goldfinger
- 26 Feb 2003 00:23
This company is certainly catching the eye of Analysts and Tipsters. I have kindly borrowed this summing up of the company from an online associate and agree with his findings. This really is an undervalued company.
Car Clinic (JCR traded on AIM) – Market Cap 1.32million
Business
Company owns 12 accident centres. Was formerly a division of the Dixon Motor Group.
Opportunity
Profit of circa 700,000 at interim stage – Is a growing business, so every confidence that this performance will be matched in second half, generating 1.4million in cash profits for the group. As others have pointed out this would essentially put company on PE of 1.
Company does have debts, which will require servicing. Currently 2.25million, though repayment has been more than fairly structured and allows significant amounts of cash to be retained by JCR. I assume these monies will be used for bolt on acquisitions and possibly early repayment of debt.
From my various conversations with an existing large shareholder, and to a certain extent recent statements from the company, the debt will be repaid at the rate of 400k per annum. From my calculations, and conversations with various sources, net profits this year should be more than 600,000. Compare this to the measly 1.32million market cap. As I indicated above, this is ludicrously cheap. ( NB This figure takes into account costs of acquisition, associated legal fees, initial banking fees and initial repayments. Remember, the repayments begin in earnest, next year.)
Going forward however, annual profits of more than 1.4million can be expected from the group. I expect the company to beat this comfortably next year and to continue growing at pace. So in effect, I believe Just Care Clinic can deliver annual net profits of more than 1million – Remember this is net profit. (i.e. after repayment of debt)
Directors Buying
And why shouldn’t they? They obviously see the great potential here. The Finance Director, Chris Elton was formerly FD at Dixon Motors, but moved over to take part in the action.
The future
I expect the company will be more focussed on bringing in further contracts with insurance companies. When Just Car Clinic was part of the Dixon Motor Group, whilst profitability was obviously important, as the business wasn’t a core component of the larger group bringing in new contracts was likely seen as a problem rather than a chance to deliver greater profits. I suspect the management team, motivated by significant shareholdings, will be keen to bring in as much ‘big’ insurance business as they can. I expect the company to make an announcement to this regard within the next few months or so. This is based on nothing other than gut, experience and feedback from various sources involved in the industry.
Take a closer Look
Equitygrowth.net wrote a brief piece on JCR in its 7th February newsletter. Shares Magazine has also provided positive coverage of late. I do agree that the figures do appear too good to be true, that is why I encourage investors to do their own research. This stock is undervalued – FACT. I am confident these shares will do well in the coming weeks as more investors recognise the potential, whilst going forward this is excellent material in my opinion. This isn’t hype, this is all fact which can be confirmed with just a little time and effort. Shares are currently 10.5p offered. I cannot emphasise enough - JCR is one to have a look at.
Please DYOR.
goldfinger
- 29 Apr 2004 16:08
- 131 of 245
Superb summing up hawick and the future now looks very bright indeed, stock up 26% one of the leaders of the day.
Added again myself this pm.
cheers GF.
jj50
- 29 Apr 2004 19:27
- 132 of 245
Topped up my holding today on the strength of the results. Thanks for the summary hawick and input GF. For interest, Comdirect were not operating a 3000 shares online limit.
goldfinger
- 07 May 2004 21:26
- 133 of 245
Been advised on another board its been tipped today by City Confidential as a Speculative BUY, and is also one of there shares for the year.
cheers GF.
ThirdEye
- 07 May 2004 21:36
- 134 of 245
Rising interest rates for the third time this year this week are going to make it even tougher for JCR to pay their debts which stretch to 2008 at the moment.
Profits were predicted throughout the net of 1m by the bulls on here, even without their problems no where near 1m would have been reached.
Treat with caution. very high gearing, walking a tightrope & highly speculative, especially if interest rates rise further, which looks odds-on with the US looking to raise rates soon.
goldfinger
- 07 May 2004 23:22
- 135 of 245
Been advised on another board its been tipped today by City Confidential as a Speculative BUY, and is also one of there shares for the year.
cheers GF.
