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Coffee Heaven - A heavenly share for penny punters ? (COH)
overgrowth
- 06 Oct 2003 22:47
 A
busy day in the Warsaw Underground ! |
Not just another coffee shop chain - this one is a brand leader and is only trading in Eastern/Central Europe (i.e. the countries recently admitted to the EU destined for substantial business growth). The company is creating new outlets at a fair old pace and take a look at their website - these are quality stores in high-profile locations like major airports, railway stations etc. Website: http://www.coffeeheaven.eu.com |
|
APRIL 2006 TRADING UPDATE!!! Total Gross Revenues for 12 months to 31st March up 66% to £6.3M (2005: £3.8M) Lots more info. on new markets and stores click here to read the full details. Stores: 43 (up from 32) stores currently trading (Poland: 30 (up from 23), Czech Republic: 6 (Up from 2), Latvia: 7 with a further 5 units under construction including Bulgaria and sites secured in Romania (subject contract). Bulgaria & Romania are seeking to join the EU from January 2007. Sites located in key high street, shopping malls or Airport locations. Company growth target: increase number of units by at least 20 units to some 63 units by 31 March 2007. Aim being to achieve this level of growth within present Cash resources.Cash balances at 31 March 2006 were approximately £2.9M (2005: £0.7M). Debt was nil (2005: £ 2.5M): Nil Debt! Positive EBITDA: For the year ending 31 March 2006, Group EBITDA expected to be firmly positive after charging UK and new market development costs but before exceptional costs relating to the cancellation of bonds (previous Debt). Forecasts: Based on present trading conditions and current exchange rates we anticipate indicative sales of £9.3M for the year to 31 March 2007. This includes indicative sales of £0.4M from Bulgaria, which will be reported but not consolidated. From Richard Worthington (Chairman and Chief Executive): ‘The new financial year has started well. There is no doubt that the significant economic improvement in our markets is feeding through to consumer confidence and spending. The strength of the coffeeheaven brand ensures we are ideally positioned to benefit from our customers' increasing prosperity.’ |
cynic
- 13 Jun 2007 20:04
- 1342 of 2037
10B - if you look at the chart above, it should be self-explanatory - red = 25 dma, green = 50 dma and black = 200 dma ..... dma = daily moving average .... let me know if you need any more explanation
bmw325 - 13 Jun 2007 20:11 - 1343 of 2037
You can have all the charts and graphs in the world, but at the end of the day the only real reason that the SP goes up or down is..."NEWS".
cynic
- 13 Jun 2007 20:27
- 1344 of 2037
WRONG! ..... it's actually supply and demand - aka market forces ...... however, because there are so many followers of charts, including computer programmes, they have an arguably unwarranted though actual effect on the direction of sp
bmw325 - 13 Jun 2007 20:36 - 1345 of 2037
CRAP!...ABSOLUTE CRAP!
NEWS MOVES THE SP.
NEWS MOVES THE SP.
cynic
- 13 Jun 2007 20:59
- 1346 of 2037
fine ..... no need to keep shouting ... you take your view; i take mine, though of course news ALSO affects sp - i.e. increases interest and thus supply/demand
micky468 - 13 Jun 2007 21:10 - 1347 of 2037
they are both one.......... with out news there is no supply/demand with out supply/demand the is no need for news so in fact your both right.
MERVILLE - 13 Jun 2007 21:26 - 1348 of 2037
BMW 325..... your posting is basically *****, I didn't read any news on COH today and yet the sp rose why was that then *******. Also why is it that anyone who dares to write any negitive comments are denounced by you or your boyfriend Adie H as " the disbelievers, burn em " everyone should be allowed to view their own opinions with having to your morose replies thrown back at them, GET A LIFE!!!!
bmw325 - 13 Jun 2007 21:33 - 1349 of 2037
MERVE
There was some news recently which rightly or wrongly sent the SP downwards and what is happening at the moment is a normal progression as punters believe it has been oversold and are bying back in, but at the end of the day it was NEWS that started the ball rolling.
There was some news recently which rightly or wrongly sent the SP downwards and what is happening at the moment is a normal progression as punters believe it has been oversold and are bying back in, but at the end of the day it was NEWS that started the ball rolling.
AdieH
- 13 Jun 2007 22:08
- 1350 of 2037
Please keep the personal abuse to yourself Merville.
