niceonecyril
- 04 Apr 2009 08:30
ptholden
- 21 Oct 2010 20:03
- 1352 of 3666
TA Time!
I've posted the longer term chart in addition to a more recent one in an attempt to try and identify resistance levels where the SP may stall and shorter term movements.
To be honest horizontal res levels are quite difficult to identify until the SP reaches the all time high in the region of 185p. In fact I can only find two, the first at 138p and the second at 157p, both of which are very long term and somewhat tenuous. Additionally, there is the original trendline (which will join up with the all time high in January) which I would expect to be an obstacle, unless the SP gets through there beforehand.
To the shorter term, the SP has reacted in a classic fashion to a period of trading in a range followed by a breakout, the subsequent retrace and the burst upwards; all of which have been accompanied by expected volumes adding credence to the move North.
Quite clearly the SP has broken through the top of the Jul-Oct channel and convention states that this trendline will become support to any retrace; it will be interesting to see if it does. In any event 123p will hopefully be the new base from which to build and I'll be moving my stops up to lock in profits.
My target remains 185p in the next few months but somewhat sceptical we can get that far before January. Longer term, once past that level, the sky really is the limit and predictive TA with regard to targets becomes much more difficult.
On a side note I posted today that the court case in Dubai amounts to 6m, I have read somewhere else it is actually 0.6m so will hardly affect the SP.
Edit:Read again this legal business is about 6m, so no idea what to believe - I don't really care!
Good luck to all holders, once through 138p I will average up again and certainly on any retracement which results in support being confirmed.
Balerboy
- 21 Oct 2010 21:21
- 1353 of 3666
Must admit, didn't expect such a surge. My small steps have gone to stides...hope we don't see 115p again though I'm sure 120 - 125 might be back, a top up opportunity.aimo .,.
ptholden
- 21 Oct 2010 22:07
- 1354 of 3666
Merrill broker update following today's news - Buy / target 166p
Company operations update - Tuesday 26 October (I'm looking forward to that as we're still awaiting drilling news)
niceonecyril
- 22 Oct 2010 09:55
- 1355 of 3666
As one might expect some profit taking,settling down a little now.I thought of top slicing myself but the thought of Tuesdays interim report and proable drill result
made me stick,even considering topping up, dependent on news?
cyril
piston broke
- 22 Oct 2010 13:08
- 1356 of 3666
still plenty of activity today
unusual that after yesterdays big increase the price hasnt dropped today
aldwickk
- 22 Oct 2010 15:16
- 1357 of 3666
Afren plc (AFR LN)
Conference presentation
London, 22 October 2010 - The Chairman of Afren plc today presented the keynote address at the Centre for Petroleum Information annual lunch held in Lagos, Nigeria.
The presentation materials, titled "The role of independents in the Nigerian oil and gas industry" are available on Afren's website at www.afren.com.
ptholden
- 22 Oct 2010 21:35
- 1358 of 3666
Nice little intra-day reversal resulting in a bullish candlestick.
For interest, as I mentioned might happen in my last TA post the SP bounced off what was the top of the previous channel, ie, resistance has become support, albeit early days.
Added again this morning during the dip, already in profit - long may it remain so.
blanche
- 23 Oct 2010 14:52
- 1359 of 3666
Next stop 3.50 as posted on many occassions!!!!
niceonecyril
- 23 Oct 2010 16:23
- 1360 of 3666
3.50 will equate to a M/Cap of over 3.1billion,now thats just not going to happen om
production alone.To stand any chance ofreaching such a figure will depend on substanually increasing the reserves,we have many quality assets but they need to proven up.If as is thought the Okwok field is bigger than E-Bok(along with E-Bok deeps?) that would certainly go someway to reaching that goal,so Tuesday's interim report should give a much clearer picture?
cyril
ptholden
- 23 Oct 2010 22:12
- 1361 of 3666
Blanche
Longer term AFR may one day reach the dizzy heights of 3.50, but it won't be the 'next stop' and nor will it happen any time soon. Sorry, but that is just a dopey muppet, ramping, ill informed comment that is your forte on this BB. Unfortunately it detracts from this thread and the possible long term success of AFR. Do you have any idea what adding 2 BILLION pounds to the market cap actually entails? I guess not.
You're not blonde by any chance are you?
HARRYCAT
- 24 Oct 2010 13:01
- 1362 of 3666
Cor, pth, you are playing with fire there! You are toast! ;o)
niceonecyril
- 24 Oct 2010 13:29
- 1363 of 3666
Where's the theVoid when you need him,AFR nentioned in the S.Times?
cyril
blanche
- 25 Oct 2010 10:26
- 1364 of 3666
* UBS has a neutral for JKX Oil & Gas, raising target to 310p from 305p, a buy for Premier Oil, raising target to 18.45 from 17.65, a neutral for Soco International, cutting target to 335p from 370p, a neutral for Spirax-Sarco, with a 16.50 target, a neutral for Spectris, raising target to 11 from 900p, a buy for IMI, raising target to 900p from 800p, downgrades Halma to sell from neutral, raising target to 300p from 280p, has a neutral for Cookson Group, raising target to 575p from 475p, downgrades Cairn Energy to neutral from buy, cutting target to 435p from 525p and has a buy for Afren, raising target to 825p from 750p
aldwickk
- 25 Oct 2010 10:36
- 1365 of 3666
What time scale did they give for AFR reaching 825p
blanche
- 25 Oct 2010 10:40
- 1366 of 3666
No, Just broker note updates on citywire.co.uk
aldwickk
- 25 Oct 2010 10:51
- 1367 of 3666
So what time scale did the broker give ?
niceonecyril
- 25 Oct 2010 11:04
- 1368 of 3666
A more realistic,
Barclays Capital has an overweight for Afren, raising target to 156p from 130p
cyril
mwoolgar
- 25 Oct 2010 11:07
- 1369 of 3666
cant believe the UBS Rating....been on the waccy baccy
Barclays would suit me fine
blanche
- 25 Oct 2010 11:08
- 1370 of 3666
It didn`t, just what was i posted above.
aldwickk
- 25 Oct 2010 11:21
- 1371 of 3666
I thing Blanche as been on the waccy baccy
Shares in Africa-focused oil and gas explorer Afren (AFRE.L) rise 4.7 percent, after UBS and Evolution lift their target prices following a recent update on its operations in Nigeria.
UBS raises its target to 136 pence from 126 pence and retains a "buy" rating, while Evolution ups its fair value to 131 pence from 115 pence, also with a "buy" rating.
"Last Thursday's operations and subsequent strategy update contained a number of positive messages on the Ebok development and upside potential and the farm in to the OML 115 licence," says Evolution analyst Richard Griffith.