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Coffee Heaven - A heavenly share for penny punters ? (COH)     

overgrowth - 06 Oct 2003 22:47

underground01_2.jpgA busy day in the Warsaw Underground ! Not just another coffee shop chain - this one is a brand leader and is only trading in Eastern/Central Europe (i.e. the countries recently admitted to the EU destined for substantial business growth). The company is creating new outlets at a fair old pace and take a look at their website - these are quality stores in high-profile locations like major airports, railway stations etc. Website: http://www.coffeeheaven.eu.com

APRIL 2006 TRADING UPDATE!!! Total Gross Revenues for 12 months to 31st March up 66% to £6.3M (2005: £3.8M) Lots more info. on new markets and stores click here to read the full details. Stores: 43 (up from 32) stores currently trading (Poland: 30 (up from 23), Czech Republic: 6 (Up from 2), Latvia: 7 with a further 5 units under construction including Bulgaria and sites secured in Romania (subject contract). Bulgaria & Romania are seeking to join the EU from January 2007. Sites located in key high street, shopping malls or Airport locations. Company growth target: increase number of units by at least 20 units to some 63 units by 31 March 2007. Aim being to achieve this level of growth within present Cash resources.Cash balances at 31 March 2006 were approximately £2.9M (2005: £0.7M). Debt was nil (2005: £ 2.5M): Nil Debt! Positive EBITDA: For the year ending 31 March 2006, Group EBITDA expected to be firmly positive after charging UK and new market development costs but before exceptional costs relating to the cancellation of bonds (previous Debt). Forecasts: Based on present trading conditions and current exchange rates we anticipate indicative sales of £9.3M for the year to 31 March 2007. This includes indicative sales of £0.4M from Bulgaria, which will be reported but not consolidated. From Richard Worthington (Chairman and Chief Executive): ‘The new financial year has started well. There is no doubt that the significant economic improvement in our markets is feeding through to consumer confidence and spending. The strength of the coffeeheaven brand ensures we are ideally positioned to benefit from our customers' increasing prosperity.’

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=COH&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=COH&Si

bmw325 - 14 Jun 2007 08:30 - 1356 of 2037

Mr Worthington and his team have done a very remarkable job and to state otherwise is stupidity.

trigger45 - 14 Jun 2007 08:33 - 1357 of 2037

Not bothered about gloating but relieved to see another 0.75 rise today at the moment.
Who is right or wrong is worthless, show me the money.

AdieH - 14 Jun 2007 08:37 - 1358 of 2037

Merville, i'm glad you've made money (like myself), we all have our own agenda's and buying shares is a risk, i'm happy for the moment with my investment in COH but who knows in the future I am sell out before 1.00 but for me this was oversold a week ago and as such that is why we have had 3 days of blue...

MERVILLE - 14 Jun 2007 08:38 - 1359 of 2037

BMW325, this is pasted from Central and Eastern Eourpe food industry web site.

MERVILLE - 14 Jun 2007 08:45 - 1360 of 2037

BMW325... sorry about that it should work this time.

The group announced it planned to open another 1,500 outlets, including 700 company-owned ones, over the next year as part of its aggressive international expansion programme.

There are now more Starbucks coffeehouses in London than on coffee-guzzling Manhattan Island, and the firm has partly managed to beat down competition in the UK from Costa Coffee and CafNero through shear numbers.

One source connected to Costa Coffee said Starbucks' strategy was to go all-out in new markets, opening stores quickly and putting pressure on rival firms there.

They will target any expanding market China India and importantly for COH Eastern Europe and if they are Franchised outlets a takeover of COH seems unlikely, it depends on how quickly they can be up and running.

David10B - 14 Jun 2007 09:43 - 1361 of 2037

Well pted Merv

I have always expressed my fears over the following for COH as I believe the management will not be able to cope with strong compentition

One source connected to Costa Coffee said Starbucks' strategy was to go all-out in new markets, opening stores quickly and putting pressure on rival firms there.

Over on my MLR thread, BMW has stated that Worthington already run BKE into trouble---will COH be next?