Are there any actual Chartists that post here and can they give a definitive answer to the question... Yes news drives sp of course it does and without news I have no doubt COH will slide a little but the fundamentals have not changed - the company is gearing up for the next stage of growth if it does not deliver then maybe the sp will drop but my belief is it will deliver and my prediction of 1.00 will be here sooner rather than later... and Davids prediction of 6p well what can I say last three days have been blue... SP to do the talking...
Are there any actual Chartists that post here and can they give a definitive answer to the question... Yes news drives sp of course it does and without news I have no doubt COH will slide a little but the fundamentals have not changed - the company is gearing up for the next stage of growth if it does not deliver then maybe the sp will drop but my belief is it will deliver and my prediction of 1.00 will be here sooner rather than later... and Davids prediction of 6p well what can I say last three days have been blue... SP to do the talking...
MERVILLE - 13 Jun 2007 22:57 - 1351 of 2037
AdieH so sorry , are you an advocator of personal abuse or a practitioner,
I can't see any reason for believing that the share price can move towards 1.00 on the current results, many people have made a good profit on COH sold and moved on, with Starbucks entering the stage they will need more then prime sites to survive, Starbucks is like a cancer speading throughout the world and will no doubt outsell COH. the next few years will be difficult for COH and just because Fund Managers have piled in does not mean 100% returns as many got their fingers burnt with EVS for example. I personally bought COH at 1.42 before the 1:10 and sold mid 40's I hope that COH does indeed progress to your predicted level as it has been good to me but I just can't see it, and as for David 10B's prediction, I agree is just plain nonsense and believe its him just winding you up.
I can't see any reason for believing that the share price can move towards 1.00 on the current results, many people have made a good profit on COH sold and moved on, with Starbucks entering the stage they will need more then prime sites to survive, Starbucks is like a cancer speading throughout the world and will no doubt outsell COH. the next few years will be difficult for COH and just because Fund Managers have piled in does not mean 100% returns as many got their fingers burnt with EVS for example. I personally bought COH at 1.42 before the 1:10 and sold mid 40's I hope that COH does indeed progress to your predicted level as it has been good to me but I just can't see it, and as for David 10B's prediction, I agree is just plain nonsense and believe its him just winding you up.
bmw325 - 13 Jun 2007 23:21 - 1352 of 2037
I predict that Starbucks will buyout COH...
IanT(MoneyAM)
- 14 Jun 2007 07:10
- 1353 of 2037
Merville,
Stick to the discussion, do not resort to personal abuse.
Gents,
This has rolled on for some time now, basically the same discussion day in day out. As I have stated elsewhere, both negative and positive comment and discussion based around that is fine, but personal abuse from ANY side will not be tolerated. Lets move on now.
Ian
Stick to the discussion, do not resort to personal abuse.
Gents,
This has rolled on for some time now, basically the same discussion day in day out. As I have stated elsewhere, both negative and positive comment and discussion based around that is fine, but personal abuse from ANY side will not be tolerated. Lets move on now.
Ian
trigger45 - 14 Jun 2007 07:13 - 1354 of 2037
This is RW's comment on the Starbucks news:-
"We have of course been aware of this for sometime and have planned accordingly. The only surprise why it has taken SB so long to come to CE and the size of the royalties Amrest is paying to SB at 6% - we had expected 5%. That's a huge burden for any business to carry given the margins.
As usually the likely winners out of this will be Starbucks with the franchisee carrying all the risk. Amrest are developing a number of brands like KFC/Pizza Hut as well as their own brands all in several CE markets. A lot of plates to keeping spinning with conflicting demands for capital.
What is important to us is that this is not SB but an SB franchise. In CE we believe that is a critically important difference for many reasons. As we have said many times we do not believe franchising is the correct business model for coffeeheaven in CE today.
In essence nothing changes for coffeeheaven. Most likely SB's entry will expand CE market growth and as sector market leader in CE coffeeheaven will be the biggest beneficiary.
Sincerely
Richard Worthington"
Thanks to Pedro Jack for the above post.
I'm not dismissing your view MERVILLE, but I take the view of the chaiman on this one at this stage.
FWIW I think this is the most important year in COH's history.
Well done on making a profit.
"We have of course been aware of this for sometime and have planned accordingly. The only surprise why it has taken SB so long to come to CE and the size of the royalties Amrest is paying to SB at 6% - we had expected 5%. That's a huge burden for any business to carry given the margins.
As usually the likely winners out of this will be Starbucks with the franchisee carrying all the risk. Amrest are developing a number of brands like KFC/Pizza Hut as well as their own brands all in several CE markets. A lot of plates to keeping spinning with conflicting demands for capital.
