fatoldgit
- 09 Jun 2005 12:43
- 1353 of 6492
Hi Markymar,
First spreadbetting.
Essentially you are buying DES on margin. There are four settlement (or contract months) per year. These are MAR, JUN,SEP,DEC. At the moment you can deal 3 settlement months out..so DEC is as far as you can go. However, when JUN expires on 14th June, the spread firms will almost certainly quote for MAR 2006. Cityindex don't quote DES. Spreadex and Financial spreads do. I don't know about IG index as I haven't got an account with them.
Try looking at www.spreadex.com (or www.finspreads.com)
The site is reasonably friendly to navigate.
It shows as I write
DES June 34.37 37.19
DES Sep 34.86 37.73
Des Dec 35.37 38.31
The increase in price as you go out in time reflects the cost of money.
Spreadex are OK but you have to phone to deal whereas Finspreads you can deal on the net.
Spreadex may well grant you credit (probably not much) whereas Finspreads need cash up front for margin.
As an example if you buy 10 of DES DEC at 38.31, you have effectively bought 1000 shares in DES at that price. You can close the trade at any time in the intervening period, but if you hold to contract expiry they will settle at roughly the middle price at close of business on that day. If you want to continue to hold you can roll over your position at expiry.
So if DES DEC closed on expiry at 65p and you bought at 38.31 you would have made 65 - 38.31 = 26.69p x 1000 (shares) = 266.90.
If I were you i would contact either of these firms and ask for their blurb.
They are quite helpful and always on the look out for new clients.
You can deal in nearly all shares (including Europe and USA on finspreads) and also the main market indices (FTSE, DOW, DAX etc.) and currencies and commodities.
I would caution you a bit though...it is easy to get carried away with your views and back them on the spreadbetting front. Needless to say you have to be right to make money and when things you wrong they tend to go very wrong and you can easily get wiped out.
Essentially it is a way of trading on margin..ie. not putting all your cash up ..a sort of gearing effect.
If you do decide to go for it please take care and deal small to begin with until you are comfortable with it.
Give me a shout if you want more info...but their brochures are pretty good at explaining things fully, including the margins they require.
Now my nicknames.
Fatoldgit...I'm a tickle large round the tummy (but not too much) I'm quite old
(but not an old fogey) and my wife calls me a git (sometimes)
AWOK....I live in Woking (surrey) and used to commute to the City ( I was a stockbroker) for 25 years. The rail line in to Waterloo came from Portsmouth, Southampton or Exeter. Nobody from those places liked Woking as so many commuters got on the trains and crowded them out. They call us WOKS and so I decided on AWOK. Funny thing is all the toilets notices on those trains are defaced. They used to say "Please do not flush the toilet while the train is in a station"
Now they say "Please do not flush the toilet while the train is in the station..except Woking. So it is a bit of a shit town.(HeHeHe)
So now you know I am a soft southerner that drinks Tesco wine. Actually there is some good news. My Ma was from Batley so I'm half Yorkshire which means that maybe Ruuddy might talk to me!
I am planning to buy some MAR 2006 DES in the near future because they will probably still be available at about 39p next week and you have a lovely 9 month run wich might just encompass drilling. Downside 39p upside ...well who knows?
Regards FOG or AWOK
eddieshare
- 09 Jun 2005 21:30
- 1355 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks for all the great updates.
Well DES went down a little today, volume was very low though. The 10 day moving average has just passed through the 20 DMA. It's the first time since 09/03/05, we need for the 10 DMA to stay on top. This is another good indicator for DES. We have a nice risisng support line forming. Todays candle is a little bearish, but hasn't pushed to far into yesterdays candle, the bulls may return tomorrow. The falling resistance will be at about 0.3200p tomorrow, it's looking further behind now.
Good Luck All
Eddie
ruddyy
- 09 Jun 2005 23:01
- 1356 of 6492
You'll do for me AWOK aka FOG. There's too many serious,serious people in this world...you've got to have a laugh and a giggle when you can...but there is a time for it of course. As you know Batley used to be the mecca of the north of England...god's country I believe, I see where you get your sense of humour from...aye theres nowt so strange as folk, as we say up here ha ha take care lol.
Captguns
- 10 Jun 2005 10:59
- 1358 of 6492
Cheers Markymar
Eeeh man, ahm gannin te the booza.
No IRN bru for me. (made from Girders)
FOG, no problem too take a few beer's sometime in the future.
Just 4/5 I gave up inspecting table legs years ago.
eddieshare
- 10 Jun 2005 17:32
- 1359 of 6492
Hi all
A little move up today, not much volume though. The 10 day moving average is quite well through the 20 DMA now. DES is getting further from the falling resistance line, which is at about 0.3200p now. A nice little support line is forming, DES has been following this line which runs from the low (shadow) of the hammer dated 25/05/05. DES is looking good !
