cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 18 Dec 2013 16:13
- 13646 of 21973
yes, but the markets will almost certainly initially react badly .... however, sober consideration should realise that the tapering is in response to the economy improving (even if fawlty and his pals would say it's bunkum)
Shortie
- 18 Dec 2013 16:41
- 13647 of 21973
I don't think Tapering is a response to the economy improving at all. It could well be a response to the dollar weakening. Hyman Minsky stressed that the FED should be a lender of last resort, rather than the owner of much debt which should reside in the private markets. When money supply starts to fall and is absorbed into the private sector and unemployment remains steady then you could argue that the economy in the US has begun to turn. At present growth is artificial rather than organic and requires its quick fix of monthly liquidity to keep it there..
Shortie
- 18 Dec 2013 17:13
- 13648 of 21973
11:04 EST - Odds are pretty even for the Fed to announce tapering today, but ED&F Man Capital Markets' Tom DiGaloma remains in the no-taper camp. He points to thin liquidity during the holiday season, saying "the year is over and I just don't see [that] bringing this type of action at year's end, how that really helps anybody." He said he puts the probability of tapering today at 20%, January at 40% and March at 80%. If the Fed holds off today, DiGaloma sees stocks finishing the year strong, while risk assets such as credit and mortgage bonds march higher.
skinny
- 18 Dec 2013 18:31
- 13649 of 21973
halifax
- 18 Dec 2013 19:07
- 13650 of 21973
cynic hope you closed your short dow up 100+, taper reduced by $10b.... storm in a teacup.
Chris Carson
- 18 Dec 2013 19:11
- 13651 of 21973
LOL
dreamcatcher
- 18 Dec 2013 19:23
- 13652 of 21973
cynic
- 18 Dec 2013 20:02
- 13653 of 21973
no, i've left all running ..... i'll only start to get concerned if there's momentum through 16125
meanwhile, i've plenty of stuff long on this side, not least HG+HC and C+M indices which are likely to react strongly tomorrow
==============
but not very comfortable for all that
hey ho - rough with smooth etc
halifax
- 18 Dec 2013 21:10
- 13654 of 21973
Dow closes up 293 @16167, FTSE cash +81.
goldfinger
- 18 Dec 2013 22:53
- 13655 of 21973
Cyners I did warn you.
jimmy b
- 18 Dec 2013 23:36
- 13656 of 21973
Hopefully drag the FTSE up tomorrow .
skinny
- 19 Dec 2013 07:38
- 13657 of 21973
tomasz
- 19 Dec 2013 07:41
- 13658 of 21973
Super expert cynic not the only one with no clue about what is doing.Recently mine broker started beta platform where traders (?) or so called experts as one here can see each other moves with exact open/close positions.So there is one who is still short ftse from 6442 at £25/point and short dow from 15705 at £6/point meaning he is £2500 + and £2400+ respectively down and running..I dont know what worst : losing that money or not realising being wrong about whole thing.lol
cynic
- 19 Dec 2013 08:00
- 13659 of 21973
yes you did sticky, but the damage could have been much worse as those shorts should be more than covered (i hope) by the longs i have elsewhere .... anyway, for now at least, i'll leave them all running and see what happens next
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early doors shows very little damage done overall relative to last night's london close
tomasz
- 19 Dec 2013 08:17
- 13660 of 21973
Lol ."lets see what happen next"- i love it the most..
I can imagine a movie where Goldman Sachs taking cynic on board as chief executive of trading and let him sit down in propetiary trading room with all access to account and cynic goes: lets go short here, here , long here , here , add more here and here.. then he is turning to everyone stunned behind him and say : " let see what happen next " ...f...wet my pants..lol
HARRYCAT
- 19 Dec 2013 08:20
- 13661 of 21973
.
skinny
- 19 Dec 2013 08:51
- 13663 of 21973
GF - if that is a CMC chart, how did you capture it?
Shortie
- 19 Dec 2013 09:29
- 13664 of 21973
GF - Nice looking chart
goldfinger
- 19 Dec 2013 10:24
- 13665 of 21973
Skinny on CMC site.