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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

hilary - 04 Oct 2013 10:09 - 13127 of 21973

Shortie,

You'd probably need to switch to a timeframe such as 1-hour or 4-hour to see it, but there's a nice uppy trendline in place from 30th August which that cable move down this morning took out. Overnight, it was consolidating support just above that trendline, but Asians never have the cahunas to smash major trendlines, and they invariably sit on the fence and wait for volumes to pick up in London trade before deciding direction.

This isn't an exact science, but I would expect that the price will probably move back up at some stage (not necessarily today) to the level at which the trendline support was broken (circa 1.6160), at which point a fresh wave of sellers will kick in as that earlier support turns to resistance.

But hey, wdik.

Shortie - 04 Oct 2013 10:12 - 13128 of 21973

Skinny, Fotune Oil has announced a 2.36 special dividend (current sp 10.27 so yields 23%) details below, I'm considering a position as they paid dividends in 2011 of 0.13p, 2012 of 0.18p and 2013 2.52p. Something you may be interested in.

Fortune Oil is pleased to announce the key dates for the special interim dividend of 2.36 pence per ordinary share (the "Dividend"), which was approved by shareholders at the general meeting of the Company held on 25 September 2013.
Ex-dividend date 9 October 2013
Record date 11 October 2013
Deadline for receipt of DRIP mandate forms 11 October 2013
Dividend payment date 25 October 2013

I like the look of your TATE chart, think I'll have a look.


hilary - 04 Oct 2013 10:18 - 13129 of 21973

Here's what I'm referring to in a piccie.

skinny - 04 Oct 2013 10:21 - 13130 of 21973

Thanks Hils, Shortie.

Shortie - 04 Oct 2013 10:33 - 13131 of 21973

Thanks Hilary, I've closed out the GBP/USD position taking a profit. I noticed the trend line upwards but it looks like its going to reverse from below and my own view was the run was overdone.



GJ has my attention as its up against support right now, 156.55, doubt I'll trade it though either way..

Shortie - 04 Oct 2013 12:21 - 13132 of 21973

Will the trendline be maintained with the taking out of 15000

Shortie - 04 Oct 2013 12:26 - 13133 of 21973

Up or down, think I'll be on the fence for this afternoons session.

Shortie - 04 Oct 2013 12:30 - 13134 of 21973

Should have stayed short, live and learn with a profit though so not all bad!

skinny - 04 Oct 2013 12:32 - 13135 of 21973

I think either - cable / indexes are reasonably risky over the weekend - any thoughts?

hilary - 04 Oct 2013 12:47 - 13136 of 21973

That'll depend upon the size of your cahunas, Skinners.

:o)

skinny - 04 Oct 2013 12:51 - 13137 of 21973

It was of course rhetoric and should have ended with 'discuss'! :-)

Shortie - 04 Oct 2013 13:18 - 13138 of 21973

Well Sterling is off highs and 6390 has yet to be taken out so don't expect much movement. Wall St the same unless news breaks.

Been watching currency and commodities mainly today, energy markets are interesting.

