EKA are expecting to mine 3.8 million lbs of Molybdenum this year. For the more sceptical amongst you, read this to confirm:

http://moneyam.uk-wire.com/cgi-bin/articles/200412150700023844G.html

They own the mine and the molydbenum in it has been independently varified as stated in the announcement linked above.

Molydbenum currently trades at around $38.50 per lb, you can check this at:

http://www.monterrico.co.uk/s/MetalPrices.asp

so do the sums 3.8m x $39.25 = $149m = 82m

Eureka Mining's market cap is 26m

In 2006 they expect to pull over 10,000 tonnes (20m lbs) of Moly out of that mine.

On top of all that they have recently aquired a mine in Russia with estimated contained metal of 3.32 million tonnes of copper, 3.26 million
ounces of gold and 98.9 million pounds of molybdenum. They hope to complete the feasibility study for this one in 2006:

http://moneyam.uk-wire.com/cgi-bin/articles/200501130700033169H.html

Moly is in demand for many things at the moment. As the copper price rises, more mines are likely to be working flat out and will generate more Moly by-product. So there will be more supply, but the increasing demand for moly is likely to outpace. The expected fall off in the price of moly has been widely expected, but so far has failed to materialise. It will be interesting to see if it ever does materialise before the end of this commodity super cycle.

The Times

Rumour of the day

Eureka Mining, the base metals explorer in which Celtic Resources owns 15 per cent, firmed 1p to 107p on AIM amid word that it was close to buying the 49 per cent of Russias Chelyabinsk copper and gold project it does not own. The company, which has an option to buy the stake for $6 million (3.5 million), raised 9 million at 125p in September, in part to fund the purchase.

My understanding was that they were only planning to pay for the other 49% when they completed a successful feasability study. If they have done so, then we could be in for a big lift!

News due soon I think.

Has anyone phoned the company to recently? I am sure that Bartley or Foo might be able to either confirm or dispel rumours that are going around at the moment.

The anti Celtic Resources rumour mill are hitting Foo's VOG and EKA with lots of negative stories, like the one recently on EKA about permits. Now they are having a go at VOG again I see.

A conspiracy going on ?

Anyway, good top up time with the price of EKA now and Molybednum production on line and generating cash in Q1 06.

Major Shareholders

Celtic Resources Holdings PLC 15.02%
Gartmore 5.57%
Henderson Global Investors Ltd 4.18%
JP Morgan 4.18%
RAB Capital 3.83%
RCM 3.11% (Holdings of M James and D Bartley)

Directors
Kevin Alfred Foo 1.923%
David Bartley 1.198%
Malcolm Raymond James 1.151%
Andrzej S Sliwa 0.605%
Jonathan Scott-Barrett 0.177%


Presentation Link

Maybe the person putting out the rumours is topping up also!!

Interesting background story to Moly;

http://www.cozine.com/archive/cc2005/01370511.html

The last 2 trades at mid price look like someone went around the MM's looking for what they would sell off at mid price to allow the MM's drop their holdings down. A positive sign that someone is interested in buying large chunks.

Would really like to know if production is still due for Q1 2006. If I could be sure of that, then i'd probably top up.

tallsiiii...this pup has cost me a few quid!

how are things old boy?

Rgds
PT

Hi Prop, things are good on the whole. The new issue hit this one quite badly. But at the moment there is no reason for it to be 20% below the original float price when they are now in a so much better position than they were then. They have delayed moly production from the Q4 2005 that we had expected, but if they are in line for next quarter, then they are severly underated at the moment.

Moving up now, bid rumours hotting up for the Chelyabinsk license ???

During writing the last post, I managed to talk myself into buying another 10K. So that explains some of the move.

What rumours are about at the moment?

The Times one, stating they were close to buying the remaining percentage of Chelyabinsk so that EKA then holds 100% of it.

This is cut from RNS on 15th June regarding government co-operation:

On 13th January 2005, Eureka announced the acquisition of 51% of the Chelyabinsk
Copper/Gold Project in the southern Urals region of Central Russia and, subject
to the satisfactory conclusion of a feasibility study, the Company has the
exclusive option to acquire 100% of the project.

To me it looks that if the rumour about aquiring the remaining 49% is true, then it is likely that the feasability study has arrived at a positive result.

Production and sale of Moly is now within three months, so January/Feb should see this go significantly higher !

This is the only free graph I know of, its small though, but you can see the price is still well above 19$ and demand will cut in late Jan/Feb again to boost the price, so on that score its looking very good.



and from the company on Moly cash generation targets for first year (Q1 06 to Q1 07);

The Company has used a molybdenum price of US$19/lb throughout the first year and US$12/lb thereafter to calculate cash flows arising from the project.

Once Moly is being delivered the cash flow from this will give EKA a very low PER ratio going forward, so this alone is one area where there is massive upside to come.