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Dowgate Capital - Capitalising on the booming AIM market (DGT)     

overgrowth - 09 Feb 2005 20:52

Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting in the middle of a goldmine!

This company through their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year. Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund placements on behalf of the companies they represent.

On first sight, the fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think again!

DGT bring new companies to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated" on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring income).

Because DGT also act as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work, they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash to speed growth.

Current NOMADships: 28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000 per year)

Current on-going Brokerage agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)

For flotations, depending on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000 to 100,000+ For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12% of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000 ! These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket. Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for years, with DGT having to do very little. New clients gained in 2005 are:

Mediazest (NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics

Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=DGT&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=DGT&Si

driver - 08 Aug 2005 14:14 - 1299 of 2787

Thread for the more intelligent.

https://www.moneyam.com/InvestorsRoom/posts.php?tid=8461#lastread

corehard - 08 Aug 2005 15:07 - 1300 of 2787

Looks like a long term holder to me !

overgrowth - 08 Aug 2005 19:06 - 1301 of 2787

M0dulus,

The only comment we've had on the interims date was from the trading update:

"The Board is optimistic that a satisfactory outturn will be announced for the 6 months ending 30 June 2005 once the results for this period have been finalised, expected to be in the second half of August."

Volumes are low, so there is no reason for concern with temporary dips in price.

Large buying surges come most unexpectedly with DGT (though oddly only seem to last a day at a time). I suspect that there will be a lot of buyers piling in some time this week or next - in particular those having a flutter on the T+ trades.

We all know that the company is currently undervalued thanks to sd and pth's earnings models and have a solid projection of profits to come - so it begs the question "why are people selling and not buying?". The simple answer I believe is that potential buyers at this stage will be traders (new longer term holders will come in after the results are published and the rest of us already have more than enough) and hence they are hanging on in the hope of the price dropping as much as possible to leverage their short term trades.

ptholden - 08 Aug 2005 20:28 - 1302 of 2787

Fully agree OG. Relatively low volume today and a 8% fall is somewhat overdone when considering the buy to sell ratio. However normal for DGT.

Quite an important day tomorrow. We have good chart support at 0.70p and should bounce off this level, also forming a double bottom which theoretically will propel the SP beyond the recent high of 0.83p.

pth

EWRobson - 08 Aug 2005 21:15 - 1303 of 2787

Agree that surprising that the sp should fall so quickly based on relatively small trades. Simplest explanation is thta MMs, having bought stock jst want someone to buy it from them. Just a lack of buyers around: everyone is focued where they think the action is and DGT hasn't come onto their radar - yet. The day is just round the corner when they will get a screen alert, they will pile in and the sp will roar ahead, perhaps too far. Is everyone happy that they have a decent holding as I suspect this sort of opportunity may not repeat itself. Lack free cash myself - need a rise in the SEO CFDs which may be coming and I can then switch the margin into DGT.

Eric

markusantonius - 09 Aug 2005 00:12 - 1304 of 2787

Just a technical point, Eric.... How can you free-up the margin from a CFD in order to buy some DGT (no CFD's available?) without actually cashing in on some of the SEO CFD?

stockdog - 09 Aug 2005 08:34 - 1305 of 2787

well, pth, I'm afraid the .70p support is broken today, albeit by only .01p. Let's hope this brings some buyers in and we at least close at or above .70p to keep the EOD support in tact.

Curious mark down on zero volume so far - MMs trying to stimulate trade??

sd

Paulo2 - 09 Aug 2005 08:37 - 1306 of 2787

Must be a delayed trade.

EWRobson - 09 Aug 2005 12:11 - 1307 of 2787

No movement on a 1m trade buy and then the sp eases on small sells. Strange that buyers haven't come back in when interims are so close. Attention elsewhere except for we loyal souls - we shall be rewarded!

Markus. If the SEO CFD open position is positive, lets say 2500, and I feel comfortable with the sp, I can cash in 2000, say, transfer to the broker and pick up the best part of 300K DGT shares. Only risk is that SEO price eases, I get a margin call and have to close an SEO position. But that's the name of the game. I'm waiting for another 0.5p on the SEO sp.

Eric

corehard - 09 Aug 2005 15:32 - 1308 of 2787

Do you think penny shares article in SM would have frightened off small investors?

overgrowth - 09 Aug 2005 18:03 - 1309 of 2787

corehard - v. doubtful IMHO.

My view is that very few Shares readers are going to speculate on sub 1p shares anyway and those that do, you're likely to find here or on one of the other BBs.

Of course, if Shares were to make DGT a "Play of the Week" (which is possible after the interim results are known), then we would see a huge flurry of buyers that Thursday.

markusantonius - 09 Aug 2005 22:36 - 1310 of 2787

2.5:1.5/buys:sells today yet the sp is down slightly. Why, I wonder?

butane - 10 Aug 2005 15:39 - 1311 of 2787

Lost one.............






Telephone Maintenance Group PLC
10 August 2005

TELEPHONE MAINTENANCE GROUP PLC



Telephone Maintenance Group Plc, the specialist telephone maintenance supplier
for business users, is pleased to announce the appointment, with immediate
effect, of Rowan Dartington & Co. Limited as nominated adviser and broker.

markusantonius - 11 Aug 2005 00:50 - 1312 of 2787

2.5m:0.3m buys:sells - yet sp only up a fraction! Why, any ideas anyone?

ptholden - 11 Aug 2005 08:49 - 1313 of 2787

Markus

I think it is simply that following the recent selling pressure, the MMs had accumulated a small overhang and therefore the price won't move until these shares have been shifted. Judging by the on line limits today, those shares have gone and any buying today should see a good rise. Fingers crossed!!

pth

stockdog - 11 Aug 2005 09:15 - 1314 of 2787

Anyone beginning to feel we are lagging behind H2 targets a tad?

After nearly 25% of H2 we have earned (on a time allocated basis) approximately 14% of H2 targets from my model which are not onerous. Plus we just lost 5,625 retainer for the 4th quarter of TMG switching to Rowan Dartington.

Are we losing momentum on the trading front?

From the chart we could be said to be in a descending triangle (bearish) commencing from the mid-July high of 82.5p with a horizontal support line at 70p. Were the SP to break south of this support, we could see a retracement all the way down to 57.5p (the height of the current triangle).

Whilst not being an alarmist by nature and, as many of you will know, a keen supporter of DGT, it may be as well to be aware of any blindness in our analysis caused by recent euphoria.

Any comments, please.

sd

Paulo2 - 11 Aug 2005 09:46 - 1315 of 2787

If Tony Blair can ponce about on a yacht in the Caribbean when there are bombs going off left, right and centre, then I think we can probably forgive the DGT staff for taking a few weeks off in the summer.

But I'll be interested to see how quickly the momentum builds up again from September onwards. Will be keeping two well-trained eyes on it.

Paulo2 - 11 Aug 2005 10:04 - 1316 of 2787

Just posted this on ADVFN but no one has seen fit to answer.

Hopefully one of you guys will be able to help:

1) Nominated Adviser - Annual recurring revenue fees of 15,000

2) Brokerage Fees - Annual recurring revenue fees of 5,000

Forgive my ignorance, but if these are annual fees, are they guaranteed to be mentioned in the interims? Or will we have to wait until the FY results to see them on the bottom line?

overgrowth - 11 Aug 2005 10:07 - 1317 of 2787

Paulo2 - Half of them will be.

See the link to the fundamental analysis at the top of this header.

Paulo2 - 11 Aug 2005 10:14 - 1318 of 2787

Cheers, OG.

It's amazing how the nerves start to jangle when we're so close!
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