ThirdEye
- 08 May 2004 08:25
- 136 of 245
Feel a desperate need to repeat your post?
That is already post number 132 & now 134.
I wonder if the banks have charged new arrangement fees etc for JCR not being the business with the profits the banks thought when they loaned their money, I can't remember a bank doing anything for nothing, maybe the interims will show us.
May have even put them on a higher rate above base to reflect the higher risk.
Lets look at your orginal forecast to see how conservative you are:
Profit of circa 700,000 at interim stage Is a growing business, so every confidence that this performance will be matched in second half, generating 1.4million in cash profits for the group. As others have pointed out this would essentially put company on PE of 1.
So a forecast of 1.4m, what did they make?
goldfinger
- 09 May 2004 00:20
- 137 of 245
From City Confidential.............
last 15month results pleasing to the market,this year has started very well,insurance companies will choose established repair partners,the outlook is encouraging,pursuing a substanstial claim against vendors for problems before the business was aquired, pre-tax profit 125.000,basicly old hat to most of us,its now a buy again and quoted as share of the year by city confidential.
cheers GF.
ThirdEye
- 09 May 2004 06:55
- 138 of 245
When are the ONE penny options due to be excersised g/f?
Very poor show that options should be issued at 1p.
If they had issued at a fair price of 6 or 7p, then they wouldn't have given themselves cash on a plate & st the same time showed they cared about investors, by not diluting their shareholdings.
City Conf have tipped JCR before so I guess they have to stick with it, plus it has to fill space EVERY month.
hawick
- 09 May 2004 13:44
- 139 of 245
Good news from City Confidential, they have an excellent track record and I am sure their followers will see this as a big green light, and no doubt others should take the hint as well. :)
I hold and looking to add on any weakness. Have been involved with these since 9p over a year ago and still positive on te shares.
ThirdEye
- 09 May 2004 14:45
- 140 of 245
LOL every one concentrating on City Conf.
OPTIONS @ 1p
MASSIVE DEBT in relation to NAV
INTEREST RATES UP THREE TIMES on that very debt
EUROPEAN LEGISLATION getting tougher for bodyshops.
INSURANCE COMPANIES clamping down on margins, companies like Aquillo formed to help.
Last margins I read were just over 3% at the interims.
goldfinger
- 09 May 2004 23:32
- 141 of 245
I agree Hawick excelent that a pro and very good tip sheet as backed this one. Just spiffing.
cheers GF.
ThirdEye
- 10 May 2004 11:02
- 142 of 245
-2p or more than 10% as investors maybe realise the risks, perhaps too much concentration on positives with no balance of negatives?
jfletendre
- 10 May 2004 13:38
- 143 of 245
Third Eye - I'd like to ask you a very blunt question that I would appreciate an honest answer to - why the personal agenda against GF? I hold a few stocks that have threads running which I like to keep abreast of. You describe yourself as someone who likes seasoned debate but whenever I read your name, 100% of your posts are there in a contrardictory response to something GF has posted and it's BORING. You ALWAYS disagree and that is far beyond coincidence.
Give it a rest.
ThirdEye
- 10 May 2004 13:55
- 144 of 245
jfletendre, please stick to the merits or negative comment on JCR.
It's in the firing line due to it's huge debt position, if I wish to be negative or positive I will....Other than that filter if you have no wish to read anyof my comments.
sigora
- 10 May 2004 18:37
- 145 of 245
Teribble day i feel like jumping of this balconey, jcr what a dog.
goldfinger
- 10 May 2004 22:22
- 146 of 245
Good point JFT (anna)mind the management advise me that certain threads are being monitored very closely on the board and I think you know the ones I mean.
Theres a big difference between debate ( the bull and bear case) and out and out bulletin board bullying and disruption.
