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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

overgrowth - 24 Jun 2005 08:34 - 138 of 1009

Douggie - 1/4p ?

They bought at 29.31 - which was a premium at yesterday's earlier prices when the original order will have been placed.

Looking good for some serious upside today - the buyers are back in force!

Douggie - 24 Jun 2005 09:23 - 139 of 1009

o.g my first veiw was 1/4 pt.inc on 5.000.000 buy ok now up penny....

it would have been marked
d
o
w
n..much more than 1p om a 5.000.000 sell I recon !.....;-\

overgrowth - 24 Jun 2005 09:40 - 140 of 1009

Douggie, that's what kicked the price up yesterday - today's rise is from new buyers coming in.

The MMs aren't letting the price run away just yet by the looks of things, there could be some more institutional orders in the system.

Douggie - 24 Jun 2005 19:25 - 141 of 1009

here's hopeing one day...........I want it NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!..;o\

overgrowth - 24 Jun 2005 20:57 - 142 of 1009

Another half a mill. bought showing as a 'T' trade - that could mean there's more big buys in the system ready for Monday morning judging by what happened yesterday/today.

Mind how you go on that "loopy juice" Douggie lol!

Don't get too impatient and sell in the mid 30's or you'll be kicking yourself with hobnailed boots on when we get to 50p at the end of 2005.

Have a good weekend.

overgrowth - 27 Jun 2005 07:49 - 143 of 1009

We should have a blue day again today, now that Cybersource's patent infringement case has been quashed at an early stage:

"Patent Re-Examination - Preliminary Decision

Retail Decisions plc ('ReD'), the fuel card operator and a world leader in card
fraud prevention and payment processing is pleased to announce the US Patent and
Trademark Office ('USPTO') has issued a preliminary decision supporting ReD's
assertion that 'prior art' invalidates Cybersource's patent number 6,029,154.
This is the patent that is the subject of an alleged infringement claim by
Cybersource Corporation against ReD's US subsidiary. Prior to any final
decision, USPTO procedures allow Cybersource the opportunity to respond to this
preliminary decision and Cybersource would have the right to appeal any final
decision.

ReD's Board is pleased with this preliminary decision and the progress made to
date towards concluding the matter in ReD's favour."

skyhigh - 27 Jun 2005 08:18 - 144 of 1009

More good news... there should also be a positive trading statement in the next few weeks...SP should continue to climb.. (imho)

Douggie - 27 Jun 2005 17:55 - 145 of 1009

and still the sp don't rise..............;o/ grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.........

Fred1new - 27 Jun 2005 18:34 - 146 of 1009

DOUGGIE. Stop grumbling. I have it down for .5p up to-day. and 1p to-morrow.

Fred1new - 27 Jun 2005 18:48 - 147 of 1009

Douggie I take it back you can grumble. Comdirect called it up while MM static. One compensation Buys seem to outway Sells. Up 1p to-morrow. But it is slow.

m0dulus - 28 Jun 2005 11:54 - 148 of 1009

whats going on with the price?

parveen1 - 28 Jun 2005 11:56 - 149 of 1009

100k of sells falls nearly 1p

that sucks

skyhigh - 28 Jun 2005 12:04 - 150 of 1009

Pants ! isn't it ? still... it will resume it's upward momentum over the next week or two.... imo

capetown - 28 Jun 2005 12:18 - 151 of 1009

Have goldman increased or decreased their holding?

pachandl - 28 Jun 2005 12:41 - 152 of 1009

cape - I assumed an increase because the rns gives the response "not informed" as regards purchases, but "N/A" as regards sells.

capetown - 28 Jun 2005 12:44 - 153 of 1009

pachandi,thats what i assumed so why the fall in share price?,dont get it.but am sure its on a slow upward trend.

thx

pachandl - 28 Jun 2005 12:45 - 154 of 1009

GS increased stake from 5.25 (9th March 05) to 6.98%.

parveen1 - 28 Jun 2005 12:48 - 155 of 1009

very good news

barclays + goldmans now own around 20% of the shares


capetown - 28 Jun 2005 13:01 - 156 of 1009

Its fantastic news,thats why i can t belive share price did not stay at least where it was as opposed to down .50

parveen1 - 28 Jun 2005 13:12 - 157 of 1009

patience

be very patient.

takeover bid !!!!

thats my take on it

DYOR
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