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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

leedslad - 15 Feb 2007 10:50 - 1392 of 1497

This is without any revenue from PSA watch when it is launched.
:-)
Dave

Treblewide - 15 Feb 2007 16:19 - 1393 of 1497

ok so in 2008 they are forecasting at current share price they would be on a p/e of nearly 13..sounds reasonable...dont see huge upside (even if they hit their targets)

real profit still 2 years away if they get a fair wind...remaining short

Fred1new - 15 Feb 2007 16:59 - 1394 of 1497

MG, otherwise it will have a very mucky finger!













banjomick - 15 Feb 2007 18:35 - 1395 of 1497

Evening Treble and lol

Treblewide - 15 Feb 2007 23:04 - 1396 of 1497

p/e of 100 in 2007.....somewhat overvalued in my opinion

banjomick - 15 Feb 2007 23:33 - 1397 of 1497

We will see,Treble.

Minder - 16 Feb 2007 08:22 - 1398 of 1497

treblewide,
Edisons seem to think it undervalued on Oct 2007 estimates and you, who are short, think it is overvalued, so what are we meant to think?
Let's look back to the poster who went short at 8p because the Company was in your opinion 'undervalued'.
With sales estimated to be 9m this year (with just under 40% margin), just how overvalued do you see it at a 13m market Capitalisation?

Treblewide - 16 Feb 2007 09:26 - 1399 of 1497

minder...yes i shorted at 8p and clsed out at 8.5p...hardly disaster.

their prosepctive p/e for 2007 is over 100 Minder so behave yerself undervalued and 2008 figures are irrelevant at the moment

they are estimating about 100k profit this year so 13M does seem a lot and if MDW miss these figures then may the force be with you

ps i am short at the moment from 11.25.

banjomick - 16 Feb 2007 15:42 - 1400 of 1497

Afternoon Treble,

If we get the announcement on Monday morning that PSAwatch has gained CE approval then I'd be slightly worried if I were short but you should have time to close if you are up early :-)

Treblewide - 16 Feb 2007 16:52 - 1401 of 1497

Mick..aftrernoon..I would be worried if i were you...now official another two years for any profit from this lot.

and even then the p/e seems reasonable...so you guys are now back to waiting on approvals and what if's....

got to be better companies than this out there to have money sitting in for 5 years

banjomick - 16 Feb 2007 17:45 - 1402 of 1497

Treble,
Was PSAwatch taken into account within the research note and the possible revenue that would be generated?
Rightly or wrongly MDW have always been about their PSAwatch system but there is much more to this company now.
Further distribution deals are more likely than not as they become more settled in their new areas-imo.

Good luck anyway.

PS CS. was where the bulk of my money has been over 5 years + so I can sit happy with my holdings in MDW for as long as it takes and yes I do get emotional about them sometimes-lol

banjomick - 21 Feb 2007 01:27 - 1403 of 1497

If any company was due a re-rating this one is!
MDW will be getting CE approval for PSAwatch this month and FDA approval in the summer of 2007.
At the present time it roughly costs the health service 50 for a PSA test as the person has to go to his GP to get a blood sample and then the sample is sent to a lab which takes about a week for the result,causing lots of stress for those awaiting the results along with family members.

The PSAwatch sysem is a 10 minute accurate test of a persons PSA level at a cost to the GP of about 6,the test can be carried out in the GP's surgery.Prostate cancer is a very big killer in the UK and the rest of the world and this test will reduce the deaths caused by this disease from the early detection,as simple as that.
IMO,the plan would be to offer the test to anyone over 40 and build up a chart and any rises would then result in a further PSA test along with a DRE which would then lead to further investigation if required.
The point is this new test will give the GP a chance to monitor all of his male patients for PSA levels at very little cost with a view of catching this very common and if found early treatable disease!

There ends the lecture........


Edit-I probably shouldn't keep on going about this but......My father had his prostate gland taken out,rightly or wrongly about 6 years ago,never been tested before that and after all the options,which were not that much bit the bullet and took his choice.Last Friday he got the results (from his three monthly check) of the week before test and it's thankfully around his normal of 0.7 which is very good for his age.

On a darker side the bloke over the road who complained of back pain in December 2006 who never had a PSA test in his life (like most)on further testing had a PSA result of 600-700 and has three years to live!

The PSA test on it's own does not save lives but can lead a GP to forward a patient if PSA readings are on an upward trend for further investigation.Once PSAwatch becomes common in the GP's surgery it must be obvious that more Men will be tested and more lives will be saved!!

mg - 21 Feb 2007 07:40 - 1404 of 1497

CE Approval confirmed ... next step in the road to success for this brilliant littlew company.

Jules - 21 Feb 2007 07:54 - 1405 of 1497

mg;-)
OH happy days

mg - 21 Feb 2007 12:28 - 1406 of 1497

Where's treble :) ???

Treblewide - 21 Feb 2007 12:53 - 1407 of 1497

mg still here old bean........not overly worried by the massive 3% rise today :-)...if this is the best they can do chart looks like lower high and back down we go....remember p/e of 100 for 2007 :-))

banjomick - 21 Feb 2007 13:38 - 1408 of 1497

lol Treble

Jules - 21 Feb 2007 14:28 - 1409 of 1497

Trebs... hate to disagree with you but I see the pattern as a bullish pennant/triangle thingy:-)

Treblewide - 21 Feb 2007 14:38 - 1410 of 1497

me julie...i see it as a bearish wedge :-) but you Ozzies are always upside down :-) my short is only small and only really for a bit of sport and carry on with some folks so kind of hope it all goes well fur ye

Jules - 21 Feb 2007 14:44 - 1411 of 1497

Treb.... always knew I was upside down:-0)
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