I hope you post again on this thread but can see how annoyed you are.
cheers GF.
goldfinger
- 10 May 2004 23:46
- 147 of 245
Brand new technology piloted at Leeds branch
An innovative new system that allows insurers, bodyshops and customers to monitor the repair status of their vehicles 24 hours a day and seven days a week is being piloted at Just Car Clinic’s Leeds branch.
ClaimWatch is a web-based tracking package that aims to improve efficiency and push customer care standards even higher. Just Car Clinic is one of the first collision repair companies in the country to use the new system and hopes to roll it out to all 13 of its branches across the Yorkshire, Lincolnshire and Nottinghamshire region in the near future.
The ClaimWatch package is now fully integrated with the Brown Brothers’ ‘Bodyshop Direct’ software used by Just Car Clinic. It features a range of exciting services, including a facility that enables jobs and courtesy cars to be pre-booked, a customer contact diary and a ‘one-click’ option to update the repair status of a vehicle. This means that members of the public and insurance companies will be able to check the status of a repair on-line, following the vehicle through the entire process step by step.
Ian Fryatt of Bodyshop Direct said: “We are delighted that, as a Bodyshop Direct customer, Just Car Clinic has access to ClaimWatch. This link undoubtedly adds value to the Bodyshop Direct package that they already operate at Just Car Clinic by providing users with a proven online communication tool that gives efficiency and time-saving benefits.”
Robert Hirst, General Manager of the Leeds Just Car Clinic, said: “I am delighted that we are piloting this exciting new piece of technology here at Leeds and am confident that it will bring great benefits to the customer, as well as proving to be a simple, but efficient, tool for the team here to use.
“Obviously, we will be monitoring the pilot phase, which starts this month, closely and feeding back to colleagues at other branches on the benefits before ClaimWatch is rolled out across all 13 of our collision repair centres.”
Robert added: “Good customer care is at the very core of the service that we aim to deliver and this development will bring real benefits that can be enjoyed by the customer.”
cheers Gf.
ThirdEye
- 11 May 2004 06:23
- 148 of 245
Do we think companies like Aquillo that assist insurance companies to make sure they get a good deal, will put extra pressure on JCR margins, they seem to be popping up everywhere.
I remember when I was in the trade, insurance companies were getting away with just a 10% margin on parts & getting much tighter on labour, this seems to be a big factor now, the more lucrative days have gone.
Also European legislation on bodyshops & air pollution was also getting tougher & requiring much more investment.....yet another reason I wouldn't touch this stock.
However the guys with options to buy shares at 1p should do ok.
goldfinger
- 11 May 2004 15:47
- 149 of 245
Nice move upwards today.
Personnaly I think options are an excelent incentive tool for management and employees. In this case and I dont think Thirdeye read the RNS on the reversal they were given to the management as part of the package on the takeover of bikenet by Dixons. Nothing wrong with an incentives for companys who earn them, its the fat cats who dont earn them that should be attacked.
Obviously in thirdeyes world we would be back to OLD Labour and Unions running the show, strikes here there and everywhere.
JCR have a string of insurance companies they work for, no problems to report there. No problem on margins either as the company going forward are using the latest technology to bring the cost base down.
As for the loan repayments no problems at all, JCR have budgeted for much higher interest rates in their internal analysis, as have their broker. Cash flow positive, no problems at all.
Might prove fruitfull for Thirdeye to get in touch with the CEO just to put is mind at rest ( I have), yes thirdeye give him a ring or better still visit him, you can usually find him at the Hull clinic not far from where you live in Burton.
cheers GF.
ThirdEye
- 11 May 2004 15:53
- 150 of 245
Options should be issued at a fair price not only to management but the people who invest in the company gf. Issuing hundreds of thousands at 1p, doesn't do the investors any favours, it's not balanced, no one minds a small discount, but 1p is an "I'm going to be alright Jack" type attitude. Gives clues to the moral credibility of the management at least to my mind.