Good Luck All
Eddie
Captguns
- 13 Jun 2005 08:09
- 1360 of 6492
Credit to Trebor Reg on iii.
Good article, especially the bit about the rig from Brazil.
Risk Capital Pours into Exploration
1,168 words
13 June 2005
International Oil Daily
English
Emboldened by persistently high oil prices, investors are pouring cash into new exploration companies targeting big discoveries in high-risk locales such as Africa and the Caspian.
Executives argue that this presents an important opportunity for start-ups to target exploration prospects shunned by larger companies -- but the trend has also attracted its share of controversial players.
Over the last 12 months, a raft of new exploration and production companies have been created on London's Alternative Investment Market (AIM), backed by retail and institutional investors willing to throw caution -- and cash -- to the wind for the chance of a big strike.
Some 17 oil and gas exploration companies floated on AIM in the second half of 2004, raising a total of 373.9 million ($680 million). By comparison, 2003 saw just two oil and gas firm float, raising a mere 27.8 million ($52 million).
This year, the trend has magnified. The five months from January to May saw another 14 issues, raising 115.77 million ($211 million). Of the top 10 largest AIM companies by market capitalization, four are now oil and gas explorers.
One surprising beneficiary of this burst of activity has been the Falkland Islands, which has attracted a number of small UK explorers to its barren shores. Three firms -- Borders and Southern, Falkland Oil & Gas (FOGL) and Desire Petroleum -- have together raised over 50 million ($91 million) from investors on AIM in recent months, specifically to find oil and gas in the rough and icy waters around this remote Southern Atlantic archipelago.
Despite previously being regarded as an exploration backwater, the area has caught the imagination of the market. FOGL shares have more than doubled since they listed in October, giving the firm a market value of around 73 million ($133 million). It plans to return to the market soon to raise more funds while interest is high (IOD Jun.1,p9).
The value of Borders and Southern stock has rise by around 40% since its listing just two weeks ago.
Desire and FOGL were among the most traded securities on AIM in recent months.
Another firm that is currently private but hopes to list on AIM in July is Rockhopper Exploration -- which typifies the entrepreneurial spirit that is the hallmark of the new breed of small explorers.
The firm was founded last year by a UK-based lawyer and property developer who had invested in some Falklands offshore acreage, and who contacted industry veteran Pierre Jungels with the view to forming an oil exploration company. In January Jungels -- who previously held a series of senior positions at Royal Dutch/Shell, Fina (since merged into Total) and British Gas before becoming chief executive of UK independent Enterprise Oil -- accepted the position of executive chairman of Rockhopper.
"I was interested in what he was trying to do because I truly believe the North Falkland Basin has huge potential," Jungels told International Oil Daily in an interview. "Fina, Lasmo, Amerada Hess and Shell had together drilled six wells back in the 1990s, five of which had various forms of oil and gas shows. So there is no doubt there is a working hydrocarbon environment, the question now is to find out how the oil has migrated through what looks like extremely large source rock, and whether it is producible."
Shell's former acreage -- licenses PLO32 and PLO33 -- were picked up 100% by Rockhopper this month, taking its North Falklands interests to six blocks (IOD Jun.8,p10). A 3-D seismic survey and a two-well drilling program were conducted on the Shell acreage during the 1990s, with gas shows at one well and oil shows at the other, but neither was tested.
"There is an old saying that a sure way to find oil is to go into old Shell acreage," Jungels quipped. "It is very likely that the Shell drillers would have wanted to stay and continue exploring, but the price of oil dropped below $10/bbl, and at that price, economic recovery from the Falklands would have been extremely difficult."
Rockover's economic analysis indicates that at $30 or $40/bbl, the story is very different, and even small finds of 40 million bbl could be profitably developed. "The Falklands administrative, legal and fiscal regimes are all very good," Jungels said, "And although the global rig market is very tight at the moment, we are in negotiations to bring a rig down from Brazil at a reasonable price." The Falkland Islands levies a 9% royalty on production and 25% corporation tax on profits.
The Northern Falkland Basin is around the same size as the central UK North Sea, with similar weather conditions and relatively shallow depths. In terms of exploration activity, Jungels views it as being the equivalent of the North Sea in the 1960s.
The much deeper southern basin is completely unexplored, and that is where FOGL and Australian partner Hardman Resources own interests in seven blocks.
With plans to carry out a new 3-D seismic survey and an exploration well on its ex-Shell blocks, plus a farm-in to three wells to be drilled soon by fellow UK explorer Desire Petroleum nearby, the financial commitments are piling up for Rockhopper. Plans to raise over 20 million ($36 million) through an AIM flotation as early as next month are now in motion. "It will be an exciting 20 months," Jungels said.