What is important to us is that this is not SB but an SB franchise. In CE we believe that is a critically important difference for many reasons. As we have said many times we do not believe franchising is the correct business model for coffeeheaven in CE today.
In essence nothing changes for coffeeheaven. Most likely SB's entry will expand CE market growth and as sector market leader in CE coffeeheaven will be the biggest beneficiary.
Sincerely
Richard Worthington"
Thanks to Pedro Jack for the above post.
I'm not dismissing your view MERVILLE, but I take the view of the chaiman on this one at this stage.
FWIW I think this is the most important year in COH's history.
Well done on making a profit.
David10B
- 14 Jun 2007 08:20
- 1355 of 2037
Good morning chaps, some interesting posts!
Howevere there is never the need for incivility, if you want that please get yourselves of to Iraq or Gaza.
I DISAGREE WITH MR WORTHINGON WHO I FEEL HAS MISSED THE BOAT------FRANCHISING IS THE WAY TO GO.
Big Mac. KFC, BURGER KING, ETC. ETC.
Howevere there is never the need for incivility, if you want that please get yourselves of to Iraq or Gaza.
I DISAGREE WITH MR WORTHINGON WHO I FEEL HAS MISSED THE BOAT------FRANCHISING IS THE WAY TO GO.
Big Mac. KFC, BURGER KING, ETC. ETC.
bmw325 - 14 Jun 2007 08:30 - 1356 of 2037
Mr Worthington and his team have done a very remarkable job and to state otherwise is stupidity.
trigger45 - 14 Jun 2007 08:33 - 1357 of 2037
Not bothered about gloating but relieved to see another 0.75 rise today at the moment.
Who is right or wrong is worthless, show me the money.
Who is right or wrong is worthless, show me the money.
AdieH
- 14 Jun 2007 08:37
- 1358 of 2037
Merville, i'm glad you've made money (like myself), we all have our own agenda's and buying shares is a risk, i'm happy for the moment with my investment in COH but who knows in the future I am sell out before 1.00 but for me this was oversold a week ago and as such that is why we have had 3 days of blue...
MERVILLE - 14 Jun 2007 08:38 - 1359 of 2037
BMW325, this is pasted from Central and Eastern Eourpe food industry web site.
MERVILLE - 14 Jun 2007 08:45 - 1360 of 2037
BMW325... sorry about that it should work this time.
The group announced it planned to open another 1,500 outlets, including 700 company-owned ones, over the next year as part of its aggressive international expansion programme.
There are now more Starbucks coffeehouses in London than on coffee-guzzling Manhattan Island, and the firm has partly managed to beat down competition in the UK from Costa Coffee and CafNero through shear numbers.
One source connected to Costa Coffee said Starbucks' strategy was to go all-out in new markets, opening stores quickly and putting pressure on rival firms there.
They will target any expanding market China India and importantly for COH Eastern Europe and if they are Franchised outlets a takeover of COH seems unlikely, it depends on how quickly they can be up and running.
The group announced it planned to open another 1,500 outlets, including 700 company-owned ones, over the next year as part of its aggressive international expansion programme.
There are now more Starbucks coffeehouses in London than on coffee-guzzling Manhattan Island, and the firm has partly managed to beat down competition in the UK from Costa Coffee and CafNero through shear numbers.
One source connected to Costa Coffee said Starbucks' strategy was to go all-out in new markets, opening stores quickly and putting pressure on rival firms there.
They will target any expanding market China India and importantly for COH Eastern Europe and if they are Franchised outlets a takeover of COH seems unlikely, it depends on how quickly they can be up and running.
David10B
- 14 Jun 2007 09:43
- 1361 of 2037
Well pted Merv
I have always expressed my fears over the following for COH as I believe the management will not be able to cope with strong compentition
One source connected to Costa Coffee said Starbucks' strategy was to go all-out in new markets, opening stores quickly and putting pressure on rival firms there.
Over on my MLR thread, BMW has stated that Worthington already run BKE into trouble---will COH be next?
Certainly he is quick to sell out when the going is good, what happens when it gets tough?
I have always expressed my fears over the following for COH as I believe the management will not be able to cope with strong compentition
One source connected to Costa Coffee said Starbucks' strategy was to go all-out in new markets, opening stores quickly and putting pressure on rival firms there.
Over on my MLR thread, BMW has stated that Worthington already run BKE into trouble---will COH be next?
Certainly he is quick to sell out when the going is good, what happens when it gets tough?
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