cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
halifax
- 02 Jan 2014 17:12
- 13835 of 21973
Roubini's guess is as good as anyone else, just another useless economist.
Shortie
- 02 Jan 2014 17:21
- 13836 of 21973
Ralley before the bell maybe??
goldfinger
- 03 Jan 2014 08:54
- 13837 of 21973
Charles Stanley morning traders bulletin.
its in the header on chart attack thread.....for future use.............if you want it each morning.
http://www.charles-stanley.co.uk/traders-bulletin
cynic
- 03 Jan 2014 10:14
- 13838 of 21973
it really does make an excellent, readable and sensible analysis ... that one may not necessarily agree with its conclusions is irrelevant
Shortie
- 03 Jan 2014 11:05
- 13839 of 21973
Think I'll trade the 5 min FTSE chart today..
Shortie
- 03 Jan 2014 13:19
- 13840 of 21973
Housing bubbles have become as quintessentially British as warm beer, milky tea and cricket. Unfortunately. Take the latest data. The December Nationwide house price index rose 1.4% on the month and 8.4% on the year as the market gained momentum--prices had been up 0.7% on the month and 6.5% on the year in November. That's the fastest pace of annual house price appreciation since the summer of 2010. In some parts of the country, the latest bubble has outstripped the previous biggest bubble, which peaked in 2007--London prices are 14% higher than they were then. Mortgage approvals have motored to their strongest level since the start of 2008, while gross lending has also hit new all-time highs. This isn't an accident. Policymakers have engineered this boom as a means of reviving the U.K. economy. The Bank of England's Funding for Lending Scheme together with the government's Help to Buy mortgage guarantee scheme have helped to reflate prices. Rising house prices, meanwhile, have spurred a sharp rise in consumer credit, which, in turn, has fed consumer demand. At the same time, construction has also boomed. The latest construction purchasing managers' survey remains near at least decade-long highs, signalling robust levels of house building. Those who remember the housing boom and bust of the late 1980s/early 1990s and then again the run-up to the financial crisis are uneasy about the latest surge in prices. Average valuations for London and its commuter belt are already on more than 10 times average earnings, double what might be considered healthy levels. The Bank of England's policymakers shrug, arguing that they set policy for the benefit of the whole British economy and not just with an eye to central London and that while mortgage growth has been rising, it remains at historically low levels with net lending little more than flat lining. But the greater London area makes up between a fifth and a quarter of the British economy. What's more, there are increasing signs of overstretched valuations in the regions, even if they're not back to 2007 peak levels. Even where the BOE acknowledges risks of possible excesses in prices, it places great faith on macro-prudential policy to keep the market in check--among which is the possibility of tightening leverage ratios on home loans. Recent experience of the effectiveness of macro-prudential policy tools however is less than encouraging. In both Sweden and Canada the central banks have tried to lean against over-inflated property values without raising interest rates and have had little success. There's an irony in the fact that Bank of England Governor Mark Carney got his job in part for helping the Canadian economy from suffering the worst of the U.S.'s post-crisis meltdown. That's because one of the ways he did so was by supporting an already inflated domestic housing market and then fuelling further price rises. If, as seems likely, the Canadian property market is suffering a bubble of its own, one that macro-prudential regulation is failing to restrain, it too will eventually go pop. Depending on how far along the U.K.'s bubble is at the time, the Canadian experience may well inform Mr. Carney's future policy approach.
cynic
- 03 Jan 2014 13:25
- 13841 of 21973
if that is along the lines of what keynes recommended, and i think it is, then sticky must surely applaud
Shortie
- 03 Jan 2014 13:27
- 13842 of 21973
Lets not do Keynes again.. lol.
skinny
- 03 Jan 2014 13:28
- 13843 of 21973
Milton? :-)
cynic
- 03 Jan 2014 13:36
- 13844 of 21973
not me :-)
as i said earlier, i think the market(s) are looking o'bought and frothy ..... so am somewhat surprised to see MKS order book looking so strong
Shortie
- 03 Jan 2014 13:45
- 13845 of 21973
I've long thought the markets were overbought, analysts predicting 7000+ on the FTSE seams ludicrous to me.
halifax
- 03 Jan 2014 13:47
- 13846 of 21973
expect more M&A activity in 2014.
cynic
- 03 Jan 2014 13:47
- 13847 of 21973
it's always difficult to judge when you'll actually be pissing downwind, though you seem (are) remarkably good at calling very short-term short trades
Shortie
- 03 Jan 2014 13:49
- 13848 of 21973
Go on then Skinny, "Inflation is taxation without legislation".
Shortie
- 03 Jan 2014 13:51
- 13849 of 21973
Cheers Cynic, well not over the last 24 hrs in NXT hey lol, although I did make some money there before Christmas so not all bad...
jimmy b
- 03 Jan 2014 13:53
- 13850 of 21973
shortie can you explain your chart over on the IMG thread please ?
skinny
- 03 Jan 2014 13:58
- 13851 of 21973
Shortie - it's all explained
here!
Shortie
- 03 Jan 2014 14:04
- 13852 of 21973
Jimmy, GF had previously said that short players were buying back in. So I expected maybe to find a breakout. I was just mapping the downward trend range and last support 240ish then 300. The chart was still within its downwards range so its worth noting the base to see if it builds from there. Possible long position might have been forming, chart for future reference, not been back since mind.
Shortie
- 03 Jan 2014 14:06
- 13853 of 21973
Very good Skinny... Milton Keynes... lol
jimmy b
- 03 Jan 2014 14:07
- 13854 of 21973
Thanks ,i traded it well last year ,tempted to go back in but it's easy to get stopped out of.
Edit ,i also think the markets a bit overheated.