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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

Fred1new - 23 Jun 2005 10:49 - 129 of 1009

Agreed, but it has been a longer wait than I expected. Wish I had done the same as you last time selling at about 36-38p I believe.

overgrowth - 23 Jun 2005 10:53 - 130 of 1009

Fred, hindsight trading's a doddle lol!

RTD could just as easily have bounced of 35p and gone soaring to 50p at the time.

50p by the end of the year will do for me.

overgrowth - 23 Jun 2005 16:53 - 131 of 1009

It looks as though this is the turning point we've been waiting for.

Fundy - may be worth jumping back in now rather than at the end of July it appears that the flatliner trend has been broken, I can see some swift price increases coming along over the next few days.

Where's douggie ?

He only seems to appear to moan about any dips lol!

Fundamentalist - 23 Jun 2005 17:11 - 132 of 1009

Hi OG

very nearly bought back in this am - prob of lack of available funds and begrudged opening a spreadbet when buy trades were going through .55p below the offer - win some you lose some. Only just seen the closing price (been tied up trading betfair this afternoon - thank you mr henman)

Wonder if a trading update is in the offing - are people buying in in hope of one?

overgrowth - 23 Jun 2005 17:27 - 133 of 1009

Hi fundy, I think it may have just dawned on people that whether we get an update or not, high oil prices and favourable exchange rates are going to significantly enhance RTD's profits.

With the price lingering in limbo for ages it's obvious that we've been at a very strong support level, so if the only way is up - then they'll be ready to buy.

I personally think that there will be a trading statement and it's likely to be released around the 5th of July (though not on the 4th because of the US interest).

Douggie - 24 Jun 2005 00:42 - 134 of 1009

:o)

but I won't feel realy good till we are at 38p and rising to new heights ;-\

overgrowth - 24 Jun 2005 00:48 - 135 of 1009

Douggie - I was just about to retire and thought I'd drop by good ol' moneyam one more time.

At least :o) is a start lol!

Friday tomorrow (edit: today), maybe we'll get the old Friday upbeat trend going again!

overgrowth - 24 Jun 2005 08:06 - 136 of 1009

The Express apparently thinks that RTD rose on rumour of a joint venture with a US company.

Whatever is going on, it looks as though the institutions are bullish about it. Someone bought 5,000,000 shares in a single chunk last night - it's just been recorded as a delayed trade!

Douggie - 24 Jun 2005 08:30 - 137 of 1009

and again :o))

but 1/4p for 5.000.000 !...???????????????????????????????????

overgrowth - 24 Jun 2005 08:34 - 138 of 1009

Douggie - 1/4p ?

They bought at 29.31 - which was a premium at yesterday's earlier prices when the original order will have been placed.

Looking good for some serious upside today - the buyers are back in force!

Douggie - 24 Jun 2005 09:23 - 139 of 1009

o.g my first veiw was 1/4 pt.inc on 5.000.000 buy ok now up penny....

it would have been marked
d
o
w
n..much more than 1p om a 5.000.000 sell I recon !.....;-\

overgrowth - 24 Jun 2005 09:40 - 140 of 1009

Douggie, that's what kicked the price up yesterday - today's rise is from new buyers coming in.

The MMs aren't letting the price run away just yet by the looks of things, there could be some more institutional orders in the system.

Douggie - 24 Jun 2005 19:25 - 141 of 1009

here's hopeing one day...........I want it NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!..;o\

overgrowth - 24 Jun 2005 20:57 - 142 of 1009

Another half a mill. bought showing as a 'T' trade - that could mean there's more big buys in the system ready for Monday morning judging by what happened yesterday/today.

Mind how you go on that "loopy juice" Douggie lol!

Don't get too impatient and sell in the mid 30's or you'll be kicking yourself with hobnailed boots on when we get to 50p at the end of 2005.

Have a good weekend.

overgrowth - 27 Jun 2005 07:49 - 143 of 1009

We should have a blue day again today, now that Cybersource's patent infringement case has been quashed at an early stage:

"Patent Re-Examination - Preliminary Decision

Retail Decisions plc ('ReD'), the fuel card operator and a world leader in card
fraud prevention and payment processing is pleased to announce the US Patent and
Trademark Office ('USPTO') has issued a preliminary decision supporting ReD's
assertion that 'prior art' invalidates Cybersource's patent number 6,029,154.
This is the patent that is the subject of an alleged infringement claim by
Cybersource Corporation against ReD's US subsidiary. Prior to any final
decision, USPTO procedures allow Cybersource the opportunity to respond to this
preliminary decision and Cybersource would have the right to appeal any final
decision.

ReD's Board is pleased with this preliminary decision and the progress made to
date towards concluding the matter in ReD's favour."

skyhigh - 27 Jun 2005 08:18 - 144 of 1009

More good news... there should also be a positive trading statement in the next few weeks...SP should continue to climb.. (imho)

Douggie - 27 Jun 2005 17:55 - 145 of 1009

and still the sp don't rise..............;o/ grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.........

Fred1new - 27 Jun 2005 18:34 - 146 of 1009

DOUGGIE. Stop grumbling. I have it down for .5p up to-day. and 1p to-morrow.

Fred1new - 27 Jun 2005 18:48 - 147 of 1009

Douggie I take it back you can grumble. Comdirect called it up while MM static. One compensation Buys seem to outway Sells. Up 1p to-morrow. But it is slow.

m0dulus - 28 Jun 2005 11:54 - 148 of 1009

whats going on with the price?
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