Shortie - 04 Oct 2013 13:31 - 13139 of 21973

Look like it could be fun

Shortie - 04 Oct 2013 15:05 - 13140 of 21973

Natural gas climb as traders watch Tropical Storm Karen --Market participants worried about possible supply disruptions in Gulf of Mexico --Natural gas hurt by weak demand and higher stockpiles amid moderate temperatures By Brett Philbin NEW YORK--Natural-gas futures rose Friday, rebounding from a one-week low, as traders worried that Tropical Storm Karen could disrupt offshore gas-production rigs in the Gulf of Mexico. Natural gas for November delivery gained 0.22 cents, or 0.6%, to $3.521 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The gains follow losses in two of the past three trading sessions. While the hurricane season this year has been quiet so far, energy investors are still fearful that the latest storm could hurt production in the Gulf of Mexico, where output in July accounted for 4.3% of total U.S. gas flow, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Tropical Storm Karen, now in the middle of the Gulf, has maximum sustained winds of 60 miles per hour and is projected to make landfall anywhere from eastern Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle early Sunday morning, according to the National Hurricane Center. The governors of Louisiana and Mississippi have declared a state of emergency in their states ahead of the storm. Oil and gas companies, including Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC) and BP PLC (BP, BP.LN), have evacuated nonessential workers from Gulf platforms as the storm approaches the heavy oil and gas-production area. "Some rig shut-ins are likely giving support to prices, but I don't think this will provide enough strength for a significant rally," said Gene McGillian, an analyst and broker at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Conn. Mr. McGillian expects production in the Gulf region to be only slightly affected by the storm, which was initially expected to become a hurricane, but now isn't forecast to reach that status. Meanwhile, mild temperatures are expected to continue across much of the U.S. over the next two weeks. Moderate weather conditions have led to weaker gas demand and higher stockpiles, factors that analysts say could continue to keep a lid on prices until the onset of winter. In its 11-to-15-day outlook, private forecaster MDA said that while a couple days of above average temperatures are expected in the northeast, "otherwise the [weather] pattern has held consistent with yesterday." On Thursday, the EIA said gas inventories rose by 101 billion cubic feet in the week ended Sept. 27, more than the 95-bcf that analysts had expected. The gain was well above the five-year average increase of 82 bcf for the week and sent prices Thursday to their lowest settlement value since Sept. 26. Mr. McGillian said that with limited tropical storm activity and less near-term demand for heating and air conditioning, he expects "lackluster trading" to continue as many market participants stay "on the sidelines" in the near term.

hilary - 04 Oct 2013 18:34 - 13141 of 21973

Aaawww shucks, Skinners, and there I was thinking we were gonna discuss budgerigars versus donkeys. Ho hummm.

But if you want to discuss the merits of holding over a weekend, surely it's going to depend upon what chart timeframe you're trading and whether you're trading with or against the trend. If you're trading 1-hour or slower, and with the trend, then you're probably not going to worry too much about a gap on Sunday evening. In any event, the balance of probabilities is that the market will gap with the trend in your favour.

If you're trading against the underlying trend or on a faster chart timeframe (15 minutes or less), then the chances are that you'll get a signal to close your trade anyway, well ahead of market close.

And if you haven't got a clue why you're in the trade, can I trade against you next time please?

:o)

gibby - 06 Oct 2013 07:48 - 13142 of 21973

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/10/03/warren-buffett-debt-ceiling_n_4036347.html

cynic - 07 Oct 2013 10:35 - 13143 of 21973

the following is a bit long but worth reading ..... came out less than 15 minutes ago ....

China urged Washington on Monday to take decisive steps to avoid a debt crisis and ensure the safety of Chinese investments, as a deadlocked U.S. Congress confronted a looming deadline to increase the nation's borrowing power or risk default.

China, the U.S. government's largest creditor, is "naturally concerned about developments in the U.S. fiscal cliff", Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao said in the Chinese government's first public response to the Oct 17 deadline in the United States for raising the debt ceiling.

"The United States is totally clear about China's concerns about the fiscal cliff," Zhu told reporters in Beijing, adding that Washington and Beijing had been in touch over the issue.
"We ask that the United States earnestly takes steps to resolve in a timely way before October 17 the political (issues) around the debt ceiling and prevent a U.S. debt default to ensure safety of Chinese investments in the United States and the global economic recovery," Zhu said.
"This is the United States' responsibility."

The U.S. government moved into the second week of a shutdown on Monday with no end in sight, as Congress also confronted an October 17 deadline on raising the debt ceiling.
"We hope the United States fully understands the lessons of history," Zhu said, referring to a deadlock in 2011 that led to a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating to "AA+" from "AAA" by agency Standard & Poors.

The last big confrontation over the debt ceiling, in August 2011, ended with an eleventh-hour agreement under pressure from shaken markets and warnings of an economic catastrophe if a default were allowed to happen.

Republican House Speaker John Boehner vowed on Sunday that there was "no way" Republican lawmakers would agree to a measure to raise the debt ceiling unless it included conditions to rein in deficit spending.

The comment raised fears that the U.S. Congress and Obama could fail to reach a deal on raising the ceiling by October 17, when the Treasury has estimated it will have run out of cash.

skinny - 07 Oct 2013 13:02 - 13144 of 21973

Any ideas on how to trade this?

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=FF50&S

skinny - 07 Oct 2013 13:03 - 13145 of 21973

Hils "can I trade against you next time please?"

You know you don't have to ask! :-)
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