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Traders Thread - Week commencing Monday 07th January 2019 (TRAD)     

Fred1new - 08 Jan 2019 16:54 - 14 of 46

21/28 blue. 1.6% up.

Victor doesn't believe it!

The problem with dumping winning holds are the spreads and dealing costs both ways.

But I wish I had listened to myself a while ago and dumped.

Where is the bottom of the market for the next 6 months?

Claret Dragon - 09 Jan 2019 05:42 - 15 of 46

Morning

skinny - 09 Jan 2019 07:02 - 16 of 46

Good Morning.

The Papers

kimoldfield - 09 Jan 2019 07:22 - 17 of 46

Good morning!

Stan - 09 Jan 2019 08:19 - 18 of 46

Morning all.

CC - 09 Jan 2019 08:52 - 19 of 46

Good morning. Another good day yesterday.

Looks to me like the bulls are bears are battling it out the last couple of days with the bears selling into the rise and the bulls more than absorbing all the stock.

I'm rather hoping all algos which have been trading the downtrend lines since April last year are going to have to start reversing.

Anyways fingers crossed. At least it feels hopeful which is lot better feeling than I've had for the last 6 months.

skinny - 09 Jan 2019 09:16 - 20 of 46

bullsbears.jpg

Fred1new - 09 Jan 2019 10:47 - 22 of 46

Is the present rebound in the market, the market guessing that "Brexit" won't go through?

I hold too many Builders and Construction companies, which the market seems to be betting positively on at the moment.

Is it a false dawn?

I think I will keep the cash I have in hand at the moment, in hand for the next 2-3months.


skinny - 09 Jan 2019 10:51 - 23 of 46

More so than ever Fred!

dribbble_3.gif

Stan - 09 Jan 2019 11:07 - 24 of 46

Cash is king.

skinny - 09 Jan 2019 11:15 - 25 of 46

Yes - just ask my wife 🙄!

CC - 09 Jan 2019 12:07 - 26 of 46

I'm not sure what to make of the January rally so far. I see it kicked off with the assumption that the Fed would not raise interest rates as fast as expected and then continued when the Fed confirmed this.

This seems to be a big move in the markets. Easing trade tension with Trump has also helped.

I'm not sure the economic statistics back up the change in sentiment on interest rates so I'm worried this rally will run for a month and then we return to pessimism.

There are definitely real buyers out there though and the sellers propensity to sell has slowed down dramatically.

I can see the markets were oversold, but is the start of a permanent turn or just a dead cat bounce or perhaps it is time to consolidate a bit lower than were we are now before the move up?

I'm not sure. It's all too easy. On the other hand UK consumer seems to be doing fine. Less spending on cars but more on leisure

I read some article on Reuters that after the flash crash on the yen carry trade, sterling was a safe haven. Perhaps we are seeing a change in sentiment towards the UK. If Sterling is a safe haven though, the rest of the world is completely f***ed.

I'm 99% invested and happy to start selling down if the rally has legs. I haven't got much I really want to sell though at current prices. The market is going to have to move another 10% up to get me interested in selling. That's probably because most of my entries are poor. How did I think AV. was a bargain at 445? or LLOY at 65. I have several more in this category.


As an aside I'd made more money by Jan 7th this year than the whole of last year, which probably tells you more about how bad last year was. I really don't have a scooby where we are going next. I am feeling optimistic

Fred1new - 09 Jan 2019 12:41 - 28 of 46

CC,

Check the FTSE market volumes supporting the up.

If I am reading them correctly they seem a little light over the last 3-4days!

Fred1new - 09 Jan 2019 14:28 - 29 of 46

CC.

I held Carter, CLLN and IRV and AV. (The latter yield and promises may provide rewards.)

I know your feelings.

Thinking of having a dummy in the bedroom and to stick pins in morning and evening to remind me.

kimoldfield - 10 Jan 2019 07:21 - 31 of 46

Good morning!

skinny - 10 Jan 2019 07:52 - 32 of 46

Good Morning.

The Papers

Stan - 10 Jan 2019 08:27 - 33 of 46

Morning all.
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