cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
Seymour Clearly
- 30 Oct 2013 15:31
- 13357 of 21973
November Traders' online magazine
here.
goldfinger
- 30 Oct 2013 15:42
- 13358 of 21973
Yes but Cynic have you forgotten you said at end of last week you had taken money off the table.
cynic
- 30 Oct 2013 16:20
- 13360 of 21973
when i wrote that, whenever it was, it was most certainly true (i've looked back to 11/10 and see nothing) ..... anyway, too long ago now :-) but i'm pretty sure i was relatively heavily exposed on both ftse and dow and also, at that time, on NMX 3720 all of which i cut back - and perhaps some other bits too
since then, i have certainly bought into a few stocks like PAG, VOD (not very bright), FOXT and SGP (of course)
cynic
- 30 Oct 2013 16:31
- 13361 of 21973
have checked my account and see i sold quite a lot of stuff on 3rd and 7th, but very little after that
Shortie
- 30 Oct 2013 16:41
- 13362 of 21973
I've no exposure to Wall St. On the FTSE however I still believe the market has become overpriced, saying that the market remains bullish. For how long is another question, funding for the US government would only extend to mid-January and the debt ceiling increase until mid-February there is a risk the same drama will be playing out once again a few months from now. How long will the BoE hold interest rates is another question, I doubt they'll go any lower so up is the only way. When the interest rate increases then I believe there will be a shift of money exiting equities and going back into debt.
halifax
- 30 Oct 2013 16:48
- 13363 of 21973
Short well said the only problem is timing we are coming up to year end when the books need to be massaged, unlikely interest rates would rise until spring so what do we do in the meantime.... go with the flow.
skinny
- 30 Oct 2013 16:49
- 13364 of 21973
Eyes down @6 tonight!
Shortie
- 30 Oct 2013 17:45
- 13365 of 21973
TD's Richard Gilhooly points out that one leg of the Treasurys market is doing more than pricing in delayed QE tapering -- it's hinting that perhaps more stimulus is coming. Yield gap between 10- and 30-year Treasurys has topped its 200-day moving average for the first time since May 22, he says, coincidentally the day a set of FOMC minutes sparked all the taper talk. And with the gap even wider today at 113 bps, it has more than reversed this summer's tapering expectations. "The curve move in recent days is now signalling something different," he says. It "resembles more a ramping up of expectations more akin to the August-November 2010 phase ahead of QE2."
cynic
- 30 Oct 2013 17:53
- 13366 of 21973
if expectations are being or have been ramped, then a tumble on the news is even more likely .... perhaps buy on the news for a change; i'll try to watch but i'll be in a car en route for london at the critical time (dow currently down 32)
Shortie
- 05 Nov 2013 12:20
- 13367 of 21973
.
KidA
- 05 Nov 2013 12:37
- 13368 of 21973
I felt a bump in the Force. :)
goldfinger
- 05 Nov 2013 14:22
- 13370 of 21973
Gone long with a very tight stop.
cynic
- 05 Nov 2013 14:32
- 13371 of 21973
miners have been in the doldrums for far too long, but with world economies improving nicely, the demand for commodities will inevitably rise
that why i bought into RIO about 10 days ago
Shortie
- 05 Nov 2013 15:18
- 13372 of 21973
I'm still unconvinced that world economies are improving. World governments might be massaging the figures with austerity, super low interest rates and increased money supply but this doesn't constitute an improving economy.
cynic
- 05 Nov 2013 15:22
- 13373 of 21973
be as unconvinced as you like, but here at the sharp end (moving chemicals and gases) the signs are loud and clear
goldfinger
- 05 Nov 2013 15:45
- 13374 of 21973
Dont forget shortie the market factors in 6 to 9 months down the road.
cynic
- 05 Nov 2013 15:53
- 13375 of 21973
from our perspective, i just look at the volume of biz we are doing ...... if companies are shipping chemicals, then the clear implication is that stocks are now depleted
Shortie
- 05 Nov 2013 15:57
- 13376 of 21973
Sounds like a snippet from the Syria thread!
The problem when considering growth is that you also need to take into consideration debt. Both public and private debt levels remain unsustainable so where does that leave growth. I'd agree that commodities should improve as they are unimpaired as Jim Rogers has preached for the last decade. This commodities rally though doesn't necessarily mean that world economies will also improve, it does however mean that inflation will outpace growth as something we're already seeing.