However, he remains wary of going to the market at a time when sentiment could be turning, following unsavory events at Regal Petroleum -- the most actively traded AIM stock in May -- and Sudan specialist White Nile Petroleum (IOD May23,p5).
Jungels admitted that "a bit of a bubble" had developed, with more nonspecialist investment funds moving in and investing in AIM exploration firms. "They've been a bit spooked by Regal and one or two other events, but the specialist funds and those that really know the sector are all still interested in investing in quality companies with good acreage and solid backgrounds," Jungels stated. "But they will be more discriminating now in their selection processes."
Regal's shares plummeted after the company announced in mid-May that its Kallirachi well offshore Greece -- earlier touted as a 1 billion barrel prospect -- had proved uncommercial. Negative sentiment from Regal hit other AIM-listed exploration stocks (IOD May19,p9).
Still, the widening of investor interest has created a rare window of opportunity for industry veterans to start up their own operations, raise a sizable amount of cash and take advantage of acreage opportunities that big integrated firms have either dismissed or overlooked.
"The small independents are always a bit quicker on their feet than the majors at identifying and acquiring under-explored acreage, and we have seen this in Mauritania, India, Kenya and many other places," Jungels said. "The big boys arrive late, farm in and take operatorship, but that's fine, that's the way the industry works."
Angus Rodger, London
markymar
- 13 Jun 2005 08:24
- 1361 of 6492
RNS Number:4543N
Desire Petroleum PLC
13 June 2005
Desire Petroleum plc
Appointment of Non-executive Director
Desire Petroleum plc is pleased to announce the appointment of Mr Edward
Wisniewski as a non-executive Director from 13th June 2005. Mr Wisniewski, aged
44, is a Chartered Accountant with twelve years experience in the oil
exploration and production industry. After training with Touche Ross & Co he
joined Clyde Petroleum plc in 1988; from 1995 to 2000 he was the Finance Manager
of Clyde Petroleum's subsidiary in the Netherlands. He joined Alstec Ltd as
Financial Controller in 2000.
Also Eddie Oily post which looks good
http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/irol/72/72166/pdf/Pride_Fleet_Status_6-07-05-FINAL.pdf
As Robbie Williams would say 'She's the One'.
Available January 2006.
fatoldgit
- 13 Jun 2005 10:25
- 1362 of 6492
Morning all,
I like what I've read this morning and found a few more bob and topped up with a 5000 small lot!
JP SALKELD
- 13 Jun 2005 11:18
- 1363 of 6492
fatoldgit
Agreed. Great prospects lie ahead. Sounds crazy, but i just hope the price rise holds off till Thurs - waiting for Halifax Sharebuilder account to be funded with 105!!! Been building DES for a while in this account which will be a nice little side-earner before long. I'm cleared out otherwise - scraping the barrel!
Apply potential share price multiples to DES as have been attributed to FOGL over the weekend and the sky is the limit.
eddieshare
- 13 Jun 2005 20:39
- 1368 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks for the updates, very interesting.
Today DES went down a little, volume again not very high. The candles are still following the support line that is forming. The 10 day moving average is moving further away up from the 20 DMA. The next moving average DES has to go through is the 60 DMA. By Friday this moving average will be at about 0.3750p, I think DES should go through this (candles on top of the MA). The next move should be the 20 DMA should pass through the 60 DMA, this will give us a golden cross. This is regarded as a good buying indicator. Then crossing the 200 DMA (candles on top of the 200 DMA) should give DES another boost. Blue sky's the limit after that !
Good Luck All
Eddie
Captguns
- 14 Jun 2005 11:50
- 1370 of 6492
2 nice charts for Lynnzal and Eddie. Keep up the good work.
North falklands basin area. DESIRE + Rockhopper
http://buoyweather.com/wxnav.jsp?region=AR&program=nww3BW1&grb=nww3&latitude=-51.0&longitude=-58.75&zone=-4&units=e
South Falklands
FOGL + Borders.
http://buoyweather.com/wxnav.jsp?region=AR&program=nww3BW1&grb=nww3&latitude=-53.0&longitude=-57.5&zone=-4&units=e
Waves 10ft and above make for very, very poor seismic data quality. IMHO.
lynnzal
- 14 Jun 2005 14:07
- 1371 of 6492
Thanks for the info Capt!
Having looked at your charts I know where I would rather be...things certainly look calmer in NFB, as reflected by the share price? Nudging important resistance areas now in the 38.5/41.5p area, with a nice near-term bull channel developing (support in the 35.5p/34.0p area - rising trendline/7 Jun higher low).