Certainly he is quick to sell out when the going is good, what happens when it gets tough?

cynic - 14 Jun 2007 10:30 - 1362 of 2037

costa coffee has an excellent product and has found a good niche market ...... cafe nero, i confess i was under the impression had been taken over last year ...... starbucks product i think is disgusting, but there is no question that they are a big organisation with plenty of muscle.

as for franchises, they are of course a 2-way contract ...... the franchisor needs to have a really good and marketable product, with proper support in all respects for its clients, allowing that client to make a decent profit ...... if it does not, then the franchisee, having been saddled with high commission payments and non-negotiable product costs, probably together with high set-up costs, is going to go belly-up very quickly.

in my local town, CFE failed and Subway (another nasty product!) is really struggling and will probably not survive another 12 months.

AdieH - 14 Jun 2007 11:54 - 1363 of 2037

Some nice buys going through today, seems like there is some confidence in COH and its potential future... Sometimes the big boys don't always win and I'm hoping for once Starbucks does not succeed but time will tell... The Franchisee in Poland does not have a great profit margin after taking Starbucks cut...

cynic - 14 Jun 2007 12:01 - 1364 of 2037

Adie ..... not that i hold or even intend to hold either COH or CHE, but do you consider that COH meets the franchisor criteria that i outlined ...... as far as i can see, it does not, not least because it does not even (yet?) have a solid foundation at home

bmw325 - 14 Jun 2007 12:05 - 1365 of 2037

Dave

I have stated many times that Worthington has done a brilliant job with COH and if they were going to go under they would have done so a long time ago.

Unfortunately with BKE for one reason or another did not fair so well and because of this David or Jim_ Bentley Davis as he his known as across the road has had a pathological hatred for Worthington.

David lost a packet when he eventually sold his holding in BKE.

David I think it is time for you to come clean.

cynic - 14 Jun 2007 12:07 - 1366 of 2037

bmw ..... you are very repetitive and boring with your persistent bickering and sniping .... 10B is no better ..... surely it would be much more constructive to respond to the posts of Adie and myself

AdieH - 14 Jun 2007 12:28 - 1367 of 2037

Time will tell cynic, there was some discussion some time ago regarding difficulty in setting up in the Poland and that is partly why COH has had a slow controlled roll out, RW confirmed at the first AGM I went to that they should have rolled out faster but stipulated the difficulty of finding the right locations and also the politics because of its past history (corruption etc)... Who knows who is right... neither of us can say only time will tell..

David10B - 14 Jun 2007 12:29 - 1368 of 2037

RIGHT ON CYNIC the man is nuts

He has as a fixation with BKE, what a dog and is to stupid to realise that while he keeps deriding it its brings Worthington to futher attention.

bmw325 - 14 Jun 2007 12:49 - 1369 of 2037

David

Unfortunately there are posters who still appear to be taken in by you and cynic is one of them.

Like most posters I also take exception to cynic giving opinions on other posters when you do not hold and have no intention of holding.

David10B - 14 Jun 2007 13:17 - 1370 of 2037

Sir you do not have exclusive right here. There BBs are intended for open and honest discussion..
We, or more tothe point my opinion may be wrong, but nevertheless I still havea ight to express them.

You Sir appear to be more interested in protecting your own position than helping to illuminate others as to the pros and cons of share buying.

With all the share I mention here please pull them to pieces.

The fact of whether I hold shares in a company is irrelevant its the discussing that could lead me to make a buy or sell decision that counts.

I wonder if I may respectfully ask if you were born in Soviet Russia?

bmw325 - 14 Jun 2007 13:23 - 1371 of 2037

"honest discussion" does not apply in your case.

MERVILLE - 14 Jun 2007 13:49 - 1372 of 2037

exactly AdieH only time will tell, which beggars the question how can you see COH reaching 1.00 very soon? am I missing something (apart from a brain)

AdieH - 14 Jun 2007 14:29 - 1373 of 2037

I have said 12/18 months, if they manage to roll out 90/100 stores in that time then I don't see any reason why it won't be at 1.00. Take a look at the brokers notes. Regards.

cynic - 14 Jun 2007 14:34 - 1374 of 2037

BMW .... ignoring your snipe re my right to post ..... i have not been taken in by either 10B or you or anyone else ..... it happens that i have never thought that COH or CFE will cut the mustard in the longer term, but that does not preclude me from taking an active interest, even if you don't like my view

however, i do notice that none of you has said that either my franchisor criteria were wrongly based or that COH (or CFE for that matter) actually meets them

AdieH - 14 Jun 2007 14:54 - 1375 of 2037

looking at the buys today I would say there has to be some confidence...
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