Thanks for taking the trouble to share your thoughts, it is very
much appreciated.
annie38
- 23 Apr 2008 23:17
- 131 of 676
Maggie: The following example may explain.
You hold 1000 shares. Under the terms of the Rights issue you would be entitled to purchase in this case 611 "new" shares at a cost of 1222.
If for whatever reason you do not wish to take up the "right" to these shares you may, via your broker, sell this right for whatever premium over 2 may be available on the market ,without actually laying out any money. eg. You may be able to sell
your allocation of 611 shares for say 0.90 each and thereby gain 549.90 having paid nothing for them. This transaction would be described as a sale of nil paid rights.
I trust this makes sense.
maggiebt4
- 23 Apr 2008 23:33
- 132 of 676
Thanks Annie understand now.
mitzy
- 24 Apr 2008 10:06
- 133 of 676
Property shares badly hit today .
scotinvestor
- 24 Apr 2008 10:41
- 134 of 676
this is only at early part mitzy.....much much more misery for property.....at least 25% decrease in england....maybe even 50% if it gets bad in next 18 months, haha
EWRobson
- 24 Apr 2008 19:57
- 135 of 676
Just to come back on the tactics for selling some of the Nil paid rights in order to fund the balance, the formula is mx=(1-x)*200. 200p is the the purchase price of the rights issue. m is the amount by which the actual sp exceeds the rights issue price. x is the proportion of the nil paid shares that should be sold. As an example, assume the sp is 300p, then x=2/3 so you would sell 2/3rds of the rights and take up the balance. The argument for doing this is really, as I see it, to prevent your holding being diluted. We might call this "Annie's law"!
Sold my holding today at approx. 337p (10% loss). Its not so much that I feel their is that much risk of going a lot lower, rather that my funds can do better elsewhere in the short-term (I think!). So I have reinvested the funds in ASOS (ASC, increasing my holding) and Telecom Plus (TEP - I'm a subscriber and very impressed). Looking for short-term gains on both during the reporting season and then, hopefully, will come back into RBS. Need to see the back of this credit crunch first.
Good luck all, Eric
annie38
- 25 Apr 2008 09:07
- 136 of 676
Cheers Eric....I think ? . Only scraped an O level in maths don't you know. Regards.
Fred1new
- 25 Apr 2008 16:29
- 137 of 676
Interesting comments on RBS in IC today. Page 8 and 14. The figures on p14 tie up with Fundamentals from Sharescope and I think I will hold for rights. There is a temptation to trade, but even at probable prices I doubt dividends will be cut much if any as they should have enough cash in their coffers.
It still seems a safe boat in prevailing waters and should eventual reach land.
Yields and future growth potential should be rewarding, unfortunately the time period will be longer than I expected.
halifax
- 25 Apr 2008 16:49
- 138 of 676
Dont forget they are selling assets which will reduce earnings plus fines/compensation to pay on illegal overdraft charges and lower profits from capital market activity. All that adds up to lower profits in a slowing world economy. If the directors are prudent then they will re-set the dividend after the rights issue is out of the way.
mitzy
- 27 Apr 2008 11:29
- 139 of 676
Todays Times says hold/sell.
EWRobson
- 27 Apr 2008 21:31
- 140 of 676
Average of 9 brokers (I think) is average on Hemscott, i.e. a hold. Press comment in Times suggests that they would never have gone for this elvel of write-offs if it hadn't been a rights issue, i.e. taking the most pessimistic view of outcome. I suggest there should be a good buy opportunity once the rights issue is out of the way. Clearly, from values put on insurance investments, the sum of the parts is much greater than the whole. Back to the upper regions in two or three years time so it would buy and go away opportunity.
Eric
mitzy
- 30 Apr 2008 09:57
- 141 of 676
Its the same every day why do we bother..
dealerdear
- 09 May 2008 12:17
- 142 of 676
Just to keep informed anyone interested.
The RBS document has arrived today.
Record date for Rights Issue entitlement is 9 May (so presumably already ex?)
Dealings in new shares, Nil Paid 15 May
Last date for payment for rights 6 June
Dealings in new shares fully paid 9 June
Guscavalier
- 27 May 2008 17:31
- 143 of 676
Bought some shares today @ 241p taking a longer term view. My guess is that advisers have allowed for extra funds when considering the size of the rights issue assuming that conditions may deteriorate further. Once the rump has been placed, the sp may stabilise but short term sentiment is also effected to a degree by the outcome of the insurance sale. This issue will strengthern the balance sheet and hopefully a new conservative approach to banking will ensue in future. Mr Goodwin will no doubt go in a year of so.
halifax
- 29 May 2008 16:56
- 144 of 676
RBS extend deadline to sell insurance business looking increasingly desperate to raise capital.Perhaps seriously bad news on the cards?
Guscavalier
- 29 May 2008 19:26
- 145 of 676
who knows Halifax, perhaps due diligence takes longer or other party may enter at later date. Asset at end of the day is quality so if it is price that is the problem, then they will not sell it. Yes they would like the cash but, not at any price.
scotinvestor
- 29 May 2008 19:58
- 146 of 676
rbs will fall further on monday
dealerdear
- 29 May 2008 20:59
- 147 of 676
"rbs will fall further on monday"
really highly intelligent comment based probably on your wind!
There is a deliberate attempt by the market to destroy the rights issue of not only RBS but also B&B by trying to drive down the sp to below the rights price. It won't work my friend because greed will get in the way. When you see the price down there you will be the first to buy.